Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (1/2/9/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-2   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.00  
TDN-3   Win (8/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $2.10 $2.10  
TDN-4   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TDN-5   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-6   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-7   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.40  
TDN-8   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:124     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HAMMERIN AAMER 2 7 63 63¼ 51¼ 1nk 11¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 23% 3.40 1.60 W
4  MR LAOBAN 4 6 52½ 41½ 31 2nk 21¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50 P
1  SWELTER 1 1 2½ 53 62¼ 33 34¼ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 25% 2.90 3.30 S
7  APACHE 6 8 77½ 74¾ 74¼ 78½ 411¾ (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 13.00  
6  SMALL SAILOR 5 3 3½ 2nk 1nk 55 512 (geno)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 25.40  
3  MAS ORO 3 2 1½ 1nk 2nk 44 613 (urieta johann)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 15.00 13.10  
10  GEH SCHNELL 9 9 912 87¾ 86¾ 68 713¼ (manning richard)CEDILLO MAURO 123 20.00 62.70  
8  SEE SPOT RUN 7 5 811 911¾ 97¾ 911¼ 816¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 13% 6.40 7.30  
9  FIRST CITIZEN 8 4 41½ 3½ 41¼ 88¾ 917 (jackson r)PEREZ A 119 6.00 15% 5.60 4.70  
SCR  VAIL OF HONOR               (higham nicole)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:131     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VISUAL MISSION 4 5 56½ 52½ 2nk 14 111 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80 2.00  
6  SPEEDY MOBILE 5 1 41½ 31 1nk 24 211 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 3.50 34% 1.90 3.50 P
1  SERENDIPITOUS 1 3 1nk 42 54¼ 36 311¾ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 20.00  
4  HENRY THE CAT 3 2 3½ 1nk 3½ 46 412½ (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 22% 3.50 1.20  
3  SURROUNDER 2 4 2nk 2nk 44 510 524 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
SCR  NO MAS CERVEZA               (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:22 :443 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BACK TO OHIO 6 2 31½ 2nk   13 16½ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 2.00 35% 1.90 0.05 W
7  WINE ME UP BABY 5 1 11½ 1nk   23 26½ (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00 43.80  
5  TIVIS 3 5 67¼ 56½   47 37 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 8% 11.10 6.00 S
2  TIZ INDEPENDENCE 2 7 56¼ 67½   57½ 410½ (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 123 12.00 61.30  
1  RENO TOUCH 1 6 41¾ 34   36½ 510¾ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 7% 12.40 32.30  
6  COMMAND STRIKE 4 4 21½ 45½   68½ 610¾ (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 4.50 29% 2.40 10.90  
9  QUARANTINA 7 3 713¼ 719½   717½ 719¾ (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00 81.40  
SCR  BLUSHING BETTY               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
SCR  MALICED               (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 15.00    
 
TDN-4   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SWEATY FOX 1 6 41¼ 21   2½ 1¾ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 28% 2.60 1.80 W
2  SWEET UNIQUE 2 5 11 11   1½ 2¾ (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50 8.00  
6  CITY SCENE 5 3 62¾ 33   33 31¾ (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00 30% 2.40 0.80 S
4  DISTORTED SECRETS 3 4 31 43   46½ 48½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 13.50  
7  LADY LOTTIE 6 1 51¼ 63¼   510 514¾ (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 8% 11.20 13.10  
5  LIONISTIC 4 2 21 53¼   611 619¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 8.00 11.20  
SCR  KEY TO SUCCESS               (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:13     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PLEASANT VALIANT 4 5 58½ 33 1½ 12½ 16 (wolochuk david)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 31% 2.30 1.10 W
2  JIMMY JUNGA 2 1 11 11½ 33 32½ 26 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.60 3.00  
5  CAPTURE MI 5 3 21 21½ 2½ 22½ 37¾ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.50 5% 19.00 3.40 S
3  GRAND DEAL 3 2 35 43 45 46½ 48 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 2.00 22% 3.50 3.00  
1  UNCAPTURED LYON 1 4 48½ 55 57 511½ 520½ (erdel john)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 21.10  
 
TDN-6   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAILS HERE 1 4 1½ 12   11 12 (zielinski ric)PETERSON FERRIN 121 2.00 24% 3.10 0.80 W
3  AFLEET O ME 3 5 32 22   21 22 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 40% 1.50 2.10 P
5  TAMMY'S TOY 5 1 2½ 32   33 35 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 29.20 S
6  GOOD MUSIC 6 2 42 43½   44½ 47½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00 3.80  
4  HARSH TRUTH 4 3 610½ 614½   610½ 57½ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 123 3.00 7.60  
2  ORLEANS STORM 2 6 52½ 56½   56½ 69¾ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 67.00  
 
TDN-7   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRACTICAL MAN 5 1 32 21½   2nk 11 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 4.70  
2  FISHING FOR FUN 2 5 43 32½   3.2 21 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 4.00  
1  MON CAMO 1 4 11½ 11½   1nk 31 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 46% 1.20 1.00 S
3  K P SILVER BULLET 3 6 66½ 66   44¼ 42½ (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 123 2.50 24% 3.10 2.90  
6  BROADWAY JONES 6 2 55 55½   56¾ 511¾ (hurley l)HALDAR J 123 10.00 22.80  
4  UPTOWN GUY 4 3 21½ 43   610¼ 621¾ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
 
TDN-8   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:12     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WICKED WARRIOR 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 11½ 1½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 2.00 24% 3.20 0.60 W
1  NIKOLAOU 1 1 33½ 41½ 31 21½ 2½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50 3.20  
5  AZTEC 5 5 56½ 56½ 65¼ 64¼ 33 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
6  ROYAL DRAGOON 6 6 613½ 68 54¾ 53¾ 43 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 10.00  
3  GOOD ON YA 3 3 44 31½ 41¼ 43½ 56 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 10.50  
4  STATESBORO 4 4 21 2½ 2nk 31½ 67 (winters michell)CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00 16% 5.30 15.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.