Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/3/9/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/3/9/1)-(1/6/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-2   WIN (5/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/9/1)-(5/3/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/9/1)-(5/3/9/1)-(5/3/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/9/1)-(1/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/9/1)-(1/6/10)-(8/1/6/10/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-3   WIN (1/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/10)-(1/6/7/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/10)-(1/6/7/2/10)-(1/6/7/2/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/10)-(8/1/6/10/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/10)-(8/1/6/10/9)-(5/6/1/3/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CNL-4   WIN (8/1/6/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/10/9)-(8/1/6/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/10/9)-(8/1/6/10/9)-(8/1/6/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/6/10/9)-(5/6/1/3/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/10/9)-(5/6/1/3/7)-(7/3/4/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-5   WIN (5/6/1/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3/7)-(5/6/1/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3/7)-(5/6/1/3/7)-(5/6/1/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/1/3/7)-(7/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/3/7)-(7/3/4/1)-(4/9/2/12/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-6   WIN (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/1)-(4/9/2/12/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/1)-(4/9/2/12/1)-(2/9/12/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-7   WIN (4/9/2/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/12/1)-(4/9/2/12/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/12/1)-(4/9/2/12/1)-(4/9/2/12/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/2/12/1)-(2/9/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/12/1)-(2/9/12/4)-(11/12/3/8/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-8   WIN (2/9/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/12/4)-(2/9/12/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/12/4)-(2/9/12/4/3)-(2/9/12/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/12/4)-(11/12/3/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-9   WIN (11/12/3/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/12/3/8/5)-(11/12/3/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/12/3/8/5)-(11/12/3/8/5)-(11/12/3/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGGIE RUNS ROGUE Aug02         (nixon justin)PEREZ XAVIER 116 1.80 62% 0.60    
2  THIS JUICE B LOOSE Aug03 Jul04       (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 116 6.00    
SCR  DADSNUMBRONEHELPR Aug03 Jul19 Jul04     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 8.00    
4  ACE IT Aug10 Jun08 May19 May05 Apr10 (chapman james)FUENTES MARIO 116 2.50    
5  RIO CHAMA Jul25         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 116 4.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  SHADOW FACTOR Jul19 Jun05       (potts ro)GALLARDO A 116 15.00    
SCR  ANLON Aug03         (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 8.00    
 
CNL-2   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINTH OF APRIL Aug13 Jun22 Jun01 May22 Apr07 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  KATIE'S NOTION Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Jun04 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 4.50    
3  TALL ORDER Aug17 Jun21 May05 Nov09 Oct20 (perri )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  ROCKLAND EXPRESS Aug13 Jul26 Jul18 Jun07 May12 (garrido )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 30.00    
5  ELUSIVE EDGE Nov09 Oct27 Oct07 Jul08 Jun09 (hemingway mic)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  SIR LANCE Aug17 Jul26 Jun21 May26 Oct22 (sillaman richard)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00    
7  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Aug13 Jul18 Sep28 Aug23 Aug01 (dimmett james)ROCCO S 122 20.00    
SCR  WOODLINE May24 Mar27 Feb29 Jan13 Dec08 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 20.00    
9  INCINERATOR Jul26 Jun01 Apr13 Mar17 Feb17 (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
CNL-3   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKEDREVOLUTION         (desormeaux kei)CURTIS BEN 119 4.00 65% 0.50    
2  MINDFUL ANGEL Jul13         (shuman mark)RUIZ JORGE 119 8.00 ★    
3  RESPECT THE LAW Aug16         (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 119 12.00    
4  LIZ DREAMIN Aug16 Jul19 Jul11 Jun06   (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
5  FLORIDA FLOWER Aug03         (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 117 12.00    
6  FLORINA Jul11         (gutierre)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00 12% 7.50    
7  SLANDEROUS Aug13 Jul13 May19 May02   (mccutche)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 ★    
8  CAROLINA D'ORO Aug15         (azpurua eduard)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
9  ORQUIDEA REAL Aug13 Jul14       (rodriguez ang)ARROYO MIGUEL 119 6.00    
10  HONESTLY Aug16 Jul11       (brion keri)PEREZ XAVIER 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAVVY DEPARTURE         (durr cody)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
SCR  MISTY SUNDAY Aug16 Jul19 Apr11     (chapman k)LEON A 119 20.00    
 
CNL-4   08/30/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLD FACTOR Aug03 Nov04 Oct13 Aug11 Jul07 (wyatt j)KARAMANOS A 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  PHOTO COPY Aug17 Jul27 Jun14 Nov04 Oct13 (mcdermott )SANCHEZ J 123 15.00    
3  WHERE'S CHARLIE Aug13 Jul18 Jul11 Jun05 May13 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
4  LORD DONEGAL Jun26 Dec14 Apr13 Mar04 Oct18 (morris r)CONNER TYLER 123 20.00    
5  DYNA MAST Jun14 May26 Oct12 Aug26 Aug12 (fout douglas)ASHTON GAVIN 123 6.00    
6  BIG BIG STAR Aug17 Jul14 Jun22 May27 Apr28 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 5% 18.10    
7  MY SANCTUARY Aug13 Jul11 Jun20 May25 Apr28 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 123 4.00    
8  SENDERO Aug17 Jun16 May14 Apr08 Mar11 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 123 4.50 39% 1.60    
9  FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER Aug21 Jul25 Jun27 Jun13 Sep21 (boniface kevin)ROCCO S 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  GRAFT Jul06 May26 Jan24 May17 Apr23 (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  WILL'S MUSIC Aug13 Jun13 May26 Aug10 Jul23 (allen )ARAUJO VICENTE 123 30.00    
12  THANK YA PETE Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 May31 May10 (williams gary)PANAIJO JORGE 123 30.00    
 
CNL-5   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICE BAG         (dini mike)RUIZ JORGE 120 10.00 13% 6.80    
2  BLUE OCEAN RAVE Aug12         (desormeaux k)CONNER TYLER 122 15.00    
3  LIKEAGENTLEMAN         (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 30.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  CHILL BOSS Jul23         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 20.00    
5  NERVANA May11         (lightner)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  SIR CHANCE A LOT         (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
7  IMPERIAL BRUT         (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 20.00 13% 6.80    
8  GREY SHADOW Aug12 Jul25 Jun30 May31 May11 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 122 6.00    
9  FREDDY BOY Aug12 Jun26       (gutierre)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 4.50    
10  SINETIC Aug03 Jul14       (machado an)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  PROBATIONER Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 Jun14 Jun05 (caramori caio)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
SCR  BAD MAMMER JAMMER Aug04         (sillaman rich)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00    
 
CNL-6   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD EDDARD STARK Jun28 May25 Apr26 Mar24 Feb22 (orseno f)RUIZ JORGE 121 20.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  MASEN (GB) Jul27 Apr20 Jan27 Nov12 Oct08 (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 121 4.50    
3  BRING ME A CHECK Aug03 Jul13 Jun07 May04 Apr20 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  LIAR'S POKER Jul21 Jun30 May09 Nov26 Oct16 (londono genevi)ROCCO S 121 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  PAYMENGOLD Jul12 Jun06 May17 Apr04 Mar14 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 121 20.00    
6  MISSION READY Jun23 Jun01 May11 Mar20 Mar02 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00    
7  CRABS N BEER Jul14 Jun16 May18 Apr27 Nov17 (brion keri)CURTIS BEN 121 3.50 27% 2.60    
8  COINAGE Jul13 Oct15 Oct01 Jul02 Jun04 (casse mar)CARRASCO R 121 12.00    
9  DRAKON Nov23 Oct06 Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 (maker mi)GALLARDO A 121 6.00    
10  CONMAN Aug03 Jun15 May11 Sep03 Aug06 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00    
 
CNL-7   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSTPARTY Aug12 Jul26 Jun13 May30 May08 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ASKNOTWHATYOUCANDO Aug03 Apr28 Mar03     (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
3  MICHEAUX Aug13 Jul18 Jun14 Oct21 Oct07 (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00    
4  MISS M M Jul13 Apr12 Mar13 Feb21 Jan21 (breen j)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  LOVIELEE Aug22 Jul27 May03 Mar16 Jan06 (gardea abraham)RIQUELME J 122 30.00    
6  WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR Jul19 Jun22 Nov19 Oct15 Sep06 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  LITTLE JOSIE WALES Aug10 Jul21 Jun28 Jun01 May09 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
8  FLORINDIA Aug05 Jul18 Apr28 Apr17 Mar15 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 118 30.00    
9  IN THE END Aug04 Jun30 Jun06 May25 Dec09 (sweezey kent)RUIZ JORGE 120 6.00 18% 4.40    
10  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Jul18 Jun23 May26 Jul14 Jun03 (klesaris)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
11  NUWANDA Aug02 Jun28 Jun08 May25 Apr20 (juarez calixto)ROSADO JOHAN 122 4.00    
12  MELIPONINI BEE Jul21 Jul05 Jun09 May03 Nov17 (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGTIME BLUES Jul19 May30 May04 Mar20 Feb01 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 125 15.00    
2  SPEAK UNITY Jul20 Jun30 May24 Apr28 Apr21 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 125 4.00 30% 2.30    
3  BOURBON AND ICE Apr21 Aug06 Jul22 May28 May20 (magee kieron)SILVERA RUBEN 125 15.00 ★    
4  CAJUN'S MAGIC Aug01 Jul19 Jul07 Sep23 Aug05 (rodriguez an)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ELEVATED FOREVER Aug01 Jul19 Jun23 Jun01 Jan04 (garrido raul)LEON A 125 30.00    
SCR  LOVE YOU MUCH Aug23 Aug16 Sep01 Aug06 May28 (allen ferris)RUIZ JORGE 125 8.00    
SCR  B DETERMINED Aug12 Jul19 Jun08 Nov05 Sep16 (stettinius su)KARAMANOS A 125 3.00    
8  UNCLE ANDREW Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 Jun30 Jun10 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 125 15.00    
9  SUE LOVES BARBADOS Jul14 Jun22 May31 Mar23 Feb16 (perri gina)ALVELO C 125 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  BEAR CREEK Aug19 Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 Jun12 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 125 12.00    
11  BOMBOLONI Feb10 Jan18 Dec09 Nov01 Oct12 (djuric stevic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 15.00    
12  VALIANT VINNY Jun30 May16 Nov19 Oct27 Sep08 (nuesch)ARAUJO VICENTE 125 6.00 22% 3.60    
13  MARCHED Aug04 Jul19 Jun15 May17 Apr28 (kee j)KARAMANOS A 125 15.00    
 
CNL-9   08/30/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY LIL BETTY Aug16 Apr05 Feb28 Feb07 Aug18 (rountree cath)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00    
2  SAINT DEVEREAUX Aug08 Jul05 Jun22     (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 15.00    
3  HUSTLE         (mccutchen )ALBERT S 124 15.00 15% 5.70    
4  I BE GONE Aug16 May03 Apr04 Mar01 Dec08 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 118 20.00    
5  COUNTRY ECONOMICS Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jun30 Jun20 (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 118 10.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  DONATE LIFE Aug12 Jan26 Nov30 Nov12 Oct10 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 5.00    
7  PULL NO PUNCHES Aug12         (hemingway mic)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00    
8  ONE WITH THE FORCE         (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 10.00 13% 6.80    
9  DAWN'S CREED Aug16 Feb08 Jan03 Sep27   (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00    
10  BONNIE BLUE Aug12         (cooney s)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00    
11  THY NAME IS WOMAN Aug12 Jul26 Jun22     (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
12  RAPID TULA Jul13 Jun02 May03 Mar29 Sep07 (munoz carlos)KARAMANOS A 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CIRILLA (FR) Jun21 May20 Apr06 Feb11   (allen ferri)PANAIJO JORGE 124 20.00    
SCR  MARGARET'S LADY Aug09 Mar29 Dec20 Dec06 Nov02 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.