Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  1-5 $4.20 $2.20 110%
CNL-5   DD (8/1/6/10/9)-(5/6/7/3/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00  8-1 $40.80 $15.80 63%
CNL-6   WIN (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $23.00 $15.00 188%
    EXA (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $32.80 $20.80 173%
    TRI (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-3-1 $103.15 $91.15 760%
    DD (5/6/7/3/1)-(7/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-4 $76.60 $56.60 283%
    PK3 (8/1/6/10/9)-(5/6/7/3/1)-(7/3/4/1) 100 $1.00 $100  8-1-4 $671.90 $571.90 572%
CNL-7   DD (7/3/4/1)-(4/9/2/12/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-9 $80.70 $60.70 304%
    PK3 (5/6/7/3/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(4/9/2/12/1) 100 $1.00 $100  1-4-9 $588.50 $488.50 489%
CNL-8   PK3 (7/3/4/1)-(4/9/2/12/1)-(2/9/12/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00  4-9-6/7/10/12 $440.00 $360.00 450%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGGIE RUNS ROGUE 1 3 4 2nk   11 1 (nixon justi)RUSSELL SHELDON 116 1.80 62% 0.60 0.60 W
RIO CHAMA 4 4 34 31   33 2 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 116 4.00 12% 7.00 2.60 P
ACE IT 3 1 2nk 1nk   21 3 (chapman james )ASHTON GAVIN 116 2.50 3.40  
THIS JUICE B LOOSE 2 2 1nk 4   4 4 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 116 6.00 9.20  
SCR  ANLON               (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 8.00    
SCR  DADSNUMBRONEHELPR               (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 8.00    
SCR  SHADOW FACTOR               (potts ro)GALLARDO A 116 15.00    
 
CNL-2   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:23 :453 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCINERATOR 8 3 2½ 2½   11 11 (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 2.50 20% 3.90 1.00 W
TALL ORDER 3 8 75 7   5 21 (perri gina)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 26% 2.80 7.30 P
KATIE'S NOTION 2 4 42 31   31 3 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 4.50 3.00  
ELUSIVE EDGE 5 2 3 4   42 42 (hemingway mic)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 28% 2.60 3.20  
SIR LANCE 6 1 1½ 1½   21 5 (sillaman richard)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00 15.10  
NINTH OF APRIL 1 6 5 5   65 6 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 69.50  
MIDNIGHT TEQUILA 7 7 8 85   7 7 (dimmett james)ROCCO S 122 20.00 23.00  
ROCKLAND EXPRESS 4 5 64 63   89 813¼ (garrido )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00 88.30  
SCR  WOODLINE               (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 20.00    
 
CNL-3   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESPECT THE LAW 3 1 1nk 1nk   13 1 (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00 3.40  
MINDFUL ANGEL 2 3 7 43   34 2 (shuman mark)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 3.20 P
ORQUIDEA REAL 9 5 2nk 2nk   23 3 (rodriguez ange)ROCCO S 119 6.00 10.40  
FLORIDA FLOWER 5 9 9 7   44 45 (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 117 12.00 8.00  
SLANDEROUS 7 6 8 8   5 5 (mccutche)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 3.50  
WICKEDREVOLUTION 1 8 4 32   6 6 (desormeaux kei)CURTIS BEN 119 4.00 65% 0.50 4.30  
FLORINA 6 10 1012¼ 1011   1010¾ 710¾ (gutierre)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00 12% 7.50 20.70  
10  HONESTLY 10 7 6 6   7 812¼ (brion ker)CARRASCO R 117 12.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
CAROLINA D'ORO 8 4 5 95   9 915¾ (azpurua eduard)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 49.00  
LIZ DREAMIN 4 2 31 54   8 1016 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00 81.40  
SCR  MISTY SUNDAY               (chapman k)LEON A 119 20.00    
SCR  SAVVY DEPARTURE               (durr cody)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
 
CNL-4   08/30/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:363   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENDERO 8 5 5 5 4 13 1½ (rivelli )GALLARDO A 123 4.50 39% 1.60 2.50 W
LORD DONEGAL 4 8 7 75 5 23 2½ (morris r)CONNER TYLER 123 20.00 12.30  
WORLD FACTOR 1 2 44 43 6 47 3 (wyatt j)KARAMANOS A 125 3.50 31% 2.20 4.20 S
PHOTO COPY 2 12 1113¼ 1111 10 810¾ 4 (mcdermott )SANCHEZ J 123 15.00 51.90 DH
FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER 9 7 8 9 8 710½ 4 (boniface kevin)ROCCO S 123 15.00 5% 19.00 21.30 DH
WHERE'S CHARLIE 3 11 1216¼ 1213 1111½ 1011¼ 6 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 118 15.00 10.80  
DYNA MAST 5 3 6 6 7 911¼ 7 (fout douglas)ASHTON GAVIN 123 6.00 8.20  
10  GRAFT 10 4 32 32 1nk 35 8 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
MY SANCTUARY 7 9 9 86 9 610½ 910½ (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 123 4.00 5.60  
11  WILL'S MUSIC 11 10 1011¼ 10 1211½ 1114¼ 1012¼ (allen )ARAUJO VICENTE 123 30.00 73.40  
BIG BIG STAR 6 1 22 22 2nk 510 1112¾ (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 5% 18.10 7.20  
12  THANK YA PETE 12 6 12 12 3.2 1217¼ 1223 (williams gary)PANAIJO JORGE 123 30.00 79.40  
 
CNL-5   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 6:42
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPICE BAG 1 7 53 4   21 1¼ (dini mike)RUIZ JORGE 120 10.00 13% 6.80 3.80 W
GREY SHADOW 7 6 75 6   4 2¼ (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 122 6.00 9.40  
10  SINETIC 9 4 64 74   5 3¼ (machado an)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00 10.40  
SIR CHANCE A LOT 5 3 2½ 1nk   11 4½ (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 19% 4.40 7.10  
FREDDY BOY 8 5 42 5   3 5¾ (gutierre)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 4.50 3.20  
BLUE OCEAN RAVE 2 2 31 3   7 6 (desormeaux k)CONNER TYLER 122 15.00 9.60  
NERVANA 4 1 1½ 2nk   65 710 (lightner)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 19% 4.20 2.00  
LIKEAGENTLEMAN 3 8 816 813   817½ 817½ (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 30.00 13% 6.80 44.40  
IMPERIAL BRUT 6 9 917 914   921½ 923¾ (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00 13% 6.80 29.10  
SCR  BAD MAMMER JAMMER               (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00    
SCR  CHILL BOSS               (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 20.00    
SCR  PROBATIONER               (caramori caio)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
 
CNL-6   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:121 1:36   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAR'S POKER 3 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 1 1¼ (londono genevi)ROCCO S 121 10.00 18% 4.50 10.50 W
BRING ME A CHECK 2 1 3 3 31 2 2¼ (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 121 2.50 23% 3.30 1.40 P
LORD EDDARD STARK 1 6 6 6 6 6 3 (orseno f)RUIZ JORGE 121 20.00 7% 12.90 14.00 S
DRAKON 7 2 5 53 5 5 4 (maker mi)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 4.30  
10  CONMAN 8 5 4 42 42 4 5 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00 10.60  
CRABS N BEER 5 7 7 7 74 7 6 (brion keri)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 27% 2.60 2.20  
COINAGE 6 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 3 7 (casse mar)CARRASCO R 121 12.00 13.80  
MISSION READY 4 8 811 8 85 8 8 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 67.30  
SCR  MASEN (GB)               (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 121 4.50    
SCR  PAYMENGOLD               (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 121 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:43
See original race card.
:214 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE END 8 2 31 2   1 12 (sweezey kent)RUIZ JORGE 120 6.00 18% 4.40 3.70 W
WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR 6 11 11 11   10 22 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 8.00 11.40  
ASKNOTWHATYOUCANDO 2 9 8 8   4 3 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 14% 6.40 5.10 S
MISS M M 4 4 42 42   2 4 (breen j)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 41% 1.40 1.80  
INSTPARTY 1 10 10 7   72 5 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.00  
12  MELIPONINI BEE 11 5 6 6   62 6 (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
11  NUWANDA 10 6 52 5   3 74 (juarez calixto)ROSADO JOHAN 122 4.00 4.20  
10  ACE UP HER SLEEVE 9 8 9 105   8 8 (klesaris)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 9.40  
FLORINDIA 7 7 7 9   9 9 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00 81.70  
LOVIELEE 5 3 1½ 1   5 1011¾ (gardea abraham)RIQUELME J 122 30.00 36.00  
MICHEAUX 3 1 2½ 3   11 1119¼ (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00 73.80  
SCR  LITTLE JOSIE WALES               (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
 
CNL-8   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  VALIANT VINNY 9 2 1 1   15 1 (nuesch)ARAUJO VICENTE 125 6.00 22% 3.60 1.40 W
SUE LOVES BARBADOS 7 9 45 6   4 2 (perri gin)CARRASCO R 125 5.00 23% 3.30 5.80 P
11  BOMBOLONI 8 4 55 4   3 33 (djuric stevic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 15.00 8.10  
BOURBON AND ICE 3 1 2 2   25 4 (magee kieron)SILVERA RUBEN 125 15.00 13.60  
UNCLE ANDREW 6 8 8 8   8 5 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 125 15.00 9.50  
CAJUN'S MAGIC 4 3 6 7   6 65 (rodriguez an)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 125 20.00 5% 19.00 72.30  
SPEAK UNITY 2 6 7 5   5 7 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 125 4.00 30% 2.30 2.70  
13  MARCHED 10 5 33 35   7 8 (kee j)KARAMANOS A 125 15.00 19.70  
ELEVATED FOREVER 5 10 1012¾ 1013¾   1015¼ 910¾ (garrido raul)LEON A 125 30.00 ######  
RAGTIME BLUES 1 7 9 911¾   913¼ 1011½ (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 125 15.00 15.70  
SCR  B DETERMINED               (stettinius su)KARAMANOS A 125 3.00    
SCR  BEAR CREEK               (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 125 12.00    
SCR  LOVE YOU MUCH               (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 125 8.00    
 
CNL-9   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:44
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY LIL BETTY 1 3 5 5   1nk 1¾ (rountree cath)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00 9.00  
COUNTRY ECONOMICS 5 1 3½ 3   2nk 2¾ (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 118 10.00 5% 17.70 19.50 P
11  THY NAME IS WOMAN 10 7 7 6   4 3 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 24% 3.10 6.20 S
SAINT DEVEREAUX 2 8 4 4   5 4 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 15.00 6.80  
I BE GONE 4 5 8 9   7 5 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 118 20.00 68.50  
ONE WITH THE FORCE 7 10 10 10   6 6 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 10.00 13% 6.80 28.20  
PULL NO PUNCHES 6 9 9 8   810¼ 7 (hemingway mic)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00 7.00  
DAWN'S CREED 8 2 1nk 1½   3 8 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00 9.20  
12  RAPID TULA 11 4 2nk 2½   914¼ 915¾ (munoz carlos)KARAMANOS A 118 3.00 22% 3.60 1.00  
HUSTLE 3 11 11 1110¼   1015¼ 1016½ (mccutchen )ALBERT S 124 15.00 15% 5.70 45.70  
10  BONNIE BLUE 9 6 6 7   1120¼ 1135½ (cooney s)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00 49.00  
SCR  CIRILLA (FR)               (allen ferri)PANAIJO JORGE 124 20.00    
SCR  DONATE LIFE               (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 5.00    
SCR  MARGARET'S LADY               (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.