Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - August 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (3/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (5/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TDN-5   Win (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 May18 May06 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
2  PRINCE FRED Jul27 Jul20 Jul07 Jun14 May29 (naza)LUNA PAUL 115 12.00    
3  FLAWLESS CAT Jun08 May14 Mar26 Mar04 Sep20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
4  RANSAM PAYNTER Jul17 Jun25 Apr08 Mar28 Mar13 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOURBON ON FIRE Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 May14 Apr27 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  MARSICO Jul17 Jun25 Jun08 Sep20 Aug30 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
7  BOXSTER Jul10 Jun17 May09 Jan05 Nov17 (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 123 4.00    
8  SAGE RUNNER Feb14 Jan24 Dec29 Jun23 Jun01 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ R 119 12.00 8% 11.50    
 
TDN-2   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENETIAN DREAM Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 May30 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSY SOLUTION Jul17 Jun29 Jun12 May18 Feb14 (nazario pedro)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00    
3  KOSCIUSZKO Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 May13 Apr13 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
4  CLASS ACTOR Jul11 Jun27 May30 Apr14 Mar08 (naza)LUNA PAUL 119 12.00    
5  MONTAUK COVE Jun25 May30 May06 Apr02 Jan30 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 119 5.00 43% 1.30    
6  BOURBON OVER ICE Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 May23 May13 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  TOYI Jul17 Jul03 Jun25 May28 May07 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00    
8  LAZARUS PROJECT Jul01 Jun13 May27 May08 Jan08 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
9  MUNI MUNI SLEW Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 May13 Apr30 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 19% 4.40    
 
TDN-3   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 Jan31 Dec30 (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
2  CUMBER Jun22 Jun08 May27 May06 Apr25 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.00 18% 4.50    
3  HAD RIGHT Jul22 Jun22 May30 May09 Apr29 (huffman candac)HALDAR J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Jul22 Jun22 Jun08 May18 May09 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80    
5  LUCKY ANDY Jun22 May30 Apr23 Oct31 Oct13 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
6  SAY HEY KID Jul02 Jun08 May18 Apr30 Feb05 (szc)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00    
 
TDN-4   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT HOPE Jul17 Jun08 Apr04 Mar06 Feb27 (romer)GIRON ALEJANDRO 123 12.00    
SCR  SOLE FACTOR Jul17 May21 Apr30 Apr11 Nov02 (castro raq)FERNANDEZ R 123 10.00    
3  LARSA Jul17 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul05 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 49% 1.00    
4  CAUSE OF LOVE Jul17 Jun27 Jun11 May21 May13 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 ★    
SCR  I'M JAC'D Jul25 Jul09 Jan31 Jan09 Dec20 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 3.50    
6  GAIL'S DANCER Jul17 Jun27 Jun08 Oct10 Aug22 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00    
 
TDN-5   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRO Jul24 Jul10 Dec29 Dec08 Oct08 (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 12.00    
2  HEART OF AN ANGEL Jul10 Jun19 May28 May07 Nov02 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
3  DASH TO FINISH Mar24 Feb16 Jan31 Jan19 Dec29 (reust megan)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00    
4  LEAVENWORTH Jun19 Jun04 Apr20 Mar28 Mar13 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00 6% 14.90    
5  AWE SUMSUNFUN Sep23         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MORALES LITTLE KID Jul25 Jun26 Jun14 Oct25 Sep29 (naza)LUNA PAUL 123 2.00    
7  C S EXPRESS Jun08 May23 May07 Apr24   (gorham m)PEREZ A 119 4.50 19% 4.40    
 
TDN-6   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OILER Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 Jun01 May22 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
2  KADESH Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 Apr22 Mar17 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  SWEEPING GIANT Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May09 Feb11 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 9% 10.70    
4  ROCKSTAR RO Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May29 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 43% 1.30    
5  ICE BLAST Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May09 Apr22 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00    
 
TDN-7   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jul24 Jul15 Jun25 Apr09 Mar26 (vecchio caryn)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
2  O ROMEO Jul09 Jun24 May07 Apr07 Mar10 (feliciano ben)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  ROGER MCQUEEN Jun25 Jun13 May23 May08 Apr13 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 2.00    
SCR  GILLIGAN Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May20 Apr23 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 6.00    
5  LAUDA SPEED Jul09 Jun03 Apr25 Apr13 Apr02 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  FOREST SURVIVOR Jul25 Jul08 Jun26 Jun11 Jan08 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRONCLAD ALIBI Oct28 Sep26 Sep06 Aug15   (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 115 3.50    
2  SPECTACULAR D'ORO Jul02         (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
3  DREAMINGABOUTTIME Jul19 Jun26 Jun12 May29 May13 (galloway khadeem)PEREZ A 117 4.50    
4  KINGDOM DIAMOND Jul15 Jun27 Jun08 May22 Jan31 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
5  PRIVATE MOMENT Jul15 Jun27 May30     (hurley l)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  IVORY SKY Jul15 Feb07 Dec16 Dec09 Jan21 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.