Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (7/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $47.38  
KEE-2   Win (10/7/1/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $11.62 $11.62 1.62
KEE-3   Win (8/12/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $101.90  
KEE-4   Win (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $8.52  
KEE-5   Win (2/7/8/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $21.62  
KEE-6   Win (9/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.28 $6.28 0.28
KEE-7   Win (4/8/7/13/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.08 $6.08  
KEE-8   Win (7/2/6/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $5.48 $5.48  
KEE-9   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.64 $2.64  
KEE-10   Win (10/2/4/13/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $78.88 $78.88 68.88

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:131 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATIONAL ECLIPSE 3 4 56 56 3 11 14 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 22.69  
SOUND OF VICTORY 1 6 7 77 66 44 24 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 2.36  
MOVING TO KENTUCKY 4 1 2½ 32 22 21 3 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 23% 3.30 2.86 S
MUNYHUNGRY 7 5 3½ 2½ 12 33 411½ (parker r)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 18% 4.40 16.62  
WESTEROS 5 8 67 6 4 58 522¾ (foley greg)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 5.87  
CRABTREE 2 7 810 89 810 615 635¾ (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 44.62  
10  CRUSADER CONRAD 8 2 4 46 7 715½ 757½ (mcsorley joe)BEJARANO R 124 30.00 24.75  
ANCHISES 6 3 1½ 1½ 5 817 874½ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 36% 1.80 2.03  
SCR  ANGLICAN               (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
SCR  WYOMING CLASS               (colebrook )RODRIGUEZ A 120 30.00    
 
KEE-2   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :462 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EQUAL SUCCESS 1 8 8 75   41 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 10% 8.80 4.81 W
SWEET BEBSI 5 2 2 22   1½ 2 (walsh d)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00 45.93  
LOVE'S THE ANSWER 6 4 4 3   31 3 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 16% 5.40 4.41 S
13  MELLY'S BIRKIN 11 6 54 4   5 4 (cunningham )PEDROZA MARCELINO 114 8.00 41.13  
BABY LADY 4 3 1 12   2½ 5 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 14.62  
11  WESTERN WOMAN 10 7 75 86   6 612¼ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 15.51  
LITTLE BIT O STORM 3 5 64 54   76 715¼ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 8% 11.10 21.64  
JAILHOUSE RELIGION 2 10 1010¼ 1011½   1011½ 815½ (tomlinson michael )BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 45.69  
WE HEAR YOU 7 9 9 910   910½ 915½ (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 20.00 31.08  
WICKEDREVOLUTION 8 1 3 6   8 1018½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 27.97  
10  WHEREVER WE ARE 9 11 1111¾ 1116½   1123½ 1146¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 39% 1.60 0.87  
SCR  MISS TIFEYE               (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
SCR  SUNNA               (sweezey kent)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:121 1:24   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEALOUS MOON 1 2 53 6 6 32 1½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 20.00 49.95  
10  GOOD LONG CRY 9 4 21 21 2nk 1nk 2½ (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 6.16  
EMMY BLUE 8 5 32 3 4 2nk 31 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 9.90  
GOLDEN SUNSHINE 7 10 10 106 8 7 4 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.46  
11  BREAD TO RUN 10 9 7 75 7 6 54 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 43.23  
RATHER DISTINCT 5 7 9 96 9 8 65 (kenneally eddie)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 10.45  
12  BEMBRIDGE LEDGE 11 6 4 42 5 43 7 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 24% 3.20 5.99  
SONJA HENIE 2 3 64 53 3 5 8 (sisterson j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 6.00 6% 15.10 5.71  
YELLOW 6 11 1110 11 11 9 9 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 10% 8.60 9.30  
MY ANGEL DOES 4 8 85 8 106 11 1014½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 80.54  
REAGAN ALICE 3 1 11 11 1nk 10 1119¼ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 43.68  
SCR  GROVE CITY SUNSET               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SCR  MAKE A MILLION               (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  NILE VALLEY               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
SCR  ONE HAPPY ISLAND               (kordenbrock matt)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
SCR  TIZNTSHELOVELY               (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :454 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C K WONDER 4 1 3 34   21 1 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.00 3.26  
TO MONARCH 1 2 11 12   11 2 (kenneally ed)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.18 P
11  CROMWELL 9 4 45 4   4 3 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 2.39 S
SIR GALLIVANT 3 9 913 913   6 47 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 39% 1.60 4.75  
CROOKED BULLET 5 3 21 22   3 5 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 9% 9.70 10.40  
TREMENDOUSLY 6 10 1016½ 1015½   810¾ 6 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 27% 2.70 5.21  
12  ITSINMYBLOOD 10 8 78 78   5 711¼ (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 15.35  
HIGH LIMIT 2 5 88 89   7 815¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 15.00 23.40  
CUBAN COWBOY 8 7 6 5   910¾ 925 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 25.77  
PROM KING 7 6 5 6   1016¾ 1034¼ (galindo-torres climac)MEZA JJ 119 30.00 56.23  
SCR  MONTADOR               (stidham mic)TORRES A 119 8.00    
SCR  TRIPLE UP               (molloy thom)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
 
KEE-5   10/06/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:203 :431 :551     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE SHIESTY 3 3 12 1   12 1½ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 9.81  
12  APOLLO TEN 9 2 3 32   32 2½ (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.56 P
SILENT HEART 5 4 22 2   22 3 (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 28% 2.60 7.59 S
11  BEAR RIVER 8 8 86 76   6 4 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.15  
SPIRIT'S MISCHIEF 6 10 6 54   5 5 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00 10% 9.30 6.47  
RUN CARSON 2 7 7 8   7 6 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 34% 2.00 5.07  
13  SUMMER IN ADRIANE 10 9 10 10   99 7 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 31.90  
HEDWIG 1 5 43 4   4 8 (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 1.84  
10  HORSEPOWER 7 1 5 65   87 9 (orseno joseph )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00 13.01  
HOW'S UR ATTITUDE 4 6 9 97   1010 1012½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 36.36  
SCR  BARKSDALE               (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
SCR  BAXLEY               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  WHATCHATALKINABOUT               (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 20.00    
SCR  WORLD RECORD               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
 
KEE-6   10/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:214 :45 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE A SALTSHAKER 2 3 11 1nk   1½ 1½ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 8.00 26% 2.90 2.14 W
LUCKY SHOT 4 5 5 5   32 2½ (banks chris)MONCADA IRVING 116 15.00 27.62  
SPYCRAFT 3 4 21 2nk   2½ 3 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 123 6.00 7.82 S
10  TOP GUN TOMMY 7 7 63 31   43 43 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 2.86  
11  BLOW TORCH 8 6 7 8   8 5 (rosin coty )TORRES A 123 10.00 17.49  
CHARTER OAK 6 8 85 7   6 6 (martinez kelli)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 43% 1.30 8.50  
COMMUNICATION MEMO 1 9 99 9   76 7 (hancock dana)SANJUR SANTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 17.98  
LLOYD 5 2 42 4   55 89 (synnefias pa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 6.03  
12  BORN FLAWLESS 9 1 32 6   9 911¼ (shorter aaron)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 7.92  
SCR  EL CERRITO               (chavez manuel)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
SCR  KING OF KENTUCKY               (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
SCR  MY GRASS IS BLUE               (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 30.00    
 
KEE-7   10/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUILT 3 5 2½ 21   1 1 (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 5.00 23% 3.40 2.04 W
RENDER JUDGMENT 1 9 9 96   4 2 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 40.45  
CANT STOP MUNNINGS 8 2 3 3   2 32 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 27.25  
DR. SAIKALI 6 7 5 4   5 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 19% 4.40 1.90  
HOMER'S ODYSSEY 2 4 1½ 11   3 5 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 15.46  
MASTER SOMMELIER 5 11 1111¼ 10   8 6 (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 11.39  
11  CORNHUSKERCHRIS 10 10 1011 118   9 711¾ (pessin l)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 55.98  
10  TAVERN TIME 9 3 6 74   7 811¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 15.81  
TUSCALOOSA 7 6 74 64   67 914¼ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 20% 4.10 5.28  
SPINBACK 4 8 8 8   10 1017¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00 35.63  
13  INTO INSPIRATION 11 1 4 53   1121¾ 1150¾ (ramos rafael)TORRES A 119 15.00 18% 4.60 18.00  
SCR  MASTER CONTROLLER               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 30.00    
SCR  WISE DECISION               (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 
KEE-8   10/06/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Indian Summer Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:204 :44 :561     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOVERNOR SAM 6 4 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¼ (weaver george)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 49% 1.00 1.74 W
OUT ON BAIL 4 2 8 8   3 2¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.47  
12  FLOODLITES 11 5 2½ 2nk   2½ 3 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 10.35  
CHASING LIBERTY 2 10 1211¾ 11   67 42 (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 19% 4.20 3.43  
G W'S GIRL 3 3 6 7   5 52 (compton greg)ORTIZ L 115 15.00 5% 19.00 34.13  
10  MOON SNIPER 9 8 9 9   7 64 (miller darrin)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 85.98  
PHAROAH'S DYNASTY 5 7 75 6   4 75 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.42  
JUST KEEP LOOKING 7 12 10 10   8 8 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 46.71  
13  FIDDLING FELIX 12 9 1110¼ 129   1210 9 (beckman w)TORRES A 118 15.00 43.81  
BAD GAL PARTY 1 1 32 3   9 10 (crichton rohan)TORRES A 115 30.00 5% 19.00 61.34  
11  JET SWEEP JOE 10 6 53 5   10 11 (mcentee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 12.28  
RAISE THE BAR 8 11 43 4   11 1211 (asmussen steven)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 5.32  
SCR  DREAMAWAY               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.50    
 
KEE-9   10/06/2024 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Juddmonte Spinster Purse ($600K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:111 1:362   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDIOMATIC 1 4 11 12 1 13 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 0.60 47% 1.10 0.32 W
OCCULT 6 6 45 46 46 4 2 (brown c)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 5% 19.00 13.32 P
CANDIED 2 1 21 22 2 23 3 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 20% 4.10 4.03 S
LOVED 3 3 33 34 3 33 49 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 15.64  
HONOR D LADY 4 2 5 57 59 510¼ 518¼ (joseph a)VELAZQUEZ R 125 4.00 10.41  
BOW DRAW 5 5 6 68 612 617¼ 643 (west henry)GREEN AUBRIE 125 30.00 54.66  
 
KEE-10   10/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Castle Purse ($350K) 2 ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:221 :47 1:114 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINARET STATION 5 6 11 10 67 54 1 (walden will)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 38.44 W
GOLDEN AFTERNOON 7 4 21 21 21 31 2 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 11.78  
10  CLOCK TOWER 9 3 11 11 11 11 32 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 35% 1.90 4.54 S
CAVALLO BAY (GB) 6 9 5 5 3 21 4 (appleby charles)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 3.32  
WARLANDER 2 2 63 7 5 4 5 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 18% 4.60 7.06  
GIOCOSO 4 7 8 9 9 77 6 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 15% 5.60 2.39  
WARHEART 1 1 4 32 4 65 7 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 31.37  
SIESTA KEY 3 12 12 11 1111 811½ 8 (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 17.47  
12  REACH FOR THE ROSE 11 5 3 4 7 912½ 916¼ (joseph saffie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00 23.18  
PAPIAMENTO 8 10 9 8 8 1013½ 1016½ (beckman w)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00 15.34  
13  FLEMING 12 8 7 6 109 1117 1128¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 9% 10.10 15.20  
11  BAYTOWN BARACUS 10 11 10 1210¼ 1216 1223 1237½ (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 118 50.00 ######  
SCR  BARRICADE               (pletcher todd )TORRES A 118 12.00    
SCR  COALMOON               (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  POSTER               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.