Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/5)-(3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/5)-(3/4/7)-(5/3/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(5/3/7/2)-(7/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2)-(7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/2)-(7/1/4)-(5/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(5/7/1)-(1/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(1/4/2)-(1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/6)-(1/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/6)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/3)-(1/2/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED CHILI PEPPER May31 Nov15 Sep25 Sep05 Aug15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 30% 2.30    
2  ROLL ON MAX Jul01 May29 May13 Apr22 Mar25 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  WAR ON THE RIVER Dec26 Nov22 Oct24 Oct02 Aug28 (flores chris)HALDAR J 119 5.00 6% 14.50    
4  NATIONAL STORY Jul18 Jun27 Jun04     (jensen jus)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.50    
5  LIVING THE DREAM May18 Apr11 Mar15 Feb08 Jan10 (galloway khadeem)PEREZ A 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARQUITOS M Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 May29 May13 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00    
7  CINSAULT Jun26 May29 May13 Apr08 Mar25 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 4.50    
 
TDN-2   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRIG Jun12 May23 Aug08 Jul10 Jun15 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00    
2  OHIO PLAYER Jun22 May01 Apr01 Mar11 Feb06 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
3  COWTOWN BOSS May06 Mar13 Feb15 Jan22 Jun24 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 38% 1.60    
4  BISCUITS AND GRITS Jul04 Jun22 Jun12 May23 Apr04 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 123 5.00 16% 5.10    
5  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Jul10 Jun18 May22 May06 Apr02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
6  PRIVATE DRIVE Jul16 Jun22 Feb14 Jan23 Dec26 (guidry terran)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00    
7  MUTINY Jul09 Jun18 May29 May08 Apr22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPRESS FASHION Jul10 Jun22 May23 May04 Jan02 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
2  RONNI'S WIND Jul10 Jun18 May28 May07 Oct06 (cline robert )BRACHO A 121 6.00 5% 17.50    
3  KETTLE KISS Jul10 Jun19 May23 Dec15 Nov16 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jun27 Jun19 Jun03 May09 Apr30 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
5  KAT TRAX Jul10 Jun19 May28 May07 Apr11 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  KERRI'S MIRACLE Jul10 Jun19 May28 May07 Apr24 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00    
7  SALUTE THE KID Jul10 Jun22 May23 May07 Aug02 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
TDN-4   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMA K'S BOY Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 May21 May01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  OLLIE'S FOLLY Jul15 Jun26 May13 Apr22 Mar25 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 6.00    
SCR  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Jun11 May04 Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
4  GHOST OF LONDYN Apr08 Mar25 Mar07 Feb29 Feb15 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  GUESS AGAIN Jun26 May18 Oct11 Jul06 Jun23 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00    
SCR  SADIE'S SILVER KID Jul15 Jun26 Jun08 May21 Oct28 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 4.00    
7  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 May21 Apr11 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-5   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORVILLE B Jun19 May28 May08 Mar18 Jan24 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  GIBBY MY CORN Jun05 Oct30 Oct02 Sep13 Dec14 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
SCR  MAMAS HOME COOKING Jul15 May31 May17 May04 Oct04 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.00    
SCR  BLAKE'S RYEN Jul01 Jun11 Aug12 Jul25 Jul05 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50    
5  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Jul11 Jun19 May28 May07 Apr04 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 3.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  REDDEN Jul11 Jun11 Apr30 Apr11 Mar25 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00    
7  DANES HEART Jun19 May28 Nov29 Oct30 Sep28 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 8% 12.20    
8  ONE STEP ASIDE Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 May28 May08 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 12.00    
 
TDN-6   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL ON BIG O Jul15 Jun26 Nov30 Nov15 Sep22 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  SHOWTIME BOY Jul18 Jun18 May28 Apr27 Nov27 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  RAY'S EMPIRE Jul15 Jun27 Jun18 May22 May07 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
4  K C OUTWORK Jul15 Jul03 Apr23 Mar28   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 29% 2.40    
5  SMOKE SCREEN Jul15 Jun12 May30 May13 Mar28 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 3.50    
6  SPIRIT OF AKRON Jul15 Jun27 Jun18 May28 May04 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 115 10.00    
 
TDN-7   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLCE MARIE Jul10 Jun22 May29 Apr22 Nov21 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL Jun19 Oct12 Sep21 Sep04 Aug14 (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 115 8.00    
3  SPUNKY ONE Jul18 Jun17 May29 May13 Apr22 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
4  OUR LAST SONG Jun19 May28 Oct02 Sep21 Aug31 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 ★    
5  KISS VALENTINA Jul10 Jun19 May28 May07 Apr24 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
6  IMA MOM Jul10 Jun22 May28 May13 Apr24 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 115 5.00 16% 5.20    
 
TDN-8   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY PINK BUNNY TALE May15 Apr25 Mar30 Mar08 Jan16 (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 2.50 54% 0.90    
2  DOMINUS O'S ME Jul15 Jul02 Jun17 May28 Dec21 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  EXTRA CRAFTY Jul15 Jun19 May29 Apr01 Mar14 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 ★    
4  PENNY'S TREASURE Jul15 Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 Dec06 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CRYSTAL M Jul15 Jun19 May29 May06 Mar27 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
6  TITEBLUEJEANS Jul03 Jun10 May20 May06 Apr11 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
7  WAY OF THE WORLD Jun19 May31 May11 Apr24 Oct29 (morales m)PEREZ A 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.