Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.76 $5.76  
KEE-2   Win (7/8/3/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $4.96  
KEE-3   Win (6/5/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $5.58  
KEE-4   Win (9/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.76  
KEE-5   Win (9/6/5/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $22.24  
KEE-6   Win (2/4/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $12.74  
KEE-7   Win (3/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $64.24  
KEE-8   Win (3/7/6/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $15.66  
KEE-9   Win (3/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $10.28 $10.28 2.28

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:142 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSARIO'S PRAYER 3 3 4 4 3 11 15 (torres conc)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 46% 1.20 1.88 W
GRACE GIVEN 4 1 1nk 1nk 1½ 32 25 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 1.35  
ROYAL LAUGHTER 2 4 2nk 2nk 2½ 21 35 (rosin w)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 4.38  
STRABELLA 1 5 54 5 56 47 415¾ (williams matt)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.39  
FLORIS 6 2 3 31 46 513½ 529¼ (duvall e)CASTANON L 122 30.00 34.44  
HONORS LEGACY 5 6 6 6 6 614½ 631½ (mcentee paul)MONCADA IRVING 111 8.00 25% 2.90 10.62  
SCR  CUMBERLAND FALLS               (gibson dewa)TORRES A 122 3.50    
SCR  TRES CHIC (ARG)               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
 
KEE-2   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :463 1:112     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ROMANTIC DANCER 10 5 5 2½   13 1 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 1.48  
CHICA ARMA 1 7 41 4   23 2 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 12.00 8.64  
11  PRINCESS POM POM 11 1 1nk 1½   33 3 (forster t)CASTANON L 124 20.00 63.02  
KENTUCKY STARLET 6 10 105 10   57 410½ (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 121 15.00 51.26  
EVOCATION 9 2 7 5   4 511½ (caramori caio)TORRES A 121 6.00 10.57  
TWO LUCYS 7 11 9 63   6 612¼ (chavez manu)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 32% 2.10 19.34  
12  STAGFLATION 12 8 11 95   78 715 (baker james)GRAHAM J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 13.94  
CHARM OF THE SONG 4 6 83 8   9 817¼ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 12.05  
RUNAWAY KITTEN 8 12 126 117   1011 918 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 31% 2.20 6.66  
COMPUTADORA (ARG) 2 9 6 7   89 1019 (brownfield claude)MOJICA JR 121 10.00 5% 18.60 20.51  
FOXY ZORRA 3 4 2nk 31   1112 1129½ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 6% 16.80 4.71  
ITOOKDAMONEYHONEY 5 3 3½ 12   1227 1256 (werre danny)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00 51.53  
 
KEE-3   10/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:143 1:394   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIABLE 3 5 2½ 2½ 1½ 12 1 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 1.79  
SAVE TIME 5 6 7 63 6 33 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 36% 1.80 1.28 P
VINO FRIZZANTE 4 8 53 52 2½ 22 3 (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 5.00 30% 2.40 3.21 S
A DOLLAR A DAY 1 3 42 42 5 4 4 (butcher james)LEONARD KILLIAN 124 20.00 63.40  
CHRISTINABARCELONA 7 7 64 7 4 5 5 (toner j)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 16.49  
DIA ESTELAR (ARG) 2 1 1½ 1½ 3½ 6 614¼ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 24.78  
MY LILY MAE 6 4 86 8 8 710 718¼ (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 124 30.00 9% 10.30 57.31  
FOREVER AGAIN 8 2 3 3 7 850 8100 (schuh tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 32.54  
SCR  LOVE ME SWEET               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50    
 
KEE-4   10/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:123 1:392   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEE BIT O MISCHIEF 4 8 79 7 6 12 1 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 4.50 3.38  
HONOR CAT 2 2 53 5 5 22 2 (compton greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 17% 5.10 7.58 P
TAMMY'S CRUISER 6 5 4 4 3 4 3 (mccarthy mi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 15% 5.70 16.26 S
EXTREMELY GRUNTLED 1 1 11 1½ 11 33 4 (ramirez g)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 30.10  
KRICKLE 3 3 21 2½ 4 6 5 (holsapple hutc)MONCADA IRVING 111 15.00 21.65  
SENSIBLE CHOICE 5 6 811½ 815 813¼ 810½ 610½ (greenhill jeff)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 6.61  
YES TO CHAMPAGNE 8 4 3 31 21 5 711¾ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.81  
MINT DRIVEN 7 7 6 66 7 710½ 815 (rider m)LEZCANO ABEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 32.82  
SCR  CANDY DOLL               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
 
KEE-5   10/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:121 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON BOSS 1 1 1 1 11 1 1¼ (mott riley)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 10.12  
ROCKY JOY 9 3 43 4 4 2 2¼ (lobo paulo )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 47% 1.10 3.05 P
OVER THE OCEAN 4 2 2 2 21 3 32 (thomas jonathan)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 6% 16.80 7.23 S
SWEET FREEDOM 2 4 3 3 32 43 4 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 44.91  
PARIS SURPRISE 6 8 10 109 11 7 54 (ramsey nolan)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 13% 6.70 3.36  
DEMETRIUS 8 11 1110 11 9 5 6 (frazier matt)GRAHAM J 124 30.00 51.31  
INITIALIZE 7 7 7 75 7 8 7 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 16.55  
RESEARCH RESULTS 3 6 98 97 10 9 86 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.66  
10  PUBLICITY 10 9 87 86 86 10 9 (londono genevi)TORRES A 120 20.00 44.00  
12  CALLER 12 10 6 64 6 6 10 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 50.06  
11  GOLDEN SYMPHONY 11 12 1211 1210¾ 128 11 11 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 15.00 21.73  
JUNGLE LAW 5 5 53 53 54 12 1213½ (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 12% 7.20 5.98  
SCR  CLOUDY HOLIDAY               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
SCR  FOUR TOP               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  GRAND STAN               (rider m)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00    
SCR  TWO TODDIES IN               (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:104     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CHATTER 10 1 11 11   1 1½ (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 5.37  
SYCAMORE SHOALS 1 4 3 3   32 2½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 2.71 DH
TICKIN TIME BLONDE 5 2 21 21   2 2½ (oliver vict)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 6.00 21% 3.80 4.18 P
MINDY'S UNION 3 6 5 4   45 4 (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 119 5.00 24% 3.20 5.43  
MADELINE'S PROMISE 4 5 6 5   57 5 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 18.85  
11  EXCLUSIVE STAR 9 3 42 66   610½ 613½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 21.70  
VIVECA 7 9 86 7   711½ 714¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00 11.90  
SMOKIN HOT WIFE 8 7 9 812½   814½ 814¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 12.20  
PLATINUM MIDNIGHT 2 10 1010 1016½   921½ 933½ (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 33% 2.10 6.24  
CLASSIC APPEAL 6 8 7 913½   1023 1039½ (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 30.00 5% 19.00 31.49  
SCR  DIVINE WIND               (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
SCR  ENDLESS FASHION               (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 112 30.00    
SCR  GIFTED CANDY               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN GAMBLE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  NORTHERN VOYAGE               (eurton peter)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
 
KEE-7   10/24/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:123 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOODCOURT 9 3 11 11 11 11 11 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00 31.12  
SOCIETY MAN 2 6 65 6 7 21 21 (gargan danny)LANERIE J 118 3.00 6.27  
STRETCH RIDE 1 1 3 3 4 31 31 (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 22% 3.50 9.20 S
VITALITY 7 5 5 5 3 54 44 (ladauceur harol)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 8.19  
PAPPY'S REVENGE 5 4 42 42 5 4 5 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 53.37  
STAR OF WONDER 3 8 97 9 9 66 67 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.40 50% 1.00 0.57  
SNEAD 6 9 87 86 85 8 716½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
ZATARA 8 7 21 21 21 7 817 (anderson l)VELAZQUEZ R 120 30.00 5% 19.00 46.95  
CAROLO RAPIDO 4 2 7 75 63 9 937¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 30.03  
 
KEE-8   10/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:212 :441 :563     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL I WANT IS YOU 1 6 9 8   6 1½ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 121 10.00 6.83  
OFF RAMP 5 7 65 66   7 2½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 12.65  
OEUVRE 3 9 4 5   43 3½ (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 1.80 59% 0.70 3.72 S
TOP GUN GIRL 2 2 32 33   2 4 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 3.88  
SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 8 3 11 11   1 5 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.81  
L J'S EMMA 4 1 5 44   3 6 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 20.32  
10  B G WARRIOR 9 4 21 21   5 7 (andrade hugo)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 11.54  
LAURA'S CHARM 6 5 7 7   8 810 (kerrick lacy)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 35.57  
BLING 7 8 8 98   9 917½ (oliver victoria)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 11% 7.80 2.66  
SCR  SHOSHANAH               (horlacher kyle)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00    
 
KEE-9   10/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:11     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLEMESILVER 2 3 5 22   11 1 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 40% 1.50 4.14 W
DEWY'S BEAST 7 1 1 12   21 2 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 7.85  
EVERDOIT 1 8 810¼ 7   3 3 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 6.89  
SUMMER IN AIKEN 3 7 7 8   6 410½ (barnett bob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 37.88  
SUTHERLAND 5 2 2 4   47 510½ (molloy thomas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00 15% 5.60 1.88  
EL QUESO GRANDE 4 4 4 5   710½ 614¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 8.00 12% 7.10 6.66  
FENWICK 6 6 3 33   5 716½ (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 6% 16.80 3.53  
10  ENJOYMENT 8 5 6 65   812½ 816¾ (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 30.00 28.65  
SCR  ABADIN               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
SCR  MAGIA NERA               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50    
SCR  ROCKSTAR RED               (johnston d)JARA FERNANDO 121 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.