Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/5/4)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/4/3)-(3/8/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/8/1/6)-(2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/6)-(3/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/6)-(3/8/1/6)-(3/8/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/1/6)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1/6)-(2/3)-(1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/4)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/6/4)-(2/7/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(2/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWISTED JUSTICE Jul09 Jun19 May28 Apr11 Mar27 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Jul03 Jun03 May14 Apr25 Feb26 (skerrett je)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
3  WEEKENDING May28 May14 Apr24 Mar26 Feb27 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAP TO MY HEART Jun13 May29 Aug22 Aug03 Jul24 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 4.50    
5  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Jun24 May14 Apr25 Apr11 Mar27 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 2.00    
6  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Jun25 Jun11 May14 Apr25 Nov16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
TDN-2   07/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY HOMBRE Jun26 Jun05 May21 May07 Apr22 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
2  BIG TIME FLIRT Jul11 Jun26 Jun11 May21 May01 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 1.60    
3  TAHLEQUAH JOE Jun18 Jun11 May28 Nov30 Nov15 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 117 4.50 48% 1.10    
4  PLAYING BALL Jul01 Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar14 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  AGNELLO CITY Jul01 Jun11 May21 Apr30 Feb26 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
TDN-3   07/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL TIME STRUTIN Jul04 Jun17 Jun04 Nov07 Oct31 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 3.50    
2  TAYYARA Mar06 Jan28 Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 (lopez enrique )DIAZ I 119 2.00    
3  CITRINA Jun24 Jun03 May15 Apr22 Mar26 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FOREVER NOTED Jun24 Apr16 Oct28 Jun07 May17 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
5  KISS ME ON OCONEE Jun24 May10 Mar23 Dec29 Nov15 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  CHARLOTTES WAY Jun24 May15 Apr06 Mar23 Mar08 (guidry terran)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   07/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY THE CAT Jul04 May23 May01 Feb14 Dec14 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 6% 15.00    
2  CORNER OFFICE Jun26 May14 Apr23 Oct03 Aug28 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
3  ROYAL'D Jul03 May27 Apr29 Sep11 Aug09 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 57% 0.70    
4  JOSH'N Jul04 Jun19 May28 May13 Apr23 (murillo rodriguez)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
5  GIFT OF OAK Jul02 Jun12 May22 May06 Mar13 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
6  RAISE THE PURSES Jul02 Jun18 Jun10 May29 May18 (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CONDEMNATION Oct23 Oct13 Sep20 Sep04 Aug09 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
8  SPEEDY MOBILE Jan23 Nov07 Oct11 Sep14 Aug02 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
TDN-5   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALL SAILOR Jul03 Jun08 May23 May15 Apr24 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
2  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Jul08 Jun24 Jun05 May22 Apr30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 57% 0.80    
3  FOREST SURVIVOR Jul08 Jun26 Jun11 Jan08 Jan01 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 7% 14.00    
4  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Jul09 Jun13 May15 Apr24 Mar26 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
SCR  BROADWAY SKY Mar26 Feb22 Feb01 Dec03 Mar28 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 2.00    
6  MAS ORO Jun24 Jun10 May23 May04 Apr02 (urieta joha)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Jun19 May30 Jan15 Dec30 Dec14 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00 66% 0.50    
2  MY TWO JAKES Jul09 Jun18 May28 Mar27 Mar11 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
3  I'M JAC'D Jul09 Jan31 Jan09 Dec20 Nov20 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.50 ★    
4  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Jul16 Jun07 May06 Mar27 Mar12 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARGARITA CINCO Nov09 Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 Aug03 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Jul09 Jun18 Apr11 Mar25 Mar11 (romero a)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
 
TDN-7   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG POPPER Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May21 Nov29 (romero a)PEREZ A 121 3.50    
2  EL BANDIDO Jul11 Jul03 May21 May07 Apr03 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50    
3  BUEHLER'S DAY OFF Jun13 May21 May07 Mar26 Mar11 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  MAJESTIC FLAG Jun22 May28 Oct30 Oct05 Sep06 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONSIDER ME Mar26 Mar11 Feb26 Jan01 Dec21 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
6  COURTHOUSE COVE Jul11 May21 Aug12 Jun17 Apr15 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-8   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORNER KICK Jul04 Jun10 May18 Dec13 Oct22 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  AUSTRIAN NAVY Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 Mar03 Dec10 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 29% 2.40    
3  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Nov20 Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
4  SPARKLING JEWEL Jul04 Jun07 May18 Nov20 Oct28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
5  LIBERTY BELLE Jul08 Jun10 Feb03 Jan11 Dec19 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00 9% 10.00    
6  THE SWEATY FOX Jun24 Jun03 Apr20 Mar02 Jan21 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.00    
7  OAXACA Jul04 Jun10 May18 Apr24 Feb28 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.