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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			EXA	(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-1		$26.30			$2.30				10%
			TRI	(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)						24	$0.50	$12.00	3-1-6		$22.58			$10.58				88%
CD-2			WIN	(1/3/4)						3	$2.00	$6.00	4		$18.98			$12.98				216%
			DD	(6/1/3/2)-(1/3/4)						12	$1.00	$12.00	3-4		$40.94			$28.94				241%
CD-3			EXA	(4/11/9/8)-(4/11/9/2/8)						16	$2.00	$32.00	4-11		$47.76			$15.76				49%
			TRI	(4/11/9/8)-(4/11/9/2/8)-(4/11/9/2/8)						48	$0.50	$24.00	4-11-9		$44.53			$20.53				86%
			DD	(1/3/4)-(4/11/9/8)						12	$1.00	$12.00	4-4		$45.45			$33.45				279%
			PK3	(6/1/3/2)-(1/3/4)-(4/11/9/8)						48	$0.50	$24.00	3-4-4		$70.31			$46.31				193%
CD-4			PK3	(1/3/4)-(4/11/9/8)-(4/5/2/7)						48	$0.50	$24.00	4-4-4		$83.39			$59.39				247%
CD-9			WIN	(6/5/7/11/1)						5	$2.00	$10.00	6		$12.66			$2.66				27%
			DD	(5/1/6)-(6/5/7/11/1)						15	$1.00	$15.00	5-6		$23.98			$8.98				60%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			09/22/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LUCENCY									(danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 122						3.50		13%		6.90		2.07	W
1	CAWKAB									(mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 122						4.00		23%		3.30		4.56	P
6	FIRST STRIKE									(lobo h)ROMAN A 122						3.00		32%		2.20		2.90	S
7	ETHEREAL ROAD									(moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.00						3.47
5	CASHMEUP									(miller jer)HERNANDEZ J 122						12.00						17.23
4	JAY VEE BEE									(van thomas)BEJARANO R 122						8.00						9.97
2	EXPRESS CRUISER									(camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						15.00		5%		19.00		11.24

CD-2			09/22/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($52K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	ROBO MAN									(holden dar)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						6.00		6%		15.90		8.49	W
5	KNICKS STORY									(colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 121						3.50						1.93
6	W W CRAZY									(lauer mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121						5.00						6.51
3	FITZPATRICK									(esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 121						3.00		30%		2.40		3.09
1	HEY EUGENE									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						2.50		37%		1.70		2.58
2	CIRCLE BACK JACK									(garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 121						5.00						8.04

CD-3			09/22/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	STARSCAPE									(dutrow rich)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						2.50		40%		1.50		2.52	W
11	J J'S RANGER									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						5.00		27%		2.70		7.43	P
9	MAJOR MACK									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						5.00		10%		8.60		2.99	S
6	PHENOMENAL DREAM									(shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121						15.00						60.51
8	ROPE A DOPE									(drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 114						12.00		5%		19.00		9.33
2	LATTA									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.00		★				3.34
10	GOOD NEWS ROCKET									(hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						15.00						12.39
7	PUCKSTER									(troiani ni)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121						20.00						70.84
3	COWBOY LUKE									(quartarol)LEPAROUX R 121						12.00						19.38
1	LUCKYASIWONSWAS									(warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 124						30.00						72.20
5	DIAMOND LORD									(foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121						10.00						14.36

CD-4			09/22/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($68K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	THE PRINCE'S SPUR									(bauer phil)CORRALES GERARDO 122						1.60		23%		3.40		2.15	W
5	BLACK POWDER									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.00		22%		3.60		1.55	P
6	ONTHESTAGE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117						6.00						12.60
1	FURIOUS ANGER									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122						6.00						10.37
7	OUR DREAM RYE'D									(stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 122						8.00		7%		13.00		7.10
2	SAINT IN THE CITY									(van tho)TORRES A 122						15.00		20%		4.10		12.93
3	I'M YOUR MAN									(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118						10.00						5.79

CD-5			09/22/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	RIGHTEOUS STAR									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						5.00						4.86
5	LORD BARANOF									(casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.50		41%		1.40		3.73	P
8	CAPO LUCA									(walden william)VAZQUEZ A 119						10.00						6.59
4	SUNNY MAGIC									(devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.50		31%		2.20		1.86
1	MORALLY									(hiles a)LANERIE J 119						12.00		5%		19.00		17.16
3	PENEI									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119						10.00						8.74
10	SKATER									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						8.00		★				8.50	DH
9	SKIP FACTOR									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119						8.00						10.43	DH
SCR	HAUNTED FLAME									(lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 112						10.00
SCR	MODERN MASTER									(brown cha)TORRES A 119						5.00		★

CD-6			09/22/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($10K)					Purse ($52K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	HOODLUM									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122						4.50						5.25
2	RIVER IN EGYPT									(oliv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122						30.00						44.88
6	ON A SPREE									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						1.80		34%		1.90		1.14	S
7	INDIAN GULCH									(van thomas)BEJARANO R 122						8.00		12%		7.70		5.10
4	ROCKET HOTSHOT									(rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 122						20.00						56.98
10	RIGHT TONE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117						10.00		5%		19.00		13.40
1	PROVERB									(joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 122						2.50		27%		2.70		2.44
8	PACE									(winters mi)CORRALES GERARDO 122						12.00						41.24
SCR	FORGE IN FIRE									(bahena ism)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122						30.00
SCR	NEPAL UP									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122						8.00

CD-7			09/22/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	CLAIRE'S CHARM									(bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 119						1.60		28%		2.50		0.33	W
		(by VIOLENCE out of HOPPA by UNCLE MO)
7	GIRL MATH									(brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119						8.00		15%		5.80		10.73	P
		(by MCKINZIE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
9	PRINCESS OF OMAHA									(mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119						20.00						45.51
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of FORCE TO EXCEL by VERRAZANO)
5	CALIFORNIA SUNSET									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.00		21%		3.90		6.48
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of REGAL BEAUTY by MALIBU MOON)
11	QUEEN JUBILEE									(beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 119						20.00						27.93
		(by AUTHENTIC out of PARTY STARTER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8	FORMAGGIO									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						20.00						59.78
		(by CANDY RIDE out of LAQUEZZA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4	HEREFORAGOODTIME									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00		16%		5.10		10.85
		(by JUSTIFY out of FIRST HOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12	CRIMSON SUN									(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119						12.00						10.16
		(by CURLIN out of PROSPECTOR'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR	BURIANA									(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						15.00
		(by JUSTIFY out of SUPER SAKS by SKY MESA)
SCR	GOLDEN GAMBLE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00
		(by LAOBAN out of ME AND MINE by BERNARDINI)
SCR	ME AND MOLLY MCGEE									(eurton pe)TORRES A 119						10.00
		(by VEKOMA out of MOLLY MCGEE by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR	MINNESOTA MUNNY									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						20.00
		(by MUNNINGS out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
SCR	MY SHOT									(amoss thomas)TORRES A 119						12.00
		(by CONSTITUTION out of COVENANT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)

CD-8			09/22/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($66K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	GETTYSBURG ADDRESS									(stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						5.00		32%		2.10		1.79	W
2	ON MY HONOR									(foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00						4.07
4	BEBEDOURO									(lobo h)ROMAN A 118						3.50						3.52
1	EPIC BATTLE									(hiles rick)LANERIE J 118						4.00		23%		3.40		1.64
6	COULDITBEMAJIC									(brennan t)BEALMEAR C 111						15.00		19%		4.40		15.96
SCR	PEEK									(arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						2.50
SCR	UNWORKABLE									(acevedo isra)MONCADA IRVING 113						20.00

CD-9			09/22/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	GOLD LUCK									(garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						2.50		35%		1.80		5.33	W
4	CONDEMN									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121						20.00						16.77
2	DEER DISTRICT									(romans dale)LANERIE J 121						4.00						3.91
1	MIDNIGHT ESCAPE									(brown h)BEJARANO R 121						30.00		5%		19.00		40.81
3	GOODASIWONSWAS									(warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 121						30.00						93.34
5	FORT WARREN									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121						3.50		21%		3.80		2.76
11	VITTORIO									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121						15.00		8%		11.30		33.45
7	SAHALAT									(mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 123						3.00		12%		7.40		4.13
8	NOT NORMAL									(murphy con)HERNANDEZ J 121						20.00						34.88
10	MIACOMET									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123						8.00						10.61
12	BILLY JACK									(west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 123						12.00						11.08
9	GILMORE									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						12.00						12.43

CD-10			09/22/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	SENIOR OFFICER									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121						3.50		23%		3.40		1.04	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOUTHERN RING by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6	TRUST ISSUES									(lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 121						5.00		26%		2.90		4.70	P
		(by ENTICED out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2	I'M MCDREAMY									(ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 121						15.00						44.45
		(by HARD SPUN out of NIGHT WITCH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
1	GOOD LORD									(amoss thomas)TORRES A 121						4.50						5.91
		(by LORD NELSON out of MALIBU PARTY by HARD SPUN)
9	UNCLE WILLIAM									(guida ant)CORREA L 124						6.00						13.11
		(by SHARP AZTECA out of AWESOME MARY by AWESOME AGAIN)
12	DU MONDE									(hill f)BEJARANO R 121						30.00						66.41
		(by STREET BOSS out of AFFAGATO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5	SNOOK									(lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 114						15.00						41.44
		(by POINT OF ENTRY out of BRIE'S SNOWFLAKE by TALE OF THE CAT)
8	ROWDY RIOT									(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121						12.00		5%		19.00		15.79
		(by RUNHAPPY out of AUGUSTA QUEEN by FORESTRY)
10	SHORTSTOP									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124						8.00		5%		19.00		6.95
		(by BLAME out of JULERETTE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4	BLUE LINE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116						6.00						31.48
		(by NYQUIST out of TAKECHARGEDELILAH by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
7	FLY J'S FUNTASTIC									(stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 121						20.00						######
		(by FUNTASTIC out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11	HALFWAY JOKING									(newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121						15.00		20%		4.10		20.82
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HALFWAY by TAPIT)
SCR	BRAVEN									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121						15.00
		(by AUDIBLE out of LETCHWORTH by TIZNOW)
SCR	NYQUIST FREQUENCY									(blair jor)TORRES A 121						4.00
		(by NYQUIST out of IS IT GOLD by INDYGO SHINER)
SCR	SKYLER									(barrett ro)CORRALES GERARDO 124						20.00
		(by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MY BLUE SKY by SKY MESA)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.