Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (7/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (2/1/3/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (5/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (5/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (5/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (4/3/11/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITWILLBEFUN         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
EZ TREE ATES         (casse w)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
MY BOSSY LADY         (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
WISCONSIN GAL Sep15 Sep04 Aug10     (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 4.00 28% 2.50    
CAROLINA SMOKESHOW         (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
TECTONIC         (wojczynski justin)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
GOOD TEMPER         (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
GERLIN'S EMPIRE Aug07 Jul13       (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
MY CHERRY PIE Aug25         (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
10  MACLEAN'S LULLABY Sep15 May10       (matejka pavel)MURGIA A 119 3.00    
 
CD-2   09/26/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY'N CONNECTED Aug05 Jun16 Apr20 Mar28 Feb21 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
WITS AND WAGERS Jul22 Jun15 Nov12 Oct18 Sep03 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00    
EAST SHORE Aug24 Jul22 Nov12 Oct18 Jul22 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
STERLING LUCK Aug24 Jul25 Jun05 Feb13 Jan19 (forster gran)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SACRED SAINT Aug19 Feb04 Jan13 Jan01 Nov18 (scherer marianne)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
LOW COUNTRY MAGIC Jul27 Jun15 May30 Apr17   (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
CHA CHA CHUKKA Aug19 Jul14 Jun06 Dec28 Nov04 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
CD-3   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME AARON Aug18 Aug03 Jun14 May27 Apr18 (green troy)TORRES A 121 8.00 7% 13.60    
FIT TO FLY Aug29 Aug01 Jul07 Oct13 Aug16 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50    
NABOKOV Aug28 Jul27 Jul04 Jun08 May03 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 6% 14.50    
GLOBAL STAGE Sep14 Aug03 Jul15 Jun06 Apr30 (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCIP Jul15 Jun27 Jun02 Apr20 Mar03 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
ZOOMBIE Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 Dec15 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
I GOT NO MUNNY Aug18 Jul13 Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 63% 0.60    
G T FIVE HUNDRED Sep15 Aug12 Jun28 Jun12 May12 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
 
CD-4   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY CAPABLE         (amoss thoma)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TROUBLESHOOTING         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
KRAKEN         (orseno f)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIDDLER         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
ZAT'S THE ONE         (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SAVING HEART         (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 5.00    
PERFECT MAGIC Aug31 Aug11       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00    
GOLDEN GOAL         (demeritte l)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPICED UP         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
 
CD-5   09/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDHILL Sep13 Jul28 Jul04 Jun12 May01 (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00    
REWIRE Sep03 Aug10 Jul15 Jan28 Nov18 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 8% 12.30    
TAP THE CANDY Aug26 Jul28 Jul05 Sep15 Sep09 (hancock a)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
LEND IT TEWMEY Sep03 Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 May19 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 4.50 7% 13.40    
HASKELLED Aug30 Aug22 Jul28 Jul20 May25 (van thomas)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 64% 0.60    
EL MIC TIESUN Aug24 Aug02 Jun20 May29 May05 (mcgoey monica)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00    
ARTHUR Sep18 Aug17 Jul29 Jun26 Sep02 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.00    
CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Aug19 Jul03 May30 May11 Mar03 (barnett bobby )BARBOSA CARLOS 121 5.00    
MERLOTTI Sep08 Aug12 Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK THIRTY (IRE)         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
HER HOLY NAME Apr26 Apr11       (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 4.50    
GLOBAL QUEEN         (tomlinson mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
TEGWAR Aug25 Jul09       (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOOK'EM Jun16         (calhoun william )ORTIZ L 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
SPLIT SUCCESS         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
BOUJI IS A WORD         (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00    
FLASH WEAR Jun22         (vance thoma)TORRES A 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
VERY COSMOPOLITAN Aug30         (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
10  KEYANA May02         (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
11  LOCAL ELECTION         (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
 
CD-7   09/26/2024 6600ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GORILLA TREK Sep01 Jul20 May11 Apr13 Mar02 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
HARLEEZY Sep12 Aug18 May27 May02 Apr12 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
FIRST PLAYER Aug18 Jun23 Jun06 Oct09 Sep15 (mcgee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
MANDATORY MEETING Aug13 Nov25 Oct12 Sep02   (blair jordan)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
WINSTON WOLF Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 May27 May09 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
NATIVE SHAMAN Aug24 Jul29 Jun09 May15   (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
DAILY GRIND Sep02 Aug15 Jul12 Jun08 May18 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00    
SAN SIRO Aug24 Mar09 Jan20 Dec23 Nov25 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
CD-8   09/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATCH O'BRIEN Sep10 Jul13 Jun08 Apr25 Mar29 (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 8.00    
CAT ON TIME Aug20 Jul18 Jun15 May27 Apr30 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 12.00    
GAME KEEPER May12 Apr28 Apr13 Mar29 Mar07 (reed r)TORRES A 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
MR MCGREGOR Sep14 Aug26 Jul21 Jun20 Oct12 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
TWIRLING TROILLET Aug26 Aug10 Jul05 Jun23 Jun13 (king l)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00    
MO RHODES Aug24 Jul28 Jun29 May31 Apr24 (amoss m)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00    
SAGITTARIUS Jul29 Jun28 May18 Apr13 Mar15 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
FORGE IN FIRE Aug26 Aug05 May25 May01 Apr14 (bahena ismae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
CRUSADING Sep13 Aug17 Aug07 Jul18 Jan01 (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
10  ANDY'S CANDY Aug17 Jul15 Apr28 Mar01 Feb11 (gibson dewa)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  GOD OF WINE Aug31 Aug05 Jul05 May25 May01 (roberson den)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.