Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/2)-(5/7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/7/3)-(5/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(5/4/6)-(4/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(4/3/5)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/2/3)-(6/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR ON THE RIVER Jul31 Dec26 Nov22 Oct24 Oct02 (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
2  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Jun11 May04 Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
3  ROLL ON MAX Jul31 Jul01 May29 May13 Apr22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 1.60 39% 1.50    
4  LIVING THE DREAM Aug15 Jul31 May18 Apr11 Mar15 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 10.00    
5  GHOST OF LONDYN Jul31 Apr08 Mar25 Mar07 Feb29 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  AKIMBO Aug07 Nov15 Sep25     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 ★    
7  LUST FOR LIFE Dec21 Nov30 Nov15     (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 4.00 36% 1.70    
 
TDN-2   09/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY DIAMOND Aug14 Jul24 Jul15 Jun19 Feb15 (radosevich)RIVERA R 119 4.50 35% 1.90    
2  GEMSHINE Aug07 Jul01 Jun12 May08 Dec20 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 ★    
3  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 May29 May13 (gonzalez ricardo)PEREZ A 115 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  WILD MARIAH Aug14 Jul03 Jun10 May29 Apr22 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 115 2.50    
5  MOST ADORABLE Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun10 May13 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MI CANCION Aug14 Jul29 Jun12 May27 May08 (erdel john)CESPEDES JHORMA 116 12.00    
7  WAY OF THE WORLD Aug14 Jul31 Jun19 May31 May11 (morales saul)ROSARIO L 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCESSANT Aug14 Jul22 Oct01 Sep06 Aug08 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 70% 0.40    
2  MORE MUCHO Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 Nov13 (radosevich just)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Aug14 Jul08 Jun13 Dec22 Dec07 (skerrett jeff)SIMPSON JASON 123 12.00    
4  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 Mar13 (radosevich)RIVERA R 123 2.50 ★    
5  HOT CAROL Dec30 Jul21 Jun04 May26 Feb22 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 4.50    
6  JEN'S BATTLE Aug21 Jun22 Jun08 May27 Apr23 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50    
 
TDN-4   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOCIAL HISTORY Jul15 Jun26 May21 May01 Feb08 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.00    
2  WHY KENNY WHY Aug19 Aug07 Jul29 Jul01 Jun12 (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00    
3  RADIO SILENT Jun26 Jun01 May15 May01 Oct28 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 15.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Aug19 Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 May28 (jackson james)SIMPSON JASON 115 3.50    
5  MOBIL MISSION Aug15 Jul22 Jul01 May29 Sep05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 117 4.50 39% 1.60    
6  ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Aug19 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00    
7  OLLIE'S FOLLY Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 May13 Apr22 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-5   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Apr24 Apr01 Mar11 Feb27 Dec19 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80    
2  MONSTER HUNTER Aug22 Aug06 Jul16 Jul03 Jun25 (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
3  RAISE THE PURSES Aug26 Aug12 Jul25 Jul02 Jun18 (morales saul )BRACHO A 123 4.50    
4  GOLDEN MONEY Aug12 Jul18 Jul04 Jun11 May27 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
5  MANNFORD Aug21 Jun11 May23 May01 Dec26 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
6  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Aug12 Jun27 Oct12 Sep04 Aug10 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   09/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE CAT Jul30 Jun18 Oct12 Sep14 Jul18 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 6.00    
2  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Aug14 Jul25 Jun24 May14 Apr25 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
3  BODIL Aug26 May18 Apr25 Mar28 Feb27 (radosevich)RIVERA R 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  THE MIRACLE KIUT Aug21 Aug14 Aug01 Jul11 Mar28 (vecchio caryn)PEREZ A 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  SWEET MOBILTEE Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May22 Apr11 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Aug14 Jul25 Jun19 May30 Jan15 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50    
 
TDN-7   09/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPLEY EFFECT Aug14 Jul01 May30 May15 Apr23 (jackson james)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
2  SHEWEARSMYRING Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 May21 Apr25 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 17% 4.70    
3  FULL TIME STRUTIN Aug27 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun17 (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50 8% 11.50    
4  ELIKA Aug19 Jul18 Jul04 Jun17 Nov01 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
5  SPECIAL BEACH Aug20 Aug06 Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
6  PEARLINTHEROUGH Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 (genovese richard )PEREZ A 121 5.00    
 
TDN-8   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL ON BIG O Aug22 Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 Nov30 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
2  SPIRIT OF AKRON Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 Jun27 Jun18 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 115 10.00    
3  HOTROD BOBBY Feb14 Jan24 Dec28 Nov27 Mar02 (moral)TABOADA LIMBER 119 4.50    
4  SPECTACULAR D'ORO Aug05 Jul02       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.50 14% 6.20    
5  LADY FORTUNE Aug01 Jul04 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50 11% 7.70    
6  PRIVATE MOMENT Aug05 Jul15 Jun27 May30   (hurley l)FELICIANO R 115 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.