Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5)-(1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/5/2)-(1/7/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/7/2/6)-(2/7/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(2/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/6)-(2/7/3/5)-(6/9/11/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-5   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/5)-(6/9/11/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/5)-(6/9/11/7/8)-(7/1/3/4/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-6   WIN (6/9/11/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/11/7/8)-(6/9/11/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/11/7/8)-(6/9/11/7/8)-(6/9/11/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/11/7/8)-(7/1/3/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/9/11/7/8)-(7/1/3/4/2)-(2/1/11) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-7   WIN (7/1/3/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/4/2)-(7/1/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/4/2)-(7/1/3/4/2)-(7/1/3/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/3/4/2)-(2/1/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/4/2)-(2/1/11)-(7/5/1/3/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-8   WIN (2/1/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/11)-(2/1/4/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/11)-(2/1/4/11)-(2/1/4/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/11)-(7/5/1/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/11)-(7/5/1/3/4)-(7/3/1/10/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-9   WIN (7/5/1/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/3/4)-(7/5/1/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/3/4)-(7/5/1/3/4)-(7/5/1/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/1/3/4)-(7/3/1/10/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CNL-10   WIN (7/3/1/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/10/8)-(7/3/1/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/10/8)-(7/3/1/10/8)-(7/3/1/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTEMPLATION Aug03 Jun26 May21 Mar30 Mar01 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TOO COMPLICATED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
HOLLY LOVES STOOPS Dec04 Nov21       (garza hector)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of SHE LOVES ME NOW by CHIEF SEATTLE)
ENZO May24 Apr27 Dec30 Nov24 Oct27 (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 6.00 9% 9.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
LORD OF MISCHIEF Aug15 Aug03 Oct20 Sep30 Sep08 (munoz carl)SANCHEZ J 124 10.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TENACIOUS HEART by INTO MISCHIEF)
HOBBS Aug03         (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of GYPSY LASS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
GRAND KINGDOM Aug23 Jul20 Nov11 Oct22 Sep30 (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) Aug13 Jun29 Apr07 Feb18   (delacour )CARRASCO R 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
  (by HAVANA GOLD out of AFLAME by SMOKESTER)
ELON Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 Apr27 Oct26 (bentley fennek)ROSADO JOHAN 124 3.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of LOVE ME TWICE by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
CNL-2   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMALFI DRIVE Aug03         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50 33% 2.10    
MY CHARM Aug10         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50    
KIP THE DISTANCE Aug16 Jul28 May16 May02   (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
LIBITINA Aug16 Jul11 Jun01     (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
POPSTYLE Jul28 Jun22 May23 May02   (david ca)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  DANCING MAGIC (IRE) Aug16 Jul05 Jun23     (campbell micha)ROCCO S 118 6.00    
SCR  SAY YOU LOVE ME Jul27         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  OLIVIERA Aug23         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 5.00    
 
CNL-3   08/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEILAHS WARCLOUD Jan12 Dec02 Oct14 Sep16 Aug10 (nixon justin)PEREZ XAVIER 118 3.00 62% 0.60    
FEE Jul07 May31 Mar08 Feb01 Jan05 (cruz jesus)CONNER TYLER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
UNSOLVED MYSTERY Nov22 Mar18 Feb24 Jan26 Dec30 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 121 2.50    
GOLDEN CHARM Aug04 Jul06 May31 May10 Apr13 (albert linda )KARAMANOS A 121 4.00    
KISSEDBYANANGEL Aug11 Mar23 Feb24 Jan07 Dec30 (shankle joann)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
GIVE ME KISSES Jul11 Feb19 Dec14 Nov05 Dec30 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 3.50    
SCR  ROSE PALACE Jun26 Jun06 May17 Apr30 Mar02 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
CHIEF LADY Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 May04 Apr10 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 120 6.00    
 
CNL-4   08/31/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRATOSPHERIC Aug16 Jun28 Jun05     (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by SKY MESA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
H M LEGACY Aug16 Jun27       (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 16% 5.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CONQUEST STRATE UP by NOT BOURBON)
AMERICANDREAMMAKER Mar15 Jan20 Dec26     (hemingway mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CHOCOLATE SOUFFLE by TAPIT)
VOLTA D'ORO Jul08 Aug24 Jul05 Mar11 Feb12 (matz r)BOYCE FOREST 124 30.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of OVER THE EDGE by THUNDER GULCH)
PRINCESS BUTTERCUP         (clement ch)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BENGALA by PIVOTAL)
MENDEE Jun17 May27 May04 Aug13   (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of REVA by MONARCHOS)
ITS SATISFACTUAL Jul16 Mar28 Jan26 Nov29   (devaux c)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 23% 3.30    
  (by HARD SPUN out of YES ITS FACTUAL by YES IT'S TRUE)
SPENDALOT Nov18         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
 
CNL-5   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jamestown Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO TO BINGO Aug13 Jul25       (cooney susan )PANAIJO JORGE 120 10.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of TANGERINE MIMOSA by HANSEL)
SAIL THESEVEN SEAS Aug03 Jun22       (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 117 1.20 31% 2.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of IN THE NAVY NOW by MIDSHIPMAN)
WAR HUMOR Aug13 Jul25       (figgins ollie )BOYCE FOREST 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MOSLER out of HOLYWOOD HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LISTENING Aug12 Jul25       (chapman k)LEON A 120 30.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ENCHANTED JASMINE by WAR CHANT)
DEDICATED HERO Aug15 Aug02       (brown a)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00 5% 17.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SEATTLE GIRL by IKARI)
WHENEVERUREMEMBER Aug13 Jun23       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of A GREAT TIME by STREET MAGICIAN)
VIRGINIA FITZ Jul25         (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 120 1.50 23% 3.30    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of FALSEHOOD by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
CNL-6   08/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POWER SEEKER Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 May19 Apr20 (rice linda)CURTIS BEN 117 4.00    
SCR  GETTIN'DOWNONIT Aug29 Jul20 Jun13 May27 Nov04 (beecher mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 20.00    
RUDDY BUDDY Aug22 Jul27 Mar09 Feb09 Jan27 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 114 30.00    
WOW WHATA SUMMER Jun30 May17 Apr14 Feb17 Dec23 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 115 8.00    
TOLAGA BAY Aug01 Sep08 Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 (kingsley archi)ROCCO S 113 30.00    
EVAN HARLAN May09 Apr19 Mar16 Feb25 Feb02 (walsh bren)SANCHEZ J 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
JUNGLE BEAST Aug03 Jun27 Apr12 Mar22 Dec07 (godsey)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 20.00 7% 13.20    
HAY CHIEF Jul20 Jun30 May27 May15 Apr13 (sanchez-salomo)BOYCE FOREST 116 20.00 5% 18.50    
SKY'S NOT FALLING Jun27 Jun01 May05 Feb24 Jan27 (trombett)GALLARDO A 117 3.00 23% 3.30    
10  KENDAMA Jul15 Jun11 May18 Nov14 Nov07 (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 115 30.00    
11  PASSION PLAY Jul20 Sep02 Aug03 Jul15 Nov07 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
CNL-7   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD WALK Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 May17 Sep02 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 117 4.00 21% 3.80    
CHICKAHOMINY Aug12 Jul20 Jun16 Mar08 Feb02 (godsey k)GALLARDO A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
STRYDA Aug07 Jul04 Jun01 Oct14 Sep07 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 12.00 16% 5.40    
GASTOWN BABE Aug03 Jun28 Apr28 Nov04 Oct13 (nixon justin)PEREZ XAVIER 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER ODDS Sep30 Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 114 30.00    
RILEY JEAN Aug15 Jul20 Jun17 May20 Apr18 (amoss m)CURTIS BEN 116 15.00    
MYSTIC SEAPORT Jul20 May25 Apr28 Mar30 Feb04 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
BOSSERATI Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 May17 Jul15 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 4.00    
ROANAN GODDESS Aug04 Jun16 May17 Feb24 Jan27 (smith hamilton)TORREALBA JG 116 4.50    
SCR  CHAMBEAU Aug11 Jul20 Nov18 Sep02 Aug26 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 116 8.00    
 
CNL-8   08/31/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURYA (ARG) Jul20 Jun19 May17 Nov25 Nov04 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 4.00 7% 12.80    
TUFANI Jul20 Mar23 Jan20 Dec30 Nov18 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 1.20 66% 0.50    
CIRCLE HOME Jul14 Jun08 May16 Jan28 Dec23 (vera miguel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 20.00    
CHARMED WAY Jul21 Jun09 Apr19 Feb24 Dec15 (cibelli jane)ROCCO S 116 5.00    
GALILEI Jul20 Jun09 May17 Nov04 Oct15 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 116 20.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL GORGEOUS Aug15 Jul19 Jun01 May16 Oct14 (george laird)TORREALBA JG 115 30.00    
SCR  OUR STRONG VOWS Aug16 Jul18 Jun18 May03 Oct29 (godsey)ARAUJO VICENTE 114 30.00    
SCR  OSA Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 Aug18 Jul15 (morgan carla)ALLEN D 114 30.00    
NEXT EPISODE Aug17 Aug03 Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 117 12.00    
10  REGALED Jul27 Jul08 Jun09 May11 Apr28 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 116 15.00    
11  NAVAL EMPIRE Jul20 Jun23 May17 Oct14 Oct06 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-9   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTION Jul06 Jun14 Mar22 Oct06 Sep15 (munoz yovani)CURTIS BEN 115 4.00 7% 13.20    
ODINSON Aug16 Jul12 Jun15 Nov16 Oct14 (meyers madison)CONNER TYLER 116 20.00    
GOING UP Jul22 Jul10 Jun17 May22 Oct23 (potts g)ALLEN D 114 12.00 7% 13.70    
KING KONTIE Jul20 Jun16 Nov25 Oct14 Sep29 (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
DETERMINED KINGDOM Aug11 Jul20 Jun28 Sep23 Sep02 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 2.50 13% 6.50    
SLIPPIN JIMMY Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Nov04 Oct28 (mccutche)GALLARDO A 114 30.00    
CELTIC CONTENDER Jul28 Jun29 Jun08 Apr20 Mar23 (smith hami)SANCHEZ J 116 4.50 50% 1.00    
WHENIGETTOHEAVEN Jul14 Jun07 Mar29 Mar01 Feb04 (ramsey nolan)TORREALBA JG 118 2.00    
GRATEFUL BRED Aug03 Jul05 Jun07 Apr28 Nov18 (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 115 30.00    
10  SPIRITED SOL Aug21 Jul27 Jun12 May27 Sep02 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 114 30.00    
 
CNL-10   08/31/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BY THE SEY SHORE Aug11 Jun29 Jun08 Nov05 Oct19 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
READIER Aug03 Jun01 Apr30 Mar14 Jan07 (lightner mary)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
CHARMED (GB) Jul20 Jun22 Nov19 Sep01 Aug11 (nuesch)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
A G DIAMOND Aug22 Jul11 Mar23 Feb17 Jan27 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00    
GUAPO AGAIN (ARG) Jul19 Jun22 May09 Mar29 Mar15 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
VINSANITY Aug23 Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 Jun07 (gardea abraha)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
LUCCI Aug12 Jul27 Jun30 May27 Apr28 (sanchez-salomo)BOYCE FOREST 122 5.00 49% 1.00    
OLYMPIC RUNNER Aug11 Jun30 Jun01 Apr19 Feb03 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SIDE EYE Aug01 Jul06 May03 Mar02 Feb17 (maker mi)GALLARDO A 124 2.50    
10  JUST SAY WHEN Aug22 Jan01 Dec02 Oct25 Sep02 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.