Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Wednesday - September 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-5 $61.30 $52.30 581%
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  7-5-3 $117.50 $99.50 553%
    SFT (3/7/5)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 18 $0.10 $1.80  7-5-3-6 $39.72 $37.92 2107%
TDN-2   TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00  1-5-3 $26.80 $8.80 49%
TDN-4   EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3 $12.80 $6.80 113%
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-3-5 $16.30 $10.30 172%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUST FOR LIFE 7 1 1 1   1 1 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 4.00 36% 1.70 1.10 W
GHOST OF LONDYN 5 5 7 6   4 2 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00 5% 19.00 38.50 P
ROLL ON MAX 3 2 2 32   2 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 1.60 39% 1.50 2.10 S
AKIMBO 6 3 5 4   5 4 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 2.00  
LIVING THE DREAM 4 7 6 5   612½ 516 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00 19.70  
WAR ON THE RIVER 1 6 4 2   3 617 (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 15.00 35.60  
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 2 4 3 79   716½ 728½ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 86.10  
 
TDN-2   09/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :592     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY DIAMOND 1 1 15 18   18 18 (radosevich)RIVERA R 119 4.50 35% 1.90 0.60 W
MOST ADORABLE 5 4 25 28   28 28 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
BEAUTIFUL SCORE 3 7 717½ 718½   715 310 (gonzalez ricardo)PEREZ A 115 3.50 34% 2.00 7.20 S
WAY OF THE WORLD 7 2 46 3   311 411 (morales saul)ROSARIO L 119 15.00 51.00  
MI CANCION 6 3 3 410½   412 511 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 116 12.00 59.70  
WILD MARIAH 4 6 610½ 614½   614 613¾ (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 115 2.50 3.80  
GEMSHINE 2 5 57 511½   513 714¾ (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 6.60  
 
TDN-3   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEN'S BATTLE 6 6 64 31   21 1nk (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 5.60  
CHESS NOT CHECKERS 4 2 21 1nk   11 2nk (radosevich)RIVERA R 123 2.50 1.90 P
INCESSANT 1 5 52 53   4 3 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 70% 0.40 0.80 S
MORE MUCHO 2 1 11 42   5 4 (radosevich just)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
HOT CAROL 5 4 4 2nk   31 5 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 4.50 10.20  
BLUE SAGE (IRE) 3 3 31 66   6 615½ (skerrett jeff)SIMPSON JASON 123 12.00 34.90  
 
TDN-4   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLLIE'S FOLLY 5 1 2nk 1½   13 1 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 31% 2.20 0.90 W
RADIO SILENT 2 3 1nk 2½   23 2 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 15.00 9% 9.80 12.00 P
MOBIL MISSION 3 4 49 49   38 38 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 117 4.50 39% 1.60 1.00 S
ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE 4 2 35 37   410½ 412½ (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 16.60  
WHY KENNY WHY 1 5 510½ 514½   522½ 530½ (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 9.70  
SCR  DRILIN' FOR GEMS               (jackson james)SIMPSON JASON 115 3.50    
SCR  SOCIAL HISTORY               (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.00    
 
TDN-5   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE THE PURSES 3 2 5 5   11 1 (morales saul )BRACHO A 123 4.50 3.20  
GOLDEN MONEY 4 5 43 4   3 2 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 24% 3.20 2.50 P
LUNCHATTHELIZARD 6 3 3½ 1nk   21 36 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 19.50 S
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 1 4 2½ 3.2   4 4 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 2.50  
MONSTER HUNTER 2 6 6 6   6 511 (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 73.60  
MANNFORD 5 1 1½ 2nk   5 613½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 3.00 53% 0.90 1.70  
 
TDN-6   09/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SPRINGSTEEN 6 2 2½ 2nk   1 1 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50 7.00  
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 2 4 44 4   3 2 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 5.70  
VILLAGE CAT 1 3 3 3   2 3 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 6.00 4.60  
SWEET MOBILTEE 5 6 54 5   510 4 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
THE MIRACLE KIUT 4 1 1½ 1nk   47 510¼ (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119 2.00 42% 1.40 0.80  
BODIL 3 5 6 6   611½ 614¼ (radosevich)RIVERA R 119 3.00 36% 1.80 5.00  
 
TDN-7   09/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:142     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIKA 4 3 1nk 2nk 11 1 14 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 8.20  
SPECIAL BEACH 5 4 3½ 3 21 2 24 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.00 53% 0.90 0.70 P
SHEWEARSMYRING 2 1 42 43 5 4 3 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 17% 4.70 3.10 S
PEARLINTHEROUGH 6 5 54 6 42 3 4 (genovese richard )PEREZ A 121 5.00 4.70  
RIPLEY EFFECT 1 6 6 55 6 614½ 519 (jackson james)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 28.10  
FULL TIME STRUTIN 3 2 2nk 1nk 3 512½ 620 (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50 8% 11.50 10.30  
 
TDN-8   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTACULAR D'ORO 4 3 31 11   13 1 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.50 14% 6.20 2.00 W
PRIVATE MOMENT 6 5 5 31   23 2 (hurley l)FELICIANO R 115 2.00 55% 0.80 0.80 P
ROLL ON BIG O 1 1 1nk 21   34 37 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 11.30  
HOTROD BOBBY 3 2 2nk 44   410½ 413½ (moral)TABOADA LIMBER 119 4.50 38.10  
LADY FORTUNE 5 6 6 5   511 514½ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50 11% 7.70 3.70  
SPIRIT OF AKRON 2 4 4 6   613½ 616 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 10.00 20.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.