Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/6)-(3/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/6)-(3/5/1/2)-(7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/2)-(7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/2)-(7/3/6)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(3/2/4)-(9/2/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(9/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(9/2/8/6)-(1/3/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (9/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/6)-(9/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/6)-(9/2/8/6)-(9/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/8/6)-(1/3/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/8/6)-(1/3/8/5)-(9/1/3/2/12) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/5)-(9/1/3/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/5)-(9/1/3/2/12)-(8/3/9/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-7   WIN (9/1/3/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/2/12)-(9/1/3/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/2/12)-(9/1/3/2/12)-(9/1/3/2/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/3/2/12)-(8/3/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3/2/12)-(8/3/9/4)-(2/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-8   WIN (8/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/4)-(8/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/4)-(8/3/9/4)-(8/3/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/9/4)-(2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-9   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGIMENTAL Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun08 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50    
2  ICE AXE Sep07 Aug11 Jul25 Jun23 Jun09 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
3  PRINCE IS MY BOY Sep07 Aug11 Jul25 Jul07 Jun08 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 3.50 14% 6.20    
4  TIGGER ATTACK Sep15 Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 May25 (childers v)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 12.00    
5  GOLDEN BUCK Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jun13 May26 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00 53% 0.90    
6  PERFORMANCE PLUS Jul25 Jun08 May05 Apr27 Mar23 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOVE IN SILENCE Jul06 Jun11 May28 May14 Apr27 (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
HAW-2   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIVA Sep05 Aug18 Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 (haran john)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 7% 13.60    
2  FANCY HILL Sep12 Sep05 Aug20 Jul30 Jun30 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SMOOTH JUSTICE Sep19 Aug15 Aug01 Jun25 May30 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  STYLE Aug17 Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 May25 (schlenk jada )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
5  GO STORMIN GIRL Sep22 Sep05 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  HEAVENLY HASH Sep08 Jul06 Jun15 May25 May05 (hernandez ar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
7  JOCELYN Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 Jun16 (campbell )ULLOA JOAN 119 20.00    
 
HAW-3   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMISSIONER OSCAR Sep12 Sep01 Aug10 Jul11 Jun23 (berndt joel)MOJICA O 119 4.00    
2  SECESSION Sep08 Aug11 Aug04 Jul18 Jun30 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 122 15.00    
3  T LAW Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  BRIT BLITZ Sep19 Aug15 Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 3.50    
5  CHASENTHEONE Aug17 Jul06 Jun08 Apr26 Apr12 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
6  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Sep08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 May25 (childers v)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LITTLE STEVEN Sep08 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 May04 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
HAW-4   09/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jean Elizabeth Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITE LIES Sep08 Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 May19 (miller r)COHEN DAVID 115 12.00    
  (by PALACE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
2  COMMISSIONER GULCH Aug17 Aug01 Jun16 May19 Apr14 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of GUIDDY GULCH by THUNDER GULCH)
3  OEUVRE Jul28 Jun16 May19 Apr13 Mar23 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 129 0.40 57% 0.80    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  GO MADI GO Sep10 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 Jun11 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 8.00 6% 15.00    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of FAST MADI by BELONG TO ME)
5  RACETOTHEFINISH Aug24 Jul27 Jun22 May25 Apr14 (becker scott)BAIRD T 116 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRIBUTE TO MOMMA by HE'S A TOUGH CAT)
 
HAW-5   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROAR OF SILENCE Sep08 Aug11 Jun30 Jun15   (block chris)MOJICA O 119 5.00    
2  RIETTA Aug11 Jul25 Apr14 Mar24 Feb21 (boyce michele)COHEN DAVID 119 10.00 22% 3.60    
3  SPICY ITALIAN Sep08 Aug18 Jul11 Nov04 Oct18 (catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
4  ATMIDNIGHT Aug22 Aug13 Jul11 Jun14 May17 (campbell michael)FELIX E 119 2.50    
5  QUEEN ANNA T Sep01 Aug19 Jun19 Apr20   (childers vanc)HERNANDEZ K 119 30.00    
6  LEGALLY LUCKY Jul05 Jun08 Apr27 Mar22 Feb23 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  RUMBRANDT Sep12 Sep01 Aug11 Jul11 Jun16 (boyce mich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 20.00    
8  SUPRISE ME AGAIN Aug29 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May19 (block chris)COLON H 119 6.00 13% 6.40    
9  LADY MERCEDES Sep05 Aug18 Jul13 Jun22 May09 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
HAW-6   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST SUNSET Sep12 Aug18 Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 0.80 61% 0.60    
2  ZENCHUA SKY Aug25 Aug01 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
3  RUN FOR YOUR HONEY Aug24 Feb29 Jan19 Nov24 Nov02 (reavis l)FELIX E 119 4.50 11% 8.30    
4  LUNARCHY Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 (flores ped)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
5  RUNNERS HEAT Sep22 Sep05 Aug22 Jun30 May25 (wilson l)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  FREEDOM ATTACK Sep12 Jul25 Jun09 Apr14 Nov18 (childers vance)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
7  QUEENIES WAY Sep22 May03 Mar22 Oct22 Jul28 (simonovich dani)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
8  ALLOTROPE Sep12 Sep05 Aug18 May26 May04 (rosas rigo)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 5% 18.40    
 
HAW-7   09/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Carey Memorial Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'SPUREGOLD Sep02 Aug16 Jul07 May25 Apr27 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 5.00 19% 4.10    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
2  KATIE M'LADY Aug18 Jun16 Aug31 Aug10 Jul06 (boyce michele)FELIX E 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
3  ANOTHER MYSTERY Aug25 Jul25 Jun23 May19 Oct13 (block chris)MOJICA O 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
4  TUT'S REVENGE Sep07 Aug03 Jun28 Jun06 Apr07 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50    
  (by ESKENDEREYA out of CAT FIVE' O by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) Sep05 Aug19 May25 May02 Apr10 (banks chri)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 122 30.00    
  (by AWTAAD out of BROWN BUTTERFLY by MEDICEAN)
6  TONKA WARRIOR Sep21 Aug25 Aug08 Jul10 Jun22 (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 15.00    
  (by CUPID out of GOTTAH PENNY by STRAVINSKY)
SCR  AMERICAN MAYHEM Sep01 Jul29 Aug19 Jul21 Oct01 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JINNY JUMP UP by JUMP START)
SCR  STITCHED Jun01 May02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep02 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of WALKING MIRACLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  NINEELEVENTURBO Aug29 Jul13 May26 Nov11 Oct14 (drysdale )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROSALIE ROAD by STREET CRY (IRE))
10  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS Jul29 Jun22 Aug06 Jun25 May21 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  EVAN HARLAN Aug31 May09 Apr19 Mar16 Feb25 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of FIVE EACH WAY by BULLET TRAIN (GB))
12  OTAGO Sep01 Aug03 Jun25 May23 Apr27 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MOM'S DEPUTY by WAR CHANT)
 
HAW-8   09/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Sep08 Aug04 Jul06 Jun09 May18 (rodriguez hugo)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
2  BOURBON DELIGHT Sep08 Aug24 Aug01 Jul06 Jun23 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
3  UNIFIED WEEKEND Sep08 Aug15 Aug01 Jun23 Jun02 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
4  NOT VERY GENTLE Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun23 (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRONGER TOGETHER Sep15 Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 3.50    
SCR  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Sep15 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (vanden britt)BAIRD T 122 5.00    
7  FLYING SAMURAI Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jul06 (ryan chri)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 30.00    
8  COOL QUARTET Sep15 Aug18 Jul20 Jun13 May23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
9  TWO COOKIE RULE Sep15 Sep01 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 9% 10.00    
10  BLURT Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun15 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 15.00    
 
HAW-9   09/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUGHT OFF GUARD Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 Jul25 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 10.00 ★    
2  SENDERO Aug30 Aug17 Jun16 May14 Apr08 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Sep12 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MONEY MAP Sep15 Nov17 Oct07 Sep08 Aug06 (simonovich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 30.00    
5  EUCLID AVENUE Sep19 Aug08 Aug01 Jul14 Jun23 (haran john)FELIX E 119 12.00    
SCR  SPACONE (IRE) Aug07 Jun22       (ward wesle)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
7  BAKENEKO Sep15 Aug28 Jul30 Jun22 May25 (rodriguez hugo)BAIRD T 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  EVEN THE WIND Sep12 Aug22 Jul21 Jul06 Jun08 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
9  HELIOCHROME Sep08 Aug22 Aug01 Nov14 Jul22 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
10  STORM'S REFLECTION Sep12 Aug29 Aug11 Jul11 Jun29 (perez manny)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.