Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $11.26 $11.26 3.26
KEE-2   Win (9/4/12/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $13.96  
KEE-3   Win (9/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $19.46  
KEE-4   Win (1/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $13.10  
KEE-5   Win (12/4/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
KEE-6   Win (6/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.32 $5.32  
KEE-7   Win (13/9/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $23.46 $23.46 13.46
KEE-8   Win (10/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $6.74  
KEE-9   Win (2/9/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $2.66 $2.66  
KEE-10   Win (8/5/11/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $4.74  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PEEK 4 4 54¼ 43   1½ 1½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 9% 10.20 4.63 W
1  GAMBLERS TAIL 1 5 44 53½   42 2½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.97 P
6  BIG PRODUCER 6 6 66¾ 65½   52½ 32¾ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 25.63  
3  FLAT ON 3 3 1nk 2nk   3½ 43 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 121 1.80 2.25  
7  TRIPLE TREA 7 2 31½ 31   2½ 57¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 13% 6.80 5.17  
2  ZECA DIABO 2 7 76¾ 75¾   64 69½ (caramori eduardo)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 9.20  
5  HALMSTAD 5 1 2nk 1nk   710 7100 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 48% 1.10 2.77  
 
KEE-2   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AUTUMN RHYTHM (GB) 3 4 21 31½   21½ 13 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.98  
8  DIAGRAM 8 1 11 1nk   11½ 23 (calhoun william )ORTIZ L 119 5.00 6.46  
5  TIGER DIVISION 5 5 51¾ 42½   44 33¼ (arnold r)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 11.59  
9  ITWILLBEFUN 9 8 41¼ 2nk   32½ 44¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 39% 1.60 1.25  
4  SWEET MUSIC (CHI) 4 10 106¼ 87¼   56 55¼ (catalano wayne )ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 26% 2.80 4.21  
2  DINAHS GIRL 2 7 94¾ 66   76½ 69 (hartman chr)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.26  
1  PRINCESS OF OMAHA 1 3 63¼ 54   66 711¾ (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 33.52  
6  TAILORED FOR JOY 6 6 73¼ 97¾   811 812¼ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 48.86  
7  DECREE 7 9 1113¼ 1010¼   911½ 912¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 10.00 39.38  
12  EPISODE 11 2 31 76¼   1017½ 1034¼ (d'angelo j)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 7% 13.40 20.82  
11  REAL NICE SURPRISE 10 11 84¼ 1112¼   1122½ 1148¾ (calhoun willi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 23.84  
SCR  TEGWAR               (wainwright j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
 
KEE-3   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WARRIOR RICHARD 2 5 53½ 53   31½ 1¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 8.73  
9  MORUNNING 6 4 43 41½   2½ 2¾ (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 34% 2.00 2.71 P
7  B SUDD 4 1 31 1nk   1½ 31¼ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 1.80 1.07  
8  CAWKAB 5 6 66½ 68   612 421 (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 9% 9.80 11.78  
6  GOOGOL JOKE 3 2 2½ 3½   49½ 522 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 20.00 15.36  
3  DEVILSGOTACAUSE 1 3 1½ 2nk   511 635½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.05  
SCR  REMI'S MOON               (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  SEARCY               (schultz lindsay)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
 
KEE-4   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LINE OF SCRIMMAGE 4 5 1½ 12   15 18 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 5.55  
11  CHUN MONEY 10 3 63 53½   25 28 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.41 P
1  SEVEN TAYLORS 1 7 42½ 42½   35 38 (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 121 4.00 43% 1.30 7.49 S
2  BIG WALT 2 10 74½ 77   59½ 410 (ward a)FLORES R 121 10.00 30% 2.30 12.49  
7  AINT NO JOKE 6 4 2½ 22   48 510¾ (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50 ★ 2.37  
6  CHARBON 5 9 1010¾ 1017½   715 614¾ (rosin coty )TORRES A 121 30.00 21.47  
9  SKELLY ROAD 8 1 31½ 32½   611 720¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 15.00 17.73  
8  NOBLE EAGLE 7 8 98¼ 912½   817 824¾ (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00 15.32  
12  GAME POINT 11 6 84¾ 89½   919½ 932½ (sims a)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 18.88  
10  DEPUTY MISCHIEF 9 2 53 66   1024½ 1069¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★ 5.07  
3  PRINCE DAY 3 11 11100 11100   11100 11100 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 9.44  
SCR  HALFWAY TEMPTED               (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 4.00    
SCR  SHORTSTOP               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:143 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MINOUSHKA (GB) 11 11 117½ 108½ 106 31½ 13 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 35% 1.90 1.10 W
8  SMOOTH WAVES 7 4 11½ 11 1½ 11½ 23 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 27.16  
5  DO GOODER 4 1 21½ 31½ 41½ 21½ 33 (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 11.55  
4  WEIGH THE RISKS 3 3 62¾ 63½ 73½ 42 45 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 33% 2.00 2.24  
6  RAGTIME LADY 5 5 42½ 42 52 55 57¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 6% 16.90 10.44  
7  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 6 7 95½ 96½ 95 76 68½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 21.23  
3  CAIRO STREET 2 2 74¼ 85 84½ 86½ 710¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 26.44  
10  ROBIN SAGE 9 6 31½ 21 2½ 65½ 812¾ (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 122 30.00 96.47  
9  MILIEU 8 8 84½ 74 63 108 915¼ (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 ######  
11  FOR LOVE AND HONOR 10 9 52¾ 52½ 31 97 1015½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 10.49  
1  CURLIN'S MAGIC 1 10 107½ 119 1114 1118 1133 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 54.92  
SCR  CENTURIA (IRE)               (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00    
SCR  GET TWISTED               (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
SCR  LEO TORO               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  MYSTIFYING               (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
SCR  RED RIVER MAGIC               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLARET BERET 5 6 52½ 31   1½ 16 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 35% 1.80 1.66 W
7  SARIR 6 4 1½ 1½   2½ 26 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 3.59  
5  CATCHING HEAT 4 1 41½ 52½   55 37¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 24% 3.20 2.67 S
8  BELLE CHERIE 7 2 31 2½   32½ 49¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 12.00 24.64  
3  LEAMETATRAINER 2 8 63 84   65½ 59½ (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 31.15  
2  THESE APPLES 1 3 2½ 42   44 611¼ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.75  
9  MUSTANG LADY 8 5 83½ 73½   77½ 713½ (newton troy)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 6.96  
4  RUNNINTHESTREETS 3 7 73½ 63½   87½ 815 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 15% 5.50 16.35  
SCR  CARARRA               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122 1:39   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EUNOMIA 3 3 21 2½ 2½ 13 12 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 6% 15.10 10.73 W
2  TRADING STRATEGY 2 9 87 99½ 88½ 45 22 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 15% 5.80 2.44 P
11  POPPYLAND 9 10 109 89½ 56½ 56½ 37½ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 40.47  
13  MARGOT'S ANGEL 10 2 11 1½ 1½ 23 49 (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.08  
9  STYLET 7 1 33 33 32½ 35 59½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 21% 3.80 8.68  
10  DAWN AFTER DAWN 8 7 76½ 79 67½ 88¾ 611¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 4.05  
5  GEEZ ELOISE 4 5 65½ 68½ 77½ 67½ 711¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 6.87  
1  ZEN DREAMS 1 4 44 56½ 99½ 910¼ 814½ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 7% 13.50 69.22  
14  PEDIATRIC PRINCESS 11 8 55 45½ 46 77¾ 918 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 33.04  
7  PRETTY TAPIT 6 11 119 1010½ 1112 1013¼ 1021¼ (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 12.00 17.06  
6  GOING TO THE SUN 5 6 98½ 1111½ 1010 1114¼ 1121½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 52.05  
SCR  ALONGCOMESAWOMAN               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  MCKINZIE'S GLORY               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  NANA GRACE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  TRADING SECRETS               (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:124 1:372   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR DUDE 1 1 44 43 42½ 41½ 12 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 2.37  
3  MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS 3 3 1nk 11 11 11 22 (damato philip)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 4.49  
5  HARLAN ESTATE 4 4 33 32½ 31½ 21 32 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 29.64 S
2  SMOKIN' T 2 2 2nk 21 21 31 42¼ (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00 17% 4.90 8.56  
9  TONKA WARRIOR 7 6 54½ 64 63 52 52¾ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00 32.76  
6  GIGANTE 5 7 65 74 74 62½ 64¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 4.50 13% 6.90 5.27  
8  ENGLISH BEE 6 5 75½ 84½ 84¼ 86¼ 78¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00 36.36  
10  CHASING THE CROWN 8 8 86 53½ 52½ 76 810½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 47% 1.10 1.78  
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL               (casse w)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE JAKE               (vaccarezza c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:213 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WORLD RECORD 1 4 42 41   1½ 1¼ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20 35% 1.80 0.33 W
7  AGOO 6 1 54 31   3½ 2¼ (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 12.00 11.17  
9  SLIDER 7 2 2½ 2½   2½ 32½ (sadler w)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 27% 2.70 5.14 S
3  BOWSTREET 2 3 1½ 1½   41 47½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 17.12  
6  PROPRIETARY TRADE 5 7 64½ 51½   54½ 58¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 12% 7.00 15.41  
4  GO THE DISTANCE 3 5 74½ 74¾   66 611½ (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 39.97  
5  MARKET STREET 4 8 86½ 86¼   78 715¾ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 30.00 41.65  
10  USUALLY WRONG 8 6 31 61¾   811½ 834¾ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 12.00 30.07  
SCR  BAXLEY               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  WHATCHATALKINABOUT               (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00    
 
KEE-10   10/10/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :491 1:15 1:394   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HALF DOME (IRE) 6 4 52¼ 54 43 31½ 11½ (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 1.37  
5  FORT THOMAS 5 12 128¾ 119 117¼ 52½ 21½ (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 15% 5.70 4.46 P
4  FAYETTE SPIRIT 4 2 3.2 21½ 21½ 11 33 (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 124 15.00 6% 15.90 20.10 S
7  OSCARGOT 7 5 1nk 32 32 41½ 43¼ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00 26.10  
10  FREEDOM MAKER 10 7 2nk 11½ 11½ 21 53¼ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 29.71  
12  FINN MCSORLEY 12 6 73¼ 65½ 64 63 63½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 30.00 55.70  
9  ETERNAL MISCHIEF 9 9 83¾ 97½ 95¾ 93¾ 73¾ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 10.00 14.33  
8  THE JACKAL 8 10 105¼ 87 85½ 104¾ 84¾ (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 47% 1.10 5.65  
2  SECURED LENDER 2 3 63¼ 76 74½ 83¾ 94¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 7.19  
11  THE DOVER SPECTER 11 8 41¾ 43½ 53 73¼ 106¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 7% 13.80 14.95  
1  PHREDDIE MAC 1 1 94¼ 108 106¼ 115¾ 116½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 20.00 30.04  
3  LOU'S LEGACY 3 11 118¼ 1211½ 129¾ 127¼ 1213¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00 5% 19.00 48.43  
SCR  CLOUDY HOLIDAY               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR)               (cook brian)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SYMPHONY               (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
SCR  PUBLICITY               (londono genevi)TORRES A 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.