Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/1/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $22.60 $12.60 126%
    EXA (5/1/8/4/3)-(5/1/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-4 $65.00 $45.00 225%
TDN-2   TRI (4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-7-3 $31.50 $7.50 31%
    SFT (4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-7-3-5 $8.26 $5.86 244%
    DD (5/1/8/4/3)-(4/7/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-4 $31.20 $11.20 56%
TDN-5   TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2-6 $10.60 $4.60 77%
TDN-7   WIN (5/7/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $17.20 $7.20 72%
TDN-8   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    DD (5/7/3/9/2)-(1/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  7-6 $53.10 $38.10 254%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:114     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STRIKE APPEAL 3 1 1nk 1½ 11 11 11 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30 W
4  ONE TEN 4 4 64¼ 63½ 32½ 21 21 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 8% 11.70 4.60 P
7  HUNTER SCOTT 7 6 53¼ 42½ 42½ 44 34 (acevedo israel)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00 4.50  
5  CARILLO 5 5 810¼ 78½ 65½ 56 45½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 37% 1.70 1.90  
2  GOING IN STYLE 2 7 31½ 31½ 21 33½ 56¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 7.90  
1  KADESH 1 2 41¾ 52½ 76 610 611½ (sweeting craig)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 17% 5.00 5.50  
6  CREDIT RIVER 6 3 2nk 2½ 54½ 711 716¾ (castro a)PEREZ A 119 20.00 88.90  
9  CYCLONE 9 9 710¼ 89½ 810 816 818¼ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 15.70  
8  DOCTOR NASH 8 8 930¼ 934½ 930 934 935 (cannon john )HALDAR J 119 5.00 10% 8.80 8.30  
 
TDN-2   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NAMBITI 4 7 54½ 43   2nk 11¾ (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 38% 1.70 1.40 W
7  EAGLE NEST 7 2 31½ 31½   1nk 21¾ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 23% 3.40 3.20 P
3  CHOCOLATE RABBIT 3 4 2nk 1nk   3.2 34¾ (overholt paul )DIAZ I 119 10.00 11% 8.50 4.60 S
5  DASH OF FIRE 5 3 79½ 710   54¾ 44¾ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 17.50 8.00  
1  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 1 6 66½ 67½   66¼ 56¼ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 123 5.00 26.20  
6  NO MAS CERVEZA 6 8 89¾ 811   76¼ 67¼ (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 121 3.50 18.50  
2  NEBULOSA 2 5 1nk 2nk   41¼ 710¼ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 4.60  
9  RED HOT POWER 8 1 43 54   88¼ 811½ (gonzalez donacian)PEREZ A 119 20.00 63.60  
SCR  STARS N SPACE               (jackson james)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AWE SUMSUNFUN 6 1 14 12   12 12¾ (lopez jacinto)NEGRON LUIS 119 15.00 14.90  
6  HEART OF AN ANGEL 4 2 24 22   22 22¾ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 46% 1.20 0.70 P
7  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX 5 3 611½ 69   55¾ 36 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00 16.30 S
2  RIESENBERG 1 6 48 46½   35½ 46½ (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 20% 3.90 1.90  
3  MO SNOW 2 4 35 35   45½ 59 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 5.00 5.50  
5  DASH TO FINISH 3 5 510 58   65¾ 610¾ (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 20.00 21.80  
SCR  C S EXPRESS               (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  LEAVENWORTH               (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.00    
 
TDN-4   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HENRY THE CAT 2 3 3.2 1nk   12 12½ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 29% 2.40 0.50 W
8  MUCHO PRIMO 7 2 4¾ 41   33½ 22½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 5.00 8.70  
7  UPGRADE AL 6 5 2nk 2nk   22 33 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 16% 5.10 5.10 S
3  SPIN DOCTOR 3 7 64¼ 54   46 44¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 33% 2.10 6.70  
6  GIFT OF OAK 5 6 74¼ 64¼   56½ 55¼ (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 6.10  
1  THE MAN CAN 1 4 52¼ 74¾   69 611¾ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 46.90  
4  FOREIGN 4 1 1nk 3½   79½ 716¼ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 12.00 37.50  
SCR  RUN ROCKY               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
 
TDN-5   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AUSTRIAN NAVY 3 1 11 13   14 17¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 33% 2.00 1.10 W
2  AFERDITA 2 3 21 23   24 27¾ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 41% 1.40 0.80 P
6  RIGHT TRAPPE 5 2 32½ 33½   35½ 311¼ (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 17.50 7.30 S
1  TEAM GOLD DIGGER 1 5 56 59½   410½ 414¼ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 10.00 15.70  
4  FULL TIME STRUTIN 4 4 44½ 49½   510½ 517 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 15.00 43.10  
SCR  DATTTSAFANCYFOX               (suarez javier)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
SCR  DISTORTED SECRETS               (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 121 3.50    
 
TDN-6   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED LYON 1 6 11 13   13½ 1nk (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 10.80  
6  EL BANDIDO 6 2 51¾ 65¼   23½ 2nk (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40 1.70 P
3  GRAND DEAL 3 7 710¼ 710¼   78 3½ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 5.00 21% 3.90 2.80 S
4  ARMOR PIERCING 4 1 63¾ 54¼   34 41 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.50 6.50  
2  VOORHEES 2 5 31 23   45½ 54 (galloway khadee)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 30% 2.30 3.10  
5  ON HIS TOES 5 4 21 34   56 65¼ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.00 7.30  
7  THE EQUINEST 7 3 41½ 44   66 75¾ (bailey rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 20.00 5% 19.00 53.90  
 
TDN-7   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOURBON OVER ICE 7 3 21 2nk   2nk 11¾ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 5.00 14% 6.10 7.60 W
1  CLASS ACTOR 1 6 11 1nk   1nk 21¾ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 12.00 23.60  
6  SAHM TEQUILA 6 5 65 65¼   64¾ 37½ (lopez enriqu)HALDAR J 121 4.00 5.40  
9  PRACTICAL MAN 9 1 31½ 3½   33 47½ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 3.00 8% 10.80 1.50  
3  LAZARUS PROJECT 3 7 88 87¼   54½ 58¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 11% 8.40 8.10  
5  MONTAUK COVE 5 4 42½ 43   43½ 69¼ (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 44% 1.30 10.90  
8  FIRST CITIZEN 8 2 54 53¼   74¾ 79½ (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 4.60  
2  BOSS BEAR 2 9 912½ 911¼   86¾ 811 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
4  TOYI 4 8 77 76¾   97¼ 912¾ (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 121 10.00 29.40  
 
TDN-8   08/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:143 1:40   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIONISTIC 6 5 22 2nk 1nk 11½ 12½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 8.00 8% 12.00 4.90 W
1  CANDLELIGHT HOURS 1 1 33 31½ 31 21½ 22½ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 1.20 60% 0.70 0.20 P
2  SHE'S CRAFTY 2 6 67 64 63¼ 45 34 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 8.20  
5  SONNET 5 4 12 1nk 2nk 34 47¾ (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 3.00 19.70  
3  MOBIL CHIC 3 3 44 52½ 41¼ 56½ 511½ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
4  MOBIL LADY 4 2 54 42 51¾ 67½ 613¼ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 26.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.