Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/6/4/2)-(8/4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/2)-(8/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/2)-(8/4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (8/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3/6)-(8/4/2/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (8/4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(6/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/4/2)-(1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(1/3)-(6/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/7/3)-(2/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPARKLY Jun11 May20 May03 Apr20 Mar16 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 4.50 10% 9.20    
2  ALTER THE STARS Aug14 Jul24 Jun28 Jun12 Feb24 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
3  NOT TODAY Aug15 Jul29 Jul11 Jun22 May30 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS EASY Aug14 Jul11 Jun04 May13 Apr22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 61% 0.60    
5  GRAY ENOUGH Aug15 Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 May20 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
SCR  SPITE LITE Sep02 Aug14 Feb04 Nov24 Nov01 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
7  ZIPPY ZINNY Aug15 Jul04 Jun13 May20 Mar15 (romero oscar)HALDAR J 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON OVER ICE Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 6.00 37% 1.70    
2  AWESOME ENOUGH Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 May23 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE RED MAN Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 Jun25 (m)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 121 12.00    
4  GILLIGAN Aug29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May20 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
5  ROGER MCQUEEN Aug15 Aug05 Jun25 Jun13 May23 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 3.50    
6  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Aug29 Jul25 Jul08 Jun24 Jun05 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  O ROMEO Aug29 Aug05 Jul09 Jun24 May07 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.00    
8  KOSCIUSZKO Aug29 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00    
 
TDN-3   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IAMAMASON Aug22 Aug06 Jul01     (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 8.00    
  (by DRILL out of CINDINI by BERNARDINI)
2  PLAY BALL SUSIE         (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 118 12.00 7% 12.40    
  (by SEGOVIA out of AFTERTHEBALLISOVER by BERNSTEIN)
3  COUNT ON ME         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00 7% 12.40    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MIDTOWN MISS by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  PRAISE N GLORY         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 4.00 10% 8.90    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
5  PEEKABOO MOM Aug22 Aug06       (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 118 6.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
6  MOBIL ENSIGN Aug22 Aug06       (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 118 3.00 ★    
  (by MOBIL out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
7  DAH FUH Aug22         (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of HOLY HAREM by HOLY BULL)
8  GREEK BOUTIQUE Aug06 Jul01       (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of BECKER COUNTY MISS by LANGFUHR)
9  NOT JUST WILLOW Aug22         (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118 20.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of VAQUERITA by VAQUERO)
 
TDN-4   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIBBY MY CORN Aug22 Jul31 Jun05 Oct30 Oct02 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
2  TAHLEQUAH JOE Aug22 Jul25 Jun18 Jun11 May28 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 117 1.80 27% 2.80    
3  ORVILLE B Jul31 Jun19 May28 May08 Mar18 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 May29 May13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 41% 1.50    
5  DANES HEART Aug26 Jul31 Jun19 May28 Nov29 (vazquez ivan)FELICIANO R 119 3.50    
6  ONE STEP ASIDE Aug22 Jul31 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00    
 
TDN-5   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALI BALI Sep03 Aug22 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 2.50    
2  NOT OVER YET Aug22 Aug12 Jul02 Jun11 May09 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LUNA PRIMAVERA Aug22 Jul22 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50    
4  DA JOURNEYGIRL Aug22 Jul21 Jul03 Aug29 Aug03 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 10.00 19% 4.20    
5  PANOLA Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 Apr28 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 115 3.50    
6  QADIRA Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 May15 (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-6   09/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Aug10 Jul04 Jun18 Nov14 Oct30 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 1.80 47% 1.10    
2  CLOUD PRINCESS Sep02 Aug10 Jul23 Jul02 Jan09 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 121 4.00    
3  WINDY VALLEY Jul22 Jul04 Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.50 12% 7.30    
4  EXTRA CRAFTY Jul31 Jul15 Jun19 May29 Apr01 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 2.50    
5  PENNY'S TREASURE Jul31 Jul15 Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-7   09/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLAATU Aug21 Jul29 Jul09 Jun19 May27 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 8.00    
SCR  FIRST CITIZEN Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
3  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun22 Jun08 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  NIGHT TIME RULER Aug29 Aug20 Aug12 Jul24 Jul15 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
5  SERVE REVENGE COLD Aug26 Jul16 Jun10 Jan02 Dec04 (urieta johann)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.00    
6  LUCKY ANDY Aug26 Aug05 Jun22 May30 Apr23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
7  K P SILVER BULLET Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul18 Jun27 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
8  HAD RIGHT Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun22 May30 (huffman candace )AVILES YAN 119 5.00 ★    
9  MONSTER HUNTER Sep04 Aug22 Aug06 Jul16 Jul03 (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED CHILI PEPPER Aug26 Jul31 May31 Nov15 Sep25 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
2  AUTHENTIC COWTOWN Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun17 May20 (mcdonald james)NEGRON LUIS 119 1.60 39% 1.60    
3  BIG TRUCK Aug08 Jul17 Jun07 Jan24 Dec28 (smith larry)DIAZ I 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  ROMANTIC COWBOY Aug20 Jul09 Jun22 Nov30 Oct24 (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ZAKARIA Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun17 Feb20 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.