Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   EXA (6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-6 $28.30 $16.30 136%
TDN-4   WIN (6/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.40 $5.40 90%
TDN-5   DD (6/9/3)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-3 $14.30 $5.30 59%
TDN-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    PK3 (6/9/3)-(3/6/5)-(5/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00  3-3-4 $82.00 $55.00 204%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CAUSE OF LOVE 7 1 2nk 11   12 13½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 8% 12.10 2.60 W
6  LARSA 5 4 1nk 21   42½ 23½ (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 123 6.00 38% 1.70 11.30 P
2  CLIFTONS BALLERINA 1 6 41¾ 32   22 35 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 3.40  
5  FABULOUS CLOWN 4 2 3.2 53½   32 46 (jackson james)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 23% 3.40 4.90  
7  POINTOF ATTRACTION 6 3 52¾ 42   53½ 57 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 2.50 1.30  
3  I GOT HOPE 2 7 78¾ 710½   78 610¾ (rom)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 15.00 71.20  
4  ARTIES CRYPTONITE 3 5 65¾ 68½   67½ 711½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 12.00 5% 19.00 36.30  
SCR  SUGAR LOVES IT               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00    
 
TDN-2   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIDDEN RANSOM 3 2 11 1nk   1nk 1¼ (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.60 52% 0.90 0.10 W
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of HIDDEN NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  A VAN ON THE RUN 4 3 21 2nk   2nk 2¼ (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 3.50  
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
1  WEEKEND RETREAT 1 5 46 44½   35½ 36 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 16% 5.30 10.30 S
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
7  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 5 1 35 34   46 49 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 66.50  
  (by OXBOW out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
3  CRACK COMMAND 2 4 56½ 510½   526 543¾ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 12.00 20.90  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of PROUD COMMANDER by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  DR. JOBO'S DAY               (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 119 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  LAVA JACK               (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of LAVA FALLS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
TDN-3   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MIDNIGHT WONDER 3 2 11½ 13½   15 14 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.60 62% 0.60 0.05 W
7  THEODOROPOULOS 5 1 31½ 23½   25 24 (bailey ricar)HALDAR J 121 8.00 8% 11.30 26.40 P
5  DELIGHTFUL CAT 4 3 47½ 411   410½ 35¾ (jarvis kathy)MARTINEZ W 119 2.00 10.90  
1  OUT MY DEAR 1 4 21½ 37½   39½ 49¼ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 6.00 8% 11.70 12.00  
2  TONALA 2 5 517½ 526   525½ 521½ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 12.00 42.20  
SCR  LOFTY COWTOWN               (fadlovich megan)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
SCR  SHEZ SHACKED UP               (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   08/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:00     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STONE COLD CAT 2 7 75½ 76   31 1¼ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70 W
7  BABA LOOEY 4 3 4¼ 41½   1½ 2¼ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00 18.70  
6  NICK CAN FIX 3 4 52¼ 64½   63 31 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 71% 0.40 0.90 S
8  VICTORY DIVISION 5 6 62½ 53   52 41½ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 121 4.50 3.50  
9  SWEET LEMON DROP 6 2 1nk 1nk   41 55¼ (jackson james)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00 6% 15.10 4.40  
1  ATTACK ANGLE 1 5 3.2 3½   2½ 65½ (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 30.00 53.00  
10  SHOW SLIDING HOME 7 1 2nk 2nk   73¼ 79¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 13.20  
SCR  LUNCHATTHELIZARD               (severin robert)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
SCR  POWERFUL PHIL               (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
SCR  SHANGHAI PRINCE               (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 ★    
 
TDN-5   08/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  O ROMEO 1 3 11½ 11   13½ 12¾ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 32% 2.10 0.80 W
7  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 5 1 47½ 44½   33½ 22¾ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 121 3.50 3.30  
6  GILLIGAN 4 2 21½ 21   23½ 33½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 121 5.00 18% 4.70 5.50 S
5  KOSCIUSZKO 3 4 33½ 33½   45½ 45 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 12% 7.30 6.10  
4  NO ANGEL 2 5 516½ 517½   510½ 56¼ (canegata jam)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00 5.80  
SCR  CANDY KINGDOM               (zook w)LEON A 119 15.00    
SCR  ROGER MCQUEEN               (feliciano b)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00    
 
TDN-6   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JOKEMEISTER 3 3 11 13½   13½ 14¾ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 9% 10.40 4.60 W
1  RECKLESS L J 1 4 44 44½   23½ 24¾ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 1.60  
6  GUN LAP 5 6 54 23½   33½ 36¾ (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 7.60  
7  SIMPLY VALID 6 2 33½ 54¾   55¼ 48¾ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 12.70  
5  WILDCAT EXPRESS 4 1 21 33½   45 59 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.50 43% 1.30 2.70  
2  BOUDIN 2 5 65 67¾   67¾ 613 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 121 4.00 13% 6.50 3.90  
SCR  MOESTER               (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
 
TDN-7   08/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:141     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AULD LANGE SYNE 2 4 41 42 41¾ 3.2 13 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 6.80  
5  CENTSOFWANDER 4 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 23 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 121 3.00 54% 0.80 1.60 P
6  BLESS THE KITTEN 5 3 31 31 1nk 2nk 33¾ (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 8% 12.00 2.30 S
1  NIGHT TIME RULER 1 5 55 57 53¾ 56¾ 47¾ (brown glenro)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00 4.30  
4  EXONERATED PREZ 3 1 1½ 1½ 3.2 44¾ 59¼ (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 10% 9.40 3.30  
SCR  DISCLOSURE               (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 3.50    
SCR  THRU THE VINE               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
 
TDN-8   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EMPIRE'S FIRE 4 2 2nk 1nk   12 1½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 2.00 39% 1.50 0.50 W
1  MR LOOOCH 1 3 31 31   33½ 2½ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 4.50  
6  DIAMOND DUST 5 1 1nk 2nk   22 31½ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 119 2.50 37% 1.70 3.10 S
2  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 2 4 41½ 42   45½ 42¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 5.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
3  ALTISSIMO 3 5 53 53   56 52¾ (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 16.50  
SCR  MISTER MOBIL               (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.