Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/2/9/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/8/4)-(1/2/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/8/4)-(1/2/9/8/4)-(1/2/9/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (1/2/9/8/4)-(6/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/8/4)-(6/4/3)-(8/6/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(8/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(8/6/5/1)-(6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-3   WIN (8/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1)-(8/6/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/5/1)-(6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/5/1)-(6/1/7)-(4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(4/3/5)-(3/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/1/5)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(1/3/4)-(2/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWELTER Jul24 Jun08 May04 Apr13 Apr02 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 4.50 25% 2.90    
2  HAMMERIN AAMER Jul24 Jun24 May30 May03 Apr12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  MAS ORO Jul25 Jun24 Jun10 May23 May04 (urieta joha)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 15.00    
4  MR LAOBAN Jul02 Jun08 May18 Apr24 Feb15 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VAIL OF HONOR Jul15 Jul01 Mar20 Feb13 Jan24 (higham nicole)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
6  SMALL SAILOR Jul25 Jul03 Jun08 May23 May15 (ge)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
7  APACHE Jul22 Jul02 Jun13 May06 Apr25 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
8  SEE SPOT RUN Jul24 Feb02 Sep18 Aug23 Jul31 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 13% 6.40    
9  FIRST CITIZEN Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 May27 Aug02 (jackson r)PEREZ A 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
10  GEH SCHNELL Jul29 Jul09 May27 May09 Apr09 (manning richa)CEDILLO MAURO 123 20.00    
 
TDN-2   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITOUS Jul18 Jan22 Jan02 Dec04 Nov21 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
SCR  NO MAS CERVEZA Jul30 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 May28 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
3  SURROUNDER Jul02 Jun12 Apr04 Mar18 Mar11 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  HENRY THE CAT Jul25 Jul04 May23 May01 Feb14 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
5  VISUAL MISSION Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 May08 Apr22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 1.80    
6  SPEEDY MOBILE Jul25 Jan23 Nov07 Oct11 Sep14 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
TDN-3   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENO TOUCH Jul11 May30 May15 Apr24 Feb28 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 7% 12.40    
2  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May22 May01 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 123 12.00    
SCR  MALICED Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 May22 Jul25 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 123 15.00    
SCR  BLUSHING BETTY Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 Sep20 Aug29 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
5  TIVIS Jul24 Oct28 Oct05 Sep07 Jun02 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.50 8% 11.10    
6  COMMAND STRIKE Jul08 Jun11 May22 May01 Oct02 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  WINE ME UP BABY Jul23 Jul08 May22 Apr13 Mar26 (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00    
8  BACK TO OHIO Jul11 Dec16 Nov20 Oct05 Aug26 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
9  QUARANTINA Jul10 May18 Apr24 Jan31 Jan23 (casalinova tina)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00    
 
TDN-4   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SWEATY FOX Jul25 Jun24 Jun03 Apr20 Mar02 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
2  SWEET UNIQUE Jul04 Jun07 May13 Apr13 Mar28 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 3.50    
SCR  KEY TO SUCCESS Jul16 Jun22 Jun10 May13 Apr26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
4  DISTORTED SECRETS Jul23 Jun10 Mar14 Feb04 Dec29 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00    
5  LIONISTIC Jul24 Jul02 May22 Apr29 Dec26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
6  CITY SCENE Jul24 Jul04 Jun03 May14 Apr24 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  LADY LOTTIE Jul24 Jul02 Jun07 May18 Apr24 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 8% 11.20    
 
TDN-5   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED LYON Jul17 Jul03 Jun17 Nov16 Nov02 (erdel john)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
2  JIMMY JUNGA Jul10 Jun08 May21 May07 Oct23 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 1.60    
3  GRAND DEAL Jul23 Jun27 Jun08 May23 May14 (schuster robin)PEREZ A 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  PLEASANT VALIANT Jul23 Jun27 May23 Apr19 Apr05 (wolochuk dav)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
5  CAPTURE MI Jul23 Jun27 Jun08 May23 Mar26 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAILS HERE Jun18 May22 May04 Mar28 Mar14 (zielinski r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  ORLEANS STORM Jul16 Jun19 May28 May21 May07 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
3  AFLEET O ME Jul16 Jun05 May09 Sep28 Sep18 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  HARSH TRUTH Jul18 Jun27 May28 May07 Feb24 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 123 3.00    
5  TAMMY'S TOY Jul16 Jun27 May22 May01 Mar25 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOOD MUSIC Jul16 May30 May09 Mar06 Feb21 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
 
TDN-7   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON CAMO Jul23 Jun24 May20 Oct23 Oct06 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  FISHING FOR FUN Jul30 Jul09 Dec06 Nov16 Oct31 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00    
3  K P SILVER BULLET Jul30 Jul18 Jun27 Jun04 May22 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  UPTOWN GUY Jun05 May23 May13 Apr13 Apr02 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRACTICAL MAN Jul30 Jul15 Jun10 May17 Apr15 (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 123 4.50    
6  BROADWAY JONES Jul08 Jun17 May13 Mar20 Mar05 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 123 10.00    
 
TDN-8   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIKOLAOU Jun16 May04 Feb23 Sep04 Aug21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
2  WICKED WARRIOR Jul15 Jun13 May15 Oct28 Oct02 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
3  GOOD ON YA Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May21 Jan27 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50    
4  STATESBORO Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May30 Jan26 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  AZTEC Jul24 Jun01 Apr05 Mar02 Dec04 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROYAL DRAGOON Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 Jun04 Oct13 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.