Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - August 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/1/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $22.60 $22.60 12.60
TDN-2   Win (4/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-3   Win (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $31.80  
TDN-4   Win (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TDN-5   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-6   Win (2/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $23.60  
TDN-7   Win (5/7/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $17.20 $17.20 7.20
TDN-8   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 5.80

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:114     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE APPEAL 3 1 1nk 1½ 11 11 11 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30 W
ONE TEN 4 4 6 6 3 21 21 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 8% 11.70 4.60 P
HUNTER SCOTT 7 6 5 4 4 44 34 (acevedo israel)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00 4.50  
CARILLO 5 5 810¼ 7 6 56 4 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 37% 1.70 1.90  
GOING IN STYLE 2 7 3 3 21 3 5 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 7.90  
KADESH 1 2 4 5 76 610 611½ (sweeting craig)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 17% 5.00 5.50  
CREDIT RIVER 6 3 2nk 2½ 5 711 716¾ (castro a)PEREZ A 119 20.00 88.90  
CYCLONE 9 9 710¼ 8 810 816 818¼ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 15.70  
DOCTOR NASH 8 8 930¼ 934½ 930 934 935 (cannon st)HALDAR J 119 5.00 10% 8.80 8.30  
 
TDN-2   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAMBITI 4 7 5 43   2nk 1 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 38% 1.70 1.40 W
EAGLE NEST 7 2 3 3   1nk 2 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 23% 3.40 3.20 P
CHOCOLATE RABBIT 3 4 2nk 1nk   3.2 3 (overholt g)DIAZ I 119 10.00 11% 8.50 4.60 S
DASH OF FIRE 5 3 7 710   5 4 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 17.50 8.00  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 1 6 6 6   6 5 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 123 5.00 26.20  
NO MAS CERVEZA 6 8 8 811   7 6 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 121 3.50 18.50  
NEBULOSA 2 5 1nk 2nk   4 710¼ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 4.60  
RED HOT POWER 8 1 43 54   8 811½ (gonzalez donaciano)PEREZ A 119 20.00 63.60  
SCR  STARS N SPACE               (jackson r)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWE SUMSUNFUN 6 1 14 12   12 1 (lopez jacinto)NEGRON LUIS 119 15.00 14.90  
HEART OF AN ANGEL 4 2 24 22   22 2 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 46% 1.20 0.70 P
LT'S JACKNTHEBOX 5 3 611½ 69   5 36 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 16.30 S
RIESENBERG 1 6 48 4   3 4 (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 20% 3.90 1.90  
MO SNOW 2 4 35 35   4 59 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 5.00 5.50  
DASH TO FINISH 3 5 510 58   6 610¾ (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 20.00 21.80  
SCR  C S EXPRESS               (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  LEAVENWORTH               (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.00    
 
TDN-4   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRY THE CAT 2 3 3.2 1nk   12 1 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 29% 2.40 0.50 W
MUCHO PRIMO 7 2 4¾ 41   3 2 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 5.00 8.70  
UPGRADE AL 6 5 2nk 2nk   22 33 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 16% 5.10 5.10 S
SPIN DOCTOR 3 7 6 54   46 4 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 33% 2.10 6.70  
GIFT OF OAK 5 6 7 6   5 5 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 6.10  
THE MAN CAN 1 4 5 7   69 611¾ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 46.90  
FOREIGN 4 1 1nk 3½   7 716¼ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 12.00 37.50  
SCR  RUN ROCKY               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
 
TDN-5   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSTRIAN NAVY 3 1 11 13   14 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 33% 2.00 1.10 W
AFERDITA 2 3 21 23   24 2 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 41% 1.40 0.80 P
RIGHT TRAPPE 5 2 3 3   3 311¼ (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 17.50 7.30 S
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 1 5 56 5   410½ 414¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 10.00 15.70  
FULL TIME STRUTIN 4 4 4 4   510½ 517 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 15.00 43.10  
SCR  DATTTSAFANCYFOX               (suarez javier)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
SCR  DISTORTED SECRETS               (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 121 3.50    
 
TDN-6   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCAPTURED LYON 1 6 11 13   1 1nk (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 10.80  
EL BANDIDO 6 2 5 6   2 2nk (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40 1.70 P
GRAND DEAL 3 7 710¼ 710¼   78 3½ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 5.00 21% 3.90 2.80 S
ARMOR PIERCING 4 1 6 5   34 41 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.50 6.50  
VOORHEES 2 5 31 23   4 54 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 30% 2.30 3.10  
ON HIS TOES 5 4 21 34   56 6 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.00 7.30  
THE EQUINEST 7 3 4 44   66 7 (bailey ricard)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 20.00 5% 19.00 53.90  
 
TDN-7   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON OVER ICE 7 3 21 2nk   2nk 1 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 5.00 14% 6.10 7.60 W
CLASS ACTOR 1 6 11 1nk   1nk 2 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 12.00 23.60  
SAHM TEQUILA 6 5 65 6   6 3 (lopez enrique )HALDAR J 121 4.00 5.40  
PRACTICAL MAN 9 1 3 3½   33 4 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 3.00 8% 10.80 1.50  
LAZARUS PROJECT 3 7 88 8   5 5 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 11% 8.40 8.10  
MONTAUK COVE 5 4 4 43   4 6 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 44% 1.30 10.90  
FIRST CITIZEN 8 2 54 5   7 7 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 4.60  
BOSS BEAR 2 9 912½ 911¼   8 811 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
TOYI 4 8 77 7   9 912¾ (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 121 10.00 29.40  
 
TDN-8   08/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:143 1:40   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONISTIC 6 5 22 2nk 1nk 1 1 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 8.00 8% 12.00 4.90 W
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 1 1 33 3 31 2 2 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 1.20 60% 0.70 0.20 P
SHE'S CRAFTY 2 6 67 64 6 45 34 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 8.20  
SONNET 5 4 12 1nk 2nk 34 4 (rotunno r)DIAZ I 119 3.00 19.70  
MOBIL CHIC 3 3 44 5 4 5 511½ (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
MOBIL LADY 4 2 54 42 5 6 613¼ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 26.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.