Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-2   Win (1/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $25.40 $25.40 17.40
TDN-3   Win (8/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-4   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-5   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $27.00 $27.00 21.00
TDN-6   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TDN-7   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.40  
TDN-8   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISS EASY 4 3 55½ 32   12½ 110½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 61% 0.60 0.70 W
2  ALTER THE STARS 2 4 2nk 2nk   22½ 210½ (suarez javier)DIAZ I 123 2.50 1.90  
1  SPARKLY 1 5 1nk 1nk   32½ 311¼ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 4.50 10% 9.20 5.50 S
3  NOT TODAY 3 6 66½ 58   511½ 413½ (ray )SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
5  GRAY ENOUGH 5 2 33½ 43   47½ 515 (atala jose)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 9.50  
7  ZIPPY ZINNY 6 1 44 610   617½ 624½ (romero oscar)HALDAR J 119 15.00 40.90  
SCR  SPITE LITE               (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
 
TDN-2   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GILLIGAN 4 3 11 11   11 11½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 121 5.00 17% 4.90 11.70 W
1  BOURBON OVER ICE 1 6 32 42½   21 21½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 6.00 37% 1.70 2.50 P
5  ROGER MCQUEEN 5 4 42 52¾   32½ 33 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 3.50 0.90  
3  THE RED MAN 3 5 53 62¾   53½ 44 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 121 12.00 11.20  
8  KOSCIUSZKO 7 1 21 21   43½ 54¼ (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00 13.80  
6  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 6 2 74¾ 74¼   75¼ 66½ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 121 4.00 20% 4.10 6.90  
2  AWESOME ENOUGH 2 7 63¼ 32½   65 78¾ (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
SCR  O ROMEO               (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00    
 
TDN-3   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:004     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GREEK BOUTIQUE 8 3 2½ 1nk   12 13¼ (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 118 2.00 48% 1.10 0.20 W
6  MOBIL ENSIGN 6 2 33 35   36½ 23¼ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 118 3.00 ★ 6.40 P
1  IAMAMASON 1 4 1½ 2nk   22 35 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 18.20  
4  PRAISE N GLORY 4 9 97¾ 710¾   510½ 45 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00 10% 8.90 11.70  
5  PEEKABOO MOM 5 5 44½ 46½   48½ 56¼ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 118 6.00 26.30  
7  DAH FUH 7 6 86¾ 610¾   613 69¾ (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 20.00 37.60  
2  PLAY BALL SUSIE 2 7 66 510½   718 721¾ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 118 12.00 7% 12.40 47.60  
3  COUNT ON ME 3 8 56 811¼   819 823 (gorh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00 7% 12.40 10.60  
9  NOT JUST WILLOW 9 1 76¼ 911¾   920½ 925 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00 84.60  
 
TDN-4   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN 4 1 1½ 1½   11 1½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 41% 1.50 1.60 W
2  TAHLEQUAH JOE 2 2 42 2½   21 2½ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 117 1.80 27% 2.80 1.10 P
1  GIBBY MY CORN 1 6 612½ 513   510½ 37¼ (trevino g)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 34.50  
5  DANES HEART 5 5 31½ 44½   47½ 48½ (vazquez ivan)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 3.50  
3  ORVILLE B 3 3 2½ 34½   37 59 (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
6  ONE STEP ASIDE 6 4 512 614   612 69½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 10.90  
 
TDN-5   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DA JOURNEYGIRL 4 4 32 32   22 1nk ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 10.00 19% 4.20 12.50 W
6  QADIRA 6 3 11½ 12   12 2nk (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 2.00 25% 3.00 1.30 P
1  MALI BALI 1 6 64½ 43   43 3¼ (morales m)BRACHO A 119 2.50 2.50  
5  PANOLA 5 2 43½ 53½   32 41½ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 115 3.50 2.60  
2  NOT OVER YET 2 5 21½ 22   54 53½ (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 117 6.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
3  LUNA PRIMAVERA 3 1 53½ 65½   66 63¾ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50 9.40  
 
TDN-6   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTMAKESHERSWEET 1 3 11½ 12½   15 18 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 1.80 47% 1.10 0.10 W
5  PENNY'S TREASURE 5 1 32 22½   25 28 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 ★ 14.10 P
4  EXTRA CRAFTY 4 4 54½ 55   38½ 310½ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 4.50  
2  CLOUD PRINCESS 2 5 42½ 34½   412½ 419¾ (szczepanski emil)DIAZ I 121 4.00 19.30  
3  WINDY VALLEY 3 2 21½ 45   516 524 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.50 12% 7.30 19.90  
 
TDN-7   09/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:133     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NIGHT TIME RULER 3 6 31½ 51¾ 32 31 1¾ (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 1.70  
8  HAD RIGHT 7 5 41½ 21 2nk 2nk 2¾ (huffman m)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 ★ 6.40 P
5  SERVE REVENGE COLD 4 2 2½ 11 1nk 1nk 3¾ (urieta johanna)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.00 5.80  
6  LUCKY ANDY 5 3 84¾ 85¾ 88¾ 65¼ 45¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 47% 1.10 1.80  
1  KLAATU 1 1 1½ 31 44½ 45 56½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 8.00 46.80  
3  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 2 7 63¼ 62¾ 56½ 55¼ 67 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
7  K P SILVER BULLET 6 8 73¾ 73¾ 67½ 77¾ 714 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 119 4.50 28% 2.50 8.10  
9  MONSTER HUNTER 8 4 51¾ 41½ 77¾ 89¼ 816¾ (gonzalez donaciano)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 61.70  
SCR  FIRST CITIZEN               (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG TRUCK 3 3 51¼ 42   34 1hd (smith larry)DIAZ I 119 3.50 22% 3.50 1.60 W
1  RED CHILI PEPPER 1 5 21 21½   22½ 2hd (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 2.50  
5  ZAKARIA 5 1 11 11½   12½ 32¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 4.20  
2  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN 2 4 31 32   44½ 45¼ (mcdonald james)NEGRON LUIS 119 1.60 39% 1.60 3.30  
4  ROMANTIC COWBOY 4 2 41¼ 54½   56½ 56½ (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.