Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-5   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $28.40 $20.40 255%
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $33.80 $21.80 182%
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-2-7 $31.90 $19.90 166%
CNL-6   DD (2/7/3/5)-(6/9/11/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-9 $42.80 $22.80 114%
CNL-7   PK3 (2/7/3/5)-(6/9/11/7/8)-(7/1/3/4/2) 100 $1.00 $100  3-1/2/9-1 $216.50 $116.50 117%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :451 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) 7 1 2nk 1½   12 1 (delacour )CARRASCO R 124 1.80 51% 1.00 3.10 W
  (by HAVANA GOLD out of AFLAME by SMOKESTER)
CONTEMPLATION 1 4 4 6   32 2 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 18% 4.50 1.80 P
  (by STREET BOSS out of TOO COMPLICATED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ELON 8 2 3.2 2½   22 3 (bentley fennek)ROSADO JOHAN 124 3.50 6.00  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of LOVE ME TWICE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LORD OF MISCHIEF 4 3 1nk 3½   6 46 (munoz carl)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00 20.30  
  (by LORD NELSON out of TENACIOUS HEART by INTO MISCHIEF)
ENZO 3 6 6 4¾   45 5 (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00 9% 9.50 2.30  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
HOBBS 5 7 7 7   7 67 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
  (by ASTERN out of GYPSY LASS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
GRAND KINGDOM 6 8 83 8   8 7 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00 33.90  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
HOLLY LOVES STOOPS 2 5 5 5   5 8 (garza hector)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00 52.70  
  (by DA STOOPS out of SHE LOVES ME NOW by CHIEF SEATTLE)
 
CNL-2   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:221 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMALFI DRIVE 1 2 3 21   1½ 1 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50 33% 2.10 1.00 W
MY CHARM 2 5 5 5   3 2 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50 3.60  
LIBITINA 4 3 11 11   2½ 3 (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20 S
KIP THE DISTANCE 3 4 4 43   55 4 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 25.50  
POPSTYLE 5 1 21 31   4 510¼ (david ca)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 25% 3.00 1.50  
SCR  DANCING MAGIC (IRE)               (campbell micha)ROCCO S 118 6.00    
SCR  OLIVIERA               (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 5.00    
SCR  SAY YOU LOVE ME               (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
 
CNL-3   08/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:083     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNSOLVED MYSTERY 3 3 2½ 1   1 1 (delgado )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 2.50 7.30  
SHEILAHS WARCLOUD 1 7 5 5   3 2 (nixon ju)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 62% 0.60 2.60 P
GIVE ME KISSES 6 4 31 2   2 3 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 3.50 3.20 S
GOLDEN CHARM 4 6 73 43   4 4 (albert linda )KARAMANOS A 121 4.00 2.70  
FEE 2 2 4 7   5 59 (cruz jesus)CONNER TYLER 121 15.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
KISSEDBYANANGEL 5 5 63 6   611 613½ (shankle joann)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
CHIEF LADY 7 1 1½ 3   713 720 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 6.10  
SCR  ROSE PALACE               (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
 
CNL-4   08/31/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:141 1:374   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICANDREAMMAKER 3 8 7 7 7 1nk 11 (hemingway mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.50 4.40  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CHOCOLATE SOUFFLE by TAPIT)
ITS SATISFACTUAL 7 6 54 6 41 2nk 21 (devaux c)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 23% 3.30 7.50 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of YES ITS FACTUAL by YES IT'S TRUE)
MENDEE 6 5 32 31 3½ 5 3 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90 S
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of REVA by MONARCHOS)
STRATOSPHERIC 1 4 64 52 5 4 4 (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 2.00 30% 2.30 3.50  
  (by SKY MESA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
H M LEGACY 2 3 2 2½ 2nk 3 5 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 16% 5.30 1.90  
  (by HARD SPUN out of CONQUEST STRATE UP by NOT BOURBON)
PRINCESS BUTTERCUP 5 2 4 4 6 6 68 (clement ch)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00 6.20  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BENGALA by PIVOTAL)
SPENDALOT 8 7 8 87 8 7 7 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 6.00 9.50  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
VOLTA D'ORO 4 1 1 1½ 1nk 8 813¾ (matz r)BOYCE FOREST 124 30.00 34.80  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of OVER THE EDGE by THUNDER GULCH)
 
CNL-5   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jamestown Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR HUMOR 3 2 2 22   2½ 1nk (figgins ollie )BOYCE FOREST 120 6.00 20% 4.00 13.20 W
  (by MOSLER out of HOLYWOOD HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SAIL THESEVEN SEAS 2 5 5 66   34 2nk (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 117 1.20 31% 2.20 0.70 P
  (by STREET SENSE out of IN THE NAVY NOW by MIDSHIPMAN)
VIRGINIA FITZ 7 1 1 12   1½ 3¼ (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 120 1.50 23% 3.30 1.50 S
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of FALSEHOOD by AWESOME AGAIN)
GO TO BINGO 1 4 45 45   4 4 (cooney susan )PANAIJO JORGE 120 10.00 48.70  
  (by HOLY BOSS out of TANGERINE MIMOSA by HANSEL)
WHENEVERUREMEMBER 6 6 6 5   5 5 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 6.90  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of A GREAT TIME by STREET MAGICIAN)
DEDICATED HERO 5 3 3 35   617½ 619¼ (brown a)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00 5% 17.80 30.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SEATTLE GIRL by IKARI)
LISTENING 4 7 79 711   719½ 719½ (chapman k)LEON A 120 30.00 61.60  
  (by AUDIBLE out of ENCHANTED JASMINE by WAR CHANT)
 
CNL-6   08/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:114 1:352   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY'S NOT FALLING 7 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 15 13 (trombett)GALLARDO A 117 3.00 23% 3.30 1.70 W
EVAN HARLAN 4 2 5 53 6 36 23 (walsh bren)SANCHEZ J 117 2.50 26% 2.80 2.00 P
10  KENDAMA 8 5 2½ 2½ 2½ 25 3 (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 115 30.00 38.00  
RUDDY BUDDY 1 4 7 75 7 5 4 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 114 30.00 46.70  
HAY CHIEF 6 9 9 8 8 7 5 (sanchez-salomo)BOYCE FOREST 116 20.00 5% 18.50 22.10  
WOW WHATA SUMMER 2 7 6 63 5 67 69 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 115 8.00 5.40  
JUNGLE BEAST 5 8 8 97 9 910½ 710 (godsey kare)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 116 20.00 7% 13.20 42.40  
TOLAGA BAY 3 1 43 4 4 46 811 (kingsley archi)ROCCO S 113 30.00 41.80  
11  PASSION PLAY 9 6 3 32 3 8 915¾ (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00 14% 6.00 3.10  
SCR  GETTIN'DOWNONIT               (beecher mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 20.00    
SCR  POWER SEEKER               (rice linda)CURTIS BEN 117 4.00    
 
CNL-7   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :443 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD WALK 1 7 5 54   3 1¼ (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 117 4.00 21% 3.80 2.30 W
MYSTIC SEAPORT 7 5 2 21   21 2¼ (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 38% 1.60 1.30 P
BOSSERATI 8 1 1 11   11 3¼ (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 4.00 5.30  
GASTOWN BABE 4 3 43 43   4 4¾ (nixon justin)BOYCE FOREST 116 20.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
CHICKAHOMINY 2 8 9 9   76 54 (godsey k)GALLARDO A 115 15.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
RILEY JEAN 6 6 65 6   8 6 (amoss m)CURTIS BEN 116 15.00 6.90  
SUMMER ODDS 5 4 77 8   6 75 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 114 30.00 78.70  
STRYDA 3 2 3 3   5 88 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 16% 5.40 44.00  
ROANAN GODDESS 9 9 87 7   910½ 910¾ (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 116 4.50 14.10  
SCR  CHAMBEAU               (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 116 8.00    
 
CNL-8   08/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:27 :523 1:154 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFANI 2 1 32 52 4 12 1 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 1.20 66% 0.50 0.70 W
CIRCLE HOME 3 7 7 6 7 4 2 (vera miguel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 20.00 11.60  
SURYA (ARG) 1 6 6 7 6 32 32 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 4.00 7% 12.80 5.00 S
GALILEI 5 5 43 42 5 6 4 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 116 20.00 10.60  
10  REGALED 7 8 8 8 8 8 5 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 116 15.00 19.60  
NEXT EPISODE 6 2 11 1½ 1nk 22 6 (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 117 12.00 7.90  
CHARMED WAY 4 3 53 31 3 7 79 (cibelli jane)ROCCO S 116 5.00 9.40  
11  NAVAL EMPIRE 8 4 21 2½ 2nk 53 811¼ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 116 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL GORGEOUS               (george laird)TORREALBA JG 115 30.00    
SCR  OSA               (morgan carla)ALLEN D 114 30.00    
SCR  OUR STRONG VOWS               (godsey)ARAUJO VICENTE 114 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:222 :442 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED KINGDOM 5 3 2nk 2nk   12 1¾ (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 2.50 13% 6.50 1.20 W
WHENIGETTOHEAVEN 8 2 32 32   22 2¾ (ramsey nolan)TORREALBA JG 118 2.00 1.80  
GOING UP 3 4 4 5   33 32 (potts g)ALLEN D 114 12.00 7% 13.70 20.90 S
SLIPPIN JIMMY 6 10 109 10   9 4 (mccutche)GALLARDO A 114 30.00 39.30  
CELTIC CONTENDER 7 8 7 8   7 5 (smith hami)SANCHEZ J 116 4.50 50% 1.00 8.60  
10  SPIRITED SOL 10 1 5 4   45 6 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 114 30.00 60.50  
NOTION 1 7 8 76   8 7 (munoz yovani)CURTIS BEN 115 4.00 7% 13.20 11.70  
GRATEFUL BRED 9 9 96 9   6 8 (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 30.00 21.70  
ODINSON 2 6 6 64   5 9 (meyers madison)CONNER TYLER 116 20.00 33.90  
KING KONTIE 4 5 1nk 1nk   1010¾ 1016 (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 113 15.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
 
CNL-10   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:214 :44 :553     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMED (GB) 3 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (nuesch)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00 16% 5.40 2.50 W
GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) 5 3 2½ 2½   2 2 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00 9.20  
OLYMPIC RUNNER 8 4 9 10   7 3 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.30 S
READIER 2 10 8 76   45 4 (lightner mary)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 5.40  
SIDE EYE 9 7 43 4   6 53 (maker mi)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 6.00  
VINSANITY 6 6 6 54   55 6 (gardea abraha)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 ######  
LUCCI 7 2 3 3   3 7 (sanchez-salomo)BOYCE FOREST 122 5.00 49% 1.00 7.90  
BY THE SEY SHORE 1 9 10 98   8 85 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
A G DIAMOND 4 8 53 64   1012¾ 915 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00 84.50  
10  JUST SAY WHEN 10 5 7 8   911¾ 1015 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.