Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-1   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.26 $3.26 41%
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $49.96 $37.96 316%
KEE-7   WIN (13/9/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $23.46 $13.46 135%
    EXA (13/9/2/1/3)-(13/9/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-2 $39.10 $19.10 96%
    DD (6/5/4/2)-(13/9/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-3 $41.11 $21.11 106%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEEK 4 4 5 43   1½ 1½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 9% 10.20 4.63 W
GAMBLERS TAIL 1 5 44 5   42 2½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.97 P
BIG PRODUCER 6 6 6 6   5 3 (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 25.63  
FLAT ON 3 3 1nk 2nk   3½ 43 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 121 1.80 2.25  
TRIPLE TREA 7 2 3 31   2½ 5 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 13% 6.80 5.17  
ZECA DIABO 2 7 7 7   64 6 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 9.20  
HALMSTAD 5 1 2nk 1nk   710 7100 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 48% 1.10 2.77  
 
KEE-2   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMN RHYTHM (GB) 3 4 21 3   2 13 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5.98  
  (by VEKOMA out of LOVE BLUES by BLUEGRASS CAT)
DIAGRAM 8 1 11 1nk   1 23 (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 6.46  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of RAISON D'ETRE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
TIGER DIVISION 5 5 5 4   44 3 (arnold george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 11.59  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of KOOL KAT by SCAT DADDY)
ITWILLBEFUN 9 8 4 2nk   3 4 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 39% 1.60 1.25  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TAKE CHARGE by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
SWEET MUSIC (CHI) 4 10 10 8   56 5 (catalano wayn)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 26% 2.80 4.21  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LENATAREESE by BROAD BRUSH)
DINAHS GIRL 2 7 9 66   7 69 (hartman c)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.26  
  (by GIFT BOX out of DOUBLED by EXCHANGE RATE)
PRINCESS OF OMAHA 1 3 6 54   66 711¾ (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 33.52  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FORCE TO EXCEL by VERRAZANO)
TAILORED FOR JOY 6 6 7 9   811 812¼ (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 48.86  
  (by GIRVIN out of MONTAIGNE by CAIRO PRINCE)
DECREE 7 9 1113¼ 1010¼   911½ 912¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 10.00 39.38  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TIZ TWICE by TIZNOW)
12  EPISODE 11 2 31 7   1017½ 1034¼ (d'angelo)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 7% 13.40 20.82  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZA SMARTY by TIZNOW)
11  REAL NICE SURPRISE 10 11 8 1112¼   1122½ 1148¾ (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 23.84  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of TWO TWO'S LEGACY by BERNARDINI)
SCR  TEGWAR               (wainwright)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of MARQUEE CAL GAL by COWBOY CAL)
 
KEE-3   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR RICHARD 2 5 5 53   3 1¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 8.73  
MORUNNING 6 4 43 4   2½ 2¾ (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 34% 2.00 2.71 P
B SUDD 4 1 31 1nk   1½ 3 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 1.80 1.07  
CAWKAB 5 6 6 68   612 421 (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 9% 9.80 11.78  
GOOGOL JOKE 3 2 2½ 3½   4 522 (medina ro)TORRES A 118 20.00 15.36  
DEVILSGOTACAUSE 1 3 1½ 2nk   511 635½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.05  
SCR  REMI'S MOON               (sims phili)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
SCR  RUN JALEN RUN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  SEARCY               (schultz linds)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
 
KEE-4   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINE OF SCRIMMAGE 4 5 1½ 12   15 18 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 5.55  
11  CHUN MONEY 10 3 63 5   25 28 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.41 P
SEVEN TAYLORS 1 7 4 4   35 38 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121 4.00 43% 1.30 7.49 S
BIG WALT 2 10 7 77   5 410 (ward a)FLORES R 121 10.00 30% 2.30 12.49  
AINT NO JOKE 6 4 2½ 22   48 510¾ (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50 2.37  
CHARBON 5 9 1010¾ 1017½   715 614¾ (rosin cot)TORRES A 121 30.00 21.47  
SKELLY ROAD 8 1 3 3   611 720¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 15.00 17.73  
NOBLE EAGLE 7 8 9 912½   817 824¾ (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00 15.32  
12  GAME POINT 11 6 8 8   919½ 932½ (sims a)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 18.88  
10  DEPUTY MISCHIEF 9 2 53 66   1024½ 1069¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5.07  
PRINCE DAY 3 11 11100 11100   11100 11100 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 9.44  
SCR  HALFWAY TEMPTED               (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 4.00    
SCR  SHORTSTOP               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:143 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MINOUSHKA (GB) 11 11 11 10 106 3 13 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 35% 1.90 1.10 W
SMOOTH WAVES 7 4 1 11 1½ 1 23 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 27.16  
DO GOODER 4 1 2 3 4 2 33 (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 11.55  
WEIGH THE RISKS 3 3 6 6 7 42 45 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 33% 2.00 2.24  
RAGTIME LADY 5 5 4 42 52 55 5 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 6% 16.90 10.44  
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 6 7 9 9 95 76 6 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 21.23  
CAIRO STREET 2 2 7 85 8 8 710¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 26.44  
10  ROBIN SAGE 9 6 3 21 2½ 6 812¾ (camejo j)SANTANA JR 122 30.00 96.47  
MILIEU 8 8 8 74 63 108 915¼ (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 ######  
11  FOR LOVE AND HONOR 10 9 5 5 31 97 1015½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 10.49  
CURLIN'S MAGIC 1 10 10 119 1114 1118 1133 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 54.92  
SCR  CENTURIA (IRE)               (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00    
SCR  GET TWISTED               (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
SCR  LEO TORO               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  MYSTIFYING               (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
SCR  RED RIVER MAGIC               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLARET BERET 5 6 5 31   1½ 16 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 35% 1.80 1.66 W
SARIR 6 4 1½ 1½   2½ 26 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00 3.59  
CATCHING HEAT 4 1 4 5   55 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 24% 3.20 2.67 S
BELLE CHERIE 7 2 31 2½   3 4 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 12.00 24.64  
LEAMETATRAINER 2 8 63 84   6 5 (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 31.15  
THESE APPLES 1 3 2½ 42   44 611¼ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.75  
MUSTANG LADY 8 5 8 7   7 713½ (newton tr)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50 6.96  
RUNNINTHESTREETS 3 7 7 6   8 815 (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 15% 5.50 16.35  
SCR  CARARRA               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
KEE-7   10/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122 1:39   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUNOMIA 3 3 21 2½ 2½ 13 12 (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 6% 15.10 10.73 W
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SPEEDY VANESSA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
TRADING STRATEGY 2 9 87 9 8 45 22 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 15% 5.80 2.44 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DOTHRAKI SEA by UNION RAGS)
11  POPPYLAND 9 10 109 8 5 5 3 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 40.47  
  (by WEST COAST out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
13  MARGOT'S ANGEL 10 2 11 1½ 1½ 23 49 (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.08  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SABRINA'S ANGEL by SCAT DADDY)
STYLET 7 1 33 33 3 35 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 21% 3.80 8.68  
  (by CARACARO out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
10  DAWN AFTER DAWN 8 7 7 79 6 8 611¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 4.05  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of KENCHO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
GEEZ ELOISE 4 5 6 6 7 6 711¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 6.87  
  (by VEKOMA out of MY FAIR LILY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
ZEN DREAMS 1 4 44 5 9 910¼ 814½ (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 7% 13.50 69.22  
  (by VIOLENCE out of PULPIT ANGEL by PULPIT)
14  PEDIATRIC PRINCESS 11 8 55 4 46 7 918 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 33.04  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
PRETTY TAPIT 6 11 119 1010½ 1112 1013¼ 1021¼ (asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 12.00 17.06  
  (by TAPIT out of PRETTY AT WAR by WAR FRONT)
GOING TO THE SUN 5 6 9 1111½ 1010 1114¼ 1121½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 52.05  
  (by UPSTART out of CASTLE ROAD by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  ALONGCOMESAWOMAN               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SEASON TICKET by DEPUTED TESTAMONY)
SCR  MCKINZIE'S GLORY               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
SCR  NANA GRACE               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FROST DANCE by SHACKLEFORD)
SCR  TRADING SECRETS               (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 119 30.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of REBELLE by HARD SPUN)
 
KEE-8   10/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:124 1:372   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR DUDE 1 1 44 43 4 4 12 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 2.37  
MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS 3 3 1nk 11 11 11 22 (damato philip)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 4.49  
HARLAN ESTATE 4 4 33 3 3 21 32 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 29.64 S
SMOKIN' T 2 2 2nk 21 21 31 4 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00 17% 4.90 8.56  
TONKA WARRIOR 7 6 5 64 63 52 5 (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00 32.76  
GIGANTE 5 7 65 74 74 6 6 (asmussen )TORRES A 124 4.50 13% 6.90 5.27  
ENGLISH BEE 6 5 7 8 8 8 7 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00 36.36  
10  CHASING THE CROWN 8 8 86 5 5 76 810½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 47% 1.10 1.78  
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL               (casse w)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE JAKE               (vaccarezza)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
 
KEE-9   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:213 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD RECORD 1 4 42 41   1½ 1¼ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20 35% 1.80 0.33 W
AGOO 6 1 54 31   3½ 2¼ (beckman )SANTANA JR 118 12.00 11.17  
SLIDER 7 2 2½ 2½   2½ 3 (sadler w)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 27% 2.70 5.14 S
BOWSTREET 2 3 1½ 1½   41 4 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 17.12  
PROPRIETARY TRADE 5 7 6 5   5 5 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 12% 7.00 15.41  
GO THE DISTANCE 3 5 7 7   66 611½ (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 39.97  
MARKET STREET 4 8 8 8   78 715¾ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 30.00 41.65  
10  USUALLY WRONG 8 6 31 6   811½ 834¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 12.00 30.07  
SCR  BAXLEY               (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
SCR  WHATCHATALKINABOUT               (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00    
 
KEE-10   10/10/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :491 1:15 1:394   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF DOME (IRE) 6 4 5 54 43 3 1 (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 1.37  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
FORT THOMAS 5 12 12 119 11 5 2 (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 15% 5.70 4.46 P
  (by WAR FRONT out of BYE BYE BABY by GALILEO)
FAYETTE SPIRIT 4 2 3.2 2 2 11 33 (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 124 15.00 6% 15.90 20.10 S
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WEEKEND PARTY by A.P. INDY)
OSCARGOT 7 5 1nk 32 32 4 4 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00 26.10  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WINE AND DYNE by DYNAFORMER)
10  FREEDOM MAKER 10 7 2nk 1 1 21 5 (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 29.71  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LADY ASPEN by GRAND REWARD)
12  FINN MCSORLEY 12 6 7 6 64 63 6 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 30.00 55.70  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of GLORIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ETERNAL MISCHIEF 9 9 8 9 9 9 7 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 10.00 14.33  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ETERNAL BOUNTY by GALILEO)
THE JACKAL 8 10 10 87 8 10 8 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 47% 1.10 5.65  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SWEET ASSASSIN by TAPIT)
SECURED LENDER 2 3 6 76 7 8 9 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 7.19  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SATISFACTION by AWESOME AGAIN)
11  THE DOVER SPECTER 11 8 4 4 53 7 10 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 7% 13.80 14.95  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPOOKY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
PHREDDIE MAC 1 1 9 108 10 11 11 (asmussen )TORRES A 120 20.00 30.04  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
LOU'S LEGACY 3 11 11 1211½ 12 12 1213¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00 5% 19.00 48.43  
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  CLOUDY HOLIDAY               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PATSY'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR)               (cook brian)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY GI GI by E DUBAI)
SCR  GOLDEN SYMPHONY               (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SOUND THE TRUMPETS by BERNARDINI)
SCR  PUBLICITY               (londono gene)TORRES A 120 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of C. S. ROYCE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.