Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/8/5)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/5)-(1/3)-(5/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/4/5/3)-(1/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/2/6)-(2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/8/1/6)-(5/2/8/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(2/1)-(4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6/9/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6/9/4)-(2/1/6/9/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/1)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(6/1/5)-(3/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/5/2)-(3/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKEN Jul18 Jul04 Dec12 Nov27 Oct30 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
2  ATTACK ANGLE Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 May20 Feb19 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
3  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Jun27 Oct12 Sep04 Aug10 Jul10 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
4  GOLDEN MONEY Jul18 Jul04 Jun11 May27 Oct30 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 123 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  HOPPY GILMORE Jul18 May01 Apr01 Mar11 Feb21 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNBRIDLED CAUSE Jul18 Jul02 Jun22 May18 Oct28 (morales m)PEREZ A 123 15.00    
7  ACCURATE Jul18 Jan24 Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
8  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Jul18 Nov06 Oct12 Sep01 Aug12 (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LOVE ME Mar30 Apr02       (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 73% 0.40    
2  LIME TREE Jul22 Jul11 Jun10 May15 Mar23 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
3  LIBERTALIA Jul22 Mar15 Aug15 Jul04 Jun06 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SO TEMPTING Jul22 May23       (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 5.00 ★    
5  CAP IS BACK Jul22 Jun10 May20 May09 Jun23 (morales m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 ★    
6  GARDEN SECRETS Jun10 May27 May09 Apr17 Nov08 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
7  NOT OVER YET Jul02 Jun11 May09 Apr25 Apr04 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00    
 
TDN-3   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE COLD CAT Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May15 Apr23 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.00 ★    
2  PLAY BALL Jul16 Jul03 Jun22 Dec26 Nov14 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
3  RAISE THE PURSES Jul25 Jul02 Jun18 Jun10 May29 (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 12.00    
4  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Jul17 Jul10 May28 May07 Oct21 (shanyfel)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
5  NICK CAN FIX Jul18 Jun25 Jun07 Mar20 Feb23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 61% 0.60    
6  DOUGS MORNING PICK Jun26 Jun11 May23 May01 Apr04 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  OHIO EAGLE Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May15 Dec12 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
8  SHANGHAI PRINCE Jul26 May30 May15 Apr24 Jun24 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 ★    
9  GIV'EM THE BIZ May30 May01 Apr01 Mar11 Feb14 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
10  MUTINY Jul31 Jul09 Jun18 May29 May08 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
 
TDN-4   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUBLADA Jul08 Jun17 May13 Mar12 Feb14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 5.00 7% 13.70    
2  COMPUTE THIS Mar27 Mar04 Jan30 Jan15 Dec14 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.00 60% 0.70    
3  SUGAR LOVES IT Jul08 Jun17 Nov09 Sep28 Aug28 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
4  DERBY DAY KISS Jul08 Jun07 May18 Apr13 Dec14 (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 3.50 ★    
5  CALI CRUISER Jul04 Jun18 May30 May20 Mar29 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00    
6  MIESHA Jul22 Jul04 Jun17 May28 Apr28 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 ★    
7  MANDOLIN BREEZE Jul10 Jun17 May29 May13 Nov21 (rettele rich)HALDAR J 121 12.00    
8  MY TWO JAKES Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 May28 Mar27 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 20.00    
9  KISS ME QUICK Jun07 May30 May04 Mar27 Mar12 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 6.00 ★    
 
TDN-5   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AULD LANGE SYNE Jul22 Jun26 May20 May09 Mar20 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  DISCLOSURE Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May22 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 2.00    
SCR  FRONTLINER Jul30 May06 Apr01 Feb24 Jan18 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
4  AFJAN Jul02 Apr30 Apr09 Mar07 Feb08 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 1.80 51% 1.00    
5  NIGHT TIME RULER Jul24 Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 May22 (brown glenroy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
6  BLESS THE KITTEN Jul30 Jul15 May22 Apr22 Mar28 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 4.50    
 
TDN-6   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL PRIDE Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 Apr29 Jan02 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  BE ON NOTICE Jul29 Jul11 Jul02 Jun10 May20 (ramgeet ti)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00    
SCR  CLOAK AND DAGGER Aug01 Jul16 Jun24 Jun12 Jun04 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 115 15.00    
4  TAP VALLEY Jul24 Jun12 May21 Apr20 Mar28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
5  SKYPASS Jul16 Jun19 May21 Mar24 Feb06 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOTSO MISCHIEVOUS Jul16 Jun17       (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 117 1.80 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-7   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TURNING PAGES Jul10 Jun18 May23 Oct12 Sep11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
2  VILLIAN Jul19 Jun05 May21 Dec21 Nov30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  DIAL DIRECT May30 May04 Mar28 Nov30 Nov16 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 2.50 49% 1.00    
4  HITE Jul15 Jun22 Jun10 May23 Jan11 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 6.00    
5  THAT'S THE WAY Jul15 Jun22 May27 May04 Apr04 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  KNOCK WOOD Jul29 Jun22 Jun05 Apr29 Apr01 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IAN GLASS Jul24 Jun22 May29 May08 Apr19 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 23% 3.30    
2  SCRIMPER Jul18 Jun22 Jun05 May15 Apr13 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 3.50 ★    
3  FLIPPING FISH Jul02 Jun22 May29 May08 Mar06 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
4  PRIVATE DRIVE Jul31 Jul16 Jun22 Feb14 Jan23 (guidry terran)SIMPSON JASON 123 6.00    
5  POWERFUL MOON Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 May14 Apr23 (ray)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 10.00    
6  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Jun25 Jun04 Apr25 Apr02 Mar20 (gonzalez rica)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GONE IN A FLASH Jul30 Jun13 May15 Oct28 Oct06 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.