Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4)-(6/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/4)-(7/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/4)-(7/2/1/3)-(3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(3/6/4)-(2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(2/1/5)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/2/3)-(4/6/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/6/3)-(1/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/6/8)-(3/4/7/6/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-6   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(3/4/7/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(3/4/7/6/5)-(5/4/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-7   WIN (3/4/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/6/5)-(3/4/7/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/6/5)-(3/4/7/6/5)-(3/4/7/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/7/6/5)-(5/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/6/5)-(5/4/7)-(1/9/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-8   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/10/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/10/1/7)-(5/4/10/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(1/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-9   WIN (1/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/8)-(1/9/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/9/8)-(1/9/8/5)-(1/9/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEAKY FEET Aug25 Aug11       (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 10.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of FUZZY KIM by MADRAAR)
2  TAUNTING         (block chris)COLON H 119 3.50 14% 6.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of RENDITION by A.P. INDY)
3  FRONTIER MARSHAL         (boyce mich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 6.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of HAPPY HENRIETTA by SUPREMO)
4  MARK MY MEMORY         (berndt joel)REYES FRANK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of DESERT IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
5  NOTIPTONI Aug22 Aug01 Jul11     (zawitz joel)COHEN DAVID 116 4.50 24% 3.10    
  (by MASTERY out of SHE'LL HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  BABY BOAT         (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ANAHAUC by HENNY HUGHES)
7  RUMBLING Aug25         (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 5.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of LIL RUM TUM by KODIAK KOWBOY)
 
HAW-2   09/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEEALEA Aug18 Aug02 Jul06 Jun22 May26 (manley steve)WALES T 122 3.00 13% 6.80    
2  JEFF THE LION Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun01 May04 (boyce michele)COLON H 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  STRONGER TOGETHER Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 May25 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CODE RUNNER Sep03 Jul07 Apr17 Jan12 Dec09 (rodriguez hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 1.80    
5  REMEMBER THE MAINE Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul07 Jun22 (castro isi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
6  MILLARD'S SMILE Sep01 Aug01 Jul06 Apr28 Apr13 (reid david)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
7  COOL QUARTET Aug18 Jul20 Jun13 May23 May01 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
 
HAW-3   09/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LAST ESCAPADE Aug18 Jul28       (slager mike)LOPEZ A 121 5.00    
SCR  DRAFTSMAN Aug25 Jun22 Aug20     (perez )ORTEGA JOSEPH 111 20.00    
3  TIGGER ATTACK Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 May25 Mar23 (childers v)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 1.80 25% 3.00    
4  CRUZIN N CURSIN Aug25 Jul28 Jul07     (lindsay ri)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
5  MONEY AGENT Aug25 Jun08 May05 Apr21 Apr06 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 4.00    
6  CAPTAIN'S FLAG Sep01 Aug11 Jul31 Jul06 Jun05 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
HAW-4   09/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun13 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  TWO COOKIE RULE Sep01 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  BOISE Aug03 Jul16 Jun22 May21 Apr20 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
4  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul06 Jun23 (dizeo )ORTEGA JOSEPH 112 20.00    
5  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEDAL OF FACT Sep03 Aug22 Aug03 Jun29 Jun08 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
7  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun02 May19 (haran john)FELIX E 122 3.50    
 
HAW-5   09/15/2024 6270ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZZY'S MONSTER Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 May25 Apr28 (villa francisc)COLON H 126 1.60 58% 0.70    
2  MO SMOKING Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 May05 Apr13 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 125 2.50 14% 6.10    
3  NO NANNETTE NO Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul11 Jun23 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MORNING LINE NEWS Aug11 Aug04 Jul25 Jul06 Jun23 (zawitz joel)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 15.00    
5  CAIRO SUMMER Sep08 Aug04 Jul21 Jul11 Jun16 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 20.00    
6  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Aug18 Jul14 Jun16 May12 Apr28 (dizeo dino)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.00 ★    
7  DESSERT FIRST Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 May14 Apr27 (lopez elias)FELIX E 124 5.00    
 
HAW-6   09/15/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIQUITA REINA Jul25 Jun19 May30 May02 Feb14 (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of ARTIC QUEEN by MR. GREELEY)
2  DATAW ISLAND Aug25 Dec09 Oct22     (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.50 ★    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MACHIVA Aug25 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun23 (dorochenko ge)HERNANDEZ K 121 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of FOREVER AFTER by SADLER'S WELLS)
4  WHERE'S THE WINE Aug05 Jul15 Jun08 Feb28   (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
  (by MITOLE out of AMARONE by QUALITY ROAD)
5  COLLIE WRAYS KITTY Jul21 Jun30 Jun15 May12 Apr20 (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 30.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of MALLORY'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  DEAL'EM AND WEEP Aug25 Jul11 Jun15     (block chris)MOJICA O 121 2.00 25% 3.10    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  BAH HUMBUG Aug31 Aug05       (davis chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of APPLE SNOW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  I'M A COOKIE LOVER Aug07 Apr21 Mar13     (kerrick lacy)FELIX E 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PRINCESS AUBREY by ATTICUS)
 
HAW-7   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER CALENDARED Aug25 Aug04 Jul11 Jun22 Jun01 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00    
2  SARAH'S BOY BLUE Aug30 Jul08 Jun22 May24 Sep09 (clay pat)LOPEZ A 123 20.00    
3  IMPERIAL MOMENT Aug29 Jul21 Jun30 Apr30 Apr16 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
4  MALIGATOR Aug25 Aug08 Jul18 Jun30 Jun09 (reid r)COLON H 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  SOVIET STANDARD Aug25 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr20 (perez )ORTEGA JOSEPH 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MONEY MAP Nov17 Oct07 Sep08 Aug06 Jun24 (simonovich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 12.00 7% 12.60    
7  JIM AND JIM Aug15 Jul28 Jul11 Jun15 Jun08 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
8  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Aug25 Aug04 Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
9  MR FROST Aug15 Jul18 Jul11 Jun22 Jun01 (bahena fe)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 15.00    
SCR  STOLICH Aug29 Aug08 Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 (childers vanc)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
 
HAW-8   09/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATEGORY TEN Aug29 Aug11 Jul18 Jun29 Jun02 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  RICKY BOBBY Jul06 May26 Apr21 Mar06 Jan18 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
3  GO EMI Aug08 Jul06 Jun08 May11 Apr06 (gonzalez j)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
4  READTHECLIFFNOTES Aug25 Aug08 Jul06 Jun23 May19 (boyce michele)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50 7% 12.90    
5  CADET CORPS Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun08 May16 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 66% 0.50    
6  CONI'S COUP Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 May18 Apr27 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
7  HERN Aug08 Jun29 May31 May04 Jan13 (haran john)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  NULLARBOR Aug06 Jul20 Jun26 Mar14 Feb09 (manley steve)WALES T 124 10.00    
9  C F V BULLET Aug08 Jul06 Jun29 Jun02 May05 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
10  SOUL COAXING Aug15 Jul18 Jun15 May26 Apr26 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 ★    
 
HAW-9   09/15/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLOSSEO Aug17 May31 May13 Mar02 Jan20 (catalano m)MOJICA O 122 1.80 41% 1.50    
2  SON OF GRACE Sep08 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
3  RIVER REDEMPTION Aug15 Jun22 May16 Jan31 Dec21 (young r)COLON H 122 8.00    
SCR  AHEADOFTHEGAME Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 May18 May07 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50    
5  BAKENEKO Aug28 Jul30 Jun22 May25 May04 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 ★    
6  WICKED SUPRISE Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 Jun02 (winebaugh chery)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
7  HONEST TO GOODNESS Sep08 Aug22 Jul11 Jun22 Sep21 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00    
8  RUSSIAN TO WIN Aug29 Jun22 Jun07 May19 Apr06 (villa francis)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SIMPLE LOGIC Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 Jun22 May26 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.