Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   TRI (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-2-5 $15.25 $3.25 27%
HAW-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.60 $5.60 93%
HAW-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-6 $16.90 $7.90 88%
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-6-1 $12.20 $3.20 36%
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-2 $17.70 $8.70 97%
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/1/5)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50  3-2-2 $40.00 $26.50 196%
HAW-6   EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-2 $10.10 $1.10 12%
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-2-6 $9.70 $0.70 8%
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-4 $15.90 $6.90 77%
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/2/3)-(4/6/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50  2-2-3/4 $43.05 $29.55 219%
HAW-7   PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/6/8)-(3/4/7/6/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50  2-3/4-7/10 $24.45 $1.95 9%
HAW-8   EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/10/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $28.00 $16.00 133%
HAW-9   EXA (1/9/8)-(1/9/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-5 $43.20 $34.20 380%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   09/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:232 :472 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY BOAT 6 6 3 3½   1 1 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.50 32% 2.10 1.40 W
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ANAHAUC by HENNY HUGHES)
TAUNTING 2 1 4 4   3 2 (block chris)COLON H 119 3.50 14% 6.00 5.70 P
  (by DAREDEVIL out of RENDITION by A.P. INDY)
NOTIPTONI 5 3 2½ 2nk   2 39 (zawitz joel)COHEN DAVID 116 4.50 24% 3.10 4.30 S
  (by MASTERY out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
FRONTIER MARSHAL 3 7 7 6   56 412 (boyce mich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 6.00 6.60  
  (by SKY MESA out of HAPPY HENRIETTA by SUPREMO)
SNEAKY FEET 1 4 65 76   7 517¼ (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 10.00 33.60  
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of FUZZY KIM by MADRAAR)
RUMBLING 7 5 5 52   6 621 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 5.00 19.20  
  (by GET STORMY out of LIL RUM TUM by KODIAK KOWBOY)
MARK MY MEMORY 4 2 1½ 1nk   4 721½ (berndt joel)REYES FRANK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of DESERT IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
 
HAW-2   09/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:142 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODE RUNNER 4 4 3 32 31 1nk 1 (rodriguez hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 1.80 2.10  
BEEALEA 1 5 5 67 4 41 2 (manley steve)WALES T 122 3.00 13% 6.80 2.80 P
COOL QUARTET 7 3 2 2½ 1nk 2nk 3 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 34% 1.90 3.00 S
MILLARD'S SMILE 6 7 6 56 5 5 4 (reid david)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 6.70  
STRONGER TOGETHER 3 1 1 1½ 2nk 3½ 5 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
JEFF THE LION 2 2 4 45 6 6 612½ (boyce michele)COLON H 122 4.50 20% 4.00 8.40  
REMEMBER THE MAINE 5 6 7 7 711¾ 710½ 726¼ (castro isi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 ######  
 
HAW-3   09/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:151 1:43   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGGER ATTACK 2 5 5 512 5 33 1¼ (childers v)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 1.80 25% 3.00 1.90 W
MY LAST ESCAPADE 1 1 2nk 21 1nk 1nk 2¼ (slager mike)LOPEZ A 121 5.00 7.10  
MONEY AGENT 4 3 1nk 11 2nk 2nk 32 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 4.00 7.20  
CRUZIN N CURSIN 3 2 36 4 3 4 48 (lindsay ri)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 23% 3.40 6.10  
CAPTAIN'S FLAG 5 4 4 3 4 5 510 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 121 2.00 24% 3.10 1.30  
SCR  DRAFTSMAN               (perez )ORTEGA JOSEPH 111 20.00    
 
HAW-4   09/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:154 1:413   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO COOKIE RULE 2 1 1nk 21 2½ 2½ 1½ (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 30% 2.30 4.80 W
CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER 5 5 5 4 31 31 2½ (haran john)FELIX E 122 3.50 1.70  
WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR 3 3 2nk 11 1½ 1½ 3 (dizeo )ORTEGA JOSEPH 112 20.00 66.10  
KHOZAN'S SUCCESS 1 2 4 5 54 4 410 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.00 26% 2.80 0.80  
WHERE'D THE DAY GO 4 4 31 31 43 5 510¾ (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
SCR  BOISE               (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
SCR  MEDAL OF FACT               (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
 
HAW-5   09/15/2024 6270ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:243 1:143 1:42     2:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO SMOKING 2 1 42 4 2 1nk 1½ (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 125 2.50 14% 6.10 3.90 W
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 6 5 5 66 6 3 2½ (dizeo dino)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.00 2.10 P
IZZY'S MONSTER 1 2 3 1½ 1 2nk 3 (villa francisc)COLON H 126 1.60 58% 0.70 1.10 S
DESSERT FIRST 7 6 64 53 4 43 4 (lopez elias)FELIX E 124 5.00 8.50  
MORNING LINE NEWS 4 4 2½ 2½ 32 54 5 (zawitz joel)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 15.00 33.60  
NO NANNETTE NO 3 3 7 7 7 67 610½ (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 124 20.00 5% 19.00 71.00  
CAIRO SUMMER 5 7 1½ 3½ 5 712 724¼ (hughes)ORTEGA JOSEPH 117 20.00 ######  
 
HAW-6   09/15/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:494 1:134     1:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'S THE WINE 3 2 32 4   21 1 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 121 3.00 54% 0.80 1.20 W
  (by MITOLE out of AMARONE by QUALITY ROAD)
DATAW ISLAND 2 1 11 1½   11 2 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.50 8.00 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DEAL'EM AND WEEP 5 4 5 52   3 3 (block chris)MOJICA O 121 2.00 25% 3.10 1.90 S
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BAH HUMBUG 6 3 21 2½   4 4 (davis christo)HERNANDEZ K 121 5.00 5.50  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of APPLE SNOW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
CHIQUITA REINA 1 7 7 63   55 56 (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 10.00 19.70  
  (by TAPITURE out of ARTIC QUEEN by MR. GREELEY)
I'M A COOKIE LOVER 7 6 42 3   67 610½ (kerrick lacy)FELIX E 121 15.00 5% 19.00 34.30  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PRINCESS AUBREY by ATTICUS)
COLLIE WRAYS KITTY 4 5 6 7   712 721¾ (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 30.00 ######  
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of MALLORY'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  MACHIVA               (dorochenko ge)HERNANDEZ K 121 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of FOREVER AFTER by SADLER'S WELLS)
 
HAW-7   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:00     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIM AND JIM 7 6 7 6   2 15 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 3.50 16% 5.20 1.30 W
IMPERIAL MOMENT 3 9 9 8   54 25 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 28% 2.50 5.60 P
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN 8 1 2nk 1   1 3 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 16.30  
MALIGATOR 4 8 8 7   6 4 (reid r)COLON H 122 4.50 26% 2.90 5.50  
MR FROST 9 3 4 3   3 511¾ (bahena fe)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 15.00 17.20  
SARAH'S BOY BLUE 2 2 1nk 4   44 618 (clay pat)LOPEZ A 123 20.00 47.70  
SOVIET STANDARD 5 4 5 5   7 724¾ (perez )ORTEGA JOSEPH 112 10.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
MONEY MAP 6 5 31 2   8 828¼ (simonovich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 12.00 7% 12.60 9.70  
OVER CALENDARED 1 7 6 914¼   9100 9100 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 115 10.00 9.30  
SCR  STOLICH               (childers vanc)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
 
HAW-8   09/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:123 1:382   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADET CORPS 4 8 86 86 6 1½ 1 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 66% 0.50 2.20 W
CATEGORY TEN 1 4 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 2 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 13.10 P
C F V BULLET 8 2 54 42 2nk 31 3 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 6.00 6.20  
READTHECLIFFNOTES 3 9 912 912 9 5 4 (boyce michele)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50 7% 12.90 3.00  
HERN 6 7 7 7 74 6 5 (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
NULLARBOR 7 1 3 54 5 7 610¼ (manley steve)WALES T 124 10.00 7.00  
10  SOUL COAXING 9 6 42 3 42 44 710¾ (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 15.00  
CONI'S COUP 5 3 2nk 2nk 3½ 810½ 825 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 21.10  
GO EMI 2 5 65 65 8 912½ 930¼ (gonzalez j)MOJICA O 122 10.00 7.30  
SCR  RICKY BOBBY               (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
 
HAW-9   09/15/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:492 1:132     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOSSEO 1 1 1½ 21   1nk 11 (catalano m)MOJICA O 122 1.80 41% 1.50 0.70 W
BAKENEKO 4 8 2½ 11   2nk 21 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 36.10 P
RIVER REDEMPTION 3 2 74 6   5 31 (young r)COLON H 122 8.00 6.00  
SIMPLE LOGIC 8 7 5 5   4 4 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00 33% 2.10 4.50  
WICKED SUPRISE 5 3 3 3   3 5 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 5.70  
HONEST TO GOODNESS 6 6 87 8   6 67 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00 ######  
RUSSIAN TO WIN 7 5 4 4   711¾ 714¼ (villa francis)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
SON OF GRACE 2 4 6 74   812¾ 815½ (hughes)ORTEGA JOSEPH 115 30.00 62.50  
SCR  AHEADOFTHEGAME               (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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