Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.86 $7.86  
KEE-2   Win (7/12/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30
KEE-3   Win (1/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $6.46  
KEE-4   Win (1/2/3/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
KEE-5   Win (14/2/12/15/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $7.14  
KEE-6   Win (8/11/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $69.42  
KEE-7   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.54 $4.54  
KEE-8   Win (1/5/7/6/14/11/2) 7 $2.00 $14.00 1 1 1 $3.42 $3.42  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:112     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAZOKU 4 4 3½ 1nk   1½ 1½ (butcher james)GARCIA MARTIN 116 3.50 33% 2.00 2.93 W
1  NEVER SWAY 1 5 1½ 3.2   2½ 2½ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 6.00 5.16  
2  SIMPLE SOUVENIR 2 8 52½ 52¾   43 32¾ (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 22.25 S
7  SAMARITA 7 1 41½ 41¼   54 45¼ (rodriguez jos)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 12% 7.30 6.08  
3  FOREVER HOME 3 3 2½ 2nk   32 56½ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 1.80 21% 3.80 5.05  
8  ELLA FRANCES 8 6 75 76¼   77 67½ (beckman whit)TORRES A 121 10.00 10.53  
5  SEQUIN LADY 5 2 63½ 63¼   64½ 711½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 2.42  
6  PROTOMAGIC 6 7 86 88¼   89½ 815¼ (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 20.65  
 
KEE-2   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :471 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIVER RIDGE 4 5 31½ 2nk   1½ 12 (campbell michael)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.50 41% 1.40 2.15 W
2  MALIBLUE 1 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 22 (foster eric)TORRES A 121 8.00 ★ 3.42 P
11  SPINNING HEART 8 2 73½ 31½   33½ 36 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00 ★ 17.70 S
10  GRAND ILLUSION 7 1 2½ 41¾   44 47¾ (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 15.00 9% 10.40 7.11  
5  TIE BREAKER LENNIE 3 6 52½ 53¾   55 58¾ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 40.58  
12  MASKED MAN 9 3 42 65¼   68 614¾ (sacco d)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 26% 2.90 3.34  
3  EARLY MUNNY 2 9 85½ 88¼   811½ 716¾ (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00 69.44  
9  FLY BY NIGHT (NZ) 6 8 63½ 75¾   79½ 817¼ (ward a)FLORES R 121 20.00 8.00  
8  AFLEET VINTAGE 5 7 95¾ 98¾   912½ 919¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 9.98  
SCR  COWBOY LUKE               (quartarolo a)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00    
SCR  D DAY               (atras rob)TORRES A 121 12.00    
SCR  IDIOSYNCRASIES               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00    
 
KEE-3   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NORMANDY HERO 5 1 2½ 11½   11 1¼ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 2.23  
1  INVULNERABLE 1 3 1½ 21½   21 2¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 45% 1.20 1.08 P
6  CREW DRAGON 6 4 52½ 34½   34½ 36 (robertson m)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 28.02 S
2  DUTCH MILLS 2 7 75½ 78½   58 412¼ (compton greg)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 12% 7.30 8.68  
4  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 4 6 42 46   47½ 512½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 18% 4.60 6.38  
3  SOUND DOCTRINE 3 2 31½ 68   68 614½ (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.00 8.23  
7  CHRYSO ALOGO 7 5 63 57½   79½ 717 (vasquez )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 15.00 44.76  
 
KEE-4   10/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAGE LEFT 1 10 95¾ 85¼   53¼ 1½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.00 44% 1.30 1.05 W
13  EL CERRITO 10 2 2½ 1½   13 2½ (chavez manuel)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00 65.66  
5  SANTA CRUISER 5 5 74 75¼   23 31½ (van thomas)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.73 S
3  SIR OLLIE 3 7 63½ 63¼   43¼ 44¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 10% 9.00 28.68  
2  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 2 9 85½ 95½   85¾ 58 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 17% 4.80 7.50  
4  JUST SAY WHEN 4 4 32 32   33 69 (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 14.56  
6  APPEAL DENIED 6 3 52½ 43   75¼ 79¾ (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 4.41  
7  VULCAN 7 8 42½ 53   96¾ 812½ (sims matthe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 6.68  
8  UPSTRIKER 8 1 1½ 2½   63¾ 916 (vanden b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 34.05  
10  LYKAN 9 6 107¼ 107   109¾ 1017¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 30.00 5% 19.00 12.73  
SCR  CALL ME ICE MAN               (campbell michael)ASHTON GAVIN 121 30.00    
SCR  METALLIC MAN               (matthews randy)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
SCR  MONTEREY PENINSULA               (martinez kelli)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/09/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :483 1:133 1:391   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ADRASTEIA 2 7 65½ 62½ 61¾ 1½ 12 (bogle fergus)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 ★ 2.57  
12  RACONTEUSE 10 3 42 51½ 41½ 41½ 22 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 8% 11.40 5.42 P
7  LADY MEIS (IRE) 5 8 88¾ 85 83½ 75 33¼ (schultz lindsa)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 20.31  
14  ENCHANT 12 4 32 31 3½ 3½ 43½ (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 37% 1.70 3.16  
13  FEELING BEACHY 11 5 75¾ 73½ 73¼ 54 54 (casse w)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 12.69  
6  FIFTH OF MAY 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 65 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 16.71  
11  ARGENTINIDAD 9 9 1211¼ 128¾ 115½ 85½ 76½ (seglin e)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 72.20  
2  EL MEGEETH 1 6 53½ 41½ 51¾ 64½ 812¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 27% 2.70 4.64  
8  I AM THE SAUCE 6 10 1111¼ 118½ 105½ 99 914¾ (lovell michell)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 28.72  
9  RUNAWAY KITTEN 7 12 1010¾ 96 95 1113½ 1022¼ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 15.36  
5  STEPHANIESWARRIOR 3 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 1011 1123¼ (capps a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 30.00 46.64  
10  ESTUARY 8 11 99¾ 107 1213½ 1217 1230½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 30.06  
SCR  SHEZTHEFACTOR               (hamilton sar)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
SCR  STAY LOST               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
SCR  UNDERTHEMISTLETOE               (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 20.00    
SCR  WEIGHTED AVERAGE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 7% 13.80    
 
KEE-6   10/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:13 1:382   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BRACKET BUSTER 6 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 ★ 33.71  
11  MORLOCK 11 3 41½ 31½ 3½ 2nk 2½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 35% 1.90 9.44 P
3  WHISKEY SHOT 3 5 73¼ 63½ 42½ 33½ 32 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00 7.80  
10  MONET'S MAGIC 10 9 96¼ 105¾ 106¾ 78¼ 48¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 62.13  
9  COOPER 9 7 1211 1212¼ 127¾ 67¾ 58¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 6.31  
8  KINETIC CONTROL 8 4 63 73¾ 74¾ 98½ 613¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 1.60 43% 1.30 0.75  
2  DISCOTHEQUE 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 45½ 714 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 57.56  
5  FEVER NIGHT 5 6 85¼ 84¾ 84¾ 109 815 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 ★ 21.37  
1  WORLD BEATER 1 8 31½ 42½ 53 57½ 915½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 30.00 58.73  
12  PERFECT FORCE 12 11 116½ 95¼ 117¼ 1211 1018 (lukas way)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 23.26  
7  FREAKY 7 12 106¼ 116¾ 95¼ 119 1118¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 9.26  
4  OTTER MISCHIEF 4 10 52 52½ 63¼ 88¼ 1219¾ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 30.00 73.56  
SCR  SEATTLE ROAD (ARG)               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  SPURGEON               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
 
KEE-7   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER ROSE 1 3 11 11   11 12½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 48% 1.10 1.27 W
2  SING A LITTLE SONG 2 2 21 31   21 22½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 9.67  
3  LADY MOSCATO 3 4 41½ 52¼   42 34¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.96 S
6  MISS ENCHANTED 6 1 31 41¼   32 45¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 1.60 1.71  
5  BEDAZZLE 'EM 5 6 51¾ 21   52½ 59 (mott i)TORRES A 120 4.00 19% 4.40 6.02  
4  VICOUNTESS 4 5 63¾ 65¼   67 615¼ (rice adam)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 17.18  
 
KEE-8   10/09/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:131 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN LIGHT 1 10 108¾ 107¾ 95¼ 33½ 1¼ (brisset rodolphe)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 31% 2.20 0.71 W
6  CLEVER MISCHIEF 5 4 32 32 41½ 1½ 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 7% 12.80 4.69 P
4  BOLTAGE 3 1 11½ 11 11 2½ 31½ (stidham michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 18.18  
3  BIG TO DO 2 2 53½ 64¼ 63½ 45 46½ (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 62.59  
13  ROUNDTOP 9 11 1111¾ 1110¼ 117¾ 88 57¾ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 16.53  
5  KATHEEB 4 7 64 54 52½ 66 68½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 23% 3.30 6.24  
10  EL REY REY 7 6 95¾ 85¼ 73¾ 98¼ 78¾ (foster eric)ORTIZ JR 118 30.00 29.54  
14  OVER AND OLLIE 10 9 85½ 95¾ 105¾ 77 810 (stall alber)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00 6% 15.90 12.75  
9  SOVEREIGNS JOY 6 3 21½ 21 21 56 911¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 32.08  
11  OCEAN VICTORY 8 5 43 42 31 1010¾ 1012½ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00 79.20  
16  SAMBALOVER 11 8 75½ 75¼ 84¼ 1111¼ 1113½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 50.66  
SCR  BLACK RAIN               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
SCR  BORN FLASHY               (wilkes ian )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  COUNT DRACULA               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  NINJA STAR               (rice kevin)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THORNBURY (IRE)               (mott i)TORRES A 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.