Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $12.20 $4.20 53%
HAW-2   DD (5/3/7/6)-(3/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-5 $22.00 $6.00 38%
HAW-5   WIN (9/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $28.00 $20.00 250%
    EXA (9/2/8/6)-(9/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-9 $50.30 $38.30 319%
    DD (3/2/4)-(9/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $16.80 $4.80 40%
HAW-6   DD (9/2/8/6)-(1/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-1 $60.60 $44.60 279%
HAW-7   WIN (9/1/3/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $31.00 $21.00 210%
    EXA (9/1/3/2/12)-(9/1/3/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-2 $61.30 $41.30 207%
    TRI (9/1/3/2/12)-(9/1/3/2/12)-(9/1/3/2/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-2-1 $153.85 $123.85 413%
    DD (1/3/8/5)-(9/1/3/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-3 $71.50 $51.50 258%
    PK3 (9/2/8/6)-(1/3/8/5)-(9/1/3/2/12) 80 $0.50 $40.00  6-1-3 $202.10 $162.10 405%
HAW-8   EXA (8/3/9/4)-(8/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $31.80 $19.80 165%
    TRI (8/3/9/4)-(8/3/9/4)-(8/3/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-4-8 $34.40 $22.40 187%
    DD (9/1/3/2/12)-(8/3/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-3 $61.60 $41.60 208%
    PK3 (1/3/8/5)-(9/1/3/2/12)-(8/3/9/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-3/7/8-3 $75.75 $35.75 89%
HAW-9   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-1 $40.00 $31.00 344%
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-1-3 $69.15 $60.15 668%
    SFT (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60  7-1-3-2 $57.34 $53.74 1493%
    DD (8/3/9/4)-(2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $18.70 $6.70 56%
    PK3 (9/1/3/2/12)-(8/3/9/4)-(2/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-3-7 $155.95 $125.95 420%
    PK4 (1/3/8/5)-(9/1/3/2/12)-(8/3/9/4)-(2/7/3) 240 $0.50 $120  1-3-3-7 $627.85 $507.85 423%
    PK5 (9/2/8/6)-(1/3/8/5)-(9/1/3/2/12)-(8/3/9/4)-(2/7/3) 960 $0.50 $480  6-1-3-3-7 $675.00 $195.00 41%
    PK5 (9/2/8/6)-(1/3/8/5)-(9/1/3/2/12)-(8/3/9/4)-(2/7/3) 960 $0.50 $480  6-1-3-3-7 $4427 $3947 822%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   09/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:123 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRINCE IS MY BOY 3 1 2½ 31 32½ 12 16½ (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 3.50 14% 6.20 5.10 W
1  REGIMENTAL 1 3 1½ 1½ 2nk 22 26½ (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 2.70  
5  GOLDEN BUCK 5 2 42 2½ 1nk 32½ 37½ (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00 53% 0.90 2.20 S
2  ICE AXE 2 6 52½ 62½ 55 45½ 411¼ (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00 4.70  
6  PERFORMANCE PLUS 6 4 65 52½ 43 57 512¼ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
4  TIGGER ATTACK 4 5 77½ 79½ 712 611½ 615 (childers v)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 12.00 25.30  
7  MOVE IN SILENCE 7 7 31½ 42 68 716½ 734¾ (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 11% 8.40 7.60  
 
HAW-2   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GO STORMIN GIRL 4 1 12½ 13   14 16 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 3.50 28% 2.60 1.90 W
1  ADIVA 1 2 22½ 23   24 26 (haran john)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 7% 13.60 1.90 P
6  HEAVENLY HASH 5 4 43½ 46½   34 37¼ (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 4.60  
4  STYLE 3 6 610½ 610   57½ 49½ (schlenk jada )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00 4.00  
7  JOCELYN 6 5 510 59½   68½ 59¾ (campbell )ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 119 20.00 22.80  
2  FANCY HILL 2 3 32½ 33½   46 612 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00 27.60  
SCR  SMOOTH JUSTICE               (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
HAW-3   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:114 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CHASENTHEONE 4 4 2nk 21 11 12 11¼ (padilla ti)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 10.00 9.00  
7  LITTLE STEVEN 6 3 32½ 33 21 32 21¼ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 2.50 33% 2.10 1.90 P
1  COMMISSIONER OSCAR 1 5 56½ 58 55½ 43 32¾ (berndt joel)MOJICA O 119 4.00 3.30  
3  T LAW 3 2 43 43 41½ 22 46 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 29% 2.50 2.40  
2  SECESSION 2 1 1nk 11 31½ 58 521 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 122 15.00 6.20  
6  KINGSBURRY ATTACK 5 6 69½ 612 613½ 616 637 (childers v)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
SCR  BRIT BLITZ               (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 3.50    
 
HAW-4   09/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jean Elizabeth Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:09     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OEUVRE 3 3 21 1½   13½ 16 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 129 0.40 57% 0.80 0.10 W
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  COMMISSIONER GULCH 2 4 44 33   34 26 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 5.00 14% 6.30 12.70 P
  (by COMMISSIONER out of GUIDDY GULCH by THUNDER GULCH)
4  GO MADI GO 4 5 58½ 59   57½ 38¾ (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 8.00 6% 15.00 22.00 S
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of FAST MADI by BELONG TO ME)
1  WHITE LIES 1 2 33½ 44½   46 410¼ (miller r)COHEN DAVID 115 12.00 26.90  
  (by PALACE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
5  RACETOTHEFINISH 5 1 11 2½   23½ 511¼ (becker scott)BAIRD T 116 6.00 9.40  
  (by RACE DAY out of TRIBUTE TO MOMMA by HE'S A TOUGH CAT)
 
HAW-5   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:233 1:124 1:382     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEGALLY LUCKY 5 3 57¼ 33½ 12½ 13½ 13¾ (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 9% 10.20 13.00 W
9  LADY MERCEDES 7 5 67¼ 55½ 43½ 23½ 23¾ (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 31% 2.20 3.30 P
4  ATMIDNIGHT 3 7 79¼ 66½ 55½ 34 34¼ (campbell michael)FELIX E 119 2.50 4.30  
5  QUEEN ANNA T 4 1 2nk 12½ 33½ 46½ 412½ (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 30.00 44.20  
3  SPICY ITALIAN 2 6 35 43½ 66½ 58 514½ (catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 4.80  
8  SUPRISE ME AGAIN 6 4 45¼ 76¾ 76¾ 711 620½ (block chris)COLON H 119 6.00 13% 6.40 8.30  
2  RIETTA 1 2 1nk 22½ 22½ 610 729¾ (boyce michele)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00 22% 3.60 1.80  
SCR  ROAR OF SILENCE               (block chris)MOJICA O 119 5.00    
SCR  RUMBRANDT               (boyce mich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 20.00    
 
HAW-6   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST SUNSET 1 1 11 1½   11½ 17 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 0.80 61% 0.60 1.60 W
6  FREEDOM ATTACK 6 3 21 2½   21½ 27 (childers vance)MOJICA O 122 8.00 10.80  
3  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY 3 8 88¾ 66   43½ 38¼ (reavis l)FELIX E 119 4.50 11% 8.30 3.70 S
5  RUNNERS HEAT 5 2 51¼ 41½   31½ 49¾ (wilson l)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
8  ALLOTROPE 8 4 31 31½   54 512½ (rosas rigo)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 5% 18.40 2.10  
4  LUNARCHY 4 7 64¼ 78   66 614¾ (flores ped)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 29.50  
2  ZENCHUA SKY 2 6 74¾ 89½   711 717 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00 ######  
7  QUEENIES WAY 7 5 41¼ 54   814 829¼ (simonovich dani)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 25.20  
 
HAW-7   09/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Carey Memorial Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:12 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ANOTHER MYSTERY 3 4 75 105¼ 95½ 44 11¼ (block chris)MOJICA O 124 15.00 5% 19.00 14.50 W
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
2  KATIE M'LADY 2 1 11½ 1½ 1nk 12½ 21¼ (boyce michele)FELIX E 121 15.00 5% 19.00 3.20 P
  (by DOMINUS out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
1  HE'SPUREGOLD 1 2 32½ 62¼ 41¾ 33 32¾ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 5.00 19% 4.10 5.50 S
  (by VANCOUVER out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
11  EVAN HARLAN 9 5 42½ 51¾ 31½ 55 43½ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 16.10  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of FIVE EACH WAY by BULLET TRAIN (GB))
12  OTAGO 10 7 64 83¼ 62¾ 65 53¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MOM'S DEPUTY by WAR CHANT)
4  TUT'S REVENGE 4 3 21½ 2½ 2nk 22½ 64½ (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50 7.00  
  (by ESKENDEREYA out of CAT FIVE' O by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
10  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS 8 9 85¼ 73¼ 84 77 74½ (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 7.10  
  (by NYQUIST out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) 5 6 53½ 94¼ 73 87¼ 87¼ (banks chri)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 122 30.00 82.40  
  (by AWTAAD out of BROWN BUTTERFLY by MEDICEAN)
6  TONKA WARRIOR 6 8 96¼ 31½ 52¾ 98¼ 910½ (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 15.00 8.90  
  (by CUPID out of GOTTAH PENNY by STRAVINSKY)
9  NINEELEVENTURBO 7 10 106¼ 41½ 105½ 1011¼ 1024¼ (drysdale )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 48% 1.10 3.40  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROSALIE ROAD by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  AMERICAN MAYHEM               (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JINNY JUMP UP by JUMP START)
SCR  STITCHED               (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of WALKING MIRACLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
HAW-8   09/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:13 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UNIFIED WEEKEND 3 3 74¼ 75¾ 81½ 52 11¼ (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 6.00 25% 3.00 2.90 W
4  NOT VERY GENTLE 4 8 86¾ 86 71½ 2½ 21¼ (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00 20.70 P
8  COOL QUARTET 6 7 64¼ 52¾ 3.2 31 32½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.00 45% 1.20 0.90 S
7  FLYING SAMURAI 5 5 52¼ 62¾ 4¼ 1½ 42¾ (ryan chri)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 30.00 52.90  
9  TWO COOKIE RULE 7 6 42 32½ 5½ 85 510¾ (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 9% 10.00 7.20  
10  BLURT 8 4 21 21½ 2nk 63½ 612 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 15.00 12.10  
2  BOURBON DELIGHT 2 2 11 11½ 1nk 74½ 713½ (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 29.00  
1  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE 1 1 32 42½ 6½ 42 816 (rodriguez hugo)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00 14.80  
SCR  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS               (vanden britt)BAIRD T 122 5.00    
SCR  STRONGER TOGETHER               (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 3.50    
 
HAW-9   09/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:131 1:374   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BAKENEKO 6 7 41¾ 2½ 21½ 1½ 1½ (rodriguez hugo)BAIRD T 122 8.00 22% 3.50 4.30 W
1  CAUGHT OFF GUARD 1 1 75¼ 74 74 2½ 2½ (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 10.00 ★ 10.00 P
3  NATHANIEL'S HOPE 3 2 53¾ 42½ 53 31½ 31½ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30 S
2  SENDERO 2 4 64¼ 63½ 42½ 65 47 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 124 3.00 50% 1.00 0.70  
9  HELIOCHROME 7 5 31½ 31½ 32 43½ 57 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 63.90  
4  MONEY MAP 4 3 11½ 1½ 11½ 53½ 67¾ (simonovich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 30.00 36.50  
10  STORM'S REFLECTION 8 8 85¼ 84½ 64 78 717¼ (perez manny)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00 10.60  
5  EUCLID AVENUE 5 6 21½ 52½ 89 818 835¼ (haran john)FELIX E 119 12.00 21.10  
SCR  EVEN THE WIND               (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
SCR  SPACONE (IRE)               (ward wesle)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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