Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-2   Win (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
TDN-3   Win (4/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-4   Win (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $7.60  
TDN-5   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
TDN-6   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-7   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-8   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 5.60

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAIL OF HONOR 6 6 7 7 6 31 1 (higham nicole)RIVERA R 123 3.50 51% 0.90 1.70 W
EXALTED JOY 3 7 67 6 5 4 2 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 14% 6.30 1.90 P
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 4 2 11 11 1nk 2nk 36 (vecchio caryn)HALDAR J 123 5.00 20.00  
ROGER MCQUEEN 5 5 21 21 2nk 1nk 4 (feliciano ben)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.50 1.90  
MASTER 1 1 5 54 33 5 5 (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 21.60  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 2 3 4 42 44 6 611½ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00 79.90  
VENETIAN DREAM 7 4 3 32 7 710¼ 720¼ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
 
TDN-2   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM 4 6 57 5   3 1 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.00 40% 1.50 2.60 W
DANCE MY WAY 7 1 43 2nk   1 2 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 14% 6.30 7.80 P
LIAM'S LASS 2 5 2½ 1nk   2 3 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 14.90  
CANDYMONIUM 3 7 6 6   6 45 (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 37.70  
FIONA 5 3 3 4   4 55 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 58.20  
CORNER KICK 1 4 1½ 3.2   5 6 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00 9% 9.90 7.50  
KEY TO SUCCESS 6 2 711½ 7100   7100 7100 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 0.60  
 
TDN-3   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 7 1 31 1nk   11 1 (trevino stephen)BRACHO A 123 2.50 22% 3.50 0.90 W
THELMA LUCILLE 4 5 4 3.2   21 2 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.00 40% 1.50 2.90 P
THIRTY SOMETHING 2 4 1½ 2nk   31 3 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 8.00 5.80 S
SOMETHING LUCKY 5 7 7 6   6 4 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.50 6.00  
COWGIRLS HUMOR 6 2 5 5   47 511½ (schuster robin)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 19.50  
DEBBIE'S DREAM 3 3 2½ 4   58 620¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
BOOKMASTER 1 6 67 710¼   712¼ 723¾ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 63.80  
 
TDN-4   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:141     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM MOM NOT BRUH 2 3 2½ 1nk 1 1 14 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 4.00 2.80  
GRAY ENOUGH 1 1 1½ 2nk 2 2 24 (atala jose)FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00 10.20  
ZIPPY ZINNY 4 2 5 5 32 3 312½ (romero oscar)HALDAR J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.60 S
SAKONNA 3 4 6 6 611½ 410½ 415 (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 31% 2.20 1.30  
FLATTERING HEART 5 6 3 4 58 614½ 520 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 6.00 20% 4.10 7.60  
NOT TODAY 6 5 4 3 45 514 620¾ (ray k)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 5.00 2.40  
SCR  CRY IF I WANT TO               (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-5   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:144     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 3 2 3 3 3 22 1¾ (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 43% 1.30 2.40 W
MAMAS HOME COOKING 1 1 1 11 1½ 12 2¾ (cline c)BRACHO A 119 2.50 1.80 P
GUESS AGAIN 6 3 2 21 2½ 3 39 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 14.40  
MOBIL MISSION 4 5 5 42 4 4 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 31% 2.30 2.30  
KENNEDY'S CAMELOT 2 4 4 63 6 5 511½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 7.20  
MARQUITOS M 7 6 66 52 5 6 617½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 45.20  
LIVING THE DREAM 5 7 7 76 7 7 718 (gallowa)TABOADA LIMBER 115 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
 
TDN-6   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEXITEXAFORNIA 2 1 2nk 12   1 1¾ (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.40 1.30 W
VINNY AND LEO 4 3 31 22   2 2¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 37% 1.70 0.70 P
LEGENDARY STAR 3 4 5 4   3 3 (lopez jacinto)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.50 8.10  
INTO THE BLACK 1 5 42 5   4 411½ (winte)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 30.90  
DR. JOBO'S DAY 5 2 1nk 33   510½ 520¾ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 10.00 11.90  
SCR  AWE SUMSUNFUN               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
SCR  LORD MARXMAN               (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   08/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN PRINCE 3 3 1 12   1 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.50 49% 1.10 0.40 W
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 1 5 2 32   2 2 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.90 P
BAD LITTLE BEAST 5 1 5 5   49 3 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.00 5.30  
MORE THAN GOOD 4 2 4 4   59 410½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 121 2.50 22% 3.50 2.50  
TOYI 2 4 3 22   3 513½ (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50 17.60  
SCR  FOREST SURVIVOR               (romero a)HOUGHTON D 121 4.00    
 
TDN-8   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY BELLE 3 3 11 1 1½ 12 1 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 12% 7.30 4.80 W
MALICED 2 6 5 44 3½ 22 2 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.00 47% 1.10 2.20 P
MARKET SUCCESS 4 5 6 5 5 4 36 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00 5.50  
MAGIC PALACE 6 4 3 33 42 3 4 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 4.20  
PASSIONFORTREASURE 5 1 21 2 2½ 5 511¼ (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 2.30  
CEVICHE 1 2 44 6 67 6 616½ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.