Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (8/1/5/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $11.86 $11.86 1.86
KEE-2   Win (10/3/8/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $8.84 $8.84  
KEE-3   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.56 $2.56  
KEE-4   Win (6/10/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $8.48  
KEE-5   Win (4/5/1/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.70 $6.70  
KEE-6   Win (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
KEE-7   Win (4/12/6/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $11.10 $11.10 1.10
KEE-8   Win (3/5/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.08 $5.08  
KEE-9   Win (5/11/10/2/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $50.12  
KEE-10   Win (5/1/12/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $5.76 $5.76  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:221 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MISS EASY 7 10 85¾ 66   43½ 1¼ (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 6% 14.60 4.93 W
1  GRIDLOCK 1 3 11 1½   12 2¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 9% 9.80 2.36 P
11  MOTOWN MIKA 10 1 62¾ 31½   22 32 (santamaria carlo)ORTIZ L 123 10.00 10.62  
5  MISS SAYELY 5 7 41½ 2½   33 46¼ (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 7% 13.50 4.23  
8  MISS JEOPARDY 8 2 75¼ 54   54½ 57¼ (rosin coty )TORRES A 118 6.00 56% 0.80 2.60  
10  KARMA GHIA 9 9 106¼ 77   78½ 612¼ (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121 30.00 54.54  
6  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY 6 8 95¾ 99   89 712¼ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 19.71  
4  VERY WEALTHY 4 4 21 42   67½ 820¼ (lucas wayne)MONCADA IRVING 114 15.00 38.90  
3  KACHOW 3 5 31 87½   913 929 (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 30.00 68.09  
2  CONCERTI 2 6 51¾ 1010   1015½ 1036½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 14.63  
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE               (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:222 :471 1:124 1:372   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GEOMETRY 3 2 42½ 42 41½ 12 12 (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 5.00 28% 2.60 3.42 W
7  PLENSA 6 5 66 86½ 75 64¼ 22 (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 6.62  
10  EXECUTIVE 9 9 108 52½ 52½ 22 33¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 32% 2.20 1.50 S
8  GOVERNING PARTY 7 6 87½ 64 63½ 54 45 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 11% 7.90 4.06  
11  THE HIDDEN CHAMBER 10 11 98 107½ 106¾ 97¼ 56¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 55.70  
1  PARACLETE 1 1 31½ 31½ 31½ 75¾ 67 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.95  
12  HAMLIN 11 8 21 2½ 2½ 33½ 78¼ (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00 34.46  
9  SPRINT OUT PASS 8 7 118½ 97 85¼ 86¾ 89¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 119 12.00 7% 12.60 44.49  
4  COULD DO 4 4 11 1½ 1½ 43½ 911½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 48.39  
2  PNUTBUTTER WHISKEY 2 10 76½ 119 118¼ 1111¼ 1013¼ (kelley james)CARPIO J 119 50.00 76.90  
6  FLAMBEAU 5 3 54 74½ 95¾ 1010¼ 1117¼ (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00 41.88  
SCR  LAWLESS WAYS               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  SOUND CAUSE               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50    
 
KEE-3   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:214 :454 1:102     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TWO SHARP 3 3 2½ 1½   13½ 16¼ (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 0.80 53% 0.90 0.28 W
5  COASTAL INVASION 4 1 32 2½   23½ 26¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.29 P
2  CONNIVE 2 5 43 42   36 39¼ (drury jr)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 6.38  
7  FLOORED 5 6 613½ 514   511½ 410¾ (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 43.32  
1  STORMY MITOLE 1 4 1½ 31   47 515¾ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 18% 4.60 11.97  
8  LIGHTNING MYQUEEN 6 2 513 614½   614½ 619¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 17.30  
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE               (king l)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
SCR  ZADORSKY               (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
 
KEE-4   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ALPINE THUNDER 10 7 63¼ 62¾   52½ 1nk (padilla-preciad)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 3.24  
6  GLOBAL SENSATION 6 2 21 1½   11 2nk (cano muno)TORRES A 121 3.00 53% 0.90 2.78 P
8  GUNNER BAY 7 10 95¾ 95¾   64 31½ (margolis r)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00 5.92 S
10  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 9 1 51¼ 2½   21 41¾ (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00 17% 4.90 3.89  
4  HI YAH 4 5 31 42   41½ 52 (williams ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 28.74  
3  GOT THUNDER 3 8 85¼ 74¾   85¼ 63¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 20.00 5% 19.00 36.32  
5  YES I'M A BEAST 5 3 11 3½   31½ 74½ (crichton ro)TORRES A 121 5.00 9.89  
2  ONE COOL DUDE 2 4 41¼ 52½   75 85½ (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 6% 14.70 14.63  
9  PALACE KITTEN 8 9 1011¾ 109¼   109¼ 910 (cambray andres)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 50.00 76.77  
1  EDDIE M 1 6 74¼ 85¼   97¾ 1013 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 7.87  
SCR  PRINTRACK               (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00    
SCR  SOLIDIFY               (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 121 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:214 :461 1:121 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LUCKY MISCHIEF 4 2 34 37 3½ 1nk 11¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 61% 0.60 2.35 W
1  JOHNY'S RENDEZVOUS 1 1 1nk 25½ 2nk 2nk 21¼ (bauer a)TORRES A 119 6.00 7% 12.40 11.36 P
6  MAUI STRONG 6 6 67¼ 69 62¾ 43 32½ (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00 15.22  
5  BLUE CHAIR BAY 5 5 45½ 58 52½ 53½ 43¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 9% 10.50 7.45  
12  TKAC 12 11 1112 1112½ 105¾ 85¼ 55 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 119 10.00 11.67  
10  AUTHENTIC STYLE 10 10 1010 1011 115¾ 95½ 65 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 6.34  
9  EL MUHEET 9 12 1212 1212¾ 126¾ 116½ 75¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.98  
3  LOVE THAT SYMPHONY 3 3 55¾ 47½ 42 32½ 85½ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 25.88  
11  ZAP D'ETAT 11 8 99¾ 910½ 84¼ 75¼ 96¼ (house gary)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 28.13  
2  THE FED'S PLOT 2 9 87¾ 79½ 73¾ 65 107½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 37.66  
7  SAND CAST 7 4 2nk 15½ 1nk 105½ 1113¼ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 47.42  
8  MY FATHER'S PLACE 8 7 77¼ 89½ 94¾ 129½ 1215¼ (arnold r)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 9.23  
SCR  SEATTLE ROAD (ARG)               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
KEE-6   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:091     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GIANT MISCHIEF 4 2 11 1½   12½ 11¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20 58% 0.70 0.85 W
1  KAVOD 1 3 21 2½   22½ 21¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.73 P
2  BOURBON HEIST 2 7 78 710½   48 32½ (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 3.91  
5  CYCLONE MISCHIEF 5 1 33½ 36½   36½ 46 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 3.50 7% 13.40 7.14  
3  BROMLEY 3 4 66 610   510½ 59½ (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 9% 9.90 5.60  
7  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 7 6 56 58½   612 612¾ (brown h)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 54.47  
6  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 6 5 44 47½   716½ 725¼ (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 10.00 15.07  
SCR  GOLD LUCK               (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
 
KEE-7   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MY LIL PUNKY 9 1 31½ 2½   12½ 12½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 27% 2.70 4.55 W
6  KEEPSAKE 5 10 910¾ 86   56 22½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 20% 3.90 2.32 P
4  TAVERNA 3 8 41¾ 42   33 35 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 31% 2.20 3.63 S
1  TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE 1 3 1nk 31½   43½ 45½ (catalano wayne )ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 18.02  
3  MO PICS PLEASE 2 2 2nk 1½   22½ 57¼ (peery chuck)LANERIE J 119 12.00 20.70  
5  PRINCESS ALIYAH 4 9 1011¼ 96½   68 68½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
11  SUPER COSTLY 8 5 64¾ 53½   710 717½ (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 70.07  
10  CEEBEE 7 4 53¾ 64   811 819¼ (arnold r)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 21.04  
9  MISS PHARAOH 6 7 76¼ 76   913 922¾ (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 2.83  
13  FREE PASSAGE 10 6 87¾ 109½   1019 1038¼ (galind)FRANCA ERIELTUN 119 30.00 ######  
SCR  CONTEMPLATE               (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
SCR  MEZCAL MULE               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SCR  SCRIBBLE               (littlefield de)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/12/2024 5940ft TURF RC14 FIRM Queen Elizabeth II Challenge C Purse ($750K) 3 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:12 1:344   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHE FEELS PRETTY 3 3 31½ 31½ 31½ 11½ 16 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 25% 3.10 1.54 W
5  SOPRANO (IRE) 5 9 52½ 53 52½ 54½ 26 (boughey georg)LOUGHNANE BILLY 121 3.50 22% 3.50 2.79 P
2  CAITLINHERGRTNESS 2 2 11 11½ 11 21½ 36¼ (attard kevi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 12.00 14.29  
1  PIN UP BETTY 1 1 63 63¼ 63 34 46¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00 27.89  
9  GRAYOSH 9 8 96 84¾ 74 66 56½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 9.44  
6  OVERSUBSCRIBED (GB) 6 5 21 21½ 21 44 67 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 21% 3.80 6.88  
7  BUCHU 7 7 85½ 94¾ 95¼ 77 77½ (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 15.97  
10  CANDALA (FR) 10 10 108½ 106¼ 105¾ 87½ 87¾ (graffard franc)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50 11.16  
8  POUNCE 8 6 42 42½ 42½ 910 916 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 36.72  
4  WAVES OF MISCHIEF 4 4 73½ 73¾ 84¼ 1014 1019¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 21.61  
 
KEE-9   10/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122 1:371   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SURFACE TO AIR 8 9 77½ 75 41½ 11 11¾ (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 122 20.00 24.06  
6  MACKMAN 3 2 31½ 31½ 31½ 42½ 21¾ (shirer matt)TORRES A 122 12.00 7.44  
13  CREATIVE MINISTER 9 5 89½ 87 85 55 33 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 7% 14.30 6.56 S
10  BATON ROUGE (IRE) 6 6 11 11 1½ 21 43¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 16% 5.20 5.83  
5  PARCHMENT PARTY 2 4 56 53½ 64 65 54 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 27% 2.70 3.28  
11  KOMOREBINO OMOIDE (JPN) 7 7 21 21 2½ 31½ 64¾ (diodoro robertino)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.80 22% 3.60 1.88  
7  BEN FRANKLIN 4 3 66 64 53 77 715¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 12.35  
2  ELUSIVE TARGET 1 1 43 42 74½ 812 826¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 8% 12.20 11.14  
9  BARTULIA 5 8 913 912½ 915 919 928¾ (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00 62.16  
SCR  BOURBON RESOLVE               (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
SCR  KING KUMBALAY               (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
SCR  RIVER IN EGYPT               (olivo )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 50.00    
SCR  SEEKING UNITY               (rodriguez ru)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
 
KEE-10   10/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:223 :474 1:124 1:243   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSTER 1 1 34 33 32 2½ 13 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 24% 3.10 1.88 W
12  CURAHEE 12 8 44½ 43½ 42 32 23 (russell t)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 14% 6.40 6.88 P
8  ENTERDADRAGON 8 4 12 12 11 1½ 33½ (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 20.10  
3  BOY BOY 3 7 56½ 54½ 53 43½ 43¾ (colebrook be)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 25.07  
2  SOLEIL VOLANT 2 2 79 76 76 66 54¼ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 19.99  
6  THE BRIGADE 6 10 1212½ 118½ 97½ 76½ 64½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.98  
4  COAL BATTLE 4 6 67½ 65 64 55 75¾ (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 120 12.00 9% 10.30 9.37  
5  BLUE COAST 5 9 99½ 97½ 86½ 87 86¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 32% 2.10 4.14  
9  STRUMMIN 9 12 1111½ 128¾ 1110½ 1011½ 911¾ (hancock joh)TORRES A 120 15.00 34.24  
11  LOVELY REGALO 11 3 22 22 21 99½ 1012½ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 75.80  
7  CLASSIC EXAMPLE 7 5 89½ 86½ 109½ 1111½ 1112¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 6.59  
10  TOWNER TOO 10 11 1011 108½ 1210¾ 1216½ 1224 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 30.00 ######  
SCR  FRONT END               (crichton ro)TORRES A 120 10.00    
SCR  LOOK TO THE CROSS               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  PURSE THIEF               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
SCR  STASHU               (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.