Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $21.40 $15.40 257%
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-3 $17.50 $11.50 192%
BAQ-6   WIN (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    EXA (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-4 $17.70 $1.70 11%
    TRI (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/5/2)-(7/4/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-4-7 $25.37 $1.37 6%
    SFT (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/5/2)-(7/4/8/5/2)-(7/4/8/5/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  8-4-7-5 $26.05 $16.45 171%
BAQ-9   WIN (4/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $16.40 $8.40 105%
    DD (2/4/5/10/9)-(4/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-7 $23.10 $3.10 16%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:243 :501 1:15 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LAVENDER DISASTER 5 4 42 42 41½ 3½ 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 32% 2.10 0.65 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CAFE AMERICANO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  COMPETITIVE MARKET 3 6 53½ 53 63 41 2¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 11.70  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CAJUN DELTA DAWN by KANTHAROS)
1  SNIPSNIPPITYSNIP 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 31¼ (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 10.60  
  (by GIRVIN out of SHE'S NOT LAZY by TIZNOW)
4  ALL NIGHT REVIVAL 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 43½ (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 23% 3.40 6.20  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ALWAYS ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
2  VOW TO RESILIENCY 2 7 75 74½ 52½ 54 54½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 48.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of VOW TO RECOVER by BROKEN VOW)
6  PEDIATRIC PRINCESS 6 3 32 31½ 31 64¼ 65 (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 22% 3.50 8.80  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
7  PARAIBA BLUE 7 8 86 85½ 77 714¼ 716½ (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 ######  
  (by FUNTASTIC out of AQUA BLUE by AIR FORCE BLUE)
8  CORAL SEA 8 5 64½ 64 88 815¾ 817½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 5.40  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WAKE ISLAND by WAR FRONT)
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WILD MAMA 8 2 3½ 1½   16 12 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5.10  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SAFWAH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  SAVE THE QUEEN 7 7 86¾ 67   26 22 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 41% 1.50 4.50 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of R GIRLS A CHARMER by IN SUMMATION)
6  VESPERA 6 3 53 55½   47 34½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 4.30  
  (by VOLATILE out of ANYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  DECREE AND DECLARE 3 5 2½ 2½   36 48 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★ 2.60  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
1  MIA VITA 1 1 41 45   69 58½ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 8.20  
  (by UNCLE MO out of INTANGAROO by ORIENTATE (GB))
2  SMOOTH CLARET 2 4 1½ 31   58 612¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of KITZYS ROCKET by PARADING)
4  COMPLEX GAL 4 6 74¼ 814   821 726 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 30% 2.30 10.60  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DEEDEEZEE by CONGRATS)
5  FAITH 5 8 64 710   719 827½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5.30  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of TRENSITA by CURLIN)
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR SOME REASON 1 4 1½ 1nk   12 13¼ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 2.65  
2  IRIDESCENT 2 5 41½ 41½   22 23¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 1.30  
3  VINSANITY 3 6 63 3½   33 38½ (arriag)GRISALES DANILO 118 12.00 36.25  
5  BOLD AMBITION 5 2 2½ 2nk   47 415¼ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 23% 3.40 3.20  
6  SONOFASHIP 6 1 31½ 53   512½ 521¾ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 41% 1.40 6.40  
4  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS 4 3 52½ 67½   618½ 626¾ (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:113 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NELSON AVENUE 2 2 11 12 12½ 12½ 11¼ (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70 W
3  BANK FRENZY 3 4 31½ 42½ 54½ 33½ 21¼ (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00 34% 2.00 1.30 P
1  COSTA TERRA 1 1 53½ 54 22½ 22½ 33½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 2.90  
6  IRISH EXIT 6 6 43 32½ 33 46½ 412½ (ness jamie)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 27% 2.70 3.10  
5  LOST IN ROME 5 3 21 22 43 56½ 513¼ (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 16.80  
4  MISTICAL CURLIN 4 5 65½ 66 68 611½ 640¼ (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 7.90  
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 7 3 11½ 12½   16 11 (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 124 12.00 24.00  
12  BAREFOOT DISCO 9 4 911½ 98½   68¼ 21 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 29% 2.40 3.80 P
4  NAUGHTY DESTINY 3 8 76½ 66½   47½ 32 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 32% 2.10 2.60 S
5  CERRETTA 4 9 87½ 87½   37½ 42¼ (bond kevi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 17% 5.00 3.60  
3  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW 2 5 53½ 44½   57¾ 53¼ (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 8.30  
9  LIL' HAYADOIN 8 2 21½ 22½   26 63¾ (serpe )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 62.75  
1  GENEROUS LUVA 5 1 42½ 56   712¼ 710 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 10.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
2  RUSSALITE 1 6 31½ 33½   812¾ 815¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00 28.50  
6  CORRI FELICE 6 7 64½ 77½   915¾ 919¾ (toner j)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 ★ 2.75  
SCR  BOSTON STRONG MAMA               (weaver george)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
SCR  DIGITAL CURRENCY               (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 10.00    
SCR  DUCHESSOFNORMANDY               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  LADY MERINGUE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
SCR  MY EXECUTIVE SWEET               (huertas )DAVIS A 124 30.00    
SCR  STARSINTHECITY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK               (delauro ed)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:131 1:37   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CALL ME HARRY 8 1 32½ 32 42 1½ 1¾ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 10% 8.60 3.60 W
4  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD 4 8 77 76½ 64 51¾ 2¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.50 30% 2.30 2.75 P
7  LOCKE AND KEY 7 6 66½ 54 32 41½ 31 (ryerson j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 33% 2.00 3.85 S
5  GEM MINT TEN 5 3 55 64½ 53½ 31½ 41½ (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 ★ 10.40  
6  AGENT CREED 6 7 89 88½ 95¾ 63¾ 52½ (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 4.20  
1  UNION TRAIL 1 5 1½ 11½ 1½ 2½ 63 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 126 15.00 33.75  
9  CABLE READY 9 2 44 43½ 74¼ 85¾ 76¼ (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00 29.75  
3  CLEAR CONSCIENCE 3 9 911½ 910 84¾ 96¼ 86¾ (casse mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 5.90  
2  BAR FOURTEEN 2 4 2½ 21½ 2½ 75¼ 97½ (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 46.75  
SCR  BARESE               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MON PETIT CHOU 5 4 2½ 2nk   11½ 1¾ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 121 2.00 1.75  
1  R FUNNY BIZNESS 1 8 811 77   54½ 2¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 16% 5.10 9.90 P
3  EVERLYS GIRL 3 5 31 41½   31½ 32¼ (chatterpaul nai)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 11% 8.10 8.60 S
8  MY FIRST LOVE 8 1 41 31   42 43 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 121 6.00 19.20  
6  GRINGOTTS 6 6 52½ 55½   65 54½ (samsundar rosha)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 3.20  
4  CONDIMENT GIRL 4 2 1½ 1nk   21½ 65 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 43% 1.30 3.55  
2  JOLLY MISS JILL 2 7 78 88   76½ 75¼ (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 5% 19.00 47.25  
7  RIBOT'S VALENTINE 7 3 63 66½   87½ 89 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 8.00  
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:224 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GASLIGHT DANCER 10 3 44 35   23½ 13 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 6% 15.10 2.70 W
2  JAVA BUZZ 2 6 12 13½   13½ 23 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 33% 2.10 2.50 P
4  HILARIOUS AFFAIR 4 10 97¼ 89½   89¾ 33¾ (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 23% 3.30 4.30 S
8  KORRONGO 8 2 22 23½   34 44¼ (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 69.75  
3  NANO MAN 3 1 54 57   47 54½ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 13.90  
5  PALACE VIEW (IRE) 5 9 65 68   59 66¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 17% 5.00 5.60  
6  INFLATION NATION (IRE) 6 4 75¼ 78½   69 76¼ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 6.60  
7  COLLECT FROM IKE 7 8 107¼ 1011½   1010¾ 87½ (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00 25.75  
9  HE'S GOT IT 9 5 85¾ 99½   910¾ 98¼ (abreu jorg)RIVERA R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 27.25  
1  GRUMLEY 1 7 33 46   79½ 1010¼ (giglio gina)LUZZI J 121 50.00 66.00  
SCR  DR OSERAN               (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00    
SCR  FEATHERS ROAD               (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
SCR  KING MOONRACER               (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
SCR  MASTER OF ARMS               (begg bentle)RIDER TBA 123 2.00    
SCR  TOMMY TWO SOCKS               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 50.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:123 1:37   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHADE OF PALE 7 6 64¾ 54½ 53½ 1½ 12¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 8% 11.70 7.20 W
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of PALE MOON by DANSILI (GB))
3  JITTERBUG 3 2 75¾ 86 85 52½ 22¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 4.20  
  (by JUSTIFY out of APT by A.P. INDY)
1  WEIGHTED AVERAGE 1 4 107¼ 107½ 106¼ 62¾ 32¼ (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★ 6.00 S
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CHARREADA by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  THIS COUNTRY 8 8 33½ 33 32 41 43¼ (toner j)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00 45.75  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BATTLE FLAG by WAR FRONT)
5  SILVOLOGY 5 5 85¾ 96½ 95¼ 73¾ 54½ (mcgaughey )RIVERA R 120 10.00 8.00  
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
11  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL 11 7 2nk 2½ 2½ 3½ 67¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 11.20  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WEST COAST CHICK by MALIBU MOON)
4  TIME STONE 4 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 2½ 78½ (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 40% 1.50 3.25  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WEEKDAY by DANSILI)
2  HIDDEN PRESENCE 2 3 96¼ 65 63½ 86¾ 89 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 31% 2.30 5.60  
  (by TAPWRIT out of INCREDIBLE GRACE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  PROMDATEBONNIE 6 10 44 43½ 42½ 97¾ 912 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 16.00  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY LIFE by QUALITY ROAD)
9  AUTUMN'S TURN 9 11 117¾ 117¾ 117¼ 1012¾ 1014½ (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 29.75  
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
10  PURRFECT GIRL 10 9 54¼ 75 74 1113¼ 1115 (dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 19.60  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CASTELLANI by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  THE TACO LADY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.