Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (8/1/5/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-2   Win (10/3/8/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (6/10/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (4/5/1/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (4/12/6/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (3/5/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (5/11/10/2/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-10   Win (5/1/12/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIDLOCK Jul20 Jun28 Apr21 Mar01 Feb01 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 9% 9.80    
CONCERTI Sep02 Jul11 Jun16 May24 Apr20 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
KACHOW Sep25 Sep06 Jul18 Jun26 Jun01 (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 30.00    
VERY WEALTHY Sep13 Aug18 Jul29 Jun26 May19 (lucas wayne)MONCADA IRVING 114 15.00    
MISS SAYELY Jun09 May11 Mar24 Feb09 Dec29 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 7% 13.50    
XTRA EXTRAORDINARY Sep13 Jul07 Jun15 May26 May10 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
MISS EASY Sep12 Aug14 Jul11 Jun04 May13 (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 6% 14.60    
MISS JEOPARDY Sep12 Jun21 Jun02 Jan19 Dec31 (rosin coty )TORRES A 118 6.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE Sep13 Jul14 Jun13 May23 Dec13 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
10  KARMA GHIA Aug14 Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 May18 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121 30.00    
11  MOTOWN MIKA Sep20 Jul20 Jun19 Mar13 Feb14 (santamaria carlo)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
 
KEE-2   10/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARACLETE Sep14 Aug24       (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
PNUTBUTTER WHISKEY Sep11 Aug17       (kelley james)CARPIO J 119 50.00    
GEOMETRY Aug29         (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
COULD DO Sep05         (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
LAWLESS WAYS         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
FLAMBEAU Sep15         (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00    
PLENSA         (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
GOVERNING PARTY Sep07 Aug10       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 11% 7.90    
SPRINT OUT PASS Sep05 Jul22       (medina robe)TORRES A 119 12.00 7% 12.60    
10  EXECUTIVE Aug31         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 32% 2.20    
11  THE HIDDEN CHAMBER Sep01         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
12  HAMLIN Aug29         (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
SCR  SOUND CAUSE Aug29 Jul18 Jun21     (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50    
 
KEE-3   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY MITOLE Aug23         (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
CONNIVE Sep19         (drury jr)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE Sep25 Sep13 Aug13 Jul07 Jun13 (king l)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
TWO SHARP Aug31 Aug02 Jun29     (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 0.80 53% 0.90    
COASTAL INVASION Dec17 Oct29       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ZADORSKY Aug31 Aug03 Jun28 May25 Nov25 (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
FLOORED Sep07 Jul27 Jun29 May26 Nov25 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
LIGHTNING MYQUEEN Sep15 Aug25 Dec29 Sep29   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
 
KEE-4   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDDIE M Sep12 Aug03 Jul13 May29 Sep13 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
ONE COOL DUDE Sep13 Jul29 Jun21 May19 Mar06 (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 6% 14.70    
GOT THUNDER Sep18 Aug18 Aug10 Jul25 Jul18 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
HI YAH Sep02 Aug08 Jul11 Jun22 May18 (williams ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
YES I'M A BEAST Sep13 Jul28 Jun16 Apr07 Feb18 (crichton ro)TORRES A 121 5.00    
GLOBAL SENSATION Sep18 Jul15 Jun27 May25 May10 (cano muno)TORRES A 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  SOLIDIFY Sep18 Aug03 Jul15 Jun14 Jun02 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 121 20.00    
GUNNER BAY Sep02 Jun28 Jun02 Apr14 Mar22 (margolis r)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
PALACE KITTEN Sep30 Sep04 Aug10 Jul25 Jun26 (cambray andres)HEBERT LINDSEY 121 50.00    
10  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 May31 Apr14 (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  PRINTRACK Sep21 Aug10 Jul25 Jun30 Apr27 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 10.00    
12  ALPINE THUNDER Aug24 Jul14 Jun30 Jun12 Apr21 (padilla-preciad)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
 
KEE-5   10/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNY'S RENDEZVOUS Sep08 Aug17       (bauer a)TORRES A 119 6.00 7% 12.40    
THE FED'S PLOT Sep05         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
LOVE THAT SYMPHONY         (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00    
LUCKY MISCHIEF Sep11 Aug18 Jul29     (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 61% 0.60    
BLUE CHAIR BAY Sep01         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 9% 10.50    
MAUI STRONG Aug30         (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00    
SAND CAST Sep05 Aug11 Jun22     (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
MY FATHER'S PLACE         (arnold r)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00    
EL MUHEET         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  AUTHENTIC STYLE Sep10 Aug20 Jul20     (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
11  ZAP D'ETAT Sep19 Aug19 Jul28     (house gary)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  TKAC Sep07 Aug01       (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
SCR  SEATTLE ROAD (ARG) Jul27         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
KEE-6   10/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAVOD Sep12 Aug22 Jun29 Jun08 May02 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON HEIST Aug31 Jul05 Jun01 Apr25 Feb03 (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00    
BROMLEY Sep12 Feb22 Jan06 Nov26 Oct28 (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 9% 9.90    
GIANT MISCHIEF Dec26 Nov26 Sep20 Feb25 Dec17 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.20 58% 0.70    
CYCLONE MISCHIEF Sep14 Aug03 Jun30 May03 Apr12 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 3.50 7% 13.40    
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Aug25 Aug01 Jun08 May16 Apr21 (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 10.00    
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Sep22 Aug04 Jul15 Jul02 Jun08 (brown h)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
SCR  GOLD LUCK Sep22 Jun21 Jun07 May12 Apr07 (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
 
KEE-7   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE Sep20         (catalano wayne )ORTIZ JR 119 15.00    
SCR  CONTEMPLATE Sep20 Aug25       (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
MO PICS PLEASE         (peery chuck)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
TAVERNA Sep13 Aug03       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
PRINCESS ALIYAH         (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
KEEPSAKE         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  SCRIBBLE Aug25         (littlefield de)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
SCR  MEZCAL MULE         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
MISS PHARAOH         (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
10  CEEBEE         (arnold r)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00    
11  SUPER COSTLY Sep11         (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  MY LIL PUNKY Sep20 Aug25       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
13  FREE PASSAGE         (galind)FRANCA ERIELTUN 119 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/12/2024 5940ft TURF RC14 FIRM Queen Elizabeth II Challenge C Purse ($750K) 3 F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIN UP BETTY Sep11 Aug04 Jul06 Jun01 May09 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
CAITLINHERGRTNESS Aug23 Jul20 Jul06 Feb14 Nov05 (attard kevi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 12.00    
SHE FEELS PRETTY Aug17 Jul06 May17 Nov03 Sep16 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 25% 3.10    
WAVES OF MISCHIEF Sep11 Aug04 Jun29 May17 Apr18 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SOPRANO (IRE)         (boughey georg)LOUGHNANE BILLY 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
OVERSUBSCRIBED (GB) Jul20 Jun22 May05 Feb10   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
BUCHU Aug17 Jul06 Jun01 May03 Apr06 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
POUNCE Sep07 Jul20 May31 Apr06 Mar02 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
GRAYOSH Aug17 Jul18 May27 Apr20 Mar03 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
10  CANDALA         (graffard franc)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50    
 
KEE-9   10/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOURBON RESOLVE Sep15 Jul29 Jun27 Feb18 Jan19 (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
ELUSIVE TARGET Sep05 Aug12 Jul14 Jun19 May18 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  SEEKING UNITY Aug28 Aug07 Jul21 Jun22 May19 (rodriguez ru)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
SCR  KING KUMBALAY Sep15 Dec31 Nov25 Oct17 Sep23 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
PARCHMENT PARTY Nov09 Sep15       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
MACKMAN Sep15 Jun26 Apr28 Apr13 Mar21 (shirer matt)TORRES A 122 12.00    
BEN FRANKLIN Sep15 May05 Apr21 Mar17 Feb25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  RIVER IN EGYPT Sep22 Jul07 May25 Apr20 Mar25 (olivo )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 50.00    
BARTULIA Aug25 Jan29 Jan01 Dec09 Nov02 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00    
10  BATON ROUGE (IRE) Sep15 Aug24 Jul21 Jun07 May05 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
11  KOMOREBINO OMOIDE (JPN) Aug23 Aug04 Jun29 May27 May07 (diodoro robertino)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
12  SURFACE TO AIR Sep02 Jul20 Jun27 May18 Apr25 (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 122 20.00    
13  CREATIVE MINISTER Sep15 Jan13 Dec29 Nov11 Oct14 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 7% 14.30    
 
KEE-10   10/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSTER Aug19         (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
SOLEIL VOLANT Aug17 Jul24       (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
BOY BOY Sep07 Aug05       (colebrook be)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
COAL BATTLE Sep08 Jul25       (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 120 12.00 9% 10.30    
BLUE COAST Aug29 Aug10       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
THE BRIGADE Sep08 Aug01 May11     (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC EXAMPLE Sep10         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
ENTERDADRAGON Sep21 Sep01 Jul28 May11   (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
STRUMMIN Sep14 Aug26 Jul07 May26 May02 (hancock joh)TORRES A 120 15.00    
10  TOWNER TOO Sep21 Aug31 Aug18     (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 30.00    
11  LOVELY REGALO Sep23 Aug15 Jul04 Jun17 May29 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
12  CURAHEE Sep07 Jul18 Jun23     (russell t)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  PURSE THIEF Aug29 Jul22 Jun19 May26   (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
SCR  LOOK TO THE CROSS Sep05 Aug10       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  FRONT END Aug18         (crichton ro)TORRES A 120 10.00    
SCR  STASHU Sep11 Aug24 Jul22     (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.