Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - July 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-2   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $12.40  
TDN-3   Win (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-4   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-5   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-6   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
TDN-7   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $11.20  
TDN-8   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED CHILI PEPPER 1 3 31 21½   22 12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 30% 2.30 1.40 W
2  ROLL ON MAX 2 2 11 11½   12 22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 38% 1.60 1.10 P
6  MARQUITOS M 6 1 74¾ 33   36 37 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00 41.10  
5  LIVING THE DREAM 5 6 63¼ 43   46½ 48¼ (galloway khadeem)PEREZ A 115 10.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
4  NATIONAL STORY 4 5 52¼ 53¼   511½ 513¾ (jensen justi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.50 14.80  
7  CINSAULT 7 4 42 74¼   616½ 621¼ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 4.50 8.70  
3  WAR ON THE RIVER 3 7 21 63¼   722½ 7100 (flores christi)HALDAR J 119 5.00 6% 14.50 24.20  
 
TDN-2   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRIVATE DRIVE 5 1 63¾ 34   43½ 1nk (guidry terrance)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 5.20  
5  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 4 4 43 55   53¾ 2nk (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 3.40  
3  COWTOWN BOSS 2 2 12 11½   12½ 32 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 38% 1.60 2.50 S
4  BISCUITS AND GRITS 3 3 32 65½   22½ 44½ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 123 5.00 16% 5.10 3.00  
7  MUTINY 6 5 22 21½   33½ 511¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
2  OHIO PLAYER 1 6 53¼ 45   67¾ 614¼ (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00 10.80  
SCR  BRIG               (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00    
 
TDN-3   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SALUTE THE KID 7 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1nk (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 16% 5.10 1.70 W
5  KAT TRAX 5 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 2nk (gorham m)DIAZ I 123 3.50 26% 2.80 6.40 P
2  RONNI'S WIND 2 4 31 31½   33½ 31¼ (cline c)BRACHO A 121 6.00 5% 17.50 11.90 S
3  KETTLE KISS 3 7 72¼ 63¼   67 45¼ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 22% 3.60 1.40  
6  KERRI'S MIRACLE 6 3 42 41¾   56 55½ (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00 14.40  
1  EXPRESS FASHION 1 5 62¼ 52¾   46 65¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 12.00 17.60  
4  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 4 6 52 73¼   79 711½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 7.50  
 
TDN-4   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMA K'S BOY 1 5 1½ 11   15 18¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 115 3.00 27% 2.70 0.40 W
2  OLLIE'S FOLLY 2 3 2½ 21   25 28¼ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 6.00 6.30  
7  COUNTEVERYBLESSING 5 2 54 45½   39½ 38¼ (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 115 2.00 46% 1.20 2.50 S
5  GUESS AGAIN 4 1 44 35½   411½ 414 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 30.60  
4  GHOST OF LONDYN 3 4 32½ 57   519½ 534½ (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SCR  IPPOLITO'S WONDER               (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  SADIE'S SILVER KID               (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 4.00    
 
TDN-5   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 3 1 31½ 41¾   22 1¼ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 60% 0.70 0.80 W
7  DANES HEART 4 2 43 3.2   12 2¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 8% 12.20 3.60 P
8  ONE STEP ASIDE 5 3 511 56¼   43 3½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00 9.90  
2  GIBBY MY CORN 2 4 2½ 2nk   32½ 43¾ (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 7.90  
1  ORVILLE B 1 5 1½ 1nk   54½ 518¾ (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
SCR  BLAKE'S RYEN               (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50    
SCR  MAMAS HOME COOKING               (cline c)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
SCR  REDDEN               (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00    
 
TDN-6   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL ON BIG O 1 2 1nk 1nk   13½ 12 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 2.00 34% 2.00 2.70 W
3  RAY'S EMPIRE 3 4 41¾ 4¾   23½ 22 (szczepanski emily)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 1.90  
4  K C OUTWORK 4 1 52¼ 52¾   65¾ 37 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 29% 2.40 4.20 S
2  SHOWTIME BOY 2 3 2nk 2nk   35 48¼ (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
5  SMOKE SCREEN 5 5 64¼ 62¾   55½ 58½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 3.50 4.30  
6  SPIRIT OF AKRON 6 6 31½ 3½   45½ 69¼ (bailey ricardo)SIMPSON JASON 115 10.00 4.90  
 
TDN-7   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :462 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 2 4 21 21½   1nk 11¾ (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 115 8.00 4.60  
5  KISS VALENTINA 5 1 33 33½   33 21¾ (castro raq)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 9.80  
3  SPUNKY ONE 3 6 611½ 613   69 35 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 11.20  
4  OUR LAST SONG 4 5 46½ 47   45½ 45¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 ★ 6.60  
1  DOLCE MARIE 1 3 11 11½   2nk 55½ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 2.00 31% 2.20 1.60  
6  IMA MOM 6 2 57½ 58   56½ 66½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 115 5.00 16% 5.20 1.70  
 
TDN-8   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:00     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY PINK BUNNY TALE 1 5 1½ 15   12½ 1½ (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 54% 0.90 1.20 W
3  EXTRA CRAFTY 3 6 44 25   22½ 2½ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 ★ 5.30 P
2  DOMINUS O'S ME 2 4 33 35   36 33¼ (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 22% 3.50 2.50 S
6  TITEBLUEJEANS 6 2 67½ 710¾   611 49¼ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 7.10  
4  PENNY'S TREASURE 4 3 55 55¾   49½ 511 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
5  CRYSTAL M 5 7 77½ 69¼   510½ 611¾ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 34.20  
7  WAY OF THE WORLD 7 1 2½ 45¼   715 723¼ (morales m)PEREZ A 119 6.00 25.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.