Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $13.04 $7.04 117%
    DD (6/5/3/4)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $22.48 $10.48 87%
CD-4   WIN (10/9/11/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $11.84 $1.84 18%
    EXA (10/9/11/2/3)-(10/9/11/2/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  11-3 $174.82 $134.82 337%
    TRI (10/9/11/2/3)-(10/9/11/2/3)-(10/9/11/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  11-3-2 $981.23 $951.23 3171%
    DD (7/6/2)-(10/9/11/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-11 $50.59 $35.59 237%
    PK3 (6/5/3/4)-(7/6/2)-(10/9/11/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-6-11 $108.75 $78.75 263%
CD-8   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $12.58 $8.58 215%
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-1 $29.34 $25.34 634%
CD-9   DD (1/5)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-5 $15.90 $9.90 165%
CD-10   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $8.56 $0.56 7%
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/7/6)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-5-6 $49.10 $37.10 309%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 1 4 21½ 2½   12½ 13½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 2.92  
6  GUN BARREL 6 8 73¾ 42   22½ 23½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.00 44% 1.30 2.67 P
4  KISTLER 4 10 85¾ 64   33½ 34¼ (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 11% 7.90 4.76 S
5  SKYLER 5 6 53 32   44½ 47 (barrett ro)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00 9% 10.60 52.97  
3  UNCLE TUFFY 3 9 108¾ 108¾   77¼ 58¾ (pinzon maria)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 15.00 5% 19.00 29.29  
2  GETOUTYOURWALLET 2 5 63½ 86¼   67 69 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 11% 7.90 7.20  
7  STORMIN LOVE 7 7 96¼ 76   87¾ 710¾ (lobo h)ROMAN A 121 12.00 15.11  
8  PAPA ALDEN 8 1 11½ 1½   54½ 813¾ (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 22.27  
9  SESAME STREEK 9 3 32 96¼   1011¼ 914¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 7.32  
10  LUCCHESI 10 2 42 53   910¼ 1016½ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 7.83  
 
CD-2   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:214 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TELL ME WHEN 3 2 1nk 12½   14 11¾ (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 121 2.50 19% 4.40 1.22 W
6  GHOSTLY NIGHT 6 4 52½ 53¾   24 21¾ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 26% 2.90 6.12 P
1  LIL TOWN SIS 1 6 65½ 65¼   35½ 34½ (forster grant )ORTIZ L 121 4.00 5.36  
4  HONEY RUN 4 7 713½ 713¼   713½ 412½ (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 121 15.00 5% 19.00 32.75  
2  MY MY MUNNY 2 3 2nk 22½   46½ 512½ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00 13.88  
5  CACTUS FLOWER 5 1 3½ 32½   57½ 615 (matthews rand)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 23% 3.30 4.80  
7  YOLO CALLS 7 5 41 43½   610½ 727¼ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 4.08  
 
CD-3   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:212 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MUMAYAZ 5 2 42½ 42   2nk 1nk (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 12% 7.10 5.52 W
3  TAGLIATELLE 2 5 54½ 52½   1nk 2nk (foster er)TORRES A 118 4.50 2.93  
7  ABADIN 6 1 2½ 3½   3½ 35 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 41% 1.50 0.95 S
5  HUNTER JOHN 4 3 1½ 1nk   4¾ 47 (ortiz a)TORRES A 121 10.00 8.77  
4  EL QUESO GRANDE 3 4 66 66½   65¼ 58¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 9.71  
2  FLOTATION STATION 1 6 31½ 2nk   51¾ 610¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 8% 11.00 9.36  
SCR  WAKE SURF               (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
 
CD-4   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TERRAPIN STATION 10 1 31 31½   2½ 12 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 7% 13.50 4.92 W
  (by UNIFIED out of CAREFREE HIGHWAY by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  LIL MUGGS 3 2 2½ 21½   31½ 22 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.07 P
  (by UPSTART out of C ISLANDSURPRISE by BADGE OF SILVER)
2  D BIGALOW 2 3 1½ 11½   1½ 32½ (richard tobiou)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.85 S
  (by BAYERN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
12  RAVENS DREAM 11 7 62½ 43   43½ 44½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 10.70  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SALLY RIDE by TAPIT)
9  MISCHIEVOUS TIME 8 8 74 64½   65½ 56¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 25% 3.00 9.25  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DAISY MASON by ORIENTATE (GB))
5  CRISIS MANAGER 4 11 96 99½   78 68¼ (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 10.00 6.03  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WILBURNMONEY by WILBURN)
10  ATLAL 9 4 52 53½   54½ 79½ (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 26% 2.80 2.29  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ATHEER by MALIBU MOON)
7  VERMELHO 6 5 108 1010   910½ 811¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5.88  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
1  SWIRLING EIGHTS 1 6 41½ 76½   810 917 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 8.70  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HACHI by SEEKING THE DIA)
6  STREET MO 5 10 119 1111   1013½ 1018½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 13.82  
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  SERKETAS 7 9 85½ 89   1115 1122½ (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 66.66  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of TAYLOR'S SPIRIT by ALGORITHMS)
SCR  MIDNITE IN FINLEY               (ewing michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of TENGGARA by SUPER SAVER)
 
CD-5   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :444 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHAMPLIN 4 1 11 1½   11½ 12¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80 1.59  
1  GULFPORT 1 3 31½ 32   21½ 22¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 2.03  
5  GILCREASE 5 4 53 53½   55 33¾ (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 16.17 S
3  OSBOURNE 3 5 64 65   45 44½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 8.57  
6  SWEET CHERRY PIE 6 6 21 2½   33½ 57 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 32% 2.10 2.48  
2  LOVE THE NEST 2 2 41½ 42½   66 69 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 23% 3.40 20.03  
 
CD-6   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:123     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAD ABOUT MARIE 4 2 64¾ 43   22½ 1½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 6.07  
9  ANNA'S PROMISE 6 5 11½ 1½   12½ 2½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50 28% 2.60 3.58 P
1  BOUTWELL TIME 1 3 21½ 32   32½ 32¼ (shirer ma)TORRES A 119 6.00 22% 3.50 2.93 S
8  MY SHOT 5 6 31½ 2½   47½ 416½ (amoss thomas)TORRES A 119 5.00 4.39  
5  GHOSTTAPPER 3 1 41¾ 53   511 521¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 2.22  
2  KEEPTHEPARTYGOING 2 4 53¼ 66   613 624¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.67  
SCR  MISS QUE SERA               (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  REECHO               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  SILVER FLAME               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  WESTERN WOMAN               (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 9:04
See original race card.
:212 :45 :58     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MCDUDE 3 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 1nk (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 25.85  
  (by MCKINZIE out of JANIS'S JOY by BROKEN VOW)
5  PREPOSITION 4 5 45¾ 68   57½ 2nk (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 14.79  
  (by TAPIT out of MODIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  CASTLE RUN 1 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 32¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 7% 13.90 2.67 S
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SEASONED WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  CODE OF JUSTICE 6 2 55¾ 45½   45½ 43¼ (lukas wayn)TORRES A 119 4.00 4.88  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MEAL TICKET by MALIBU MOON)
3  GENERATIVE 2 8 815 813½   610 53¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 7% 13.90 18.70  
  (by MCKINZIE out of COURTISANE by SILVER FINDER)
9  TSWALU 7 6 3.2 31   33½ 64 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 48% 1.10 1.48  
  (by AUDIBLE out of MY MO by UNCLE MO)
7  GRIM REAPER 5 7 66 57   711½ 717¼ (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 6.26  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SPRING ECLIPSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
13  EDIFICE 8 4 77½ 78½   814 819¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 11% 8.50 11.69  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MADISON SQUARE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CAPTAIN COOK               (casse w)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of POW WOW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  CORNHUSKERCHRIS               (pessin neil )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of TOWN TOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  FLOATING SMOKEY               (mcgoey moni)POSTON K 109 30.00    
  (by COSTA RISING out of MAJOR THUHA by MAJOR DUOMO)
SCR  FRAMEWORK               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of STRUCTURE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  TRIPLE UP               (molloy th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
  (by UPSTART out of TRIPLE O' FIVE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
CD-8   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Ack Ack Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:37
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THREE TECHNIQUE 4 4 42½ 42½ 41¾ 4¾ 11½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 6% 16.90 5.29 W
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1  TUMBARUMBA 1 2 1nk 1½ 2nk 2nk 21½ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 42% 1.40 1.60 P
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of NAIVE ENOUGH by STREET SENSE)
3  CAGLIOSTRO 3 3 3½ 31 3.2 3.2 33½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 0.83  
  (by UPSTART out of A ROSEFOR ISABELLE by HARD SPUN)
2  STAGE RAIDER 2 1 2nk 2½ 1nk 1nk 44½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 6.94  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of STAGE MAGIC by LAOMEDONTE)
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE               (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of ARCH ENEMY by ARCH)
SCR  MUFASA (CHI)               (correas ig)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISCANTI by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SAUDI CROWN               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 0.80    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of NEW NARRATION by TAPIT)
 
CD-9   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 F PT-10:09
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:14 1:384   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOOD CHEER 3 5 55 43½ 11 16 117 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.40 52% 0.90 0.62 W
7  ADEERA 5 2 22 33 21 26 217 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 25% 3.10 4.06 P
1  LA MARINERA 1 3 12 13 31½ 38½ 319½ (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 6.37  
6  HEARTS UNITED 4 1 43½ 54½ 45 412 419½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.97  
3  TALKSALOT 2 4 32½ 23 59½ 517 530 (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 15.01  
SCR  CHATTANOOGA CREW               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
SCR  TOTAL HEART               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
CD-10   09/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Lukas Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:12 1:372   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIT SHOW 6 4 42½ 43½ 42½ 2nk 1¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 13% 6.90 3.28 W
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ACTRESS by TAPIT)
4  COOKE CREEK 4 2 1½ 1½ 11 1nk 2¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 4.29  
  (by UNCLE MO out of GENRE by BERNARDINI)
2  RATTLE N ROLL 2 5 65½ 67 56½ 44½ 33¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 59% 0.70 4.57 S
  (by CONNECT out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
5  DISARM 5 7 87¼ 88½ 78 55 44 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 8% 12.30 1.98  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of EASY TAP by TAPIT)
8  WARRIOR JOHNY 8 6 31 31 21 34 58 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 4.76  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WARRIOR GIRL by WAR CHANT)
7  BOLZY 7 3 52½ 55½ 66½ 66 610¾ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 28.81  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
1  STILLETO BOY 1 1 2½ 2½ 31½ 78 714½ (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 20.00 25.56  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of ROSIE'S RANSOM by MARQUETRY)
3  HAPPY AMERICAN 3 8 77 78 89 812 839 (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 20.00 31.57  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of QUEEN OF AMERICA by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
CD-11   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-11:08
See original race card.
:213 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  REMI'S MOON 6 8 88 74½   33 1¾ (sims phili)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 3.01  
  (by ENTICED out of E MOON by MALIBU MOON)
11  FIREFIGHT 8 1 5¾ 2½   1nk 2¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 4.15  
  (by WAR FRONT out of CACHE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1  VELOCIRAPTOR 1 2 1nk 1½   2nk 33¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 20% 4.10 3.71 S
  (by ACCELERATE out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  LIVEHAPPY 3 7 63¾ 64½   56½ 410¼ (estvanko richar)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 ★ 7.84  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  KENMORE WEST 7 3 4¾ 42½   46 511 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 14.27  
  (by WEST COAST out of IT'S BEEN NICE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  KOSHER CAPONE 2 6 74 85   67½ 614¾ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 15.49  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EXPERIENCE by EXCELLENT ART (GB))
7  BOURBON BOSS 4 5 2nk 54   813 726½ (mott rile)TORRES A 120 3.50 58% 0.70 3.64  
  (by STREET BOSS out of ARISIA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
8  MISCHIEVOUS M 5 4 3.2 32   710½ 826½ (vance thomas)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.79  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FOREVER LOYAL by COLOR BEARER)
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR)               (cook brian)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY GI GI by E DUBAI)
SCR  NIGHTNTHEQUARTER               (milligan )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LOUISIANA TIMES by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  WALSTIB               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of TERESKA by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.