Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (6/2/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $7.84  
CD-2   Win (6/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.44 $4.44  
CD-3   Win (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $13.04 $13.04 7.04
CD-4   Win (10/9/11/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $11.84 $11.84 1.84
CD-5   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.18  
CD-6   Win (9/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $14.14  
CD-7   Win (9/13/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $53.70  
CD-8   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $12.58 $12.58 8.58
CD-9   Win (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.24 $3.24  
CD-10   Win (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.56 $8.56 0.56
CD-11   Win (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $8.02  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 1 4 21½ 2½   12½ 13½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 2.92  
6  GUN BARREL 6 8 73¾ 42   22½ 23½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.00 44% 1.30 2.67 P
4  KISTLER 4 10 85¾ 64   33½ 34¼ (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 11% 7.90 4.76 S
5  SKYLER 5 6 53 32   44½ 47 (barrett rodd)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00 9% 10.60 52.97  
3  UNCLE TUFFY 3 9 108¾ 108¾   77¼ 58¾ (pinzon maria)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 15.00 5% 19.00 29.29  
2  GETOUTYOURWALLET 2 5 63½ 86¼   67 69 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 11% 7.90 7.20  
7  STORMIN LOVE 7 7 96¼ 76   87¾ 710¾ (lobo h)ROMAN A 121 12.00 15.11  
8  PAPA ALDEN 8 1 11½ 1½   54½ 813¾ (kerrick lacy)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 22.27  
9  SESAME STREEK 9 3 32 96¼   1011¼ 914¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 7.32  
10  LUCCHESI 10 2 42 53   910¼ 1016½ (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 7.83  
 
CD-2   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:214 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TELL ME WHEN 3 2 1nk 12½   14 11¾ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 121 2.50 19% 4.40 1.22 W
6  GHOSTLY NIGHT 6 4 52½ 53¾   24 21¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 26% 2.90 6.12 P
1  LIL TOWN SIS 1 6 65½ 65¼   35½ 34½ (forster t)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 5.36  
4  HONEY RUN 4 7 713½ 713¼   713½ 412½ (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 121 15.00 5% 19.00 32.75  
2  MY MY MUNNY 2 3 2nk 22½   46½ 512½ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00 13.88  
5  CACTUS FLOWER 5 1 3½ 32½   57½ 615 (matthews randy)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 23% 3.30 4.80  
7  YOLO CALLS 7 5 41 43½   610½ 727¼ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 4.08  
 
CD-3   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:212 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MUMAYAZ 5 2 42½ 42   2nk 1nk (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 12% 7.10 5.52 W
3  TAGLIATELLE 2 5 54½ 52½   1nk 2nk (foster eric)TORRES A 118 4.50 2.93  
7  ABADIN 6 1 2½ 3½   3½ 35 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 41% 1.50 0.95 S
5  HUNTER JOHN 4 3 1½ 1nk   4¾ 47 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 121 10.00 8.77  
4  EL QUESO GRANDE 3 4 66 66½   65¼ 58¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 9.71  
2  FLOTATION STATION 1 6 31½ 2nk   51¾ 610¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 8% 11.00 9.36  
SCR  WAKE SURF               (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
 
CD-4   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TERRAPIN STATION 10 1 31 31½   2½ 12 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 7% 13.50 4.92 W
3  LIL MUGGS 3 2 2½ 21½   31½ 22 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.07 P
2  D BIGALOW 2 3 1½ 11½   1½ 32½ (richard tobious)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.85 S
12  RAVENS DREAM 11 7 62½ 43   43½ 44½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 10.70  
9  MISCHIEVOUS TIME 8 8 74 64½   65½ 56¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 25% 3.00 9.25  
5  CRISIS MANAGER 4 11 96 99½   78 68¼ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 119 10.00 6.03  
10  ATLAL 9 4 52 53½   54½ 79½ (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 26% 2.80 2.29  
7  VERMELHO 6 5 108 1010   910½ 811¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5.88  
1  SWIRLING EIGHTS 1 6 41½ 76½   810 917 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 8.70  
6  STREET MO 5 10 119 1111   1013½ 1018½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 13.82  
8  SERKETAS 7 9 85½ 89   1115 1122½ (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 66.66  
SCR  MIDNITE IN FINLEY               (ewing michael )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
 
CD-5   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHAMPLIN 4 1 11 1½   11½ 12¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 1.59  
1  GULFPORT 1 3 31½ 32   21½ 22¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 2.03  
5  GILCREASE 5 4 53 53½   55 33¾ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.17 S
3  OSBOURNE 3 5 64 65   45 44½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 8.57  
6  SWEET CHERRY PIE 6 6 21 2½   33½ 57 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 32% 2.10 2.48  
2  LOVE THE NEST 2 2 41½ 42½   66 69 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 23% 3.40 20.03  
 
CD-6   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:123     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAD ABOUT MARIE 4 2 64¾ 43   22½ 1½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 6.07  
9  ANNA'S PROMISE 6 5 11½ 1½   12½ 2½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50 28% 2.60 3.58 P
1  BOUTWELL TIME 1 3 21½ 32   32½ 32¼ (shirer matt)TORRES A 119 6.00 22% 3.50 2.93 S
8  MY SHOT 5 6 31½ 2½   47½ 416½ (amoss m)TORRES A 119 5.00 4.39  
5  GHOSTTAPPER 3 1 41¾ 53   511 521¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 2.22  
2  KEEPTHEPARTYGOING 2 4 53¼ 66   613 624¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.67  
SCR  MISS QUE SERA               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  REECHO               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  SILVER FLAME               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  WESTERN WOMAN               (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 9:04
See original race card.
:212 :45 :58     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MCDUDE 3 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 1nk (ortiz al)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 25.85  
5  PREPOSITION 4 5 45¾ 68   57½ 2nk (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 14.79  
2  CASTLE RUN 1 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 32¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 7% 13.90 2.67 S
8  CODE OF JUSTICE 6 2 55¾ 45½   45½ 43¼ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 4.00 4.88  
3  GENERATIVE 2 8 815 813½   610 53¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 7% 13.90 18.70  
9  TSWALU 7 6 3.2 31   33½ 64 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 48% 1.10 1.48  
7  GRIM REAPER 5 7 66 57   711½ 717¼ (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 6.26  
13  EDIFICE 8 4 77½ 78½   814 819¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 11% 8.50 11.69  
SCR  CAPTAIN COOK               (casse w)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
SCR  CORNHUSKERCHRIS               (pessin l)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
SCR  FLOATING SMOKEY               (mcgoey monica)POSTON K 109 30.00    
SCR  FRAMEWORK               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
SCR  TRIPLE UP               (molloy thom)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
 
CD-8   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Ack Ack Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:37
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THREE TECHNIQUE 4 4 42½ 42½ 41¾ 4¾ 11½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 6% 16.90 5.29 W
1  TUMBARUMBA 1 2 1nk 1½ 2nk 2nk 21½ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 42% 1.40 1.60 P
3  CAGLIOSTRO 3 3 3½ 31 3.2 3.2 33½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 0.83  
2  STAGE RAIDER 2 1 2nk 2½ 1nk 1nk 44½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 6.94  
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE               (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  MUFASA (CHI)               (correas igna)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
SCR  SAUDI CROWN               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 0.80    
 
CD-9   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 F PT-10:09
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:14 1:384   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOOD CHEER 3 5 55 43½ 11 16 117 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.40 52% 0.90 0.62 W
7  ADEERA 5 2 22 33 21 26 217 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 25% 3.10 4.06 P
1  LA MARINERA 1 3 12 13 31½ 38½ 319½ (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 6.37  
6  HEARTS UNITED 4 1 43½ 54½ 45 412 419½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.97  
3  TALKSALOT 2 4 32½ 23 59½ 517 530 (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 15.01  
SCR  CHATTANOOGA CREW               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
SCR  TOTAL HEART               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
CD-10   09/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Lukas Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:12 1:372   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIT SHOW 6 4 42½ 43½ 42½ 2nk 1¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 13% 6.90 3.28 W
4  COOKE CREEK 4 2 1½ 1½ 11 1nk 2¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 4.29  
2  RATTLE N ROLL 2 5 65½ 67 56½ 44½ 33¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 59% 0.70 4.57 S
5  DISARM 5 7 87¼ 88½ 78 55 44 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 8% 12.30 1.98  
8  WARRIOR JOHNY 8 6 31 31 21 34 58 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 4.76  
7  BOLZY 7 3 52½ 55½ 66½ 66 610¾ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 28.81  
1  STILLETO BOY 1 1 2½ 2½ 31½ 78 714½ (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 20.00 25.56  
3  HAPPY AMERICAN 3 8 77 78 89 812 839 (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 20.00 31.57  
 
CD-11   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-11:08
See original race card.
:213 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  REMI'S MOON 6 8 88 74½   33 1¾ (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 3.01  
11  FIREFIGHT 8 1 5¾ 2½   1nk 2¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 4.15  
1  VELOCIRAPTOR 1 2 1nk 1½   2nk 33¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 20% 4.10 3.71 S
6  LIVEHAPPY 3 7 63¾ 64½   56½ 410¼ (estvanko richard)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 ★ 7.84  
10  KENMORE WEST 7 3 4¾ 42½   46 511 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 14.27  
2  KOSHER CAPONE 2 6 74 85   67½ 614¾ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 15.49  
7  BOURBON BOSS 4 5 2nk 54   813 726½ (mott riley)TORRES A 120 3.50 58% 0.70 3.64  
8  MISCHIEVOUS M 5 4 3.2 32   710½ 826½ (vance d)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.79  
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR)               (cook brian)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
SCR  NIGHTNTHEQUARTER               (milligan ed)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  WALSTIB               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.