Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
BAQ-2   Win (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $12.20  
BAQ-3   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.30  
BAQ-4   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $21.40 $21.40 15.40
BAQ-5   Win (4/12/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $50.00  
BAQ-6   Win (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
BAQ-7   Win (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $5.50  
BAQ-8   Win (2/4/5/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
BAQ-9   Win (4/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $16.40 $16.40 8.40

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:243 :501 1:15 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAVENDER DISASTER 5 4 42 42 4 3½ 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 32% 2.10 0.65 W
COMPETITIVE MARKET 3 6 5 53 63 41 2¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 11.70  
SNIPSNIPPITYSNIP 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 3 (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 10.60  
ALL NIGHT REVIVAL 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 4 (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 23% 3.40 6.20  
VOW TO RESILIENCY 2 7 75 7 5 54 5 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 48.00  
PEDIATRIC PRINCESS 6 3 32 3 31 6 65 (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 22% 3.50 8.80  
PARAIBA BLUE 7 8 86 8 77 714¼ 716½ (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00 ######  
CORAL SEA 8 5 6 64 88 815¾ 817½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 5.40  
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD MAMA 8 2 3½ 1½   16 12 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5.10  
SAVE THE QUEEN 7 7 8 67   26 22 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 41% 1.50 4.50 P
VESPERA 6 3 53 5   47 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 4.30  
DECREE AND DECLARE 3 5 2½ 2½   36 48 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 2.60  
MIA VITA 1 1 41 45   69 5 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 8.20  
SMOOTH CLARET 2 4 1½ 31   58 612¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
COMPLEX GAL 4 6 7 814   821 726 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 30% 2.30 10.60  
FAITH 5 8 64 710   719 827½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5.30  
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR SOME REASON 1 4 1½ 1nk   12 1 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 2.65  
IRIDESCENT 2 5 4 4   22 2 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 1.30  
VINSANITY 3 6 63 3½   33 3 (arriaga )GRISALES DANILO 118 12.00 36.25  
BOLD AMBITION 5 2 2½ 2nk   47 415¼ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 23% 3.40 3.20  
SONOFASHIP 6 1 3 53   512½ 521¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 41% 1.40 6.40  
CHARLIE'S EXPRESS 4 3 5 6   618½ 626¾ (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:113 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NELSON AVENUE 2 2 11 12 1 1 1 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.70 W
BANK FRENZY 3 4 3 4 5 3 2 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 126 2.00 34% 2.00 1.30 P
COSTA TERRA 1 1 5 54 2 2 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 2.90  
IRISH EXIT 6 6 43 3 33 4 412½ (ness jamie)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 27% 2.70 3.10  
LOST IN ROME 5 3 21 22 43 5 513¼ (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00 16.80  
MISTICAL CURLIN 4 5 6 66 68 611½ 640¼ (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 7.90  
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DAMORNINGGROUCH 7 3 1 1   16 11 (keithan rachael)LUZZI J 124 12.00 24.00  
12  BAREFOOT DISCO 9 4 911½ 9   6 21 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 29% 2.40 3.80 P
NAUGHTY DESTINY 3 8 7 6   4 32 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 32% 2.10 2.60 S
CERRETTA 4 9 8 8   3 4 (bond kevin)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 17% 5.00 3.60  
FOLLOW YOUR ARROW 2 5 5 4   5 5 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00 8.30  
LIL' HAYADOIN 8 2 2 2   26 6 (serpe ph)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 62.75  
GENEROUS LUVA 5 1 4 56   712¼ 710 (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 10.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
RUSSALITE 1 6 3 3   812¾ 815¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00 28.50  
CORRI FELICE 6 7 6 7   915¾ 919¾ (toner j)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 2.75  
SCR  BOSTON STRONG MAMA               (weaver george)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
SCR  DIGITAL CURRENCY               (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 10.00    
SCR  DUCHESSOFNORMANDY               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  LADY MERINGUE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
SCR  MY EXECUTIVE SWEET               (huertas ni)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
SCR  STARSINTHECITY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK               (delauro edwa)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:131 1:37   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME HARRY 8 1 3 32 42 1½ 1¾ (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 10% 8.60 3.60 W
BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD 4 8 77 7 64 5 2¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.50 30% 2.30 2.75 P
LOCKE AND KEY 7 6 6 54 32 4 31 (ryerson jam)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 33% 2.00 3.85 S
GEM MINT TEN 5 3 55 6 5 3 4 (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 10.40  
AGENT CREED 6 7 89 8 9 6 5 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 4.20  
UNION TRAIL 1 5 1½ 1 1½ 2½ 63 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 126 15.00 33.75  
CABLE READY 9 2 44 4 7 8 7 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00 29.75  
CLEAR CONSCIENCE 3 9 911½ 910 8 9 8 (casse mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00 5.90  
BAR FOURTEEN 2 4 2½ 2 2½ 7 9 (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 46.75  
SCR  BARESE               (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MON PETIT CHOU 5 4 2½ 2nk   1 1¾ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 121 2.00 1.75  
R FUNNY BIZNESS 1 8 811 77   5 2¾ (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 16% 5.10 9.90 P
EVERLYS GIRL 3 5 31 4   3 3 (chatterpaul naipa)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 11% 8.10 8.60 S
MY FIRST LOVE 8 1 41 31   42 43 (brown bruce )RIVERA R 121 6.00 19.20  
GRINGOTTS 6 6 5 5   65 5 (samsundar roshan)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 3.20  
CONDIMENT GIRL 4 2 1½ 1nk   2 65 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 43% 1.30 3.55  
JOLLY MISS JILL 2 7 78 88   7 7 (rodriguez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 5% 19.00 47.25  
RIBOT'S VALENTINE 7 3 63 6   8 89 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 8.00  
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:224 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GASLIGHT DANCER 10 3 44 35   2 13 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 6% 15.10 2.70 W
JAVA BUZZ 2 6 12 1   1 23 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 33% 2.10 2.50 P
HILARIOUS AFFAIR 4 10 9 8   8 3 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 23% 3.30 4.30 S
KORRONGO 8 2 22 2   34 4 (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 69.75  
NANO MAN 3 1 54 57   47 5 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 13.90  
PALACE VIEW (IRE) 5 9 65 68   59 6 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 17% 5.00 5.60  
INFLATION NATION (IRE) 6 4 7 7   69 7 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 6.60  
COLLECT FROM IKE 7 8 10 1011½   1010¾ 8 (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00 25.75  
HE'S GOT IT 9 5 8 9   910¾ 9 (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 27.25  
GRUMLEY 1 7 33 46   7 1010¼ (giglio gina)LUZZI J 121 50.00 66.00  
SCR  DR OSERAN               (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00    
SCR  FEATHERS ROAD               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
SCR  KING MOONRACER               (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
SCR  MASTER OF ARMS               (begg bentley)RIDER TBA 123 2.00    
SCR  TOMMY TWO SOCKS               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 50.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:123 1:37   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADE OF PALE 7 6 6 5 5 1½ 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 8% 11.70 7.20 W
JITTERBUG 3 2 7 86 85 5 2 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 4.20  
WEIGHTED AVERAGE 1 4 10 10 10 6 3 (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 6.00 S
THIS COUNTRY 8 8 3 33 32 41 4 (toner j)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00 45.75  
SILVOLOGY 5 5 8 9 9 7 5 (mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 120 10.00 8.00  
11  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL 11 7 2nk 2½ 2½ 3½ 6 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 11.20  
TIME STONE 4 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 2½ 7 (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 40% 1.50 3.25  
HIDDEN PRESENCE 2 3 9 65 6 8 89 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 31% 2.30 5.60  
PROMDATEBONNIE 6 10 44 4 4 9 912 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 16.00  
AUTUMN'S TURN 9 11 11 11 11 1012¾ 1014½ (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 29.75  
10  PURRFECT GIRL 10 9 5 75 74 1113¼ 1115 (dutrow ant)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 19.60  
SCR  THE TACO LADY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.