Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(4/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(4/3/5/6)-(6/5/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/5/6)-(6/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/6)-(6/5/2/3)-(5/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/3)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/3)-(5/1)-(2/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/6/5)-(3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(3/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/4/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(2/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL ON BIG O Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 Nov30 Nov15 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
2  GIBBY MY CORN Jul31 Jun05 Oct30 Oct02 Sep13 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
3  HARTSTEIN Aug01 Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 May08 (atala jose)HALDAR J 119 3.00    
4  TAHLEQUAH JOE Jul25 Jun18 Jun11 May28 Nov30 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  ONE STEP ASIDE Jul31 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 May28 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00    
6  RIVERS OF DENIRO Jun19 May28 May08 Mar18 Feb26 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REDDEN Jul11 Jun11 Apr30 Apr11 Mar25 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEEKABOO MOM Aug06         (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of PICTURE OF MOM by CAT POWER)
2  MOBIL ENSIGN Aug06         (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 118 3.00    
  (by MOBIL out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
3  DAH FUH         (flores israel)PEREZ A 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by DRILL out of HOLY HAREM by HOLY BULL)
4  WAVES OF LIBERTY Aug07 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60 30% 2.40    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
5  NOT JUST WILLOW         (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 12.00 22% 3.60    
  (by KENNEDY out of VAQUERITA by VAQUERO)
6  IAMAMASON Aug06 Jul01       (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of CINDINI by BERNARDINI)
7  PERFECT DATE Aug06 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07   (poole m)AVILES YAN 118 2.50    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
 
TDN-3   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT OVER YET Aug12 Jul02 Jun11 May09 Apr25 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
2  DA JOURNEYGIRL Jul21 Jul03 Aug29 Aug03 Jun23 (c)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 119 12.00 9% 9.70    
3  MALI BALI Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 May15 Apr25 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PANOLA Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 Apr28 Mar23 (canegata ja)PETERSON FERRIN 115 8.00    
5  VIMISOFA Aug01 Jun04 May13 Apr22 Jan31 (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  INSATIABLE EVA Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 May30 May09 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  LUNA PRIMAVERA Jul22 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Apr10 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00    
 
TDN-4   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z BOSS         (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 118 10.00 27% 2.70    
  (by STREET BOSS out of COSMIC ENERGY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
2  CHALON'S FIRST Jul23         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CHALON by DIALED IN)
SCR  MINISTER         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 2.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of MISS SWEETNESS by UNITE)
SCR  LIFE'S ONE         (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 118 1.80    
  (by VOLATILE out of FINAL JEWEL by GEMOLOGIST)
5  SECRET TROUBLE         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ARTY'S SECRET by SECRET CIRCLE)
6  DRILL'S BOY Aug10 Jul22       (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 118 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
 
TDN-5   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKING ME CRAZY Jul23 Jul02 Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 (mahan j)PILARES P 123 2.50    
2  FAT DADDY Aug06 Jul15 Jun12 May30 Nov05 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  AYE AYE SIR Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 May22 Nov02 (rettele richard)PEREZ A 123 2.00    
4  IRISH UNITY Aug06 Jul24 Jul03 May22 May01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
5  THE RED MAN Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 Jun25 Jun08 (m)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOCTOR WU Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 Jan15 Dec20 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 21% 3.90    
 
TDN-6   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIERNEY Aug03 Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 May22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
2  KISS VALENTINA Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May28 May07 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50    
3  DOLCE MARIE Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 May29 Apr22 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  SPUNKY ONE Jul31 Jul18 Jun17 May29 May13 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00    
5  THE KID'S PRAYER Jul24 Jul04 Jun17 May29 May13 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMA MOM Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 May28 May13 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 115 8.00    
 
TDN-7   08/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Jul30 Jul18 Jul09 Jun18 May20 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 10% 9.20    
2  KISSING MEDALS Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 May28 May13 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50    
3  NATIONAL DIAMOND Jul12 Jun28 Jun10 May29 May08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  BETTER HALF Jul27 Jul12 Jun07 May22 Jan08 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
5  I'M JAC'D Aug14 Jul25 Jul09 Jan31 Jan09 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 15.00 5% 17.30    
6  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Jul30 Jul03 Jun10 May20 Oct02 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 121 2.50    
7  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Aug14 Jul25 Jul09 Jun18 Apr11 (romero jose)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   08/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISUAL MISSION Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 May08 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
2  OAKS HONEY Jul16 Jun10 May14 Apr22 Apr04 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  MONSTER HUNTER Aug06 Jul16 Jul03 Jun25 May14 (gonzalez donacian)PEREZ A 119 15.00    
4  CASUAL ATTIRE Aug02 Jun22 May29 Dec13 Nov30 (hamm timoth)PETERSON FERRIN 119 6.00 9% 10.40    
5  CRYPTO COPY Jun27 Jun10 May18 Apr22 Apr09 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 14% 6.00    
6  CONTROLLER Jul18 Jun22 May29 Jan01 Dec18 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.