Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (8/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-2   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $18.60  
TDN-3   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $4.00  
TDN-4   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.80  
TDN-5   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-6   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $4.80  
TDN-7   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-8   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.10 $2.10  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BLUSHING BETTY 7 1 1nk 13   14 15¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 64% 0.60 0.20 W
6  LA CUMPARSITA 5 6 3.2 33½   36 25¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 11% 8.30 4.70 P
5  CONSTITUTIONALIST 4 3 2nk 23   24 37¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 6.00 20.50  
7  ROWDY DAISY 6 2 43¼ 45   47½ 49 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 5.00 ★ 6.80  
3  JEN'S BATTLE 3 7 65¼ 67   510 510 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 12.00 41.30  
1  QUARANTINA 1 5 76¼ 78½   611½ 610¾ (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 54.70  
2  MISS OVER THERE 2 4 53¾ 57   713½ 721 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 20.00 94.90  
SCR  TWILIGHT VISION               (jackson james)PETERSON FERRIN 123 3.00    
 
TDN-2   08/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:15     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IT'S FATE 6 1 55½ 64¼ 52¾ 41¼ 1½ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00 8.30  
6  K P SILVER BULLET 5 2 33 33 31½ 1nk 2½ (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 123 2.00 52% 0.90 0.70 P
4  OPEN OUT 3 6 43½ 53¼ 62¾ 52¼ 33 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 14.00  
5  LEXATOGA 4 4 66½ 43 41¾ 2nk 43¼ (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
2  UNIDENTIFIED MAN 1 3 2nk 1½ 11½ 31 56¼ (castillo jabdiel)PEREZ A 123 6.00 18% 4.60 5.10  
3  KLAATU 2 5 1nk 2½ 21½ 63¼ 68 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 123 2.50 2.80  
SCR  CANDY CRUSHEM               (sweazey scott)BRACHO A 123 5.00    
 
TDN-3   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MANAGING MISCHIEF 2 3 21½ 1nk   13 11¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.00 1.00  
4  MOMENT TO SHINE 3 4 32½ 31   23 21¾ (rivelli larry)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 41% 1.50 2.30 P
7  GRACIE DANCE 5 1 45 55   46 36½ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 8.00 18.70  
6  MY SUZIE Q 4 2 56 44   56 47¼ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
2  GETAWAY BAY 1 5 11½ 2nk   35 57¼ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 2.50 29% 2.50 2.60  
SCR  CASTLE MAGIC               (gorham m)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
SCR  MY BEST DAY EVER               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 4.50    
 
TDN-4   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPIRIT OF AKRON 4 1 22 11   12 13 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 8.00 3.40  
1  RAY'S EMPIRE 1 5 34 32½   22 23 (szczepanski emily)BAEZ M 119 2.00 43% 1.30 1.60 P
4  SHOWTIME BOY 3 4 12 21   32 37¼ (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 6.80  
6  RAMBLER 5 2 44½ 44½   45½ 48¾ (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 2.40  
7  MUSIC GEM 6 3 67½ 58½   58 514¾ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.10  
3  LOTSA MATCHA 2 6 56 68½   69½ 616¾ (andrade hugo)HALDAR J 119 10.00 26% 2.80 5.00  
SCR  K C OUTWORK               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.50    
 
TDN-5   08/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:142     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY JASPER 3 2 21½ 31 3.2 11 14 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70 W
5  THE MIRACLE KIUT 5 3 11½ 11 1nk 21 24 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119 12.00 6% 16.30 8.80 P
2  MISSION GIRL 2 1 32½ 21 2nk 31½ 34½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.00 1.80  
1  OUT FOR FUN 1 6 67 68¼ 67¼ 47½ 413 (bailey ricard)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 12.00 23.60  
4  BROWNIE 4 4 53½ 52¼ 41¼ 5100 5100 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 4.60  
6  CROSSED UP 6 5 42½ 41¼ 52¼ 6100 6100 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 1.80 28% 2.50 4.50  
 
TDN-6   08/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC MO 1 3 31½ 22   12½ 13¼ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 1.40  
4  ROYAL'D 3 2 11½ 12   22½ 23¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 43% 1.30 1.30 P
6  POWERFUL PHIL 4 1 21½ 32   34 35½ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 5.80  
2  MANNFORD 2 4 42½ 42¼   44½ 47 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 4.00 16% 5.30 3.10  
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY               (jackson r)SIMPSON JASON 123 5.00    
SCR  OHIO PLAYER               (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
 
TDN-7   08/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SWEEPING GIANT 6 4 54 51¾ 31½ 1nk 17½ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 1.80 46% 1.20 0.60 W
5  CRYO 5 3 32 2nk 2nk 2nk 27½ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 6.60  
2  RANDELLO 2 5 43 41½ 56¾ 46 310¼ (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 119 2.00 4.10  
3  HERD IMMUNITY 3 6 67 63¼ 46½ 57 411 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00 22% 3.60 11.20  
1  AUGER 1 1 11½ 1nk 1nk 31 516¾ (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 119 5.00 5.10  
4  NO ANGEL 4 2 21½ 3½ 67¼ 614 634¼ (canegata james)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 27.10  
 
TDN-8   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EKATI'S WAY 2 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 1½ (cline c)BRACHO A 119 1.60 34% 1.90 0.05 W
6  INTO GOLD 5 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 6.90  
5  PAINT THE TOWN 4 2 41½ 41¾   32½ 34¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 4.00 24% 3.20 11.70 S
2  ELLIOT THE DRAGON 1 5 57½ 56¾   55¼ 45½ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 8% 12.30 37.30  
4  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE 3 4 31 31½   42¾ 56 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 115 15.00 20.90  
SCR  LITTLE TOY GUNS               (tooley je)PILARES P 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.