Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Monday - August 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   EXA (2/7/12)-(2/7/8/9/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $12.70 $0.70 6%
TDN-3   EXA (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $13.60 $1.60 13%
TDN-7   EXA (4/2)-(4/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00  4-2 $18.30 $14.30 358%
    TRI (4/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00  4-2-7 $24.40 $20.40 510%
TDN-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $37.80 $31.80 530%
    DD (4/2)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $33.70 $27.70 462%
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(4/2)-(3/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00  3-4-1 $72.20 $54.20 301%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   08/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SIR 2 6 65½ 44   2½ 15½ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 3.20  
4  SIR MASON 3 4 11½ 12½   1½ 25½ (morales )FERNANDEZ R 115 2.50 20% 4.10 3.30 P
2  PRINCE FRED 1 5 42½ 55   42 36¼ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 115 15.00 8% 11.20 5.80 S
7  SKYHOOPER 6 1 31½ 33   53½ 47¼ (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 46% 1.20 1.20  
6  MARSICO 5 2 21½ 22½   31½ 59¼ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 12.00  
5  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL 4 3 54½ 66½   65 610 (rini anthony)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00 12.00  
SCR  BOXSTER               (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 121 3.50    
SCR  MSHINDI               (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00    
 
TDN-2   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VAL'S TWINSTAR 2 4 1½ 13½   15 19 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 59% 0.70 1.10 W
  (by TWINSPIRED out of FABLED STAR by OFFLEE WILD)
6  BOLD RUBY 5 10 95¾ 55   25 29 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 3.40 DQ↓8
  (by BOLD RED out of O. T. HUGHES by HENNY HUGHES)
7  CANELA FINA 6 8 85¾ 910¾   611 310½ (lopez j)PILARES P 123 4.50 16% 5.40 7.10 P
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
10  RON DAH LOU 9 3 32 44   37 411¾ (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 6.80  
  (by CORFU out of WINNERCOASTTOCOAST by SUPER SAVER)
9  MISS SIX 8 1 2½ 23½   47½ 512¼ (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 ★ 6.40  
  (by TEAM SIX out of HOPE IS JUST AHEAD by LINE OF DAVID)
4  SOMETHING LUCKY 4 5 64 69   511 613 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00 44.20  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  RALPH'S LIL' VICKY 3 7 53 79¼   712½ 717½ (szczepanski emil)BAEZ M 119 30.00 94.20  
  (by DRILL out of WICKED VICKY by TALE OF THE CAT)
1  PRINCESS EM 1 6 42 34   813½ 817½ (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 123 30.00 53.30  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
11  RIVERS RUN RED 10 2 74¼ 810¼   919½ 926 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 24.70  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERFECTON PRINCESS by ECTON PARK)
8  WINGS OF HEAVEN 7 9 1019¾ 1024¾   1024½ 1026¾ (genovese richar)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 ★ 14.60  
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  IT'S E Z               (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  YO SOY               (morales m)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
  (by CORFU out of MY MOM SANTINA by STREET BOSS)
 
TDN-3   08/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:133     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAISE THE PURSES 4 5 58 55¼ 43 1½ 11¼ (morales saul )BRACHO A 123 3.00 11% 8.10 2.20 W
5  SERVE REVENGE COLD 5 7 31½ 2nk 11½ 2½ 21¼ (urieta johann)SIMPSON JASON 123 10.00 5% 17.80 2.60 P
6  UNBRIDLED CAUSE 6 4 1nk 1nk 21½ 31 31¾ (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 19.70  
2  SERENDIPITOUS 2 1 2nk 31 33 43½ 48¾ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 24% 3.20 4.50  
1  BEAT THE DEALER 1 6 68½ 45 57 69½ 58¾ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 38% 1.60 3.10  
3  OHIO EAGLE 3 2 45½ 65¾ 610 58½ 69 (zielinski richard)PEREZ A 123 4.00 7.20  
7  KARAMEL CORN 7 3 712 710¾ 712 711 710¾ (tu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 22.20  
 
TDN-4   08/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:134     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASANT VALIANT 1 2 69 66½ 53 31 12¼ (wolochuk dav)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.00 0.90  
4  LUCKY ANDY 4 5 58 55½ 31½ 2nk 22¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 46% 1.20 2.50 P
2  HAD RIGHT 2 4 36½ 43 2nk 1nk 34¼ (huffman candace )AVILES YAN 119 4.50 6.60  
3  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 3 6 46½ 33 42½ 52½ 410¾ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 15% 5.80 4.70  
5  MASTER 5 1 1½ 11½ 1nk 41½ 512½ (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 9.90  
6  MASTER OF WAR 6 3 2½ 21½ 67 68½ 620¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 6% 16.00 39.10  
 
TDN-5   08/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:01     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GRETCHENS MANE MAN 6 1 21 2nk   12 1½ (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 4.50 5.10  
  (by CORFU out of IVORY TREASURE by SIR IVOR)
1  PROFESSOR NICK 1 5 32 32   32 2½ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 4.20  
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STARSHIP MADE IT by CONCERTO)
2  JAC'S EMPIRE 2 3 11 1nk   22 34½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 15.00 14.80  
  (by JAC'S FACT out of EMPIRE OF DOE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  COLONEL COOPER 5 6 54 44½   47 45¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.80 63% 0.60 0.60  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
5  AIR RAID (GB) 4 2 65 65¾   58 511¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
  (by AIR STRIKE out of STORM RAVEN by BODEMEISTER)
4  DR. GEORGE 3 4 44 55½   611 614 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 118 5.00 10% 9.30 4.70  
  (by MOBIL out of MY MANCITA by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  EL FAITE               (lopez j)PILARES P 118 8.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of JUSTICEINACTION by FLASHBACK)
 
TDN-6   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RED CHILI PEPPER 3 3 33½ 33½   32 1¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 33% 2.10 1.30 W
2  LUCKY VICTOR 2 5 2½ 22½   21 2¾ (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.00 2.30  
6  COLOR BEARER 6 2 44½ 44   44 31¾ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 42% 1.40 2.20 S
1  DANES HEART 1 6 56 57½   54 42½ (vazquez ivan)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 26.30  
4  RUN RED RUN 4 4 1½ 12½   11 54 (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
5  LONE BOY 5 1 611 619½   618 625¼ (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 20.20  
 
TDN-7   08/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OTIS OTIS OTIS 4 3 31½ 31½   3.2 1nk (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 67% 0.50 0.80 W
2  WEEKEND BUZZ 2 4 54 53¼   1nk 2nk (white james)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
7  LAUDA SPEED 6 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 32 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 ★ 2.20 S
1  MAS ORO 1 5 65½ 66¼   54¼ 42¾ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 6.00 20.90  
3  AWESOME ENOUGH 3 6 42 41¾   42¼ 55¾ (galloway)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 4.20  
6  ESTILO FAVORITO 5 2 2nk 2nk   67¾ 615¾ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 22.20  
SCR  NATURE OFTHE BEAST               (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENIE ROSE 1 4 46½ 45½   32 1nk (cline c)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90 W
5  EMERSON JONES 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2nk (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 3.40  
3  LARRY'S ANGEL 3 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 3.2 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 2.00 36% 1.80 0.20 S
2  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 2 5 531½ 525½   517 413¼ (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
4  BODIL 4 2 3½ 34½   47 513¼ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 33% 2.10 6.10  
SCR  ANCHORWOMAN               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.