Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Tuesday - August 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/1/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-2   Win (4/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-5   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (2/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-7   Win (5/7/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-8   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   08/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADESH Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 Apr22 (sweeting craig)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 17% 5.00    
2  GOING IN STYLE Aug06 Jul24 Jun22 May21 May08 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
3  STRIKE APPEAL Jul09 Jun26 Dec28 Nov20 Sep26 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ONE TEN Aug06 Jul24 Jul11 Jun25 Apr04 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 8% 11.70    
5  CARILLO Aug01 Jun25 Jun04 May20 Nov02 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  CREDIT RIVER Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 May20 May01 (castro a)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
7  HUNTER SCOTT Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 May17 (acevedo israel)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00    
8  DOCTOR NASH Jun26 Jun07 May12 Mar30 Feb01 (cannon st)HALDAR J 119 5.00 10% 8.80    
9  CYCLONE Aug06 Jun26 May29 May09 Apr19 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
 
TDN-2   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Jul31 Jul11 Jun19 May28 May07 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 123 5.00    
2  NEBULOSA Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 May15 Apr23 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
3  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Aug12 Jul18 Nov06 Oct12 Sep01 (overholt g)RIVERA R 119 10.00 11% 8.50    
4  NAMBITI Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 May20 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
5  DASH OF FIRE Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun11 May22 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00 5% 17.50    
6  NO MAS CERVEZA Jul30 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 May28 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 121 3.50    
7  EAGLE NEST Jul10 Jun17 May23 May08 Apr24 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  STARS N SPACE Aug06 Jul17 Jun27 May22 May07 (jackson r)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00    
9  RED HOT POWER Aug06 Jul18 Jul02 Jun25 Jun12 (gonzalez donaciano)PEREZ A 119 20.00    
 
TDN-3   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEAVENWORTH Aug05 Jun19 Jun04 Apr20 Mar28 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 123 4.00    
2  RIESENBERG Jul10 May14 Mar29 Mar02   (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
3  MO SNOW Jul10 Jun22 Jun12 May21 May01 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 5.00    
SCR  C S EXPRESS Aug05 Jun08 May23 May07 Apr24 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00    
5  DASH TO FINISH Aug05 Mar24 Feb16 Jan31 Jan19 (reust megan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 20.00    
6  HEART OF AN ANGEL Aug05 Jul10 Jun19 May28 May07 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
7  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Oct13 Sep29 Aug23 Jul26 Jul11 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  AWE SUMSUNFUN Aug05 Sep23       (lopez jacinto)NEGRON LUIS 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MAN CAN Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 Jun11 May27 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HENRY THE CAT Aug13 Jul25 Jul04 May23 May01 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  SPIN DOCTOR Aug06 Dec04 Nov21 Oct11 Sep20 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 4.50 33% 2.10    
4  FOREIGN Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 Jun11 May20 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
SCR  RUN ROCKY Aug06 Jul10 Jun17 Aug09 Jul27 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
6  GIFT OF OAK Aug06 Jul25 Jul02 Jun12 May22 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
7  UPGRADE AL Jul04 Feb21 Jan31 Dec14 Sep06 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 10.00 16% 5.10    
8  MUCHO PRIMO Aug06 Jul18 Jun26 Jun05 May14 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 5.00    
 
TDN-5   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Jul16 Jul01 Jun16 May27 May12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 10.00    
2  AFERDITA Jun03 May09 Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 1.80 41% 1.40    
3  AUSTRIAN NAVY Jul25 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 Mar03 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  FULL TIME STRUTIN Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun17 Jun04 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 15.00    
SCR  DISTORTED SECRETS Aug13 Jul23 Jun10 Mar14 Feb04 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 121 3.50    
6  RIGHT TRAPPE Jun08 May15 Mar17 Mar08 Feb09 (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  DATTTSAFANCYFOX May24 Apr29 Mar27 Feb28 Feb13 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   08/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED LYON Aug13 Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 Nov16 (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
2  VOORHEES Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 Oct19 Oct05 (galloway khadeem)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
3  GRAND DEAL Aug13 Jul23 Jun27 Jun08 May23 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 5.00 21% 3.90    
4  ARMOR PIERCING Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 Jun08 May28 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
5  ON HIS TOES Jul17 May15 Apr24 Apr09 Feb22 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 119 3.00    
6  EL BANDIDO Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 May21 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  THE EQUINEST Apr24 Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 Mar06 (bailey ricard)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   08/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASS ACTOR Aug05 Jul11 Jun27 May30 Apr14 (cas)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 12.00    
2  BOSS BEAR Jul15 Jun13 May18 May04 Apr25 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAZARUS PROJECT Aug05 Jul01 Jun13 May27 May08 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 11% 8.40    
4  TOYI Aug15 Jul17 Jul03 Jun25 May28 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 121 10.00    
5  MONTAUK COVE Aug05 Jun25 May30 May06 Apr02 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 44% 1.30    
6  SAHM TEQUILA Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May22 Apr13 (lopez enrique )HALDAR J 121 4.00    
7  BOURBON OVER ICE Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 May23 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
8  FIRST CITIZEN Aug13 Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 May27 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
9  PRACTICAL MAN Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun10 May17 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 3.00 8% 10.80    
 
TDN-8   08/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Aug10 Jun19 May09 Apr24 Oct28 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 1.20 60% 0.70    
2  SHE'S CRAFTY Aug10 Jun19 May09 Apr13 Apr03 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
3  MOBIL CHIC Apr30 Apr10 Mar07 Feb22 Jan18 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOBIL LADY Jun19 May23 May04 Mar11 Sep07 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 15.00    
5  SONNET Oct28 Sep26 Aug12 Jul17 Jun12 (rotunno r)DIAZ I 119 3.00    
6  LIONISTIC Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 May22 Apr29 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 8.00 8% 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.