Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/8/4)-(4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/4)-(4/1/7)-(4/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(4/7/1)-(6/9/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(6/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(6/9/3)-(3/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/3)-(6/9/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/3)-(6/9/3/2)-(6/9/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/9/3)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3)-(3/6/5)-(5/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(5/2/4)-(5/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(5/4/6)-(4/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUGAR LOVES IT Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 Nov09 Sep28 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00    
2  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Aug14 Aug01 Sep18 Sep12 Aug03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50    
3  I GOT HOPE Aug05 Jul17 Jun08 Apr04 Mar06 (rom)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 15.00    
4  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Aug07 Jul17 May18 Apr04 Mar19 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FABULOUS CLOWN Aug07 Jul17 Jun27 Feb13 Dec30 (jackson james)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  LARSA Aug05 Jul17 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 123 6.00 38% 1.70    
7  POINTOF ATTRACTION Aug14 Jul15 Jun18 Dec30 Dec14 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 2.50    
8  CAUSE OF LOVE Aug05 Jul17 Jun27 Jun11 May21 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.50 8% 12.10    
 
TDN-2   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKEND RETREAT Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 May13 Mar25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
SCR  LAVA JACK         (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of LAVA FALLS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  CRACK COMMAND Aug01 Jul03 Jun12 May13 Apr23 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of PROUD COMMANDER by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  HIDDEN RANSOM May13 Apr23       (wolochuk david)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of HIDDEN NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  A VAN ON THE RUN Jul02 May30 Mar28 Mar05 Feb22 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
SCR  DR. JOBO'S DAY Aug15         (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 119 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
7  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Aug01 Jul03 Jun10 May21 May01 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OXBOW out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
 
TDN-3   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT MY DEAR Jul15 Jun11 May21 Oct10 Sep11 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 123 6.00 8% 11.70    
2  TONALA Jul30 Jul01 May30 May08 Mar28 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 121 12.00    
SCR  LOFTY COWTOWN Aug10 Jul15 Jun22 Dec21 Nov16 (fadlovich megan)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
4  MIDNIGHT WONDER Aug01 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 Apr01 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.60 62% 0.60    
5  DELIGHTFUL CAT Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 Jun12 May17 (jarvis kath)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 2.00    
SCR  SHEZ SHACKED UP Aug10 Jul15 Dec13 Nov02 Jul19 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
7  THEODOROPOULOS Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 Jun24 Jun12 (bailey ricar)HALDAR J 121 8.00 8% 11.30    
 
TDN-4   08/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTACK ANGLE Aug12 Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 May20 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 30.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI PRINCE Aug12 Jul26 May30 May15 Apr24 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 ★    
3  STONE COLD CAT Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May15 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Aug12 Jun27 Oct12 Sep04 Aug10 (severin robert)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
SCR  POWERFUL PHIL Aug21 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May15 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
6  NICK CAN FIX Aug12 Jul18 Jun25 Jun07 Mar20 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 71% 0.40    
7  BABA LOOEY Aug06 Jul18 Jun26 Jun04 May20 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 10.00    
8  VICTORY DIVISION Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 Jun10 May27 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 121 4.50    
9  SWEET LEMON DROP Aug06 Jul18 Jul03 Jun11 May20 (jackson james)SIMPSON JASON 119 6.00 6% 15.10    
10  SHOW SLIDING HOME Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 May15 Apr04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   08/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROGER MCQUEEN Aug15 Aug05 Jun25 Jun13 May23 (feliciano b)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00    
SCR  CANDY KINGDOM Aug13 Jul31 Jul11 Jun28 Jun15 (zook w)LEON A 119 15.00    
3  O ROMEO Aug05 Jul09 Jun24 May07 Apr07 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  NO ANGEL Aug21 Jul22 Jun22 May30 May09 (canegata jam)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00    
5  KOSCIUSZKO Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 May13 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
6  GILLIGAN Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May20 Apr23 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 121 5.00 18% 4.70    
7  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jul25 Jul08 Jun24 Jun05 May22 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 121 3.50    
 
TDN-6   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS L J Jul16 Jun22 Jun04 May01 Dec26 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
2  BOUDIN Jul17 Jun26 May27 May06 Apr18 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 121 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  MOESTER Jun22 Jun07 May04 Apr09 Mar25 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50    
4  JOKEMEISTER Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May20 Apr25 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 9% 10.40    
5  WILDCAT EXPRESS Jul16 Jun18 May18 Mar11 Feb07 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  GUN LAP Jun24 Jun13 Jun04 May21 Aug14 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
7  SIMPLY VALID Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 Jan25 Dec07 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   08/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT TIME RULER Aug20 Aug12 Jul24 Jul15 Jun26 (brown glenro)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00    
SCR  THRU THE VINE Aug06 Jul10 Jan24 Dec21 Nov29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
3  AULD LANGE SYNE Aug12 Jul22 Jun26 May20 May09 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 6.00    
4  EXONERATED PREZ Jul30 Jun26 May23 Apr23 Jan30 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 10% 9.40    
5  CENTSOFWANDER Jul22 Jun26 May22 Apr22 Apr02 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
6  BLESS THE KITTEN Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 May22 Apr22 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 5.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  DISCLOSURE Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May22 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-8   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LOOOCH Aug10 Jul16 Jun13 Jun04 May14 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 4.00    
2  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Aug10 Jul09 Jun13 May29 May01 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALTISSIMO Jul03 Jun13 Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50    
4  EMPIRE'S FIRE Aug10 Jul16 Jun07 May15 May01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 121 2.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  MISTER MOBIL Aug20 Aug10 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 10.00    
6  DIAMOND DUST Aug10 Jul04 Jun12 May27 Oct28 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.