Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2)-(7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/2)-(7/4/2)-(6/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(6/5/4)-(3/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(3/6/2)-(4/12/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(4/12/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(4/12/5/1)-(7/4/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (4/12/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/12/5/1)-(4/12/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/12/5/1)-(4/12/5/6/1)-(4/12/5/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/12/5/1)-(7/4/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/12/5/1)-(7/4/8/2)-(4/1/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/5/2)-(7/4/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/8/2)-(4/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/2)-(4/1/3/2)-(2/4/5/10/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2)-(4/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/2)-(2/4/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/2)-(2/4/5/10/9)-(4/2/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (2/4/5/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/10/9)-(2/4/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/10/9)-(2/4/5/10/9)-(2/4/5/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/4/5/10/9)-(4/2/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (4/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/8)-(4/2/7/8/1)-(4/2/7/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNIPSNIPPITYSNIP Aug15         (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SHE'S NOT LAZY by TIZNOW)
2  VOW TO RESILIENCY         (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of VOW TO RECOVER by BROKEN VOW)
3  COMPETITIVE MARKET         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CAJUN DELTA DAWN by KANTHAROS)
4  ALL NIGHT REVIVAL Aug04         (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ALWAYS ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
5  LAVENDER DISASTER         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CAFE AMERICANO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  PEDIATRIC PRINCESS Aug04         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SILVER FERN by BERNARDINI)
7  PARAIBA BLUE         (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 119 20.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of AQUA BLUE by AIR FORCE BLUE)
8  CORAL SEA Jul28         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WAKE ISLAND by WAR FRONT)
 
BAQ-2   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA VITA         (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of INTANGAROO by ORIENTATE (GB))
2  SMOOTH CLARET         (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of KITZYS ROCKET by PARADING)
3  DECREE AND DECLARE         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
4  COMPLEX GAL Aug18         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DEEDEEZEE by CONGRATS)
5  FAITH         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of TRENSITA by CURLIN)
6  VESPERA         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of ANYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  SAVE THE QUEEN         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 41% 1.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of R GIRLS A CHARMER by IN SUMMATION)
8  WILD MAMA         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SAFWAH by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
BAQ-3   09/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR SOME REASON Aug22 Jul28 Jun09 May09 Mar15 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00    
2  IRIDESCENT Aug11 Jul18 May12 May05 Apr20 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60    
3  VINSANITY Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 (arriag)GRISALES DANILO 118 12.00    
4  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Aug03 Jul05 Jun08 Apr13 Oct06 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOLD AMBITION Jul31 Jun13 Apr14 Nov24   (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  SONOFASHIP Jul18 Jun01 Mar23 Mar09 Feb08 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 41% 1.40    
 
BAQ-4   09/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSTA TERRA Aug24 Aug02 Jul20 Jun07 Dec10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
2  NELSON AVENUE Aug18 Aug08 Jul13 May01 Mar09 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BANK FRENZY Aug18 May26 Apr14 Sep24 Aug31 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00 34% 2.00    
4  MISTICAL CURLIN Jul05 May19 Apr06 Mar09 Nov30 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00    
5  LOST IN ROME Aug21 Aug08 Jul13 Jun23 May19 (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
6  IRISH EXIT Aug11 Jul26 Jan30 Dec13 Nov14 (ness jamie)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
BAQ-5   09/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENEROUS LUVA Jul26 May25 Apr26     (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIGITAL CURRENCY Aug14 Jul14 Jun28 May26 May02 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 10.00    
2  RUSSALITE Jul19         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
3  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Aug17 Jun28 Sep15 Jul26 Jun15 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 121 10.00    
4  NAUGHTY DESTINY Aug17 Jun14 May25 Nov02 Oct12 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  CERRETTA Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 Apr25 Oct26 (bond kevin)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
6  CORRI FELICE Aug18 Jul05 Jun02 May16 Apr26 (toner j)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 ★    
7  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Feb17 Jan07 Dec15 Nov25 Nov10 (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 124 12.00    
SCR  TROUBLED LUCK Jul04 May25 May16 Apr26 Apr14 (delauro ed)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
9  LIL' HAYADOIN Aug18 Jul19 Mar29 Oct29   (serpe )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
SCR  LADY MERINGUE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
SCR  MY EXECUTIVE SWEET Aug17         (huertas )DAVIS A 124 30.00    
12  BAREFOOT DISCO Aug17 Jul19 Jul26     (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  DUCHESSOFNORMANDY Aug17         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  STARSINTHECITY Aug25 Jul19 Dec17 Nov02 Oct12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
SCR  BOSTON STRONG MAMA Aug28 Nov17 Nov10 Oct20 Aug27 (weaver george)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/15/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION TRAIL Aug23 Jul21 Jun09 May03 Mar16 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 126 15.00    
2  BAR FOURTEEN Aug01 Jul21 Jun21 May24 Apr26 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLEAR CONSCIENCE Aug24 Jul27 Jun30 May27 Dec14 (casse mark)LEZCANO JOSE 124 8.00    
4  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD Aug17 Jul21 Jun20 Apr27 Nov19 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  GEM MINT TEN Jul27 Jun20 Apr28 Oct26 Aug27 (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 ★    
6  AGENT CREED Aug17 Jul19 May17 May02 Feb17 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
7  LOCKE AND KEY Aug17 Jul21 Jun21 May17 Apr26 (ryerson j)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
8  CALL ME HARRY Aug17 Jul13 Jun15 May17 Nov03 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
9  CABLE READY Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 May25 May03 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00    
SCR  BARESE Aug25 Aug01 May09 Dec29 Dec03 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R FUNNY BIZNESS Aug14 Jul25 Jul02 Jun11 Apr30 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 16% 5.10    
2  JOLLY MISS JILL Jul25 Jun21 May10 Apr21 Apr04 (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  EVERLYS GIRL Aug14 Aug03 Jul20 May16 Apr28 (chatterpaul nai)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 11% 8.10    
4  CONDIMENT GIRL Aug14 Jul25 Jun22 May25 Apr30 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  MON PETIT CHOU Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Apr28 Jul04 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 121 2.00    
6  GRINGOTTS Aug03 Jul14 Jul05 Jun21 May25 (samsundar rosha)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00    
7  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Aug29 Jul28 Jun28 May24 Mar15 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
8  MY FIRST LOVE Aug29 Jul20 Jun21 May05 Apr18 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 121 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRUMLEY Jan05 Sep02 Sep21 Aug21 Jun19 (giglio gina)LUZZI J 121 50.00    
2  JAVA BUZZ Aug14 Jul21 Mar18 Feb24 Jan25 (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 33% 2.10    
3  NANO MAN Aug31 Jul20 Jun29 May26 Nov18 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
4  HILARIOUS AFFAIR Aug14 Jun27 May25 Apr21 Mar22 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  PALACE VIEW (IRE) Aug02 Jul12 Jun23 Mar24 Feb25 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
6  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Aug18 Jul12 Jun16 Jul08 May20 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
7  COLLECT FROM IKE Aug31 Aug02 Jun29 Jun23 May27 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 30.00    
8  KORRONGO Jul21 Jun28 May31 Apr26 Apr07 (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
9  HE'S GOT IT Aug15 Jan27 Jan04 Dec10 Nov11 (abreu jorg)RIVERA R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  GASLIGHT DANCER Aug14 Jun23 May25 Apr27 Feb22 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 6% 15.10    
SCR  FEATHERS ROAD Aug14 Jul13 May26 May18 Sep28 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00    
SCR  KING MOONRACER Aug14 Jul13 Jun23 May18 Apr28 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
SCR  DR OSERAN Jul13 Jun07 May17 May20 Mar25 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR Sep08 Jul13 Jun22 May25 Oct05 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 50.00    
SCR  MASTER OF ARMS Aug22 Aug07 Jun28 Jun06 Apr07 (begg bentle)RIDER TBA 123 2.00    
SCR  TOMMY TWO SOCKS Aug30 Aug18 Jul18 Jun08 Apr28 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80    
 
BAQ-9   09/15/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEIGHTED AVERAGE Sep23 Aug13       (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CHARREADA by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  HIDDEN PRESENCE May09 Apr05 Feb16 Jan21 Dec16 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 31% 2.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of INCREDIBLE GRACE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  JITTERBUG Aug18 Jul21 Jun20 May24 Feb03 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of APT by A.P. INDY)
4  TIME STONE Aug23 Mar15 Jan21     (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WEEKDAY by DANSILI)
5  SILVOLOGY Aug23 Jul04 Jun06     (mcgaughey )RIVERA R 120 10.00    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
6  PROMDATEBONNIE Feb18         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY LIFE by QUALITY ROAD)
7  SHADE OF PALE Jun15 Aug05       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 8% 11.70    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of PALE MOON by DANSILI (GB))
8  THIS COUNTRY Aug11 Jun28 Feb25 Dec10 Oct22 (toner j)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BATTLE FLAG by WAR FRONT)
9  AUTUMN'S TURN Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 Jun02 May18 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
10  PURRFECT GIRL Aug02 Jun23 Mar31     (dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CASTELLANI by QUALITY ROAD)
11  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL Jul17 Jun16 Aug20     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WEST COAST CHICK by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  THE TACO LADY Aug18 Aug08 Jul17 May18 May04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANDY CAT CAN by LANGFUHR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.