Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (9/4/12/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (9/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (1/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-5   Win (12/4/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (6/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (13/9/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (10/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (2/9/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (8/5/11/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($64K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMBLERS TAIL Sep14 Jun02 Apr10 Jan09 Nov17 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ZECA DIABO Sep15 Aug29 Aug01 Jul13 Jun16 (caramori eduardo)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00    
FLAT ON Sep25 Aug17 Jun23 May26 Sep04 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 121 1.80    
PEEK Jul21 Jun13 May11 Nov24 Oct06 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 9% 10.20    
HALMSTAD Mar24 Jan26 Dec09 Nov20 Oct27 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 48% 1.10    
BIG PRODUCER Sep25 Sep14 Aug25     (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
TRIPLE TREA Sep21 Jan18 Dec23 Aug20 Jul15 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
KEE-2   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS OF OMAHA Sep22 Aug23 Jun16     (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
DINAHS GIRL Sep15         (hartman chr)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
AUTUMN RHYTHM (GB)         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SWEET MUSIC (CHI) Sep15 Aug29       (catalano wayne )ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
TIGER DIVISION Sep01 Aug12       (arnold r)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
TAILORED FOR JOY Sep13         (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
DECREE         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 10.00    
DIAGRAM Sep08 Aug10       (calhoun william )ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
ITWILLBEFUN Sep26         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  TEGWAR Sep26 Aug25 Jul09     (wainwright j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
11  REAL NICE SURPRISE         (calhoun willi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
12  EPISODE Aug28 Jul31 Jul11 Jun22 May23 (d'angelo j)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 7% 13.40    
 
KEE-3   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEARCY Aug24 Aug09 Jun09 Mar28 Jan28 (schultz lindsay)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  REMI'S MOON Sep28         (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
DEVILSGOTACAUSE Aug31 Jul24 Jul13 Jun21 May04 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
RUN JALEN RUN Jul04 Jun12 Apr19 Mar30 Feb24 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
WARRIOR RICHARD Aug30 Jul21 Jun22 May11 Apr20 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
GOOGOL JOKE Mar02 Feb10 Dec31 Nov24 Oct13 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 20.00    
B SUDD Sep15 Aug05 Jun28 May30 May12 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 1.80    
CAWKAB Sep22 Aug05 Jul09 Mar17 Jan07 (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 9% 9.80    
MORUNNING Sep15 Jul28 Jul07 Mar08 Feb03 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 34% 2.00    
 
KEE-4   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN TAYLORS Sep20 Aug03 Jun27 May17 Apr30 (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 121 4.00 43% 1.30    
BIG WALT Jan26         (ward a)FLORES R 121 10.00 30% 2.30    
PRINCE DAY         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
LINE OF SCRIMMAGE Sep15 Aug24       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
SCR  SHORTSTOP Sep22 Jul07 Sep23 Jan06   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
CHARBON Jun29 May05 Apr14 Mar15   (rosin coty )TORRES A 121 30.00    
AINT NO JOKE Sep08 Nov25 Nov02     (lynch a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50    
NOBLE EAGLE Sep15 Jul28 Mar20 Feb13   (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
SKELLY ROAD Sep15 Oct22       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 15.00    
10  DEPUTY MISCHIEF Sep20 Jun30 May16     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
11  CHUN MONEY Sep15 Mar07 Dec31 Dec08 Nov12 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  GAME POINT         (sims a)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
SCR  HALFWAY TEMPTED         (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 4.00    
 
KEE-5   10/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S MAGIC Jun23 Jun08 May03 Feb02 Nov28 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
RED RIVER MAGIC Sep20 Aug10 Feb18 Dec29 Nov23 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
CAIRO STREET Sep08 Jul27 May10 Dec09 Oct11 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
WEIGH THE RISKS Jul07 Jun06 May03 Mar09 Sep03 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
DO GOODER Sep02 Jul19 Jun06 May03 Mar30 (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
RAGTIME LADY Aug22 Jul25 May10 Mar23 Feb09 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 6% 16.90    
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER Sep05 Jul21 Jun15 May09 Apr05 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SMOOTH WAVES Sep07 Jul27 Jun21 Oct25 Oct06 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
MILIEU Mar23 Jan31 Dec17 Sep03 Jul31 (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
10  ROBIN SAGE Sep08 Jul20 Jun13 May23 Apr27 (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 122 30.00    
11  FOR LOVE AND HONOR Aug31 Jul21 May27 May04 Apr18 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
12  MINOUSHKA         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 35% 1.90    
SCR  MYSTIFYING Sep02 Mar15 Jan14     (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
SCR  GET TWISTED Aug04 Oct22 Sep15     (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
SCR  LEO TORO Sep07 Aug08 Jul04 May01 Mar31 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  CENTURIA (IRE) Sep02 Aug14 Jul18 Jun28 Apr18 (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($64K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CARARRA Aug08 Jun22 Jun01 Nov11 Oct13 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
THESE APPLES Sep13 Aug24 Jul29 Jul06 Jun01 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
LEAMETATRAINER Sep13 Jun28 Jun06     (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
RUNNINTHESTREETS Aug05 Jun24 Apr13 Mar16 Feb03 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 15% 5.50    
CATCHING HEAT Aug31 Jun15 May09 Apr07 Mar09 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
CLARET BERET Sep08 Aug05 Jul04 May25 Apr21 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
SARIR Jul29 Jun06 Apr20 Feb11 Dec17 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 5.00    
BELLE CHERIE Sep07 Aug17 Jun15 Jun01 May04 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 12.00    
MUSTANG LADY Sep13 Aug10 Jul15 Jun19 Oct18 (newton troy)LEPAROUX R 121 4.50    
 
KEE-7   10/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEN DREAMS Sep02 Aug24       (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 7% 13.50    
TRADING STRATEGY Aug11         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
EUNOMIA Sep13 Aug03       (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  ALONGCOMESAWOMAN Sep15 Aug04 Jul06     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
GEEZ ELOISE Sep20 Aug25       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
GOING TO THE SUN Sep20         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
PRETTY TAPIT         (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 12.00    
SCR  NANA GRACE Aug25         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
STYLET Sep20         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
10  DAWN AFTER DAWN Sep15 Aug11 Jul04     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
11  POPPYLAND         (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  TRADING SECRETS Sep15 Aug15 Jul21 Jun28   (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 30.00    
13  MARGOT'S ANGEL Sep15 Jul28       (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
14  PEDIATRIC PRINCESS Sep15 Aug04       (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  MCKINZIE'S GLORY Sep01 Jul28       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
 
KEE-8   10/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR DUDE Aug11 Jul20 Jun23 Sep02 Aug12 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
SMOKIN' T Sep01 Jun01 May02 Mar30 Mar02 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00 17% 4.90    
MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS Jul06 Nov04 Oct01 Jul30 Apr08 (damato philip)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Aug03 Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar23 (casse w)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
HARLAN ESTATE Aug29 Jul20 May02 Mar23 Feb17 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
GIGANTE Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Nov26 Oct28 (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  UNCLE JAKE Aug04 May27 Apr11 Mar07 Jan28 (vaccarezza c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
ENGLISH BEE Aug29 May18 Apr20 Mar21 Mar02 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00    
TONKA WARRIOR Sep29 Sep21 Aug25 Aug08 Jul10 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00    
10  CHASING THE CROWN Aug29 Jun29 Jun01 May09 Feb17 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
KEE-9   10/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAXLEY Oct06 Sep02 Aug04 Jul16 Jun22 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
WORLD RECORD Aug24 Jul26 Jun30 May27 Apr26 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20 35% 1.80    
BOWSTREET Sep17 Aug06 Feb16 Jan05 Nov25 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
GO THE DISTANCE Jun07 May10 Apr14     (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
MARKET STREET Sep18 Aug31 Aug04 Jul26 May18 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 30.00    
PROPRIETARY TRADE Aug11 Jul19 Jun02 May05 Apr06 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 12% 7.00    
AGOO Sep14 Jul13 May26 Feb13 Dec23 (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
SCR  WHATCHATALKINABOUT Oct16 Aug27 May12     (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00    
SLIDER Jan06 Nov03 Oct07 Sep09 Jul29 (sadler w)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
10  USUALLY WRONG Jun08 Mar08       (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 12.00    
 
KEE-10   10/10/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHREDDIE MAC Sep07 May10 Mar30 Mar08 Feb23 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 20.00    
SECURED LENDER Sep07 Aug10       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
LOU'S LEGACY Sep07 Jul28 Jul05 Jun13 May04 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
FAYETTE SPIRIT Sep07 Mar23 Jan27 Nov29 Nov08 (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 124 15.00 6% 15.90    
FORT THOMAS Sep08 Jul08 Jun08 May10 Apr06 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
HALF DOME (IRE) Aug25 Jul05       (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
OSCARGOT Jun30 May28       (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00    
THE JACKAL Sep01 Jul20 Oct28 Sep03 Aug13 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
ETERNAL MISCHIEF         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 10.00    
10  FREEDOM MAKER Jun16         (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
11  THE DOVER SPECTER Sep01 Jul22 Jun20 Apr13 Mar02 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 7% 13.80    
12  FINN MCSORLEY Dec15 Nov14       (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 30.00    
SCR  PUBLICITY Sep07 Jun27 May30     (londono genevi)TORRES A 120 6.00    
SCR  CLOUDY HOLIDAY Sep01 Jul22 Jun16 May18 Apr24 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SYMPHONY Aug29 Jul28       (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Nov30 Nov09       (cook brian)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.