Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    EXA (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $25.50 $13.50 113%
    TRI (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-3 $72.30 $60.30 503%
PEN-2   DD (7/6/3/5)-(3/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-8 $19.30 $3.30 21%
PEN-3   EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-8 $11.60 $2.60 29%
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-8-5 $42.35 $33.35 371%
PEN-4   WIN (10/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    PK4 (7/6/3/5)-(3/2/8/7)-(1/2/8)-(10/6/3/1) 192 $0.50 $96.00  7-8-2/9/10/11/12-5/6/8/9/11/12 $142.75 $46.75 49%
PEN-5   TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-6-7 $4.50 $1.50 50%
PEN-6   PK3 (10/6/3/1)-(2/6/7)-(2/1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-2-2 $33.70 $9.70 40%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:133 1:262   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIME QUEEN 7 2 21 2nk 2nk 11 1 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 3.00 36% 1.80 4.80 W
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN 6 6 3 3 3½ 21 2 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.50 17% 4.90 4.10 P
HIGH VIBES 3 3 5 5 53 4 3 (miller ma)VARGAS L 121 8.00 13% 6.80 8.80 S
BRAMBLE BUSH 2 8 75 4 4 3 4 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 121 3.50 1.30  
MERCY MERCY 8 7 6 7 6 5 5 (castill)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 6.00 10.20  
TOMARIE 1 4 4 6 7 7 66 (betancourt )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 18.50  
HOP TO A DECISION 5 5 87 8 8 88 7 (harigeorgio)CALDERON OLIVER 114 20.00 5% 19.00 42.90  
TRIXIE'S TIME 4 1 11 1nk 1nk 66 812 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 6.00 5.70  
SCR  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM               (aristone ph)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00    
SCR  MISSAWLET               (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 10.00    
 
PEN-2   08/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:121 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING TSUNAMI 8 3 3 33 21 1½ 1 (wyatt tod)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 13% 6.70 1.80 W
WORK FROM HOME 6 8 710 4 31 2½ 2 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 5.80  
FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER 2 5 6 6 54 54 35 (boniface c)CORA D 123 3.00 23% 3.30 1.70 S
SIREN 7 2 12 1nk 42 43 4 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 120 10.00 8% 10.90 4.60  
THE MAN TO SEE 3 4 22 2nk 11 32 5 (dowling willia)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50 33% 2.10 10.80  
IMPAZIBLE PRINCE 5 7 810¼ 8 67 68 6 (albright )VARGAS L 123 8.00 19.50  
BRADY 1 6 47 56 711 713 715¾ (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 123 15.00 62.70  
LETSGETLUCKYTONITE 4 1 57 7 813 819 827¾ (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00 68.70  
SCR  SAM STORMY               (salinas giovann)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 2.00    
 
PEN-3   08/21/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:223 :464       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAVINIA SPIRIT 2 5 54 32   1 1 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 3.50 34% 2.00 1.10 W
FIREBALL EXPRESS 8 1 1nk 1   2 2 (albright r)CORA D 123 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10 P
SAVE THE MISCHIEF 5 8 810½ 7   68 3 (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 11.10 S
DISCO FLASH 3 3 3½ 2   33 48 (padilla o)AGUILAR JEAN 113 6.00 7.80  
KENTUCKY REIGN 6 4 4 5   57 510½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00 38.40  
FLEETING EMBER 4 7 6 6   8 610¾ (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 7.80  
ELL GRAY 1 2 2nk 44   47 711¼ (servis j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 2.50 39% 1.50 2.60  
AUNT JO 7 6 78 8   7 812 (smith lawrenc)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 30.00 31.90  
SCR  FOREST FUEL               (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 120 4.00    
SCR  LEGEND OF LIGHT               (cooney susa)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
SCR  TABOR TIME               (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.50    
SCR  UNION BELLE               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50    
 
PEN-4   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:233 :473 :60     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO DAISY 5 3 2½ 1½   13 1 (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 5.00 11% 8.50 3.50 W
LIL H 2 1 1½ 2½   23 2 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 121 30.00 44.90  
NUCCI 3 6 42 4   4 34 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 10% 8.60 0.60 S
HIGHWAY QUEEN 6 2 6 3   34 44 (miller marl)CALDERON OLIVER 121 20.00 35.90  
LONDON LADY 4 7 7 64   68 5 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 12.00 8.90  
10  DOWSER 7 4 5 53   58 612¾ (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 55% 0.80 4.80  
LADYNESS 1 5 32 7   712 714½ (boyer jr)FLORES E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 22.30  
SCR  CELTIC REVIVAL               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50    
SCR  DIVINE PROMISE               (wagner karin)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00    
SCR  LADY LANCER               (sepulveda)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00    
SCR  MASKED HEROINE               (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 10.00    
SCR  SOMETHING SILLY               (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00    
 
PEN-5   08/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:142 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA TACHE 1 3 11 1nk 1 1 1 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 2.50 43% 1.30 2.20 W
REZQUIA 4 1 42 4 4 2 2 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 3.00 17% 4.80 0.90 P
NANASQUAN 5 5 55 5 5 413½ 318¼ (fields kevin)CORA D 123 6.00 5% 19.00 4.90 S
FOXEY G 2 2 21 2nk 2 3 418½ (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00 10.30  
BO RUNKLE 3 4 32 3.2 33 514 528½ (moreno tito)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50 7.40  
SCR  FORCEZILLA               (davis jr)FLORES E 120 8.00    
SCR  WARRIOR BERNICE               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   08/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:142 1:273   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH LACE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 1 (magee kie)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 43% 1.30 3.20 W
RAW POWER 1 7 4 4 32 33 2 (fields kevi)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.00 23% 3.30 1.80 P
HI HEELED WARRIOR 3 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 22 3 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 125 3.50 8.60  
LUCKY LORRAINE 5 4 3½ 32 54 4 4 (simone michael )CENTENO E 123 8.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
PRUSSIAN BLUE 6 2 55 5 44 5 5 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 5.00 2.50  
CARLY HUSTLE 7 5 6 68 6 6 610 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 123 20.00 51.80  
KEEN CONTENDER 4 6 713½ 713 713 713½ 716½ (kreiser t)VARGAS L 123 8.00 7% 13.80 15.50  
SCR  MIKEY'S JEWEL               (salinas jos)CALDERON OLIVER 123 15.00    
 
PEN-7   08/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME OF OUR LIVES 1 3 4 4   3.2 1¼ (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 2.50 1.20  
SISTER EVE 5 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 33% 2.00 3.20 P
R PENELOPE 3 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 3 (rojas l)TORRES JOMAR 125 1.80 1.60  
GOLDEN LIMONCELLO 4 6 33 3   4 4 (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 10.00 18% 4.60 10.60  
EARLY 2 5 6 6   612¼ 5 (crane clovis)CORA D 122 8.00 25.80  
BID FOR THE CROWN 6 1 5 5   510¼ 621¼ (rideout ron)CALDERON OLIVER 125 12.00 5% 19.00 48.80  
 
PEN-8   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE DOWN BELOW 6 2 21 12   1 13 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 123 5.00 2.10  
HERE'S WALDO 1 3 3 3   2 23 (moreno-ba)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00 43% 1.30 3.30 P
INDIRECTLY 3 6 4 4   4 3 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 9% 10.00 7.80 S
SPOOKY ONE 5 1 11 22   3 4 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 3.50 16% 5.40 3.30  
PETULANT DELIGHT 2 4 67 6   612 513 (rodriguez irv)RIVERA D 123 4.00 3.00  
AGAINST THE ODDS 4 5 54 5   510 616¾ (zalalas michael)CORA D 123 6.00 13.80  
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT               (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.