Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (4/11/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (4/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (6/1/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (6/5/7/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-10   Win (6/3/11/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   09/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAWKAB Aug05 Jul09 Mar17 Jan07 Dec16 (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
EXPRESS CRUISER Jul13 Jun12 May19 Apr27 Apr04 (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCENCY Jul31 Jul18 Jun07 May04 Apr25 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
JAY VEE BEE Aug14 May25 May12 Jun22 May12 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
CASHMEUP Aug19 Jul20 Jul05 Jun15 May25 (miller jerom)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
FIRST STRIKE Apr14 Mar01 Feb02 Apr15 Feb11 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
ETHEREAL ROAD Jul22 Mar30 Mar02 Jan13 Nov25 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00    
 
CD-2   09/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY EUGENE Jul27 Jun26 Jun07 May17 Jan25 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
CIRCLE BACK JACK Aug29 May16 May03 Mar24 Mar02 (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 5.00    
FITZPATRICK Aug12 Jul15 Jun28 Jun12 May10 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
ROBO MAN Aug20 Aug08 Jul13 Jun12 May16 (holden darra)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 6% 15.90    
KNICKS STORY Jul04 May25 May11 Jan03 Oct30 (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
W W CRAZY Jul29 Jul15 May25 Apr20 Apr05 (lauer michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
 
CD-3   09/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKYASIWONSWAS Sep04 Jul21 Jun27     (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
LATTA Aug17 Jul28 Nov11 Oct07   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
COWBOY LUKE Aug17 Jul24 May30 Apr24 Oct07 (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 121 12.00    
STARSCAPE Aug18 Oct07       (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
DIAMOND LORD Aug18 Mar13 Feb17     (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
PHENOMENAL DREAM Aug04 Jun07 May11 Apr20 Mar28 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00    
PUCKSTER Sep09 Jun23 May18 Feb29 Oct29 (troiani nicc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00    
ROPE A DOPE Mar13         (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAJOR MACK Aug29 Jun12 Apr27 Apr12 Mar08 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 10% 8.60    
10  GOOD NEWS ROCKET Aug25 Aug06 Jul02 Sep03 Aug20 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
11  J J'S RANGER Aug17 Jul15 Jun30 Apr20 Mar23 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
CD-4   09/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FURIOUS ANGER Jul18 Jun23 May30 Mar16 Jan14 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00    
SAINT IN THE CITY Aug12 Jun06 Apr28 Mar16 Apr29 (van thoma)TORRES A 122 15.00 20% 4.10    
I'M YOUR MAN Jul21 Jun29 May31 May05 Mar23 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
THE PRINCE'S SPUR Jun06 Apr12 Mar07 Nov24 Sep28 (bauer philip)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.60 23% 3.40    
BLACK POWDER Sep01 Aug03 Jun19 May24 Apr21 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
ONTHESTAGE Aug12 Jun29 May18 Apr13 Mar22 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 6.00    
OUR DREAM RYE'D Aug18 Jul21 Jul04 May27 Apr18 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
 
CD-5   09/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORALLY Aug29 Aug15       (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAUNTED FLAME Aug19 Jul05       (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 10.00    
PENEI Aug24 Aug17       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
SUNNY MAGIC Jul14 Jun08       (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
LORD BARANOF         (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 41% 1.40    
MODERN MASTER Aug18         (brown chad )TORRES A 119 5.00    
RIGHTEOUS STAR Aug26 Aug12       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
CAPO LUCA Aug31         (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00    
SKIP FACTOR Aug05         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
10  SKATER Sep07         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
 
CD-6   09/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVERB Jun28 May19 Apr18 Mar14 Feb25 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
RIVER IN EGYPT Jul07 May25 Apr20 Mar25 Feb10 (olivo )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 30.00    
SCR  NEPAL UP May17 Apr20 Apr05 Feb17 Oct20 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
ROCKET HOTSHOT Sep01 Aug08 Jul18 Jun30 Jun02 (rodriguez )RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
HOODLUM Jul20 May17 Apr21 Mar22 Mar06 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50    
ON A SPREE Aug01 May17 Apr06 Mar15 Dec02 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
INDIAN GULCH May05 Feb17 Nov16 Oct10 Jul18 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 12% 7.70    
PACE Jul29 Jun13 May14 Apr29 May16 (winters mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00    
SCR  FORGE IN FIRE Aug26 Aug05 May25 May01 Apr14 (bahena ismae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 30.00    
10  RIGHT TONE Jul03 Jun21 Apr30 Apr06 Mar01 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MINNESOTA MUNNY Sep05 Aug13       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
CLAIRE'S CHARM Aug18         (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.60 28% 2.50    
SCR  ME AND MOLLY MCGEE         (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 10.00    
HEREFORAGOODTIME Jul29 Jun21       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
CALIFORNIA SUNSET         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  BURIANA Aug18 Jul28 Jun26     (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
GIRL MATH Aug25         (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 15% 5.80    
FORMAGGIO Aug25         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
PRINCESS OF OMAHA Aug23 Jun16       (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
SCR  MY SHOT Jul28         (amoss m)TORRES A 119 12.00    
11  QUEEN JUBILEE         (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
12  CRIMSON SUN         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN GAMBLE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
 
CD-8   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIC BATTLE Aug17 Jul21 Jun19 May30 May09 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
ON MY HONOR Aug03 Jun16 Mar16 Feb24   (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
SCR  PEEK Jul21 Jun13 May11 Nov24 Oct06 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50    
BEBEDOURO Aug17 Jul20 Jun16 May11 Apr06 (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 3.50    
GETTYSBURG ADDRESS Aug13 Jun23 May04 Apr06 Mar08 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
COULDITBEMAJIC Sep15 Aug13 Jul15 Jun24   (brennan ter)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  UNWORKABLE Sep04 Aug06       (acevedo israel)MONCADA IRVING 113 20.00    
 
CD-9   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Aug04 Jul15 Jul02 Jun08 May16 (brown h)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
DEER DISTRICT Jul20 Jun19 Feb08 Jan20 Jul28 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 4.00    
GOODASIWONSWAS Aug13 Jul10 Mar15 Feb10 Nov10 (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
CONDEMN Jun14 May24 Apr25 Mar22 Feb03 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
FORT WARREN Jul22 Jun16 May03 Jun10 May19 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
GOLD LUCK Jun21 Jun07 May12 Apr07 Mar22 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
SAHALAT Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 May12 Aug19 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 123 3.00 12% 7.40    
NOT NORMAL Aug11 Jul20 May04 Apr10 Feb22 (murphy conor)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
GILMORE Aug12 Jul22 Apr21 Mar02 Jan27 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00    
10  MIACOMET Aug25 Aug04 Aug13 May28 Apr26 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
11  VITTORIO Aug25 Oct25 Sep16 Aug13 Jul08 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 8% 11.30    
12  BILLY JACK Aug23 Dec09 Oct15 Aug26 Aug04 (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 123 12.00    
 
CD-10   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD LORD Aug10 Dec23 Nov24 Oct29   (amoss m)TORRES A 121 4.50    
I'M MCDREAMY         (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00    
SENIOR OFFICER         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
BLUE LINE Aug10 Oct18       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00    
SNOOK         (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 114 15.00    
TRUST ISSUES Aug31 Jul28 Dec14 Nov10   (lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 26% 2.90    
FLY J'S FUNTASTIC Aug10 Jul20       (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
ROWDY RIOT Aug29 Jul28 Aug20     (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE WILLIAM Aug10 Jun30 Jan06 Dec08 Nov04 (guida antho)CORREA L 124 6.00    
10  SHORTSTOP Jul07 Sep23 Jan06     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  HALFWAY JOKING Aug27 Jan05       (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 20% 4.10    
12  DU MONDE Aug25 Jul28 Jun16 May24 Apr24 (hill f)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
SCR  NYQUIST FREQUENCY Nov12 Oct18 Sep17     (blair jorda)TORRES A 121 4.00    
SCR  SKYLER         (barrett rodd)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00    
SCR  BRAVEN Mar07 Feb16       (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.