Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Wednesday - October 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-2   TRI (7/12/10)-(7/12/10/11/2)-(7/12/10/11/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-2-11 $26.92 $8.92 50%
    SFT (7/12/10)-(7/12/10/11/2)-(7/12/10/11/2)-(7/12/10/11/2) 72 $0.10 $7.20  7-2-11-10 $20.78 $13.58 189%
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(7/12/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $15.99 $3.99 33%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:112     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAZOKU 4 4 3½ 1nk   1½ 1½ (butcher james)GARCIA MARTIN 116 3.50 33% 2.00 2.93 W
1  NEVER SWAY 1 5 1½ 3.2   2½ 2½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 6.00 5.16  
2  SIMPLE SOUVENIR 2 8 52½ 52¾   43 32¾ (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 22.25 S
7  SAMARITA 7 1 41½ 41¼   54 45¼ (rodriguez j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 12% 7.30 6.08  
3  FOREVER HOME 3 3 2½ 2nk   32 56½ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 1.80 21% 3.80 5.05  
8  ELLA FRANCES 8 6 75 76¼   77 67½ (beckman wh)TORRES A 121 10.00 10.53  
5  SEQUIN LADY 5 2 63½ 63¼   64½ 711½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 2.42  
6  PROTOMAGIC 6 7 86 88¼   89½ 815¼ (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 20.65  
 
KEE-2   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:23 :471 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIVER RIDGE 4 5 31½ 2nk   1½ 12 (campbell micha)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.50 41% 1.40 2.15 W
2  MALIBLUE 1 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 22 (foster er)TORRES A 121 8.00 ★ 3.42 P
11  SPINNING HEART 8 2 73½ 31½   33½ 36 (robertson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00 ★ 17.70 S
10  GRAND ILLUSION 7 1 2½ 41¾   44 47¾ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 121 15.00 9% 10.40 7.11  
5  TIE BREAKER LENNIE 3 6 52½ 53¾   55 58¾ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 40.58  
12  MASKED MAN 9 3 42 65¼   68 614¾ (sacco gregory)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 26% 2.90 3.34  
3  EARLY MUNNY 2 9 85½ 88¼   811½ 716¾ (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 30.00 69.44  
9  FLY BY NIGHT (NZ) 6 8 63½ 75¾   79½ 817¼ (ward a)FLORES R 121 20.00 8.00  
8  AFLEET VINTAGE 5 7 95¾ 98¾   912½ 919¼ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 9.98  
SCR  COWBOY LUKE               (quartarolo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 30.00    
SCR  D DAY               (atras rob)TORRES A 121 12.00    
SCR  IDIOSYNCRASIES               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00    
 
KEE-3   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NORMANDY HERO 5 1 2½ 11½   11 1¼ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 2.23  
1  INVULNERABLE 1 3 1½ 21½   21 2¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 45% 1.20 1.08 P
6  CREW DRAGON 6 4 52½ 34½   34½ 36 (robertson)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 28.02 S
2  DUTCH MILLS 2 7 75½ 78½   58 412¼ (compton greg)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 12% 7.30 8.68  
4  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 4 6 42 46   47½ 512½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 18% 4.60 6.38  
3  SOUND DOCTRINE 3 2 31½ 68   68 614½ (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.00 8.23  
7  CHRYSO ALOGO 7 5 63 57½   79½ 717 (vasque)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 15.00 44.76  
 
KEE-4   10/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAGE LEFT 1 10 95¾ 85¼   53¼ 1½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.00 44% 1.30 1.05 W
13  EL CERRITO 10 2 2½ 1½   13 2½ (chavez manuel)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00 65.66  
5  SANTA CRUISER 5 5 74 75¼   23 31½ (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.73 S
3  SIR OLLIE 3 7 63½ 63¼   43¼ 44¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 10% 9.00 28.68  
2  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 2 9 85½ 95½   85¾ 58 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 17% 4.80 7.50  
4  JUST SAY WHEN 4 4 32 32   33 69 (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 14.56  
6  APPEAL DENIED 6 3 52½ 43   75¼ 79¾ (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 4.41  
7  VULCAN 7 8 42½ 53   96¾ 812½ (sims matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 6.68  
8  UPSTRIKER 8 1 1½ 2½   63¾ 916 (vanden berg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 34.05  
10  LYKAN 9 6 107¼ 107   109¾ 1017¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 30.00 5% 19.00 12.73  
SCR  CALL ME ICE MAN               (campbell micha)ASHTON GAVIN 121 30.00    
SCR  METALLIC MAN               (matthews rand)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
SCR  MONTEREY PENINSULA               (martinez kell)GARCIA MARTIN 121 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/09/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :483 1:133 1:391   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ADRASTEIA 2 7 65½ 62½ 61¾ 1½ 12 (bogle fergus)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 ★ 2.57  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
12  RACONTEUSE 10 3 42 51½ 41½ 41½ 22 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 8% 11.40 5.42 P
  (by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
7  LADY MEIS (IRE) 5 8 88¾ 85 83½ 75 33¼ (schultz lind)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 20.31  
  (by CAMELOT out of ASAWER by NYQUIST)
14  ENCHANT 12 4 32 31 3½ 3½ 43½ (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 37% 1.70 3.16  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of COACHWHIP by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
13  FEELING BEACHY 11 5 75¾ 73½ 73¼ 54 54 (casse w)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 12.69  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FEELING BOSSY by COURAGEOUS CAT)
6  FIFTH OF MAY 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 65 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 16.71  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TIZ FASHIONABLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  ARGENTINIDAD 9 9 1211¼ 128¾ 115½ 85½ 76½ (seglin e)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 72.20  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of BELLE DE NUIT by GALILEO)
2  EL MEGEETH 1 6 53½ 41½ 51¾ 64½ 812¼ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 6.00 27% 2.70 4.64  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AMOUR D'ETE by TIZNOW)
8  I AM THE SAUCE 6 10 1111¼ 118½ 105½ 99 914¾ (lovell miche)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 28.72  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LIKE A QUEEN by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
9  RUNAWAY KITTEN 7 12 1010¾ 96 95 1113½ 1022¼ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 15.36  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  STEPHANIESWARRIOR 3 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 1011 1123¼ (capps a)GARCIA MARTIN 120 30.00 46.64  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ANCIENT GODDESS by IFFRAAJ)
10  ESTUARY 8 11 99¾ 107 1213½ 1217 1230½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 30.06  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ASSATEAGUE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  SHEZTHEFACTOR               (hamilton s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  STAY LOST               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
SCR  UNDERTHEMISTLETOE               (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISTLETOE by PAYNTER)
SCR  WEIGHTED AVERAGE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 7% 13.80    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CHARREADA by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
KEE-6   10/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:13 1:382   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BRACKET BUSTER 6 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 1½ (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 ★ 33.71  
  (by VEKOMA out of SPRING DANCE by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
11  MORLOCK 11 3 41½ 31½ 3½ 2nk 2½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 35% 1.90 9.44 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of ST. JOHN'S RIVER by INCLUDE)
3  WHISKEY SHOT 3 5 73¼ 63½ 42½ 33½ 32 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00 7.80  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of LORELEI TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  MONET'S MAGIC 10 9 96¼ 105¾ 106¾ 78¼ 48¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 62.13  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RONTOS LILY by BIG DRAMA)
9  COOPER 9 7 1211 1212¼ 127¾ 67¾ 58¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 6.31  
  (by NYQUIST out of APIARY by BERNARDINI)
8  KINETIC CONTROL 8 4 63 73¾ 74¾ 98½ 613¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 1.60 43% 1.30 0.75  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DEVIOUS D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  DISCOTHEQUE 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 45½ 714 (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 57.56  
  (by CONNECT out of NEW HOPE ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
5  FEVER NIGHT 5 6 85¼ 84¾ 84¾ 109 815 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 ★ 21.37  
  (by CURLIN out of POR QUE' TE QUIERO by A.P. INDY)
1  WORLD BEATER 1 8 31½ 42½ 53 57½ 915½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 30.00 58.73  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DABINETT by BLAME)
12  PERFECT FORCE 12 11 116½ 95¼ 117¼ 1211 1018 (lukas w)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 23.26  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CUABA by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  FREAKY 7 12 106¼ 116¾ 95¼ 119 1118¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 9.26  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENCHANTED GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  OTTER MISCHIEF 4 10 52 52½ 63¼ 88¼ 1219¾ (hiles je)SANTANA JR 119 30.00 73.56  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TITLE WINNER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  SEATTLE ROAD (ARG)               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SEATTLE SLANG by TAPIT)
SCR  SPURGEON               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of LIPSTICK CITY by CITY ZIP)
 
KEE-7   10/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER ROSE 1 3 11 11   11 12½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 48% 1.10 1.27 W
2  SING A LITTLE SONG 2 2 21 31   21 22½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 9.67  
3  LADY MOSCATO 3 4 41½ 52¼   42 34¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.96 S
6  MISS ENCHANTED 6 1 31 41¼   32 45¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 1.60 1.71  
5  BEDAZZLE 'EM 5 6 51¾ 21   52½ 59 (mott william)TORRES A 120 4.00 19% 4.40 6.02  
4  VICOUNTESS 4 5 63¾ 65¼   67 615¼ (rice adam)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 17.18  
 
KEE-8   10/09/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:131 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN LIGHT 1 10 108¾ 107¾ 95¼ 33½ 1¼ (brisset rodolp)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 31% 2.20 0.71 W
6  CLEVER MISCHIEF 5 4 32 32 41½ 1½ 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 7% 12.80 4.69 P
4  BOLTAGE 3 1 11½ 11 11 2½ 31½ (stidham mich)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 18.18  
3  BIG TO DO 2 2 53½ 64¼ 63½ 45 46½ (wismer g)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 62.59  
13  ROUNDTOP 9 11 1111¾ 1110¼ 117¾ 88 57¾ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 16.53  
5  KATHEEB 4 7 64 54 52½ 66 68½ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 23% 3.30 6.24  
10  EL REY REY 7 6 95¾ 85¼ 73¾ 98¼ 78¾ (foster eric)ORTIZ JR 118 30.00 29.54  
14  OVER AND OLLIE 10 9 85½ 95¾ 105¾ 77 810 (stall alb)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00 6% 15.90 12.75  
9  SOVEREIGNS JOY 6 3 21½ 21 21 56 911¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 32.08  
11  OCEAN VICTORY 8 5 43 42 31 1010¾ 1012½ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00 79.20  
16  SAMBALOVER 11 8 75½ 75¼ 84¼ 1111¼ 1113½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 50.66  
SCR  BLACK RAIN               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
SCR  BORN FLASHY               (wilkes ia)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  COUNT DRACULA               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  NINJA STAR               (rice kevin)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THORNBURY (IRE)               (mott william)TORRES A 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.