Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (6/2/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-2   Win (6/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (10/9/11/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (9/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (9/13/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-9   Win (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT Aug25 Jul06 May24 Apr20 Mar21 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50    
2  GETOUTYOURWALLET         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 11% 7.90    
3  UNCLE TUFFY Aug14 Jun13 May23 Apr25   (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KISTLER Sep04 Aug15 Aug03     (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 11% 7.90    
5  SKYLER         (barrett rodd)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00 9% 10.60    
6  GUN BARREL Sep08 Aug10       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  STORMIN LOVE Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 Aug27   (lobo h)ROMAN A 121 12.00    
8  PAPA ALDEN Mar07 Feb02 Jan06 Dec09 Nov04 (kerrick lacy)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00    
9  SESAME STREEK Sep12 Jul28 Jul15 Jun21 May27 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00    
10  LUCCHESI Sep12 Aug17 Jul21 Jun16 May24 (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
 
CD-2   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL TOWN SIS Aug18 Jul13 Jun14 May19 Apr19 (forster t)ORTIZ L 121 4.00    
2  MY MY MUNNY Jul18 Jun08 May20 Apr23 Oct05 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 6.00    
3  TELL ME WHEN Aug07 Jul07 Jun13 Oct19 Sep04 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 121 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  HONEY RUN Aug22 Aug07 Jul13 Jun14 May19 (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CACTUS FLOWER Sep03 Jul17 Feb21 Feb03 Dec28 (matthews randy)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  GHOSTLY NIGHT Aug12 Jul18 Apr30 Apr10 Jan28 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
7  YOLO CALLS May17 Apr19 Feb16 Jan19 Dec03 (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
 
CD-3   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAKE SURF Sep05 Jun30 May25 Mar30 Feb23 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
2  FLOTATION STATION Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 May03 Mar03 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 8.00 8% 11.00    
3  TAGLIATELLE Aug19 Jul13 Jun16 May25 May09 (foster eric)TORRES A 118 4.50    
4  EL QUESO GRANDE Aug25 Jul04 Jun08 May17 Apr26 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00    
5  HUNTER JOHN Sep05 Aug11 Jul20 Jan16 Aug12 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 121 10.00    
6  MUMAYAZ Oct12 Sep13 Aug11 Apr16 Feb25 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 12% 7.10    
7  ABADIN Sep07 Aug07 Jul13 Jun07 May09 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 41% 1.50    
 
CD-4   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 7:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIRLING EIGHTS         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
2  D BIGALOW         (richard tobious)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIL MUGGS         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNITE IN FINLEY         (ewing michael )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
5  CRISIS MANAGER         (amoss thoma)TORRES A 119 10.00    
6  STREET MO         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
7  VERMELHO         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
8  SERKETAS         (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
9  MISCHIEVOUS TIME         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 25% 3.00    
10  ATLAL         (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
11  TERRAPIN STATION         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 7% 13.50    
12  RAVENS DREAM Aug24         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
 
CD-5   09/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GULFPORT Jun30 Apr07 Oct01 Sep05 Aug13 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50    
2  LOVE THE NEST Sep07 Oct29 Oct15 Sep10 Aug13 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 23% 3.40    
3  OSBOURNE Mar16 Feb09 Dec09 Sep29 Aug26 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
4  CHAMPLIN Jul21 May16 Apr21 Feb29 Jan15 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.80    
5  GILCREASE May02 Mar16 Jan28 Nov23 Oct13 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWEET CHERRY PIE Sep07 Mar24 Sep09 Jul16 Jun25 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
CD-6   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 F PT- 8:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUTWELL TIME Sep13 Aug19 Jul27 Jun14   (shirer matt)TORRES A 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  KEEPTHEPARTYGOING         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REECHO         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  SILVER FLAME         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
5  GHOSTTAPPER Aug26 Jul06       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
SCR  MISS QUE SERA         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
7  MAD ABOUT MARIE Sep05 Jul29 Jun28     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
8  MY SHOT Jul28         (amoss m)TORRES A 119 5.00    
9  ANNA'S PROMISE Sep11 Aug25       (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  WESTERN WOMAN         (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 9:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLOATING SMOKEY Sep07 Aug16 Aug01     (mcgoey monica)POSTON K 109 30.00    
2  CASTLE RUN         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 7% 13.90    
3  GENERATIVE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 7% 13.90    
4  MCDUDE         (ortiz al)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
5  PREPOSITION Aug24         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  CORNHUSKERCHRIS         (pessin l)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
7  GRIM REAPER Jul13         (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
8  CODE OF JUSTICE Aug30         (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 4.00    
9  TSWALU         (bauer a)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  TRIPLE UP         (molloy thom)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN COOK         (casse w)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
SCR  FRAMEWORK         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
13  EDIFICE         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 11% 8.50    
 
CD-8   09/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Ack Ack Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUMBARUMBA Jun30 Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 Dec09 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 42% 1.40    
2  STAGE RAIDER Jul20 Jun15 Dec23 Nov24 Nov04 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
3  CAGLIOSTRO Aug24 Jun30 Jun01 Apr19 Sep24 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  MUFASA (CHI) Aug12 Jun30       (correas igna)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
5  THREE TECHNIQUE Aug11 Jul26 Jun30 May04 Dec02 (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE Aug23 Jun29 Jun06 Nov04 Sep13 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  SAUDI CROWN Aug11 Jan20 Nov04 Sep23 Jul29 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 0.80    
 
CD-9   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 F PT-10:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA MARINERA Aug29 Aug16 Jul22 Jun30 May26 (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00    
SCR  TOTAL HEART Aug27 Jul27 Jun24     (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
3  TALKSALOT Aug29 Jul30 Jul06 Jun16   (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
SCR  CHATTANOOGA CREW Sep14 Aug04 Jul06     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
5  GOOD CHEER Aug05         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.40 52% 0.90    
6  HEARTS UNITED Sep14 Aug12 Jul21     (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  ADEERA Aug11 Jun30 May31     (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
CD-10   09/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Lukas Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STILLETO BOY Aug31 Jan27 Dec26 Sep30 Sep02 (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 20.00    
2  RATTLE N ROLL Sep30 Sep02 Jul01 Jun03 May19 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 59% 0.70    
3  HAPPY AMERICAN Aug11 Jun30 May31 Apr20 Mar23 (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
4  COOKE CREEK Aug15 Jun29 May27 Feb17 Dec22 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
5  DISARM Sep01 Aug03 Jun29 May18 Aug26 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 8% 12.30    
6  HIT SHOW Aug04 Jul06 May11 Sep24 Jul29 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.00 13% 6.90    
7  BOLZY Feb24 Jan28 Jan06 May11 Apr22 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  WARRIOR JOHNY Aug23 Aug03 Jul11 Jun12 May11 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
 
CD-11   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT-11:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELOCIRAPTOR Aug04         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  KOSHER CAPONE         (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
SCR  NIGHTNTHEQUARTER         (milligan ed)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  WALSTIB Aug26 Aug10       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Nov30 Nov09       (cook brian)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
6  LIVEHAPPY Aug10 Jul06 Jun21 Apr27 Mar02 (estvanko richard)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 ★    
7  BOURBON BOSS Feb02 Jan07 Dec07 Oct29 Sep29 (mott riley)TORRES A 120 3.50 58% 0.70    
8  MISCHIEVOUS M Sep15 Jun30 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (vance d)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  REMI'S MOON         (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
10  KENMORE WEST         (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
11  FIREFIGHT Sep07 Aug10       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.