Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - August 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (6/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTY IN MOTION Jul18 Jul04 Jun10 May15 Apr25 (urieta johann)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00    
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jul18 Jul04 Jun13 May21 Apr25 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.50    
WORKING HOLIDAY Jul23 Jun10 May15 Apr25 Apr10 (trevino g)PEREZ A 119 5.00    
KRISTIN Jun24 Jun13 May27 May06 Oct30 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00    
TAYYARA Jul25 Mar06 Jan28 Jan12 Dec16 (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
ELIKA Jul18 Jul04 Jun17 Nov01 Oct23 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
PINK PARTY PANTS Jul23 Jun17 May06 Mar29 Mar16 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 10% 8.90    
 
TDN-2   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING LAD Aug01 Jul22 Jul02 Jun12 May28 (flores israel)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 14% 5.90    
ITSMYLUCKYCOYNE Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12   (flor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SKUNK APE Aug07 Jul29 Jul01 Jun12   (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 20.00    
MY BUDDY MICAH Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May20 Nov21 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 5.00    
EQUITY CAT Aug01 Jul22 Jul01 May28 May07 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
ANYGIVENDAY Jul29         (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
VERNON'S BEST Aug07 Jul22 Jun17 Jan02 Dec18 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
STRIKE PLATE Aug07         (langley jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL A QUARTERS Jul23 Jul04 Jun08 May04 Apr23 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 6.00 6% 17.00    
MOMMA K'S BOY Jul31 Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 May21 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
SCR  HOTROD BOBBY Feb14 Jan24 Dec28 Nov27 Mar02 (morales m)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
IRONCLAD ALIBI Aug05 Oct28 Sep26 Sep06 Aug15 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50    
BLUE NOMORE Jul15 Jun22 Jun07 May04 Apr10 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 45% 1.20    
WOLFINE Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 Apr24 Oct10 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 8.00 15% 5.70    
FACT NOT FICTION Jun22 Jun07 May22 May04 Aug15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50    
 
TDN-4   08/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINO May21 May07 Apr29 Apr03 Mar19 (morales)TABOADA LIMBER 115 8.00    
FLAWLESS CAT Aug05 Jun08 May14 Mar26 Mar04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 9% 9.90    
POKER PARTNER Jul11 Jun22 May07 Apr29 Mar19 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 19% 4.30    
COURTHOUSE COVE Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 May21 Aug12 (meyers shane)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
LUCKY NINETEEN Jun22 May28 Sep26 Aug21 Aug16 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 6.00    
EL BAMBINO Jul29 Jun27 Jun08 May06 Apr23 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
BIG POPPER Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May21 (romero a)PEREZ A 121 5.00    
 
TDN-5   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEVIE T Jul17 Jun27 Jun15 May30 May01 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
LAST COOKIE Aug01 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 May06 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
GUT INSTINCT Aug01 Jul16 Jun22 Jun04 May14 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 121 2.00 19% 4.40    
HECHICERO Jun30 May18 Apr20 Apr06 Mar15 (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 11% 8.50    
IT'S ABOUT TIME Jun04 May21 Mar03     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.50    
MOREAU Jul07 May30 Apr26 Nov30 Oct22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
 
TDN-6   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHY KENNY WHY Aug07 Jul29 Jul01 Jun12 May28 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MY HOMBRE Jul25 Jun26 Jun05 May21 May07 (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Jul29 Jul01 May29 May13 Apr22 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 39% 1.50    
AGNELLO CITY Jul25 Jul01 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
DRILIN' FOR GEMS Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 May28 May07 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 33% 2.00    
BIG TIME FLIRT Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun11 May21 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Jun11 May04 Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   08/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVELY Jul22 Jul03 Jun08 May22   (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
MO RISSA Jul23 Jul04 Jun24 Jun10 May15 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 4.50    
PARDY PLEASER Jul11 Jun22 Jun04 Feb21 Jan25 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.80 59% 0.70    
UNESCORTED Jul23 Jul04 Jun10 Apr25 Oct23 (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.00 10% 8.50    
QADIRA Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 May15 Apr29 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 115 2.00    
HEART OF THE BEAST Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 Mar12 Feb22 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   08/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HITSVILLE Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 May28 Jan30 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
MIGHTY LES Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 Jun08 May14 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 73% 0.40    
MAJESTIC FLAG Jul25 Jun22 May28 Oct30 Oct05 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
SCR  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Aug10 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun07 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Jul30 Jul11 May21 May07 Apr14 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.50    
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 May21 Apr29 (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.