Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - August 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.40  
TDN-2   Win (2/7/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-3   Win (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
TDN-4   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.80  
TDN-5   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $12.20  
TDN-6   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-7   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-8   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $37.80 $37.80 31.80

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR 2 6 6 44   2½ 1 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 3.20  
SIR MASON 3 4 1 1   1½ 2 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.50 20% 4.10 3.30 P
PRINCE FRED 1 5 4 55   42 3 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 115 15.00 8% 11.20 5.80 S
SKYHOOPER 6 1 3 33   5 4 (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 46% 1.20 1.20  
MARSICO 5 2 2 2   3 5 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 12.00  
OUTA JAIL ON BAIL 4 3 5 6   65 610 (rini anthony)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00 12.00  
SCR  BOXSTER               (vlaun manuel)PEREZ A 121 3.50    
SCR  MSHINDI               (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00    
 
TDN-2   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAL'S TWINSTAR 2 4 1½ 1   15 19 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 59% 0.70 1.10 W
BOLD RUBY 5 10 9 55   25 29 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 3.40 DQ↓8
CANELA FINA 6 8 8 910¾   611 310½ (lopez jac)PILARES P 123 4.50 16% 5.40 7.10 P
10  RON DAH LOU 9 3 32 44   37 411¾ (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 6.80  
MISS SIX 8 1 2½ 2   4 512¼ (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 6.40  
SOMETHING LUCKY 4 5 64 69   511 613 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00 44.20  
RALPH'S LIL' VICKY 3 7 53 7   712½ 717½ (szczepanski emily)BAEZ M 119 30.00 94.20  
PRINCESS EM 1 6 42 34   813½ 817½ (yoder d)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 30.00 53.30  
11  RIVERS RUN RED 10 2 7 810¼   919½ 926 (szczepanski emily)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 24.70  
WINGS OF HEAVEN 7 9 1019¾ 1024¾   1024½ 1026¾ (genovese richard )BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 14.60  
SCR  IT'S E Z               (fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YO SOY               (morales m)PEREZ A 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   08/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:133     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE THE PURSES 4 5 58 5 43 1½ 1 (morales m)BRACHO A 123 3.00 11% 8.10 2.20 W
SERVE REVENGE COLD 5 7 3 2nk 1 2½ 2 (urieta johanna)SIMPSON JASON 123 10.00 5% 17.80 2.60 P
UNBRIDLED CAUSE 6 4 1nk 1nk 2 31 3 (morales m)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 19.70  
SERENDIPITOUS 2 1 2nk 31 33 4 4 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 24% 3.20 4.50  
BEAT THE DEALER 1 6 6 45 57 6 5 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 38% 1.60 3.10  
OHIO EAGLE 3 2 4 6 610 5 69 (zielinski richard)PEREZ A 123 4.00 7.20  
KARAMEL CORN 7 3 712 710¾ 712 711 710¾ (tumb)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 22.20  
 
TDN-4   08/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:134     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEASANT VALIANT 1 2 69 6 53 31 1 (wolochuk david)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.00 0.90  
LUCKY ANDY 4 5 58 5 3 2nk 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 46% 1.20 2.50 P
HAD RIGHT 2 4 3 43 2nk 1nk 3 (huffman m)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 6.60  
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 3 6 4 33 4 5 410¾ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 15% 5.80 4.70  
MASTER 5 1 1½ 1 1nk 4 512½ (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 9.90  
MASTER OF WAR 6 3 2½ 2 67 6 620¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 6% 16.00 39.10  
 
TDN-5   08/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:01     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRETCHENS MANE MAN 6 1 21 2nk   12 1½ (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 118 4.50 5.10  
PROFESSOR NICK 1 5 32 32   32 2½ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 4.20  
JAC'S EMPIRE 2 3 11 1nk   22 3 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 15.00 14.80  
COLONEL COOPER 5 6 54 4   47 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.80 63% 0.60 0.60  
AIR RAID (GB) 4 2 65 6   58 511¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
DR. GEORGE 3 4 44 5   611 614 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 118 5.00 10% 9.30 4.70  
SCR  EL FAITE               (lopez jac)PILARES P 118 8.00    
 
TDN-6   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED CHILI PEPPER 3 3 3 3   32 1¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 33% 2.10 1.30 W
LUCKY VICTOR 2 5 2½ 2   21 2¾ (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 115 2.00 2.30  
COLOR BEARER 6 2 4 44   44 3 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 42% 1.40 2.20 S
DANES HEART 1 6 56 5   54 4 (vazquez ivan)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 26.30  
RUN RED RUN 4 4 1½ 1   11 54 (cline c)BRACHO A 115 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
LONE BOY 5 1 611 619½   618 625¼ (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 20.20  
 
TDN-7   08/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OTIS OTIS OTIS 4 3 3 3   3.2 1nk (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 67% 0.50 0.80 W
WEEKEND BUZZ 2 4 54 5   1nk 2nk (white t)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
LAUDA SPEED 6 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 32 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.50 2.20 S
MAS ORO 1 5 6 6   5 4 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 6.00 20.90  
AWESOME ENOUGH 3 6 42 4   4 5 (galloway k)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50 4.20  
ESTILO FAVORITO 5 2 2nk 2nk   6 615¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 22.20  
SCR  NATURE OFTHE BEAST               (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENIE ROSE 1 4 4 4   32 1nk (cline c)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.90 W
EMERSON JONES 5 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2nk (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 3.40  
LARRY'S ANGEL 3 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 3.2 (cowans william )BRACHO A 119 2.00 36% 1.80 0.20 S
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 2 5 531½ 525½   517 413¼ (skerrett j)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
BODIL 4 2 3½ 3   47 513¼ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 33% 2.10 6.10  
SCR  ANCHORWOMAN               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.