Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - August 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-2   Win (5/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $38.80  
TDN-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-4   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 0 $5.40  
TDN-5   Win (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $3.60  
TDN-6   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 8.20
TDN-7   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.60  
TDN-8   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $22.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAWLESS CAT 3 8 4 2nk   12 1¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 49% 1.00 1.30 W
BOURBON ON FIRE 5 4 7 6   45 2¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 21% 3.80 1.30 P
BOXSTER 7 2 1nk 1nk   22 3 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 123 4.00 9.30  
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 1 7 6 4   3 42 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 8.60  
PRINCE FRED 2 6 31 3   55 58 (naza)LUNA PAUL 115 12.00 18.10  
MARSICO 6 1 5 5   6 6 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 42.00  
SAGE RUNNER 8 3 8 8   814 723½ (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 119 12.00 8% 11.50 14.60  
RANSAM PAYNTER 4 5 2nk 7   713½ 824 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00 26.20  
 
TDN-2   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOSCIUSZKO 2 5 1 12   1 1 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00 18.40  
LAZARUS PROJECT 6 7 6 6   4 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 2.30  
BOURBON OVER ICE 5 1 5 36   3 3 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 12% 7.40 2.50 S
MONTAUK COVE 4 2 3 22   2 4 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 43% 1.30 5.90  
MUNI MUNI SLEW 7 3 7 5   57 5 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 19% 4.40 2.50  
VENETIAN DREAM 1 6 4 7   6 611½ (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
CLASS ACTOR 3 4 2 46   7 717¾ (naza)LUNA PAUL 119 12.00 16.00  
SCR  CLASSY SOLUTION               (nazario pedro)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
SCR  TOYI               (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:134     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUMBER 2 2 2 21 3 4¾ 1½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.00 18% 4.50 1.60 W
LUCKY ANDY 5 4 3 4 43 3½ 2½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 46% 1.20 2.10 P
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 4 6 4 31 2 2nk 3¾ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 3.50  
HAD RIGHT 3 3 54 53 54 5 4 (huffman candac)HALDAR J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
MASTER 1 1 1 11 1 1nk 5 (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 10.30  
SAY HEY KID 6 5 6 6 69 6 611 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 19.10  
 
TDN-4   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 1:00       1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAIL'S DANCER 4 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 11 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 1.70  
CAUSE OF LOVE 3 3 3.2 3.2   2½ 21 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 1.10 P
LARSA 2 2 2nk 2nk   3 3 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 49% 1.00 1.90 S
I GOT HOPE 1 4 4 4   48 410¾ (romer)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 12.00 17.60  
SCR  I'M JAC'D               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.50    
SCR  SOLE FACTOR               (castro raq)FERNANDEZ R 123 10.00    
 
TDN-5   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORALES LITTLE KID 6 1 12 17   1 17 (naza)LUNA PAUL 123 2.00 0.80  
HEART OF AN ANGEL 2 4 4 27   2 27 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 45% 1.20 1.60 P
LEAVENWORTH 4 7 77 611   410½ 3 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 6% 14.90 17.30 S
MIRO 1 6 6 410   310½ 411¼ (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00 23.70  
C S EXPRESS 7 2 54 712½   614¼ 512½ (gorham m)PEREZ A 119 4.50 19% 4.40 9.40  
AWE SUMSUNFUN 5 3 32 3   510¾ 618½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
DASH TO FINISH 3 5 22 510   716¾ 723¾ (reust megan)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00 21.10  
 
TDN-6   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEEPING GIANT 3 4 53 5 4 2nk 14 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 9% 10.70 6.10 W
KADESH 2 2 2½ 2nk 3.2 1nk 24 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 3.00 16% 5.30 3.90 P
OILER 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 3.2 3 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 12.00 25.00  
ROCKSTAR RO 4 3 32 3.2 2nk 4¾ 4 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 43% 1.30 1.00  
ICE BLAST 5 5 4 4¾ 5 5 5 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 1.70  
 
TDN-7   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROGER MCQUEEN 3 3 4 4   42 1½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 2.00 0.80  
O ROMEO 2 5 3 32   31 2½ (feliciano ben)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 38% 1.60 2.30 P
LAUDA SPEED 4 1 1nk 1nk   11 2½ (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 25% 3.00 3.60 P
FOREST SURVIVOR 5 2 2nk 2nk   21 4 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 121 4.50 5% 19.00 8.40  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 1 4 5 54   5 5 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 119 10.00 14.20  
SCR  GILLIGAN               (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 6.00    
 
TDN-8   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRONCLAD ALIBI 1 4 4 31   2nk 1 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 115 3.50 10.00  
PRIVATE MOMENT 5 3 2½ 2nk   3 2 (hurley l)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 37% 1.70 0.60 P
SPECTACULAR D'ORO 2 5 1½ 1nk   1nk 3 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 42% 1.40 1.80 S
IVORY SKY 6 2 3 4   4 4 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
KINGDOM DIAMOND 4 1 6 6   5 510 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 10.00 32.80  
DREAMINGABOUTTIME 3 6 5 5   6 611¾ (galloway khadeem)PEREZ A 117 4.50 18.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.