Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - August 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $17.00 $17.00 11.00
TDN-2   Win (6/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $11.20  
TDN-4   Win (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.40  
TDN-6   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-7   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-8   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ELIKA 6 3 41¼ 21½   22 1¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.50 W
5  TAYYARA 5 4 2nk 11½   12 2¼ (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 62% 0.60 0.30 P
2  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 7 78¼ 77¼   54½ 34¼ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50 ★ 16.80 S
3  WORKING HOLIDAY 3 6 55¼ 45½   43½ 45½ (trevino g)PEREZ A 119 5.00 24.40  
1  BEAUTY IN MOTION 1 5 65¾ 65¾   74¾ 59¼ (urieta johann)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00 21.00  
7  PINK PARTY PANTS 7 1 1nk 31½   33½ 69¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 10% 8.90 3.40  
4  KRISTIN 4 2 3.2 55¾   64¾ 711¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 93.40  
 
TDN-2   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE 2 7 43 44½   33½ 11¼ (flor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 1.30 W
6  ANYGIVENDAY 6 4 1nk 1nk   12 21¼ (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 48% 1.10 7.40 P
7  VERNON'S BEST 7 3 2nk 31   22 32¼ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 3.00 15% 5.60 4.00 S
8  STRIKE PLATE 8 1 31 2nk   43½ 44 (langley jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5.80  
1  STRIKING LAD 1 8 66½ 68¼   56 58¼ (flores israel)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 14% 5.90 3.40  
5  EQUITY CAT 5 2 55 58   68 68¾ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 20.00 70.00  
4  MY BUDDY MICAH 4 5 88½ 711¼   711 713¾ (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 5.00 12.80  
3  SKUNK APE 3 6 77½ 813¾   815½ 823½ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00 80.90  
 
TDN-3   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FACT NOT FICTION 6 2 21½ 21½   11½ 11½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 4.60  
2  MOMMA K'S BOY 2 5 43½ 34   32 21½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 2.50 3.20  
5  BLUE NOMORE 4 3 54 45½   46 33 (tooley jennif)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 117 3.00 45% 1.20 0.70 S
4  IRONCLAD ALIBI 3 4 64 68   69 46¾ (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 7.30  
6  WOLFINE 5 1 33 57½   58 57¾ (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 15% 5.70 37.70  
1  ROLL A QUARTERS 1 6 11½ 11½   21½ 612½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 6.00 6% 17.00 10.00  
SCR  HOTROD BOBBY               (morales m)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   08/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COURTHOUSE COVE 4 4 21½ 21   2nk 1nk (meyers shane)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30 W
3  POKER PARTNER 3 3 11½ 11   3.2 2nk (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 19% 4.30 2.20 P
5  LUCKY NINETEEN 5 1 43 41½   43¾ 33¼ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 6.00 11.60  
2  FLAWLESS CAT 2 7 32½ 31½   1nk 44 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 9% 9.90 3.80  
7  BIG POPPER 7 2 710½ 69   56¾ 55½ (romero a)PEREZ A 121 5.00 7.70  
6  EL BAMBINO 6 5 610 79½   79¼ 67¾ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 117 8.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
1  DESTINO 1 6 57 57½   68¾ 79¼ (morales)TABOADA LIMBER 115 8.00 55.10  
 
TDN-5   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:132     1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IT'S ABOUT TIME 5 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 1¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50 3.70  
3  GUT INSTINCT 3 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 2¼ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 121 2.00 19% 4.40 4.30 P
6  MOREAU 6 2 43 52¼ 32½ 33 31½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 0.90  
2  LAST COOKIE 2 4 54½ 32 42¾ 45½ 47 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 31% 2.20 4.10  
1  STEVIE T 1 5 32½ 42¼ 56¾ 59½ 512¼ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 62.90  
4  HECHICERO 4 6 69 610¼ 616¾ 624½ 633 (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 11% 8.50 9.80  
 
TDN-6   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN 3 3 31 21½   22½ 1¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 39% 1.50 1.40 W
5  DRILIN' FOR GEMS 5 2 11 11½   12½ 2¾ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 33% 2.00 0.90 P
6  BIG TIME FLIRT 6 1 21 34   37½ 37½ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 28.60  
2  MY HOMBRE 2 6 53 55   58 48¼ (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 12.50  
4  AGNELLO CITY 4 4 42 45   47½ 59 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 11.40  
1  WHY KENNY WHY 1 5 64 611   616 623 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SCR  IPPOLITO'S WONDER               (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:143     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PARDY PLEASER 3 3 2nk 1nk 1½ 12½ 19½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.80 59% 0.70 0.20 W
4  UNESCORTED 4 2 53 64¼ 66½ 510½ 29½ (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 10% 8.50 11.10 P
5  QADIRA 5 1 1nk 2nk 2½ 22½ 310 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 115 2.00 3.90  
1  POSITIVELY 1 4 42½ 42½ 32½ 35 411¼ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 115 15.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
2  MO RISSA 2 5 65 54 55 47 511¾ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 4.50 15.10  
6  HEART OF THE BEAST 6 6 31 31 45 616½ 633½ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 12.00 49.00  
 
TDN-8   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MIGHTY LES 2 3 53¼ 32½   22 1½ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 73% 0.40 0.60 W
5  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY 4 2 2nk 11   12 2½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50 ★ 1.80 P
1  HITSVILLE 1 5 31 53   57½ 34¾ (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.20 S
6  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 5 1 1nk 21   34 45¼ (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50 5.70  
3  MAJESTIC FLAG 3 4 41¼ 42½   45 57½ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 19.50  
SCR  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL               (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.