Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $23.10 $11.10 93%
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
TDN-6   DD (3/4/5)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-2 $10.70 $1.70 19%
TDN-7   EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $13.60 $7.60 127%
TDN-8   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.60 $5.60 93%
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $19.90 $13.90 232%
    PK4 (3/4/5)-(4/2/1)-(4/5/1)-(2/3/1) 81 $0.50 $40.50  3-2-2/4-3 $45.65 $5.15 13%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VAIL OF HONOR 6 6 77¼ 76¾ 65¾ 31 12¼ (higham nicole)RIVERA R 123 3.50 51% 0.90 1.70 W
3  EXALTED JOY 3 7 67 66½ 55½ 41¼ 22¼ (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 14% 6.30 1.90 P
4  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 4 2 11 11 1nk 2nk 36 (vecchio cary)HALDAR J 123 5.00 20.00  
5  ROGER MCQUEEN 5 5 21 21 2nk 1nk 47¼ (feliciano b)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.50 ★ 1.90  
1  MASTER 1 1 52½ 54 33 53¼ 59½ (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 21.60  
2  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 2 3 41½ 42 44 65¼ 611½ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00 79.90  
7  VENETIAN DREAM 7 4 31½ 32 77¾ 710¼ 720¼ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
 
TDN-2   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM 4 6 57 52¾   32½ 11¼ (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.00 40% 1.50 2.60 W
7  DANCE MY WAY 7 1 43 2nk   11½ 21¼ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 14% 6.30 7.80 P
2  LIAM'S LASS 2 5 2½ 1nk   21½ 33½ (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 14.90  
3  CANDYMONIUM 3 7 67½ 65¾   66½ 45 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 37.70  
5  FIONA 5 3 31½ 41¼   44½ 55 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 58.20  
1  CORNER KICK 1 4 1½ 3.2   54½ 66¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00 9% 9.90 7.50  
6  KEY TO SUCCESS 6 2 711½ 7100   7100 7100 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 0.60  
 
TDN-3   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 7 1 31 1nk   11 13¾ (trevino steph)BRACHO A 123 2.50 22% 3.50 0.90 W
4  THELMA LUCILLE 4 5 43½ 3.2   21 23¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.00 40% 1.50 2.90 P
2  THIRTY SOMETHING 2 4 1½ 2nk   31 35¼ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 8.00 5.80 S
5  SOMETHING LUCKY 5 7 78½ 69¼   68¼ 48½ (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.50 6.00  
6  COWGIRLS HUMOR 6 2 53½ 56¾   47 511½ (schuster robi)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 19.50  
3  DEBBIE'S DREAM 3 3 2½ 44¼   58 620¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
1  BOOKMASTER 1 6 67 710¼   712¼ 723¾ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 63.80  
 
TDN-4   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:141     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TEAM MOM NOT BRUH 2 3 2½ 1nk 11½ 13½ 14 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 4.00 2.80  
1  GRAY ENOUGH 1 1 1½ 2nk 21½ 23½ 24 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00 10.20  
5  ZIPPY ZINNY 4 2 52¾ 52¼ 32 36½ 312½ (romero oscar)HALDAR J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.60 S
4  SAKONNA 3 4 64¼ 68¼ 611½ 410½ 415 (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 31% 2.20 1.30  
6  FLATTERING HEART 5 6 32½ 41¾ 58 614½ 520 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 6.00 20% 4.10 7.60  
7  NOT TODAY 6 5 42½ 31½ 45 514 620¾ (ray)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 5.00 2.40  
SCR  CRY IF I WANT TO               (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-5   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:144     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COUNTEVERYBLESSING 3 2 31½ 31½ 31½ 22 1¾ (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 43% 1.30 2.40 W
1  MAMAS HOME COOKING 1 1 11½ 11 1½ 12 2¾ (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.50 ★ 1.80 P
6  GUESS AGAIN 6 3 21½ 21 2½ 34½ 39 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 14.40  
4  MOBIL MISSION 4 5 55½ 42 41½ 44½ 49¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 31% 2.30 2.30  
2  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT 2 4 43½ 63 63¼ 55½ 511½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 7.20  
7  MARQUITOS M 7 6 66 52 51¾ 68½ 617½ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 45.20  
5  LIVING THE DREAM 5 7 79½ 76 75¼ 79½ 718 (gallo)TABOADA LIMBER 115 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
 
TDN-6   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MEXITEXAFORNIA 2 1 2nk 12   12½ 1¾ (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.40 1.30 W
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
4  VINNY AND LEO 4 3 31 22   22½ 2¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 37% 1.70 0.70 P
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SHE BE CLASSY by TOCCET)
3  LEGENDARY STAR 3 4 52¼ 43½   34½ 35½ (lopez jacinto)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.50 8.10  
  (by MOBIL out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
1  INTO THE BLACK 1 5 42 54½   48½ 411½ (win)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 30.90  
  (by UPSTART out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
6  DR. JOBO'S DAY 5 2 1nk 33   510½ 520¾ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 10.00 11.90  
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  AWE SUMSUNFUN               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of SUMFLORIDASUNFUN by GENERAL QUARTERS)
SCR  LORD MARXMAN               (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 2.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
 
TDN-7   08/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AMERICAN PRINCE 3 3 11½ 12   14½ 16½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.50 49% 1.10 0.40 W
1  NATURE OFTHE BEAST 1 5 21½ 32   24½ 26½ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.90 P
6  BAD LITTLE BEAST 5 1 51¾ 52¾   49 39½ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.00 5.30  
5  MORE THAN GOOD 4 2 41¾ 42½   59 410½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 121 2.50 22% 3.50 2.50  
3  TOYI 2 4 31½ 22   38½ 513½ (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50 17.60  
SCR  FOREST SURVIVOR               (romero a)HOUGHTON D 121 4.00    
 
TDN-8   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIBERTY BELLE 3 3 11 11½ 1½ 12 14¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 12% 7.30 4.80 W
2  MALICED 2 6 55½ 44 3½ 22 24¼ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.00 47% 1.10 2.20 P
4  MARKET SUCCESS 4 5 65½ 55½ 52½ 44½ 36 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00 5.50  
6  MAGIC PALACE 6 4 32½ 33 42 34½ 47½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 4.20  
5  PASSIONFORTREASURE 5 1 21 21½ 2½ 54¾ 511¼ (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 2.30  
1  CEVICHE 1 2 44 65½ 67 69¼ 616½ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.