Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/3/6/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/2/3)-(4/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/3)-(4/3/6/5)-(3/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5)-(4/3/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/6/5)-(3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/5)-(3/4/5)-(4/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(4/2/1)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(4/5/1)-(2/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 Jan31 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00    
2  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Jul23 Jun17 Nov15 Nov01 Oct09 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 15.00    
3  EXALTED JOY Jul24 Jul02 Apr09 Mar07 Feb28 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 14% 6.30    
4  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Aug05 Jul24 Jul15 Jun25 Apr09 (vecchio cary)HALDAR J 123 5.00    
5  ROGER MCQUEEN Aug05 Jun25 Jun13 May23 May08 (feliciano b)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.50 ★    
6  VAIL OF HONOR Jul15 Jul01 Mar20 Feb13 Jan24 (higham nicole)RIVERA R 123 3.50 51% 0.90    
7  VENETIAN DREAM Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORNER KICK Jul25 Jul04 Jun10 May18 Dec13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 12.00 9% 9.90    
2  LIAM'S LASS Jul09 Jun13 May21 Jan13 Dec19 (crumley jevon)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50    
3  CANDYMONIUM Jul16 Jun13 May30 May13 Sep14 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
4  SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM Jun22 Apr22 Dec29 Oct21   (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  FIONA Jul10 Jun22 Jun03 May06 Feb13 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KEY TO SUCCESS Jul16 Jun22 Jun10 May13 Apr26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
7  DANCE MY WAY Jul18 Jul04 Jun04 May13 Apr12 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 14% 6.30    
 
TDN-3   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOKMASTER Jul29 Jun18 Aug30 Aug12 Jul13 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
2  THIRTY SOMETHING Jul29 Jul17 Jul01 Jun18 May29 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 11% 8.00    
3  DEBBIE'S DREAM Jul17 Jul01 Nov28     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  THELMA LUCILLE Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Oct04 Sep14 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  SOMETHING LUCKY Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Jun17 Apr08 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 4.50    
6  COWGIRLS HUMOR Jul29 Jul22 Jun12 May27 May07 (schuster robi)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
7  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Jun17 Feb19 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
TDN-4   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY ENOUGH Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 May20 Mar20 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 121 8.00    
2  TEAM MOM NOT BRUH Jul16 Jul03 Jun23 Jun09 Oct08 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 4.00    
SCR  CRY IF I WANT TO Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 May08 Apr21 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  SAKONNA Jul29 Jun22 Jul03 Jun06 May25 (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  ZIPPY ZINNY Jul04 Jun13 May20 Mar15 Feb28 (romero oscar)HALDAR J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLATTERING HEART Jul29 Jun19 Jun04 May08 Dec29 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 6.00 20% 4.10    
7  NOT TODAY Jul29 Jul11 Jun22 May30 May13 (ray)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 5.00    
 
TDN-5   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMAS HOME COOKING Jul15 May31 May17 May04 Oct04 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 2.50 ★    
2  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 Apr11 Mar07 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50    
3  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 May21 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 43% 1.30    
4  MOBIL MISSION Jul22 Jul01 May29 Sep05 Aug15 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
5  LIVING THE DREAM Jul31 May18 Apr11 Mar15 Feb08 (gallo)TABOADA LIMBER 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GUESS AGAIN Jul31 Jun26 May18 Oct11 Jul06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00    
7  MARQUITOS M Jul31 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 May29 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00    
 
TDN-6   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO THE BLACK Jul24 Jun12       (win)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
2  MEXITEXAFORNIA Jul24 Jun12 May21 Apr29 Apr01 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
3  LEGENDARY STAR         (lopez jacinto)NEGRON LUIS 119 4.50    
  (by MOBIL out of GIRLIANO by PAULIANO)
4  VINNY AND LEO Jul24 Jun02 Apr13 Mar24 Jan01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SHE BE CLASSY by TOCCET)
SCR  LORD MARXMAN Jul11 Jun22 May21     (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 2.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
6  DR. JOBO'S DAY         (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  AWE SUMSUNFUN Aug05 Sep23       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of SUMFLORIDASUNFUN by GENERAL QUARTERS)
 
TDN-7   08/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Jul25 Jul09 Jun13 May15 Apr24 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FOREST SURVIVOR Aug05 Jul25 Jul08 Jun26 Jun11 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 121 4.00    
3  TOYI Jul17 Jul03 Jun25 May28 May07 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50    
4  AMERICAN PRINCE Jun17 May23 Sep13 Aug16 Jul25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.50 49% 1.10    
5  MORE THAN GOOD Jun24 Jun05 May14 May06 Apr23 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
6  BAD LITTLE BEAST Jul23 Jul09 Jun11 May22 Nov19 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.00    
 
TDN-8   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEVICHE Jul30 Jul10 Jun22 Jun11 May27 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MALICED Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 May22 Jul25 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  LIBERTY BELLE Jul25 Jul08 Jun10 Feb03 Jan11 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  MARKET SUCCESS Aug01 Jul19 Jun27 Jun03 May09 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
5  PASSIONFORTREASURE Jul24 Jul02 May22 Apr19 Mar24 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
6  MAGIC PALACE Jul16 Jun22 Jun03 May23 Apr03 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.