Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $13.04 $7.04 117%
    DD (6/5/3/4)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $22.48 $10.48 87%
CD-4   WIN (10/9/11/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $11.84 $1.84 18%
    EXA (10/9/11/2/3)-(10/9/11/2/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  11-3 $174.82 $134.82 337%
    TRI (10/9/11/2/3)-(10/9/11/2/3)-(10/9/11/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  11-3-2 $981.23 $951.23 3171%
    DD (7/6/2)-(10/9/11/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-11 $50.59 $35.59 237%
    PK3 (6/5/3/4)-(7/6/2)-(10/9/11/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-6-11 $108.75 $78.75 263%
CD-8   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $12.58 $8.58 215%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-1 $29.34 $25.34 634%
CD-9   DD (1/5)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-5 $15.90 $9.90 165%
CD-10   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $8.56 $0.56 7%
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/7/6)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-5-6 $49.10 $37.10 309%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 2.92  
6  GUN BARREL   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.00 44% 1.30 2.67 P
4  KISTLER   (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 11% 7.90 4.76 S
5  SKYLER   (barrett ro)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00 9% 10.60 52.97  
3  UNCLE TUFFY   (pinzon maria)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 15.00 5% 19.00 29.29  
2  GETOUTYOURWALLET   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 11% 7.90 7.20  
7  STORMIN LOVE   (lobo h)ROMAN A 121 12.00 15.11  
8  PAPA ALDEN   (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 22.27  
9  SESAME STREEK   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 7.32  
10  LUCCHESI   (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 7.83  
 
CD-2   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TELL ME WHEN   (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 121 2.50 19% 4.40 1.22 W
6  GHOSTLY NIGHT   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 26% 2.90 6.12 P
1  LIL TOWN SIS   (forster grant )ORTIZ L 121 4.00 5.36  
4  HONEY RUN   (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 121 15.00 5% 19.00 32.75  
2  MY MY MUNNY   (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00 13.88  
5  CACTUS FLOWER   (matthews rand)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 23% 3.30 4.80  
7  YOLO CALLS   (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 4.08  
 
CD-3   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MUMAYAZ   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 12% 7.10 5.52 W
3  TAGLIATELLE   (foster er)TORRES A 118 4.50 2.93  
7  ABADIN   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 41% 1.50 0.95 S
5  HUNTER JOHN   (ortiz a)TORRES A 121 10.00 8.77  
4  EL QUESO GRANDE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 9.71  
2  FLOTATION STATION   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 8% 11.00 9.36  
SCR  WAKE SURF   (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
 
CD-4   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 7:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TERRAPIN STATION   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 7% 13.50 4.92 W
  (by UNIFIED out of CAREFREE HIGHWAY by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  LIL MUGGS   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.07 P
  (by UPSTART out of C ISLANDSURPRISE by BADGE OF SILVER)
2  D BIGALOW   (richard tobiou)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.85 S
  (by BAYERN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
12  RAVENS DREAM   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 10.70  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SALLY RIDE by TAPIT)
9  MISCHIEVOUS TIME   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 25% 3.00 9.25  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DAISY MASON by ORIENTATE (GB))
5  CRISIS MANAGER   (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 10.00 6.03  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WILBURNMONEY by WILBURN)
10  ATLAL   (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 26% 2.80 2.29  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ATHEER by MALIBU MOON)
7  VERMELHO   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5.88  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
1  SWIRLING EIGHTS   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 8.70  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HACHI by SEEKING THE DIA)
6  STREET MO   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 13.82  
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  SERKETAS   (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 66.66  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of TAYLOR'S SPIRIT by ALGORITHMS)
SCR  MIDNITE IN FINLEY   (ewing michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of TENGGARA by SUPER SAVER)
 
CD-5   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHAMPLIN   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 1.59  
1  GULFPORT   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 2.03  
5  GILCREASE   (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.17 S
3  OSBOURNE   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 8.57  
6  SWEET CHERRY PIE   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 32% 2.10 2.48  
2  LOVE THE NEST   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 23% 3.40 20.03  
 
CD-6   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 8:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAD ABOUT MARIE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 6.07  
9  ANNA'S PROMISE   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50 28% 2.60 3.58 P
1  BOUTWELL TIME   (shirer ma)TORRES A 119 6.00 22% 3.50 2.93 S
8  MY SHOT   (amoss thomas)TORRES A 119 5.00 4.39  
5  GHOSTTAPPER   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 2.22  
2  KEEPTHEPARTYGOING   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.67  
SCR  MISS QUE SERA   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  REECHO   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  SILVER FLAME   (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  WESTERN WOMAN   (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 9:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MCDUDE   (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 25.85  
  (by MCKINZIE out of JANIS'S JOY by BROKEN VOW)
5  PREPOSITION   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 14.79  
  (by TAPIT out of MODIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  CASTLE RUN   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 7% 13.90 2.67 S
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SEASONED WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  CODE OF JUSTICE   (lukas wayn)TORRES A 119 4.00 4.88  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MEAL TICKET by MALIBU MOON)
3  GENERATIVE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 7% 13.90 18.70  
  (by MCKINZIE out of COURTISANE by SILVER FINDER)
9  TSWALU   (bauer a)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 48% 1.10 1.48  
  (by AUDIBLE out of MY MO by UNCLE MO)
7  GRIM REAPER   (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 6.26  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SPRING ECLIPSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
13  EDIFICE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 11% 8.50 11.69  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MADISON SQUARE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CAPTAIN COOK   (casse w)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of POW WOW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  CORNHUSKERCHRIS   (pessin neil )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of TOWN TOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  FLOATING SMOKEY   (mcgoey moni)POSTON K 109 30.00    
  (by COSTA RISING out of MAJOR THUHA by MAJOR DUOMO)
SCR  FRAMEWORK   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of STRUCTURE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  TRIPLE UP   (molloy th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
  (by UPSTART out of TRIPLE O' FIVE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
CD-8   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Ack Ack Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THREE TECHNIQUE   (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 6% 16.90 5.29 W
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1  TUMBARUMBA   (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 42% 1.40 1.60 P
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of NAIVE ENOUGH by STREET SENSE)
3  CAGLIOSTRO   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 0.83  
  (by UPSTART out of A ROSEFOR ISABELLE by HARD SPUN)
2  STAGE RAIDER   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 6.94  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of STAGE MAGIC by LAOMEDONTE)
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE   (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of ARCH ENEMY by ARCH)
SCR  MUFASA (CHI)   (correas ig)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISCANTI by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SAUDI CROWN   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 0.80    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of NEW NARRATION by TAPIT)
 
CD-9   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 F PT-10:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOOD CHEER   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.40 52% 0.90 0.62 W
7  ADEERA   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 25% 3.10 4.06 P
1  LA MARINERA   (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 6.37  
6  HEARTS UNITED   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.97  
3  TALKSALOT   (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 15.01  
SCR  CHATTANOOGA CREW   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
SCR  TOTAL HEART   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
CD-10   09/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Lukas Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIT SHOW   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 13% 6.90 3.28 W
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ACTRESS by TAPIT)
4  COOKE CREEK   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 4.29  
  (by UNCLE MO out of GENRE by BERNARDINI)
2  RATTLE N ROLL   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 59% 0.70 4.57 S
  (by CONNECT out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
5  DISARM   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 8% 12.30 1.98  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of EASY TAP by TAPIT)
8  WARRIOR JOHNY   (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 4.76  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WARRIOR GIRL by WAR CHANT)
7  BOLZY   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 28.81  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
1  STILLETO BOY   (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 20.00 25.56  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ROSIE'S RANSOM by MARQUETRY)
3  HAPPY AMERICAN   (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 20.00 31.57  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of QUEEN OF AMERICA by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
CD-11   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-11:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  REMI'S MOON   (sims phili)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 3.01  
  (by ENTICED out of E MOON by MALIBU MOON)
11  FIREFIGHT   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 4.15  
  (by WAR FRONT out of CACHE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1  VELOCIRAPTOR   (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 20% 4.10 3.71 S
  (by ACCELERATE out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  LIVEHAPPY   (estvanko richar)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 ★ 7.84  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  KENMORE WEST   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 14.27  
  (by WEST COAST out of IT'S BEEN NICE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  KOSHER CAPONE   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 15.49  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EXPERIENCE by EXCELLENT ART (GB))
7  BOURBON BOSS   (mott rile)TORRES A 120 3.50 58% 0.70 3.64  
  (by STREET BOSS out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
8  MISCHIEVOUS M   (vance thomas)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.79  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FOREVER LOYAL by COLOR BEARER)
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR)   (cook brian)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY GI GI by E DUBAI)
SCR  NIGHTNTHEQUARTER   (milligan )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LOUISIANA TIMES by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  WALSTIB   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of TERESKA by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.