Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Thursday - July 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
TDN-2   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-3   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $24.20  
TDN-4   Win (3/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
TDN-5   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 2.20
TDN-6   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
TDN-7   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $27.80 $27.80 21.80
TDN-8   Win (2/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $5.60  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 2 3 11 11½   1½ 11¾ (skerrett jeff)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 1.60 DQ↓2
6  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 6 1 53½ 43   3½ 21¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 43% 1.30 2.90 W
1  TWISTED JUSTICE 1 5 31 31½   2½ 32 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 26% 2.90 2.70 S
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 5 6 65 53½   53 45¼ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 5.60  
4  MAP TO MY HEART 4 4 21 21½   42 56¾ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 4.50 5.40  
3  WEEKENDING 3 2 42½ 66   68½ 620 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00 48.60  
 
TDN-2   07/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:00     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TAHLEQUAH JOE 3 1 21 21   12½ 19¼ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 117 4.50 48% 1.10 0.20 W
1  MY HOMBRE 1 5 11 11   22½ 29¼ (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 5.70  
2  BIG TIME FLIRT 2 4 31 32   36½ 311½ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 1.60 14.00  
5  AGNELLO CITY 5 2 53½ 43½   47½ 412¼ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 12% 7.10 5.80  
4  PLAYING BALL 4 3 41½ 53½   58½ 513¼ (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 29.20  
 
TDN-3   07/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL TIME STRUTIN 1 5 1½ 1½   13½ 11 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 3.50 11.10  
2  TAYYARA 2 6 52¼ 42   33½ 21 (lopez jr)DIAZ I 119 2.00 4.50  
5  KISS ME ON OCONEE 5 2 3½ 2½   23½ 35 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 32% 2.10 0.60 S
4  FOREVER NOTED 4 3 2½ 31   45½ 45¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 20% 4.00 2.80  
3  CITRINA 3 4 42 53   58½ 510¼ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 115 6.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
6  CHARLOTTES WAY 6 1 62¼ 63   613 617¾ (guidry terrance)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00 15.70  
 
TDN-4   07/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROYAL'D 3 5 11½ 14   13 1¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 57% 0.70 2.50 W
2  CORNER OFFICE 2 4 63¾ 76¼   44 2¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 3.30  
1  HENRY THE CAT 1 7 42 35   23 32 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 6% 15.00 1.50 S
8  SPEEDY MOBILE 8 1 21½ 24   33 44 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 3.50 13% 6.50 7.30  
4  JOSH'N 4 6 31½ 45½   55 55 (murillo a)PEREZ A 119 15.00 37.50  
7  CONDEMNATION 7 2 53½ 66   67½ 66 (morales)TABOADA LIMBER 119 4.50 18.80  
6  RAISE THE PURSES 6 3 85¼ 88¼   810½ 76½ (morales m)BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
5  GIFT OF OAK 5 8 74¾ 56   79½ 87¾ (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 39.70  
 
TDN-5   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 2 1 55 32½   1nk 11¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 57% 0.80 2.10 W
6  MAS ORO 5 2 11 11   3.2 21¾ (urieta johann)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 3.00 ★ 4.70 P
3  FOREST SURVIVOR 3 3 21 21   2nk 31¾ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 7% 14.00 1.00 S
4  NATURE OFTHE BEAST 4 4 43½ 54½   42¼ 45 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 6.90  
1  SMALL SAILOR 1 5 33½ 43   54¾ 56¼ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 123 6.00 8.30  
SCR  BROADWAY SKY               (romero a)PEREZ A 119 2.00    
 
TDN-6   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SPRINGSTEEN 1 6 21 22   1nk 13¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00 66% 0.50 1.30 W
5  MARGARITA CINCO 5 2 31½ 32½   32½ 23¾ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 4.60  
4  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 4 5 11 12   2nk 36½ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 115 5.00 5% 19.00 2.10 S
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL 6 1 55 43½   45 48½ (romero a)PEREZ A 119 10.00 14.30  
2  MY TWO JAKES 2 4 45 53½   56 59½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 14.20  
3  I'M JAC'D 3 3 65¼ 63¾   67½ 613¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.50 ★ 5.20  
 
TDN-7   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAJESTIC FLAG 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 12¼ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.90 W
6  COURTHOUSE COVE 5 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 22¼ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 26% 2.90 0.80 P
1  BIG POPPER 1 5 513½ 513½   510 33¾ (romero a)PEREZ A 121 3.50 3.90  
3  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF 3 4 32½ 31   34 43¾ (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.50 48% 1.10 1.90  
2  EL BANDIDO 2 3 47½ 47   49 510 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 15.00  
SCR  CONSIDER ME               (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THE SWEATY FOX 6 2 31½ 1nk   13½ 17¾ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00 1.80  
4  SPARKLING JEWEL 4 4 64½ 42½   34 27¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 11.30  
2  AUSTRIAN NAVY 2 6 1½ 2nk   23½ 38¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 29% 2.40 1.00 S
5  LIBERTY BELLE 5 3 2½ 31   46½ 410½ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00 9% 10.00 40.10  
3  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 3 5 75 65¼   68½ 511¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 13.10  
1  CORNER KICK 1 7 41½ 52¾   58½ 613¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
7  OAXACA 7 1 53 76¼   711½ 717 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 4.00 18% 4.60 6.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.