Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   TRI (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-1-8 $31.90 $7.90 33%
    SFT (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-1-8-5 $12.66 $10.26 428%
TDN-7   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $12.20 $6.20 103%
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-5 $17.30 $11.30 188%
TDN-8   SFT (3/1/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 18 $0.10 $1.80  1-3-2-6 $10.06 $8.26 459%
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-1 $13.90 $4.90 54%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN MONEY 4 3 1½ 11   1 1 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 123 2.00 33% 2.00 3.00 W
OAKEN 1 6 3 3   34 2 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 33% 2.10 2.40 P
CHOCOLATE RABBIT 8 2 2½ 21   2 34 (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 5% 19.00 1.90 S
HOPPY GILMORE 5 7 8 79   47 4 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
ATTACK ANGLE 2 5 6 6   69 510¾ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 25.90  
ACCURATE 7 1 53 45   5 612½ (calderon iva)HALDAR J 123 15.00 56.20  
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 6 8 7 89   711 713¼ (morales m)PEREZ A 123 15.00 55.70  
LUNCHATTHELIZARD 3 4 43 56   811 818 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 3.90  
 
TDN-2   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:003     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT OVER YET 7 1 22 2   1½ 1 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 1.50  
LIBERTALIA 3 3 12 1   2½ 2 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
SO TEMPTING 4 4 58 512½   47 35 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 5.00 8.70 S
LADY LOVE ME 1 7 45 4   57 4 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 73% 0.40 2.60  
LIME TREE 2 6 34 35   3 5 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00 22.00  
GARDEN SECRETS 6 2 610 717½   712½ 610½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 5.70  
CAP IS BACK 5 5 710½ 612½   6 710½ (morales m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 16.40  
 
TDN-3   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MUTINY 10 6 11 12   14 1 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 2.80  
NICK CAN FIX 5 4 5 4   4 2 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 61% 0.60 3.00 P
SHANGHAI PRINCE 8 3 21 34   24 3 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 12.70 S
STONE COLD CAT 1 10 10 10   7 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.00 6.50  
RAISE THE PURSES 3 9 75 5   5 5 (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 12.00 8.40  
OHIO EAGLE 7 1 6 7   8 6 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 8.00 19.80  
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 4 5 86 8   9 78 (shanyfel)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 22.60  
PLAY BALL 2 8 42 6   68 8 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 14% 6.00 3.30  
GIV'EM THE BIZ 9 2 3 22   34 9 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00 42.10  
DOUGS MORNING PICK 6 7 97 9   1011¾ 1010¾ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
 
TDN-4   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI CRUISER 5 7 8 6   2nk 1 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00 4.50  
MIESHA 6 4 52 31   1nk 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 3.80 P
KISS ME QUICK 9 3 4 2nk   3.2 3 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 6.00 2.60 S
NUBLADA 1 9 6 4   4 4 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 7% 13.70 6.10  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 7 2 9 8   7 5 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 121 12.00 36.10  
DERBY DAY KISS 4 5 3 7   6 6 (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 3.50 3.60  
COMPUTE THIS 2 8 1½ 1nk   5 79 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.00 60% 0.70 6.20  
SUGAR LOVES IT 3 6 2½ 5   8 814½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 33.40  
MY TWO JAKES 8 1 7 9   912¼ 921½ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 20.00 ######  
 
TDN-5   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:26 :51 1:153     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFJAN 2 1 21 2nk 1nk 12 1 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 1.80 51% 1.00 1.20 W
BLESS THE KITTEN 4 2 31 3.2 2nk 22 2 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50 1.10  
AULD LANGE SYNE 1 4 4 4 44 3 3 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 3.50 21% 3.70 4.80 S
NIGHT TIME RULER 3 3 11 1nk 33 4 45 (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 6.10  
SCR  DISCLOSURE               (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 2.00    
SCR  FRONTLINER               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTSO MISCHIEVOUS 5 2 1nk 1½   1nk 11 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 117 1.80 53% 0.90 0.30 W
GLOBAL PRIDE 1 4 34 33   3 21 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 25% 3.00 3.20 P
SKYPASS 4 1 2nk 2½   2nk 3 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 5.00 5% 19.00 10.40 S
BE ON NOTICE 2 3 4 45   47 410½ (ramgeet ti)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00 20.40  
TAP VALLEY 3 5 5 59   59 512¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 7.50  
SCR  CLOAK AND DAGGER               (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 115 15.00    
 
TDN-7   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:131     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILLIAN 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 5% 19.00 5.10 W
THAT'S THE WAY 4 2 44 4 31 2½ 21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 28% 2.60 2.70 P
KNOCK WOOD 5 3 21 3½ 4 3 3 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 42.70  
HITE 3 4 55 5 5 53 4 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 6.00 30.20  
DIAL DIRECT 2 5 3 2½ 2nk 4 5 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 49% 1.00 0.30  
SCR  TURNING PAGES               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
 
TDN-8   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IAN GLASS 1 5 1½ 1nk   1 1 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 23% 3.30 2.00 W
FLIPPING FISH 3 4 31 2nk   2 2 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 50% 1.00 1.00 P
SCRIMPER 2 6 2½ 4   47 39 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 3.50 4.30 S
MORETHANREADYEDDIE 6 2 4 3.2   3 411½ (gonzalez rica)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
POWERFUL MOON 5 3 5 5   5 512¼ (ray)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00 49.30  
PRIVATE DRIVE 4 7 6 6   6 612½ (guidry terran)SIMPSON JASON 123 6.00 38.60  
GONE IN A FLASH 7 1 74 7   713½ 720½ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 7.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.