Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-3   EXA (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $15.00 $3.00 25%
TDN-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.00 $1.00 25%
TDN-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.40 $3.40 57%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL ON BIG O 1 4 11 2nk   1 14 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 23% 3.40 1.50 W
TAHLEQUAH JOE 4 2 21 1nk   2 24 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 32% 2.10 1.20 P
HARTSTEIN 3 5 3 3.2   3 36 (atala jose)HALDAR J 119 3.00 2.80  
ONE STEP ASIDE 5 6 5 5   4 4 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 11.40  
GIBBY MY CORN 2 3 6 611¾   511½ 512¼ (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 25.50  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 6 1 4 4   613 615¾ (faulkner c)PEREZ A 115 15.00 5% 19.00 68.20  
SCR  REDDEN               (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:014     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT DATE 7 1 4 31   12 11 (poole m)AVILES YAN 118 2.50 3.90  
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
WAVES OF LIBERTY 4 2 3.2 21   22 21 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60 30% 2.40 0.70 P
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
MOBIL ENSIGN 2 7 5 53   32 3 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 118 3.00 7.20  
  (by MOBIL out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
PEEKABOO MOM 1 3 1nk 4   5 4 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 25.00  
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
IAMAMASON 6 4 2nk 11   4 512 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
  (by DRILL out of CINDINI by BERNARDINI)
DAH FUH 3 5 62 6   6 613¾ (flores israel)PEREZ A 118 6.00 24% 3.20 18.70  
  (by DRILL out of HOLY HAREM by HOLY BULL)
NOT JUST WILLOW 5 6 7 7   711½ 719¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 12.00 22% 3.60 14.80  
  (by KENNEDY out of VAQUERITA by VAQUERO)
 
TDN-3   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:00     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSATIABLE EVA 6 4 3 22   1 1¼ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 40% 1.50 0.60 W
MALI BALI 3 6 7 7   4 2¼ (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.50 P
PANOLA 4 3 6 65   2 33 (canegata james)DIAZ I 115 8.00 9.10  
DA JOURNEYGIRL 2 7 4 54   53 4 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 12.00 9% 9.70 24.60  
VIMISOFA 5 2 1½ 12   3 58 (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 119 2.50 23% 3.40 8.80  
NOT OVER YET 1 5 2½ 32   6 6 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00 7.50  
LUNA PRIMAVERA 7 1 53 4   7 7 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00 3.90  
 
TDN-4   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:002     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHALON'S FIRST 2 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 5.00 1.10  
  (by NYQUIST out of CHALON by DIALED IN)
SECRET TROUBLE 3 4 4 3½   2nk 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 3.00 43% 1.30 1.00 P
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ARTY'S SECRET by SECRET CIRCLE)
Z BOSS 1 3 1nk 2nk   35 318½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 118 10.00 27% 2.70 3.70 S
  (by STREET BOSS out of COSMIC ENERGY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
DRILL'S BOY 4 1 31 4   410 427½ (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00 15.60  
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
SCR  LIFE'S ONE               (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 118 1.80    
  (by VOLATILE out of FINAL JEWEL by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  MINISTER               (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of MISS SWEETNESS by UNITE)
 
TDN-5   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH UNITY 3 1 1½ 1   1 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00 0.60  
FAT DADDY 2 2 33 33   2 2 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 37% 1.70 4.10 P
MAKING ME CRAZY 1 4 5 45   4 3 (mahan j)PILARES P 123 2.50 2.90  
THE RED MAN 4 5 4 55   58 4 ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
DOCTOR WU 5 3 2½ 2   3 54 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 21% 3.90 6.20  
SCR  AYE AYE SIR               (rettele richard)PEREZ A 123 2.00    
 
TDN-6   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLCE MARIE 2 2 1½ 1   14 11 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 4.50 27% 2.70 1.50 W
SPUNKY ONE 3 4 49 34   24 21 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00 3.80  
KISS VALENTINA 1 3 2½ 2   3 3 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50 1.10  
THE KID'S PRAYER 4 1 35 4   49 410¼ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
SCR  IMA MOM               (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 115 8.00    
SCR  TIERNEY               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-7   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSING MEDALS 2 3 11 13   16 1 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 2.20  
FAITHFUL SOLUTION 6 2 77 69   510 2 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 4.10  
I'M JAC'D 5 6 54 46   26 310 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 15.00 5% 17.30 44.20 S
BETTER HALF 4 4 44 36   3 411 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 5.00 21% 3.70 1.60  
NATIONAL DIAMOND 3 5 3 57   610½ 513 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.00 35% 1.90 3.30  
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 1 7 6 710   713½ 614¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 10% 9.20 23.70  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 7 1 21 23   4 715¾ (romero a)PEREZ A 119 10.00 24.00  
 
TDN-8   08/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASUAL ATTIRE 4 4 4 3 4¾ 1nk 1hd (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 119 6.00 9% 10.40 3.70 W
CONTROLLER 6 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 2nk 2hd (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 4.40  
OAKS HONEY 2 5 34 4 3½ 4 3 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 48% 1.10 2.20 S
VISUAL MISSION 1 3 5 56 5 5 4 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00 2.50  
CRYPTO COPY 5 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 3 5 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 14% 6.00 3.60  
MONSTER HUNTER 3 6 6 67 6 6 612½ (gonzalez donacian)PEREZ A 119 15.00 42.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.