Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-2 $28.10 $16.10 134%
CD-2   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.56 $1.56 26%
CD-3   WIN (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.34 $1.34 17%
    EXA (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-8 $92.44 $68.44 285%
    TRI (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-8-1 $116.13 $104.13 868%
    DD (7/4/2)-(1/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $15.83 $3.83 32%
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(7/4/2)-(1/3/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-4-3 $34.31 $16.31 91%
CD-4   PK3 (7/4/2)-(1/3/8/5)-(8/11/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-3-8 $25.87 $1.87 8%
CD-6   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $10.68 $2.68 34%
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $17.08 $5.08 42%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:214 :452 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RUN JALEN RUN 5 1 22½ 21   1½ 12¼ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80 64% 0.60 1.29 W
2  CAPER'S HOOLEY 2 3 12½ 11   2½ 22¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.62 P
5  SWEET AS SIN 4 2 33 43   32½ 32½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 4.50 6.07  
3  BEBEDOURO 3 5 55 32½   43 44¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 18.20 4.64  
1  ON MY HONOR 1 4 44½ 55   55 59¾ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 1.93  
SCR  EDIFIED               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00    
 
CD-2   11/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ANOINTED OF GOD 3 3 32½ 21 11 11 1¼ (douaihy mic)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 2.50 11% 8.10 2.78 W
1  MIDWAY VOW 1 1 22 31½ 32 21 2¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.50 3.18  
7  NO SHOW 6 6 67½ 54½ 43 37 311 (danner kelse)TORRES A 121 1.80 51% 1.00 1.84 S
5  OUR PRAYER 4 4 57 66 54 58½ 413 (radosevich)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 5.24  
6  TERRITORIALITY 5 2 12 11 21 47 513¼ (gowan willia)MONCADA IRVING 117 12.00 10.29  
2  TIZ SALTY 2 5 44 43½ 65 610 614½ (thompson )HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 8.25  
SCR  AMERICAN SPLENDOR               (cambray andres)CHUAN MARTIN 121 20.00    
 
CD-3   11/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:362   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  QUALITY CHIC 3 6 21½ 22½ 21 12½ 12¼ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 4.00 21% 3.90 3.67 W
8  TRIDENT HIT 7 1 45 46 45½ 34½ 22¼ (moquett r)TORRES A 121 5.00 18% 4.50 8.12 P
1  ELUSIVE TARGET 1 4 66½ 69 67½ 55½ 33¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 121 3.50 31% 2.30 3.02 S
2  THUNDERIAN 2 2 33½ 35 33½ 44½ 45 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 5.61  
5  EXPENSIVE CUT 4 3 11½ 12½ 11 22½ 56 (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 4.93  
6  COPPERMASTER 5 5 78½ 712 712 711 614½ (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 25.17  
7  GASOLINE 6 7 56 56½ 56 68 714½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 2.50 2.54  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
 
CD-4   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:22 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STREAKING 7 3 2½ 14   16 13¾ (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 3.00 42% 1.40 1.00 W
6  JAILHOUSE RELIGION 5 6 76½ 46   36½ 23¾ (tomlinson michae)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 6.67  
5  MY BOSSY LADY 4 4 64½ 24   26 35¾ (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00 1.92  
4  KUKU 3 2 54 56   48 411¼ (chapman jame)MONCADA IRVING 112 12.00 11.66  
7  MERCY OTIS 6 1 32½ 66½   510 513¾ (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 119 30.00 66.22  
11  GLORIOUS MUSINGS 8 8 810½ 810   712 615 (holden darrag)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00 33% 2.10 15.49  
3  HONEYBEEBOBBIE 2 7 1½ 34½   610½ 715½ (gonzalez rein)SOSA LAUREANO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 15.48  
2  SHOW ME THE LIGHT 1 5 43 78   814½ 825¾ (wells duane)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00 39.63  
SCR  HIGH SUMMER               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50    
SCR  LADY RILEY               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
SCR  MADAME MARKIEVICZ               (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
 
CD-5   11/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:123 1:233   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHASING THE CROWN 4 5 64½ 53½ 51½ 21 1nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 31% 2.20 1.48 W
1  WADSWORTH 1 1 43½ 32 1nk 11 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.40 1.78  
2  MR. WIRELESS 2 2 1½ 1½ 3½ 31½ 33¼ (calhoun william)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 27% 2.70 4.89 S
3  WARRIOR JOHNY 3 6 54½ 64 41 53 43½ (bauer philip)TORRES A 121 6.00 10.00  
7  SEIZE THE NIGHT 6 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 42 54½ (milligan )TORRES A 121 20.00 16.88  
6  HARLAN ESTATE 5 4 33 43 63 64 68¼ (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
SCR  BIG DREAMING               (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
SCR  BLUE DEVIL               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.50    
SCR  FROSTED DEPARTURE               (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50    
 
CD-6   11/07/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:13 1:384   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROUSSETTE 3 1 21 2½ 2nk 11½ 11 (simms j)TORRES A 118 4.00 34% 1.90 4.34 W
5  MO RHODES 5 6 31 41½ 41¾ 21½ 21 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 2.49  
4  BRILLIANT MAN 4 7 74¾ 73¾ 63¼ 43½ 31¾ (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 2.30  
6  COPPER MISSILE 6 4 42 31½ 31½ 32 41¾ (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 15% 5.70 5.98  
1  SAGITTARIUS 1 5 63¾ 52½ 52¾ 54 56½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 15% 5.80 6.83  
2  DEL RAYO 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 65 611½ (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 8.21  
7  SOOEY STRONG 7 3 52¼ 62¾ 713¼ 735 760½ (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.56  
 
CD-7   11/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:211 :444 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EL DANDI 3 2 1½ 13   12 1¾ (acevedo is)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 45.67  
1  AUSTIN CRUISE 1 7 76 65¼   43½ 2¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 16% 5.30 3.35 P
9  ONE TRUE SHANCE 8 6 42 33   33 32¼ (kenneally eddi)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 12% 7.10 2.06 S
2  SHAN 2 8 88 78¼   79½ 411¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00 8.25  
7  EIGHTY WEST 6 4 53½ 43¼   22 513½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 45% 1.20 1.73  
4  MENDELLO 4 9 98½ 910¾   813½ 615 (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00 77.44  
10  CHARBONNAY 9 1 2½ 23   58½ 717 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 45.47  
5  ACE IT 5 5 32 54¾   69 818¾ (chapman jame)TORRES A 120 12.00 5% 19.00 17.64  
8  JACKSON'S ROAR 7 3 65½ 810¼   928½ 9100 (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 6.00 12.82  
SCR  THRILLA               (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
 
CD-8   11/07/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:12 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SWEET TREASURE 3 2 11½ 11½ 11½ 11½ 13½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 31% 2.20 3.57 W
4  FINE FINISH 4 5 74½ 76 75½ 54 23½ (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 9.92  
2  MISS LONELLE 2 1 31½ 32 32 21½ 34¼ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.06 S
8  INDIGO STUNNER 8 4 53 54½ 43½ 32½ 44¾ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.63  
1  POPPY THE PRINCESS 1 3 107½ 109½ 108¼ 66 56¾ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00 28% 2.60 6.19  
9  GO TOWN 9 8 21½ 21½ 21½ 43½ 67¼ (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 115 10.00 18.53  
7  SASHAY AWAY 7 9 118 99½ 87 76 79¾ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 3.28  
6  ZEALOUS MOON 6 11 85½ 88 97¼ 86½ 810¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 122 6.00 15% 5.70 7.00  
11  COTILLARD 10 6 42 43½ 54 98½ 915¼ (seglin e)RIQUELME J 120 15.00 25.35  
12  BONNE FILLE 11 10 63½ 65 64 1010 1015¼ (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00 66.91  
5  SLOW NO MO 5 7 97 1110½ 1112¼ 1113 1117¾ (corrigan jim)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 37.39  
SCR  SWAN HOUSE               (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
SCR  TERRA TOWN               (kubinova eliska)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
 
CD-9   11/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:112 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ADMIRAL DENNIS 9 6 31 31 1½ 1nk 13½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.60 72% 0.40 0.61 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GULF COAST by UNION RAGS)
6  MISCHIEVOUS TIME 5 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 2nk 23½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00 5% 19.00 12.02 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DAISY MASON by ORIENTATE (GB))
1  MONET'S MAGIC 1 5 96¾ 99½ 78 48 39½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 ★ 12.83 S
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RONTOS LILY by BIG DRAMA)
5  CORNHUSKERCHRIS 4 7 64½ 63 43½ 36 49½ (pessin neil )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 33.39  
  (by GAME WINNER out of TOWN TOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  TAVERN TIME 7 8 74¾ 87½ 88 610½ 515 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 10.13  
  (by ALTERNATION out of ROOM FOR APTITUDE by APTITUDE)
7  CRISIS MANAGER 6 9 85¼ 75 67½ 710¾ 616¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 ★ 6.01  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WILBURNMONEY by WILBURN)
9  DISCOTHEQUE 8 3 2½ 2½ 31 58½ 721 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 13.24  
  (by CONNECT out of NEW HOPE ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
4  AMBRIDGE 3 4 52 52½ 57 815¾ 831 (forster t)LANERIE J 119 20.00 30.50  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SCREWGIE by SMART STRIKE)
3  HASTEN 2 1 42 41½ 99 918¾ 944¼ (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.63  
  (by LAOBAN out of ON MY TOES by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  OH MONACO               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of BYRAMA by BYRON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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